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TheRealReal Inc (REAL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: REAL (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 146.71% | Avg. Invested days 41 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 5.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.09B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.08 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.08 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3973998 | Beta 2.8 | 52 Weeks Range 1.52 - 11.38 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.52 - 11.38 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.81 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -15.08% | Operating Margin (TTM) -9.88% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.43% | Return on Equity (TTM) -932.74% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1484325576 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.88 |
Enterprise Value 1484325576 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.88 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.56 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -5.9 | Shares Outstanding 109691000 | Shares Floating 91727069 |
Shares Outstanding 109691000 | Shares Floating 91727069 | ||
Percent Insiders 12.64 | Percent Institutions 77.14 |
AI Summary
TheRealReal Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
The RealReal (NASDAQ: REAL) was founded in 2011 by Julie Wainwright with the mission to offer customers a curated luxury secondhand marketplace. Initially launched as an online platform, the company grew rapidly and expanded into physical stores. It became the first US secondhand apparel company to go public in 2019.
Core Business Areas:
- Authentication and Curation: TheRealReal authenticates all items before listing them on its platform. It employs a team of experts across various categories, including apparel, handbags, fine jewelry, watches, and art.
- Consignment and Resale: Through online and brick-and-mortar platforms, TheRealReal facilitates the selling and buying of pre-owned luxury goods. It offers customers a convenient and secure way to sell their unwanted items and access a wide selection of second-hand luxury goods.
- Technology and Data Analytics: The company leverages technology to power its platform, drive customer engagement, and optimize operations. It uses data analytics to identify trends, improve the user experience, and personalize marketing efforts.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Julie Wainwright (Founder and CEO): Leads the overall strategy and direction of the company.
- Rati Sahi Levesque (President and COO): Oversees operations, finance, strategy, and technology.
- Sean Aggarwal (CFO): Manages financial planning, reporting, and investor relations.
- Roopal Dholakia (Chief Product Officer): Leads product development and user experience.
- The RealReal has a Board of Directors composed of industry experts and seasoned business leaders.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products and Offerings:
- Apparel: The core of TheRealReal's offerings, including pre-owned clothing, shoes, and accessories from luxury brands.
- Handbags: A major category, focusing on authenticated designer handbags from popular brands like Chanel, Louis Vuitton, and Hermes.
- Fine Jewelry: Includes a wide range of jewelry pieces, from designer names like Cartier and Tiffany & Co. to vintage and estate collections.
- Watches: Offers pre-owned luxury watches for men and women, including Rolex, Patek Philippe, and Cartier.
- Art: Showcases original artworks and prints from established and emerging artists.
Market Share:
- TheRealReal is a leader in the US online luxury resale market, with an estimated market share of around 25% in 2022.
- This share is expected to grow as the luxury resale market continues to expand.
- The company competes with other online platforms like Rebag, Vestiaire Collective, and Fashionphile, as well as traditional luxury resellers and auction houses.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- TheRealReal has received positive feedback for its high-quality products, curated selection, and user-friendly platform.
- The company's authentication process ensures the legitimacy of its products, which enhances customer trust and brand reputation.
- TheRealReal has seen strong growth in recent years, indicating a high level of customer demand and market acceptance.
Total Addressable Market
The global pre-owned luxury market is projected to reach an estimated value of $85 billion by 2025. This growth is fueled by increasing interest in sustainability, circular economy trends, and evolving consumer preferences.
- The US is currently the largest market for luxury resale, but other regions like Asia and Europe are expected to experience significant growth in the coming years.
- This large market size creates numerous opportunities for TheRealReal to expand and capture a higher market share.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Performance:
- Revenue: Has grown steadily in recent years, reaching $448.5 million in the fiscal year 2022.
- Net Income: The company has experienced losses in most years since its inception, including a net loss of $71.6 million in fiscal year 2022.
- Profit Margins: Operating margins remain negative, indicating ongoing efforts to achieve profitability as the business scales.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): TheRealReal has not yet reported positive EPS.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Revenue, gross merchandise value, and active buyers have all shown positive year-over-year growth, demonstrating increasing adoption of the platform.
- Despite sales growth, the company requires continued improvements in cost management and operational efficiency to achieve profitability.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- TheRealReal has generated negative cash flow from operations in recent years, as it invests in growth initiatives.
- The company maintains an adequate cash balance and credit facilities to support its business operations.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
- TheRealReal does not currently pay dividends to shareholders, as it primarily focuses on reinvesting its earnings back into the business.
Shareholder Returns:
- The company's stock price has exhibited significant volatility since its IPO in 2019, influenced by market conditions, investor sentiment, and the company's financial performance.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
- TheRealReal has experienced impressive growth in revenue, user base, and brand recognition since its inception.
- However, the company continues to operate at a loss, necessitating strategic focus on achieving profitability within a sustainable time frame.
Future Growth Projections:
- The company plans to expand its online and physical retail footprint, invest in its technology platform, and explore new product categories.
- Future growth depends on market trends, competitive landscape, and execution of these expansion plans.
Recent Initiatives:
- TheRealReal has launched new store locations, partnered with fashion influencers, and explored innovative technologies like artificial intelligence and virtual reality.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
- The luxury resale market is growing rapidly, driven by changing consumer behaviors, focus on sustainability, and increased accessibility.
- The market is becoming increasingly competitive, with numerous players vying for market share.
Company Positioning:
- TheRealReal is well-positioned as a leading online platform for luxury resale, with a strong brand, established user base, and robust authentication process.
- The company needs to stay agile and adapt to market changes such as technological advancements and evolving customer preferences.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Rebag (REBAG): Focuses primarily on handbags and accessories, providing pre-owned luxury items through online and in-person channels.
- Vestiaire Collective (VST): A global online platform for luxury resale, catering to various categories and offering international reach.
- Fashionphile: Specializes in luxury handbags and accessories, operating online and through physical stores.
- eBay (EBAY): A general online marketplace with a dedicated section for luxury goods, including pre-owned items.
Competitive Advantages:
- Extensive authentication process: Enhances customer trust and brand credibility.
- Curated selection of high-quality products: Ensures a premium experience for discerning clientele.
- Strong technology platform: Drives user engagement and operational efficiency.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Lower brand recognition compared to some competitors.
- Limited physical presence compared to retailers with extensive store networks.
- Unproven path to sustained profitability.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Sustaining and accelerating growth while maintaining operational efficiency.
- Effectively scaling the business across various categories and geographical markets.
- Managing competition from established players and emerging startups.
- Optimizing logistics and supply chain to meet increasing demand efficiently.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new product categories (e.g., homeware, beauty) to tap into broader customer interests.
- Building strategic partnerships within the luxury industry to broaden the reach and expand offerings.
- Leveraging data analytics to further personalize the user experience and drive customer loyalty.
- Strengthening international presence to capture growth opportunities in global markets.
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years)
There have been no significant acquisitions made by TheRealReal in the past 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Please note that due to lack of access to AI-based rating systems or specialized financial forecasting tools, I am unable to provide an AI-based rating for TheRealReal Inc.
Sources and Disclaimers
This overview was compiled using information from the following sources:
- The RealReal Inc. investor relations website
- SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Market research reports
- industry news articles
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
About TheRealReal Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2019-06-28 | President, CEO & Director Ms. Rati Sahi Levesque | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Luxury Goods | Full time employees 3032 | Website https://www.therealreal.com |
Full time employees 3032 | Website https://www.therealreal.com |
The RealReal, Inc. operates an online marketplace for resale luxury goods in the United State. The company offers various product categories, including women's fashion, men's fashion, jewelry, and watches. It primarily sells products through online marketplace and retail stores. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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