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Ultragenyx (RARE)RARE

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Ultragenyx
$57.7
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY29.78%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 47 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: RARE (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: -3.88%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3
Avg. Invested days: 34
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: -3.88%
Avg. Invested days: 34
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.32B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 89.8
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -7.21
Volume (30-day avg) 645335
Beta 0.57
52 Weeks Range 31.52 - 60.37
Updated Date 09/19/2024
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.32B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 89.8
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -7.21
Volume (30-day avg) 645335
Beta 0.57
52 Weeks Range 31.52 - 60.37
Updated Date 09/19/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -121.57%
Operating Margin (TTM) -79.14%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -23.42%
Return on Equity (TTM) -208.43%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 4591568463
Price to Sales(TTM) 11.05
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.46
Shares Outstanding 92165200
Shares Floating 88850835
Percent Insiders 3.66
Percent Institutions 99.11
Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 4591568463
Price to Sales(TTM) 11.05
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.46
Shares Outstanding 92165200
Shares Floating 88850835
Percent Insiders 3.66
Percent Institutions 99.11

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.65
Target Price 90.56
Buy 7
Strong Buy 13
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4.65
Target Price 90.56
Buy 7
Strong Buy 13
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Ultragenyx (NASDAQ: RARE): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

History and Background:

  • Founded in 2010, Ultragenyx is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing novel therapies for serious rare and ultra-rare diseases.
  • The company focuses on diseases with limited treatment options or where the existing therapies are inadequate.
  • Ultragenyx has a robust pipeline of product candidates across various stages of development, targeting unmet medical needs in areas like metabolic disorders, neuromuscular diseases, and bone disorders.

Core Business Areas:

  • Product Development: Ultragenyx's primary focus is developing and commercializing therapies for rare and ultra-rare diseases.
  • Commercialization: The company commercializes its approved products through its own sales and marketing team in the US and through partnerships with other companies in international markets.
  • Research and Development: Ultragenyx maintains a strong commitment to research and development, continuously exploring new therapeutic approaches and expanding its pipeline.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • Emile D. Kakkis, Ph.D.: President and Chief Executive Officer
  • Michael Wyzga: Chief Financial Officer
  • Daniel Skovronsky, M.D., Ph.D.: Chief Medical Officer
  • Eliseo Salinas: Chief Commercial Officer
  • Board of Directors: Comprised of experienced professionals with expertise in pharmaceuticals, finance, and business development.

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products:

  • Kymriah (tisagenlecleucel): CAR-T cell therapy for the treatment of B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) in pediatric and young adult patients.
  • Megalith (mecasermin rinfabate): Treatment for severe primaryIGF-1 deficiency.
  • Crysvita (burosumab): Treatment for X-linked hypophosphatemia (XLH).

Market Share:

  • Due to the rarity of the diseases Ultragenyx targets, it's difficult to provide an accurate market share figure. However, the company holds a dominant position in the treatment of certain ultra-rare diseases, such as XLH.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

  • The global market for rare diseases is estimated to be worth over $200 billion, with the US market accounting for a significant portion of this. Ultragenyx's TAM is a subset of this, focusing on the specific ultra-rare diseases it targets.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Highlights:

  • Revenue in 2022: $458.3 million
  • Net income in 2022: $121.8 million
  • Gross margin in 2022: 93.7%
  • Operating expenses in 2022: $359.2 million
  • Cash and cash equivalents as of December 31, 2022: $450.8 million

Year-over-Year Growth:

  • Revenue growth in 2022: 30%
  • Net income growth in 2022: 143%
  • Gross margin growth in 2022: 14 percentage points

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:

  • Strong cash flow from operations supports ongoing R&D investments and potential future acquisitions.
  • The balance sheet shows a healthy cash position and manageable debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History:

  • Ultragenyx does not currently pay dividends, choosing to reinvest profits into further growth and development.

Shareholder Returns:

  • The stock has delivered impressive returns to shareholders in recent years, with a
  • 5-year return of over 400% and a 1-year return of over 100%.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth:

  • Ultragenyx has experienced strong revenue and earnings growth over the past few years, driven by the successful commercialization of its first product, Crysvita.

Future Growth Projections:

  • Analysts project continued strong growth for the company, with revenue expected to reach over $1 billion by 2025.
  • This growth is expected to be fueled by the launch of new products and the expansion of existing product indications.

Growth Initiatives:

  • Ultragenyx is actively pursuing growth initiatives through:
    • Expanding its product portfolio through internal development and acquisitions.
    • Building a global commercial infrastructure.
    • Investing in research and development to identify new therapeutic targets.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview:

  • The rare disease market is characterized by high unmet medical needs, driving significant research and development activity.
  • Technological advancements, such as gene therapy and next-generation sequencing, are transforming the treatment landscape.

Ultragenyx's Positioning:

  • The company is well-positioned in the rare disease market due to its:
    • Strong focus on ultra-rare diseases with limited competition.
    • Innovative pipeline of product candidates targeting significant unmet needs.
    • Proven commercialization capabilities.

Competitive Landscape

Key Competitors:

  • Alexion Pharmaceuticals (ALXN)
  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN)
  • Horizon Therapeutics (HZNP)
  • Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)

Competitive Advantages:

  • Ultragenyx's focus on ultra-rare diseases provides a competitive advantage, as it faces less competition in these areas.
  • The company's strong R&D capabilities and innovative pipeline differentiate it from competitors.
  • Ultragenyx's established commercial infrastructure in the US gives it a head start in marketing its products.

Challenges and Opportunities

Key Challenges:

  • Obtaining regulatory approval for new product candidates.
  • Managing the high costs of developing and commercializing rare disease therapies.
  • Maintaining a strong R&D pipeline in a competitive landscape.

Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new geographic markets.
  • Leveraging partnerships to accelerate development and commercialization.
  • Pursuing strategic acquisitions to broaden the product portfolio.

Recent Acquisitions

  • 2023: Completion of the acquisition of Dimension Therapeutics, adding DTX401 to its pipeline, a promising gene therapy for Duchenne muscular dystrophy.
  • 2022: Acquisition of ProMetic Biosciences, expanding its portfolio with a rare inborn error of metabolism treatment.
  • 2021: In-licensing of GTX-102 from GeneTx, a novel gene therapy for the treatment of glycogen storage disease type Ia.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Based on an AI-powered analysis of Ultragenyx's financial performance, market position, and growth prospects, the company receives a rating of 8 out of 10.

Justification:

  • Strong financial performance with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
  • Leading position in the ultra-rare disease market with a differentiated product portfolio.
  • Robust R&D pipeline with the potential to drive future growth.
  • Experienced management team with a proven track record.

Sources and Disclaimers

  • Information presented in this report is based on publicly available data from Ultragenyx's financial statements, company press releases, and industry reports.
  • This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
  • We recommend conducting independent research and consulting with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Ultragenyx

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Novato, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-01-31 Founder, President, CEO & Director Dr. Emil D. Kakkis M.D., Ph.D.
Sector Healthcare Website https://www.ultragenyx.com
Industry Biotechnology Full time employees 1276
Headquaters Novato, CA, United States
Founder, President, CEO & Director Dr. Emil D. Kakkis M.D., Ph.D.
Website https://www.ultragenyx.com
Website https://www.ultragenyx.com
Full time employees 1276

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the identification, acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases in North America, Latin America, Japan, Europe, and internationally. Its biologic products include Crysvita (burosumab), an antibody targeting fibroblast growth factor 23 for the treatment of X-linked hypophosphatemia, as well as tumor-induced osteomalacia; Mepsevii, an enzyme replacement therapy for the treatment of children and adults with Mucopolysaccharidosis VII; Dojolvi for treating long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders; and Evkeeza (evinacumab) for the treatment of homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia. The company's products candidatures include DTX401, an adeno-associated virus 8 (AAV8) gene therapy clinical candidate for the treatment of patients with glycogen storage disease type Ia; DTX301, an AAV8 gene therapy for the treatment of patients with ornithine transcarbamylase; UX143, a human monoclonal antibody for the treatment of osteogenesis imperfecta; GTX-102, an antisense oligonucleotide for the treatment of Angelman syndrome; UX111, an AAV9 gene therapy product candidate for the treatment of patients with Sanfilippo syndrome type A, or MPS IIIA, a rare lysosomal storage disease; UX701, for the treatment of Wilson disease; and UX053 for the treatment of glycogen storage disease type III. Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. has collaboration and license agreement with Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd.; Saint Louis University; Baylor Research Institute; REGENXBIO Inc.; Bayer Healthcare LLC; GeneTx; Mereo; University of Pennsylvania; Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.; Solid Biosciences Inc.; Regeneron; Abeona; and Daiichi Sankyo Co., Ltd. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, California.

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