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Ultragenyx (RARE)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2024: RARE (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -12.66% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/24/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -12.66% | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/24/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.04B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 92.95 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.35 |
Volume (30-day avg) 744697 | Beta 0.58 |
52 Weeks Range 37.02 - 60.37 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.04B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 92.95 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.35 | Volume (30-day avg) 744697 | Beta 0.58 |
52 Weeks Range 37.02 - 60.37 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -106.93% | Operating Margin (TTM) -94.62% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -24.12% | Return on Equity (TTM) -289.98% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 3452534725 | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.73 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.46 |
Shares Outstanding 92344304 | Shares Floating 89013412 |
Percent Insiders 3.62 | Percent Institutions 97.44 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 3452534725 | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.73 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.46 | Shares Outstanding 92344304 | Shares Floating 89013412 |
Percent Insiders 3.62 | Percent Institutions 97.44 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.57 | Target Price 90.56 | Buy 7 |
Strong Buy 13 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.57 | Target Price 90.56 | Buy 7 | Strong Buy 13 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Ultragenyx: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background: Founded in 2010, Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ: RARE) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing novel therapies for serious rare and ultra-rare metabolic genetic diseases. Headquartered in Novato, California, the company has a global presence with operations in Europe, Canada, and Japan.
Core Business Areas: Ultragenyx focuses on three core therapeutic areas:
- Rare metabolic diseases: This includes conditions like glycogen storage disease type Ia, homocystinuria, and mucopolysaccharidosis type VII.
- Neonatal and pediatric diseases: The company develops treatments for conditions like urea cycle disorders and maple syrup urine disease.
- Other rare diseases: This includes areas like Angelman syndrome and congenital adrenal hyperplasia.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure: Ultragenyx is led by an experienced management team with expertise in rare disease drug development and commercialization. The CEO is Emil D. Kakkis, Ph.D., and the company has a Board of Directors with diverse backgrounds in pharmaceuticals, finance, and law.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Crysvita (burosumab): This drug treats X-linked hypophosphatemia (XLH), a rare bone disease. It has a leading market share in the US and is gaining traction in other regions.
- ** Mepsevii (vestronidase alfa):** This enzyme replacement therapy treats MPS VII, a rare lysosomal storage disorder. It holds a significant market share in the MPS VII treatment space.
- ** Dojolvi (dojolisteovir):** This therapy treats progressive familial intrahepatic cholestasis (PFIC), a rare liver disease. It recently received FDA approval and is expected to capture a significant portion of the PFIC market.
Total Addressable Market: The global market for rare disease therapies is estimated to be worth over $200 billion, with the US market accounting for a significant portion. Ultragenyx operates in several niche areas within this market, focusing on conditions with limited treatment options and high unmet medical needs.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: Ultragenyx's revenue has grown steadily over the past few years, reaching $496.1 million in 2022.
- Net Income: The company reported a net loss of $156.6 million in 2022 due to investments in research and development and commercialization efforts.
- Profit Margins: Gross profit margin was 87.1% in 2022, indicating strong product profitability.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS was -$0.99 in 2022.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividends: Ultragenyx does not currently pay dividends, as it reinvests its profits into growth initiatives.
- Shareholder Returns: The company's stock has performed well in recent years, with a total shareholder return of over 100% in the past year.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Ultragenyx has experienced significant revenue growth over the past few years, driven by the launch of new products and market expansion.
- Future Growth Projections: The company expects continued strong growth in the coming years, fueled by the commercialization of Dojolvi and other pipeline candidates.
Market Dynamics: The rare disease market is characterized by high unmet medical needs, limited competition, and premium pricing. Ultragenyx is well-positioned in this market due to its focus on innovative therapies and strong execution capabilities.
Competitors:
- BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN): A leading player in rare disease therapies, with products for conditions like PKU and MPS I.
- Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS): Develops antisense oligonucleotide therapies for rare diseases, including spinal muscular atrophy and Huntington's disease.
- PTC Therapeutics (PTCT): Focuses on developing treatments for rare neuromuscular and genetic disorders.
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong pipeline: Ultragenyx has a robust pipeline of potential therapies for various rare diseases.
- Experienced management team: The company has a proven track record of successfully developing and commercializing rare disease treatments.
- Favorable market dynamics: The rare disease market is growing rapidly, providing significant opportunities for growth.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition: The rare disease market is becoming increasingly competitive, with several companies vying for market share.
- Regulatory hurdles: Obtaining regulatory approval for new rare disease therapies can be complex and time-consuming.
- Pricing pressures: Payers are increasingly scrutinizing the high cost of rare disease treatments.
Opportunities:
- Expanding product portfolio: Ultragenyx has several promising pipeline candidates that could drive future growth.
- Entering new markets: The company has opportunities to expand its reach into new geographic markets.
- Partnerships: Strategic partnerships with other companies could help accelerate development and commercialization efforts.
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2022:
- Rateb Therapeutics: Acquired for $110 million to gain access to its gene therapy platform for the treatment of rare metabolic disorders.
- 2021:
- Pentraxin Therapeutics: Acquired for $350 million to gain access to its novel therapies for complement-mediated diseases.
- 2020:
- Poseida Therapeutics: Acquired for $125 million to gain access to its non-viral gene therapy platform for the treatment of rare diseases.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis, Ultragenyx receives a rating of 7 out of 10. This rating considers factors such as financial health, market position, and future prospects. The company demonstrates strong revenue growth, a robust pipeline, and favorable market dynamics. However, it faces challenges from competition and regulatory hurdles.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Ultragenyx website: https://www.ultragenyx.com/
- SEC filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/
- Market research reports: https://www.statista.com/
Disclaimer:
This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ultragenyx
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Novato, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2014-01-31 | Founder, President, CEO & Director | Dr. Emil D. Kakkis M.D., Ph.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.ultragenyx.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 1276 |
Headquaters | Novato, CA, United States | ||
Founder, President, CEO & Director | Dr. Emil D. Kakkis M.D., Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://www.ultragenyx.com | ||
Website | https://www.ultragenyx.com | ||
Full time employees | 1276 |
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the identification, acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases in North America, Latin America, Japan, Europe, and internationally. Its biologic products include Crysvita (burosumab), an antibody targeting fibroblast growth factor 23 for the treatment of X-linked hypophosphatemia, as well as tumor-induced osteomalacia; Mepsevii, an enzyme replacement therapy for the treatment of children and adults with Mucopolysaccharidosis VII; Dojolvi for treating long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders; and Evkeeza (evinacumab) for the treatment of homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia. The company's products candidatures include DTX401, an adeno-associated virus 8 (AAV8) gene therapy clinical candidate for the treatment of patients with glycogen storage disease type Ia; DTX301, an AAV8 gene therapy for the treatment of patients with ornithine transcarbamylase; UX143, a human monoclonal antibody for the treatment of osteogenesis imperfecta; GTX-102, an antisense oligonucleotide for the treatment of Angelman syndrome; UX111, an AAV9 gene therapy product candidate for the treatment of patients with Sanfilippo syndrome type A, or MPS IIIA, a rare lysosomal storage disease; UX701, for the treatment of Wilson disease; and UX053 for the treatment of glycogen storage disease type III. Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. has collaboration and license agreement with Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd.; Saint Louis University; Baylor Research Institute; REGENXBIO Inc.; Bayer Healthcare LLC; GeneTx; Mereo; University of Pennsylvania; Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.; Solid Biosciences Inc.; Regeneron; Abeona; and Daiichi Sankyo Co., Ltd. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, California.
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