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Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (RMCF)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: RMCF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -37.82% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 20.36M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 18 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 18 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 17786 | Beta 1.01 | 52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 4.74 | Updated Date 01/12/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 4.74 | Updated Date 01/12/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.74 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-01-08 | When Before Market | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -17.05% | Operating Margin (TTM) -14.33% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -11.09% | Return on Equity (TTM) -40.42% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 24376133 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.72 |
Enterprise Value 24376133 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.72 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.88 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -36.68 | Shares Outstanding 7597820 | Shares Floating 5492539 |
Shares Outstanding 7597820 | Shares Floating 5492539 | ||
Percent Insiders 38.87 | Percent Institutions 51.8 |
AI Summary
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Stock Overview
Company Profile:
History: Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (RMCF) was founded in 1981 in Durango, Colorado, by Frank Crail. Starting as a small candy store, it soon expanded through franchising, offering chocolates, fudge, caramel apples, and other treats. RMCF went public in 1993.
Core Business: RMCF's core business encompasses:
- Retail stores: Franchised and company-owned stores selling RMCF's chocolates, gifts, and ice cream.
- Wholesale & Foodservice: Supplying candies to retailers, restaurants, and distributors.
- Online sales: Direct-to-consumer sales through the RMCF website and other online platforms.
Leadership: The leadership team includes:
- President & CEO: Michael P. Casey
- CFO: Thomas D. Smith
- Chief Development Officer: Michael S. Mueller
Products & Market Share:
Top Products:
- Assortment boxes
- Chocolate-covered treats
- Toffee
- Fudge
- Caramel apples
Market Share: RMCF holds a small market share in the highly fragmented premium chocolate market. According to IBISWorld, the total US chocolate market was valued at $19.2 billion in 2022, with RMCF comprising less than 1%. RMCF faces competition from large confectionery companies like Hershey's, Mars, and Godiva, as well as smaller regional players.
Total Addressable Market: The total addressable market for RMCF can be segmented into:
- Premium chocolate market: Estimated at $8.9 billion in the US.
- Gifts and souvenirs market: Estimated at $27 billion in the US.
- Foodservice chocolate market: Estimated at $4.3 billion in the US.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financials: (Based on fiscal year ending September 30, 2022)
- Revenue: $105.2 million
- Net Income: $1.9 million
- Profit Margin: 1.8%
- EPS: $0.17
Financial Performance Comparison:
- Revenue has remained relatively flat over the past 5 years.
- Net income has fluctuated, with a recent increase in 2022.
- Profit margin is low compared to industry averages.
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet:
- Cash flow from operations is positive, indicating healthy operating activity.
- The company has a low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting moderate financial risk.
Dividends & Shareholder Returns:
- RMCF currently does not pay dividends.
- Total shareholder return over the past 5 years has been negative.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical growth has been stagnant.
- Future growth projections vary depending on industry trends and company initiatives.
- Recent product launches and strategic acquisitions aim to boost future growth.
Market Dynamics:
- The premium chocolate market is saturated and competitive.
- Increasing health consciousness may negatively impact demand for chocolate treats.
- Online shopping and e-commerce competition are growing.
Competitors:
- Major Confectionery Companies: Hershey's (HSY), Mars (private), Mondelez International (MDLZ), Godiva (privately held)
- Smaller Regional Players: See's Candies, Harry & David, Fannie May
Key Challenges:
- Maintaining brand differentiation in a competitive market.
- Adapting to changing consumer preferences and shopping habits.
- Managing rising ingredient and operation costs.
Opportunities:
- Expanding online presence and e-commerce sales.
- Launching new innovative products and flavors.
- Exploring strategic acquisitions and partnerships.
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2021: Acquired Chocolate Inspirations, a Denver-based chocolate retailer, to expand RMCF's footprint in the Rocky Mountain region.
- 2020: Acquired Lammes Candies, a Wisconsin-based chocolate manufacturer, to enhance RMCF's manufacturing capabilities and product portfolio.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis considering financial health, market position, and future prospects, RMCF receives a 5 out of 10.
Justification:
- While RMCF has a stable financial position and positive cash flow, its current market share and inconsistent profitability limit its growth potential. However, recent acquisitions and growth initiatives could positively impact future performance.
Sources:
- RMCF Annual Reports and SEC filings
- IBISWorld Industry Reports
- Yahoo Finance
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Durango, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-11-09 | Interim CEO & Director Mr. Jeffrey Richart Geygan | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Confectioners | Full time employees 135 | Website https://www.rmcf.com |
Full time employees 135 | Website https://www.rmcf.com |
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells confectionery products. The company offers premium chocolate candies and other confectionery products, such as clusters, caramels, creams, toffees, mints, truffles, gourmet caramel apples, ice cream, coffee, and other sundries. It also franchises and licenses retail stores that offers chocolate and other confectionary products. Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Durango, Colorado.
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