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Rallybio Corp (RLYB)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: RLYB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -74.54% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 36.92M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 107673 | Beta -1.67 | 52 Weeks Range 0.84 - 3.46 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.84 - 3.46 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.57 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -4035.45% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -38.54% | Return on Equity (TTM) -67.39% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -37985049 | Price to Sales(TTM) 61.75 |
Enterprise Value -37985049 | Price to Sales(TTM) 61.75 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.41 | Shares Outstanding 41487600 | Shares Floating 18975177 |
Shares Outstanding 41487600 | Shares Floating 18975177 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.06 | Percent Institutions 76.27 |
AI Summary
Rallybio Corp.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
- Founded in 2015, Rallybio initially operated as Trans-vivo Gene therapy, based on its novel viral vector technology.
- 2017: Company rebranded as Audentes Therapeutics after merging with Asklepios BioPharmaceutical.
- 2022: Merged with Sio Gene Therapies, becoming Rallybio.
- Headquarters: New Haven, Connecticut.
Core Business Areas:
Develops adeno-associated virus (AAV)-based gene therapies for patients with severe and rare diseases.
Focus on lysosomal storage disorders (LSDs) and hematologic disorders.
Utilizes three proprietary platform technologies:
- High-yield, scalable biomanufacturing process for AAV vectors.
- Next-generation capsids for enhanced AAV delivery and tissue targeting.
- Gene editing technologies for precise genetic modifications.
Leadership Team:
- Chief Executive Officer: Dr. Lee Squires
- Chief Financial Officer: Christopher K. Barnes
- Chief Medical Officer: Dr. Richard S. Cohen
Corporate Structure:
- Board of Directors composed of industry experts and leaders.
- Scientific Advisory Board provides guidance on research and development.
- Management team holds diverse expertise in gene therapy, pharmaceuticals, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- onasemnogene abeparvovec (eladocagene exuparvovec): Gene therapy for aromatic L-amino acid decarboxylase (AADC) deficiency.
- valoctocogene roxaparvovec: Gene therapy for hemophilia A.
- BIVV001: Gene therapy for Fabry disease.
Market Share:
- Global: Limited market share due to the niche nature of the diseases targeted.
- US: Holds potential leadership position in treating AADC deficiency and hemophilia A.
Product Performance:
- onasemnogene abeparvovec: Approved by FDA in 2022, demonstrating significant improvements in motor function and quality of life for AADC deficiency patients.
- valoctocogene roxaparvovec: Phase 3 trial ongoing, showing promising results in reducing bleeding episodes in hemophilia A patients.
- BIVV001: Phase 1/2 trial demonstrating initial efficacy and safety in Fabry disease patients.
Competitive Landscape:
- Competes with established players in gene therapy and those developing treatments for the same diseases.
- Advantages include proprietary technology, experienced leadership, and promising clinical data.
Total Addressable Market:
- Global LSDs market: Estimated at $1.5 billion in 2021, projected to reach $2.5 billion by 2028.
- US Hemophilia A market: Estimated at $2.5 billion in 2021, expected to grow steadily.
Financial Performance:
Financial Statements:
- Revenue primarily generated from research and development collaborations.
- Net income remains negative due to ongoing research and development investments.
- Profit margins are not yet applicable due to the company's pre-commercial stage.
- Earnings per share (EPS) are significantly negative due to early-stage development costs.
Year-over-Year Financial Performance:
- Revenue increasing due to licensing agreements and R&D collaborations.
- Operating expenses rising due to clinical trial advancements.
- Cash burn rate remains high due to ongoing research and development activities.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Negative operating cash flow due to high research and development expenses.
- Strong cash position with over $300 million available for further development.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: No dividend payouts as the company focuses on reinvesting cash into growth initiatives.
- Shareholder Returns: Stock price has experienced volatility, reflecting the early-stage, high-risk nature of the company.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Revenue and partnerships expanding steadily.
- Future Growth Projections: Market potential and promising clinical data suggest significant growth potential.
- Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives: Commercialization of onasemnogene abeparvovec and advancing other pipeline candidates will drive growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Increasing adoption of gene therapy for rare diseases.
- Growing focus on personalized medicine and precision therapies.
- Technological advancements in AAV vector technology and gene editing.
Company Positioning and Adaptability:
- Strong market position with innovative technologies and promising clinical data.
- Adaptable R&D approach focused on unmet medical needs.
Competitors:
- Lysosomal Storage Disorders: Orchard Therapeutics, BioMarin Pharmaceutical, Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical.
- Hemophilia A: BioMarin Pharmaceutical, Pfizer, Shire.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition from established players with marketed products.
- Regulatory hurdles and lengthy clinical trial processes.
- Manufacturing and scale-up challenges for AAV-based therapies.
Opportunities:
- Expanding market access for onasemnogene abeparvovec and future gene therapy candidates.
- Partnering with larger pharmaceutical companies for commercialization and development.
- Exploring new gene therapy applications for other rare diseases.
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2022: Acquired Sio Gene Therapies, expanding pipeline and AAV technology capabilities.
- 2020: Acquired Homology Medicines, adding gene editing expertise and preclinical assets.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
- Strong product pipeline with clinical data demonstrating potential efficacy.
- Experienced leadership team with proven track record in gene therapy development.
- Large market opportunities in LSDs and hemophilia A.
- Challenges lie in manufacturing scale-up, regulatory hurdles, and competitor presence.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Rallybio Corp. Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- News articles and industry reports
Disclaimers:
- This information should not be considered investment advice.
- Future performance is uncertain and subject to various factors.
- Conduct further research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters New Haven, CT, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-07-29 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Director Dr. Stephen Uden M.B, M.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 43 | Website https://www.rallybio.com |
Full time employees 43 | Website https://www.rallybio.com |
Rallybio Corporation, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in development and commercialization of life-transforming therapies for patients suffering from severe and rare diseases. Its lead product candidate is RLYB212, a monoclonal anti-HPA-1a antibody that has completed Phase I clinical trial for the prevention of fetal and neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia (FNAIT); and RLYB211 for the prevention of FNAIT. The company is also developing RLYB114, a pegylated complement factor 5 (C5)-targeted Affibody molecule in preclinical development for the treatment of complement-mediated ophthalmic diseases; RLYB116, an inhibitor of complement component 5 (C5) to treat several diseases of complement dysregulation which has completed phase 1 trial; and RLYB331, a preclinical antibody, for the treatment of severe anemia with ineffective erythropoiesis and iron overload. It entered into a strategic alliance with AbCellera to discover, develop, and commercialize novel antibody-based therapeutics for rare diseases. Rallybio has collaboration with Exscientia for the development of small molecule therapeutics for rare diseases; and collaboration agreement with Johnson & Johnson to provide pregnant individuals therapeutic solutions at risk of fetal and neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in New Haven, Connecticut.
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