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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL)RCL

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd
$168.55
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: RCL (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: 36.71%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance5
Avg. Invested days: 44
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: 36.71%
Avg. Invested days: 44
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance5

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 43.39B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 18.36
1Y Target Price 181.75
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 9.18
Volume (30-day avg) 1970477
Beta 2.62
52 Weeks Range 78.35 - 173.40
Updated Date 09/18/2024
Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 43.39B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 18.36
1Y Target Price 181.75
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 9.18
Volume (30-day avg) 1970477
Beta 2.62
52 Weeks Range 78.35 - 173.40
Updated Date 09/18/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 16.31%
Operating Margin (TTM) 26.81%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.61%
Return on Equity (TTM) 51.65%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 18.36
Forward PE 12.76
Enterprise Value 64730585424
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.83
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.22
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.91
Shares Outstanding 257420000
Shares Floating 242343232
Percent Insiders 7.87
Percent Institutions 83.89
Trailing PE 18.36
Forward PE 12.76
Enterprise Value 64730585424
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.83
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.22
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.91
Shares Outstanding 257420000
Shares Floating 242343232
Percent Insiders 7.87
Percent Institutions 83.89

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.38
Target Price 123.07
Buy 5
Strong Buy 14
Hold 5
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4.38
Target Price 123.07
Buy 5
Strong Buy 14
Hold 5
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd: A Detailed Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE: RCL) is a global cruise operator founded in 1968. Headquartered in Miami, Florida, the company boasts a rich history of innovation and growth, leading the industry with iconic brands like Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises.

Core Business Areas:

Royal Caribbean focuses on providing premium vacation experiences through its diverse fleet of cruise ships. The company operates various itineraries, catering to different demographics and interests, offering adventure-packed voyages, luxurious getaways, and family-friendly adventures.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

The company is led by Chairman and CEO Richard Fain, with a seasoned executive team with extensive experience in the cruise industry. Royal Caribbean operates a decentralized structure, with each brand having its own president and management team.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products and Offerings:

Royal Caribbean's top products include various cruise experiences targeting different demographics and interests. These include:

  • Adventure-Packed Voyages: Royal Caribbean International offers thrill-seeking experiences with waterslides, rock-climbing walls, and surfing simulators.
  • Luxurious Getaways: Celebrity Cruises focuses on premium experiences with fine dining, world-class entertainment, and personalized service.
  • Family-Friendly Adventures: Royal Caribbean caters to families with dedicated kids' clubs, water parks, and family-oriented activities.

Market Share Analysis:

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a dominant player in the global cruise industry. The company holds a significant market share, with:

  • Global Market Share: 13.8% (as of 2023)
  • US Market Share: 16.8% (as of 2023)

Product Performance and Market Reception:

Royal Caribbean's products have consistently received positive market reception. The company's innovative ship designs, diverse itineraries, and focus on guest satisfaction have led to high customer loyalty and strong brand recognition.

Total Addressable Market:

The global cruise market is estimated to be worth $45.6 billion in 2023. The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 9.7% between 2023 and 2028, reaching a value of $77.6 billion.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Analysis:

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. has experienced financial fluctuations in recent years, impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the company shows signs of recovery:

  • 2022 Revenue: $10.56 billion
  • 2022 Net Income: $1.16 billion
  • 2022 Profit Margin: 11%
  • 2022 EPS: $2.21

Year-Over-Year Comparison:

Compared to 2021, Royal Caribbean's revenue increased by 237%, while net income turned positive from a loss in the previous year.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

Royal Caribbean's cash flow has improved significantly, with positive cash flow from operations in 2022. The company's balance sheet shows improvement in debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a more stable financial position.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. has a history of paying dividends but suspended them during the pandemic. The company resumed dividend payments in 2023 with a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share.

Shareholder Returns:

Over the past year, Royal Caribbean shareholders have experienced significant returns, with total returns exceeding 50%. The company's long-term shareholder returns have been uneven due to pandemic-related challenges.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. experienced strong growth before the pandemic, with revenue increasing at a CAGR of 6.5% between 2015 and 2019. Post-pandemic, the company aims to return to its growth trajectory.

Future Growth Projections:

Industry analysts project that the cruise industry will experience robust growth in the coming years, driven by pent-up demand and increasing disposable income. Royal Caribbean is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth with its strong brand portfolio and diverse offerings.

Recent Growth Initiatives:

Royal Caribbean is actively investing in new ship orders, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships to fuel future growth. The company is also focusing on enhancing its onboard offerings and digital capabilities to improve guest experience and drive customer loyalty.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

The cruise industry is witnessing several trends, including:

  • Increased Demand: Pent-up demand post-pandemic is driving a surge in cruise bookings.
  • Technological Advancements: Cruise lines are incorporating advanced technologies like AI and IoT to enhance guest experience and operational efficiency.
  • Sustainability Focus: The industry is placing greater emphasis on environmental sustainability through measures like cleaner fuels and waste reduction.

Royal Caribbean's Positioning:

Royal Caribbean is well-positioned within the industry, leveraging its strong brand recognition, diverse fleet, and focus on innovation. The company is actively adapting to market changes and focusing on sustainability initiatives.

Competitors:

Key Competitors:

  • Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL)
  • Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH)
  • MSC Cruises
  • TUI Cruises

Market Share Comparison:

  • Carnival Corporation & plc: 40%
  • Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.: 11%
  • MSC Cruises: 8%
  • TUI Cruises: 5%

Competitive Advantages:

Royal Caribbean holds competitive advantages in various areas, including:

  • Strong Brand Portfolio: The company's diverse brand portfolio caters to different demographics and interests, offering a wider range of options to customers.
  • Innovative Ship Design: Royal Caribbean's focus on innovative ship designs, featuring unique amenities and experiences, sets it apart from competitors.
  • Global Reach: With a vast fleet and diverse itineraries, Royal Caribbean offers more destination options, covering various parts of the world.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Fuel Price Volatility: Fluctuations in fuel prices can impact the company's profitability.
  • Economic Downturns: Economic downturns can lead to decreased consumer spending and reduced demand for cruises.
  • Geopolitical Instability: Geopolitical instability in certain regions can disrupt travel plans and impact cruise itineraries.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Growing Asian Market: The increasing disposable income and rising middle class in Asia present a significant growth opportunity for the cruise industry.
  • Technological Advancements: Technological advancements can help Royal Caribbean improve operational efficiency, enhance guest experience, and personalize offerings.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with other travel and tourism companies can expand Royal Caribbean's reach and attract new customer segments.

Recent Acquisitions:

In the last three years, Royal Caribbean has not made any major acquisitions. However, the company has focused on strategic partnerships and investments in technology and sustainability initiatives.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 8/10

Justification: Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. has a strong fundamental rating due to its diverse brand portfolio, innovative ship designs, global reach, and focus on sustainability. The company has a solid financial position and is well-positioned to capitalize on the growth potential of the cruise industry. However, the company faces challenges from fuel price volatility, economic downturns, and geopolitical instability, which could impact its profitability and growth prospects.

Sources and Disclaimer:

Data for this analysis was gathered from the following sources:

  • Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. Investor Relations website
  • US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
  • Industry reports and analysis from reputable sources

Disclaimer: This information is for general knowledge and educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Miami, FL, United States
IPO Launch date 1993-04-28 President, CEO & Director Mr. Jason T. Liberty
Sector Consumer Cyclical Website https://www.rclinvestor.com
Industry Travel Services Full time employees 98100
Headquaters Miami, FL, United States
President, CEO & Director Mr. Jason T. Liberty
Website https://www.rclinvestor.com
Website https://www.rclinvestor.com
Full time employees 98100

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. operates as a cruise company worldwide. The company operates cruises under the Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises brands, which comprise a range of itineraries. As of February 21, 2024, it operated 65 ships. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.

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