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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: RCL (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 83.38% | Avg. Invested days 46 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 5.0 | Stock Returns Performance 4.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 65.41B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 24.35 | 1Y Target Price 252.52 |
Price to earnings Ratio 24.35 | 1Y Target Price 252.52 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2038916 | Beta 2.6 | 52 Weeks Range 112.58 - 258.10 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 112.58 - 258.10 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.91% | Basic EPS (TTM) 9.99 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 16.21% | Operating Margin (TTM) 33.48% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.31% | Return on Equity (TTM) 44.26% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 24.35 | Forward PE 16.53 | Enterprise Value 86154721784 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.07 |
Enterprise Value 86154721784 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.07 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.37 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.74 | Shares Outstanding 268875008 | Shares Floating 253476755 |
Shares Outstanding 268875008 | Shares Floating 253476755 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.39 | Percent Institutions 86.91 |
AI Summary
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background: Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) is a global cruise operator founded in 1968. The company started with one ship, the Song of Norway, and has grown to become the world's second-largest cruise line, operating over 25 ships across six brands: Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, Silversea Cruises, Azamara Cruises, TUI Cruises, and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises.
Core Business Areas: RCL's primary business involves offering vacation packages on cruise ships. These packages include accommodation, meals, entertainment, and various onboard activities.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure: The company is led by Chairman and CEO Richard Fain, with a board of directors overseeing the executive team. RCL operates a decentralized structure with each brand having its own management team.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products: RCL offers various cruise itineraries targeting different demographics. Some popular offerings include Caribbean cruises, Mediterranean cruises, Alaska cruises, and transatlantic voyages. They also offer themed cruises, such as family cruises, adventure cruises, and luxury cruises.
Market Share: RCL holds a significant market share in the global cruise industry. As of 2022, the company controlled around 20% of the global cruise market and 30% of the North American market share.
Product Performance and Market Reception: RCL consistently receives positive feedback for its onboard experiences, diverse itineraries, and excellent service. The company's innovative offerings, such as FlowRider surf simulators and Perfect Day at Coco Cay private island, have been well-received by passengers.
Total Addressable Market: The global cruise industry's total addressable market is estimated at around 30 million passengers annually. This market is expected to grow at a steady pace in the coming years, driven by rising disposable income and increasing interest in travel experiences.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements Analysis: RCL has experienced a strong financial recovery post-pandemic. In 2022, the company reported revenue of $10.9 billion, net income of $2.6 billion, and EPS of $7.64. Compared to 2021, this represents a significant increase in profitability.
Year-over-Year Performance: RCL's revenue and net income have shown a consistent upward trend in recent years. The company expects this growth to continue in the coming years as the cruise industry recovers.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: RCL's cash flow and balance sheet remain healthy despite the pandemic's impact. The company has sufficient liquidity and manageable debt levels to support its growth plans.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: RCL has a history of paying dividends, but the company suspended them during the pandemic. However, it resumed dividend payments in 2022 with a current dividend yield of around 1.9%.
Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, RCL's share price has increased by approximately 50%, providing strong returns to shareholders. However, over a longer time horizon, the stock has underperformed the broader market.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: RCL has historically experienced steady growth in passenger numbers and revenue. However, the pandemic significantly impacted the company's operations.
Future Projections: The cruise industry is expected to experience a rebound in the coming years, driven by pent-up demand and increased consumer spending. RCL is well-positioned to benefit from this recovery, with plans for new ship launches and expansion into new markets.
Recent Initiatives: RCL has recently launched several new ships, including the innovative Odyssey of the Seas. The company also continues to invest in its private island destinations and onboard experiences to attract new customers.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends: The cruise industry is experiencing several trends, including increasing demand for personalized experiences, sustainable cruising practices, and technological advancements onboard ships.
RCL's Positioning: RCL is well-positioned to adapt to these changing market dynamics. The company's diverse brand portfolio caters to various customer preferences, and it is actively investing in sustainable operations and innovative technologies.
Competitors:
Key Competitors: Royal Caribbean's main competitors include Carnival Corporation (CCL), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), and MSC Cruises.
Market Share Comparison: Carnival Corporation holds the largest market share in the global cruise industry, with approximately 45%. RCL is the second-largest, with a 20% share, followed by NCLH at 10% and MSC Cruises at 6%.
Competitive Advantages: RCL's competitive advantages include its diverse brand portfolio, strong financial performance, and focus on innovation. However, the company faces intense competition in the industry, requiring it to continuously innovate and differentiate its offerings.
Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges: RCL faces various challenges, including global economic uncertainties, potential fuel price fluctuations, and increasing competition. The company also needs to manage the impact of climate change and ensure the sustainability of its operations.
Opportunities: RCL has several opportunities for growth, including expansion into new markets, development of new cruise concepts, and strategic partnerships. The company is also focusing on enhancing its digital offerings and expanding its loyalty program to attract and retain customers.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
None: RCL has not made any significant acquisitions in the last three years. The company's recent focus has been on organic growth and improving operational efficiency.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: Based on publicly available information, my AI model rates RCL's fundamentals as 7.5 out of 10.
Justification: RCL exhibits a strong financial position, consistent revenue growth, and innovative product offerings. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the cruise industry's recovery. However, its market share remains below its largest competitor, and it faces ongoing challenges from fuel prices and economic uncertainties.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview is based on information from the following sources:
- Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. website: https://www.royalcaribbean.com/
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings: https://www.sec.gov/
- Statista: https://www.statista.com/
Disclaimer: This information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
About Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Miami, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-04-28 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Jason T. Liberty | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Travel Services | Full time employees 98100 | Website https://www.rclinvestor.com |
Full time employees 98100 | Website https://www.rclinvestor.com |
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. operates as a cruise company worldwide. The company operates cruises under the Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises brands, which comprise a range of itineraries. As of February 21, 2024, it operated 65 ships. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.
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