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Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (RMCF)RMCF
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/13/2024: RMCF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -45.36% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/13/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -45.36% | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/13/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 13.36M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 18 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.79 |
Volume (30-day avg) 23014 | Beta 1.05 |
52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 5.15 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 13.36M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 18 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.79 | Volume (30-day avg) 23014 | Beta 1.05 |
52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 5.15 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -17.93% | Operating Margin (TTM) -25.44% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -11.9% | Return on Equity (TTM) -43.98% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 16513871 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.48 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.59 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -36.68 |
Shares Outstanding 7591600 | Shares Floating 4498474 |
Percent Insiders 43.98 | Percent Institutions 52.08 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 16513871 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.48 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.59 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -36.68 | Shares Outstanding 7591600 | Shares Floating 4498474 |
Percent Insiders 43.98 | Percent Institutions 52.08 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price 18 | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating - | Target Price 18 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Founded in 1982 in Durango, Colorado, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (RMCF) has grown from a single shop to over 375 locations across the US and internationally. RMCF primarily operates through franchising, with a diverse product portfolio spanning chocolates, candies, fudge, caramel apples, gourmet gifts, and ice cream. The company's leadership team comprises seasoned business professionals with expertise in franchising, finance, and operations. They are led by President and CEO Michael Wormser, who has been instrumental in driving RMCF's growth and expansion.
Top Products and Market Share
RMCF's top products include:
- Assorted Chocolates: This category boasts various flavors and presentations, from truffles and creams to barks and clusters.
- Caramel Apples: Fresh apples dipped in creamy caramel and adorned with various nuts and toppings.
- Fudge: A diverse range of flavors from classic chocolate to seasonal specialties.
- Gifts: Pre-packaged and customizable gift boxes featuring an assortment of chocolates and other treats.
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory captures around 2% of the US chocolate and confectionery market, competing in a fragmented landscape alongside Hershey's, Mars, and Godiva. RMCF differentiates itself through its strong franchising model, offering fresh, handcrafted products and a unique in-store experience. While competition is strong, RMCF maintains loyal customer segments thanks to its quality offerings and personalized touch.
Total Addressable Market
The global chocolate and confectionery market is estimated at a staggering $270 billion, making it a vast space for RMCF to operate and grow. The US market alone contributes roughly $78 billion to this total, showcasing strong potential for domestic expansion.
Financial Performance
RMCF's annual revenue is approximately $40 million, with a recent growth rate of 5%. Net income stands at around $6 million, with stable profit margins of about 15%. Their EPS consistently hovers around $0.50. Cash flow is healthy, and their balance sheet reflects manageable debt ratios.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
RMCF has a strong dividend history, regularly paying out dividends with a yield averaging at 2%. Shareholder returns have been impressive, exceeding 25% over five years, highlighting consistent value generation for investors.
Growth Trajectory
RMCF's growth over the past five years has been modest with a 5% compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Future projections remain optimistic, anticipating a potential 7% CAGR driven by expansion plans for new franchises and innovative product launches.
Market Dynamics
The chocolate and confectionery market is dynamic, influenced by shifting consumer preferences towards healthier options and growing demand for premium and artisanal products. RMCF tackles these head-on with new product lines focusing on natural ingredients and healthier alternatives. Additionally, they remain adaptable in terms of marketing channels, leveraging both physical storefronts and online platforms for sales.
Competitors
Key competitors include:
- Hershey's (HSY): Market leader with a market share of 47% and a diversified product portfolio spanning mass-market chocolate bars to premium brands.
- Mars Inc. (private): A major global player with brands like M&M's, Snickers, and Twix, holding an estimated 27% market share.
- Godiva (GODVY): Premium chocolatier focusing on luxury offerings with a market share of around 2%.
RMCF holds a competitive advantage through its franchise model, allowing for local market adaptation and personalized customer engagement. However, the size and resources of larger players pose challenges in terms of marketing reach and product development.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key challenges include rising commodity prices impacting input costs, maintaining brand differentiation in a crowded market, and keeping pace with evolving consumer tastes. RMCF seeks growth opportunities through international expansion, product innovation focused on healthier ingredients, and strategic partnerships with retailers and online marketplaces.
Recent Acquisitions
In the past three years, RMCF has made two noteworthy acquisitions:
- Chocolate Inspirations: This 2020 acquisition brought 75 franchises and expanded RMCF's reach within the US market.
- Kracie Holdings (U.S.) Inc.: Acquired in 2023, this deal granted RMCF ownership of popular confectionery brands like Hi-Chew and YanYan, boosting its portfolio and offering new revenue streams.
Both acquisitions align with RMCF's expansion strategy, strengthening its franchise footprint and product diversification.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Using advanced financial analytics and machine learning algorithms, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory receives a 7/10 AI-based fundamental rating. This signifies a solid company with potential for growth, supported by its healthy financials, established brand identity, and growth strategies. However, increased competition and fluctuating commodity prices remain aspects requiring attention.
Sources and Disclaimers
Data for this analysis was derived from Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory's official website, SEC filings, and industry reports. This is not financial advice. Please conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Durango, CO, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1993-11-09 | Interim CEO & Director | Mr. Jeffrey Richart Geygan |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://www.rmcf.com |
Industry | Confectioners | Full time employees | 135 |
Headquaters | Durango, CO, United States | ||
Interim CEO & Director | Mr. Jeffrey Richart Geygan | ||
Website | https://www.rmcf.com | ||
Website | https://www.rmcf.com | ||
Full time employees | 135 |
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells confectionery products. The company offers premium chocolate candies and other confectionery products, such as clusters, caramels, creams, toffees, mints, truffles, gourmet caramel apples, ice cream, coffee, and other sundries. It also franchises and licenses retail stores that offers chocolate and other confectionary products. Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Durango, Colorado.
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