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Ultragenyx (RARE)RARE
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: RARE (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -3.88% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -3.88% | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.32B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 89.8 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -7.21 |
Volume (30-day avg) 645335 | Beta 0.57 |
52 Weeks Range 31.52 - 60.37 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.32B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 89.8 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -7.21 | Volume (30-day avg) 645335 | Beta 0.57 |
52 Weeks Range 31.52 - 60.37 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -121.57% | Operating Margin (TTM) -79.14% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -23.42% | Return on Equity (TTM) -208.43% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 4591568463 | Price to Sales(TTM) 11.05 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.54 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.46 |
Shares Outstanding 92165200 | Shares Floating 88850835 |
Percent Insiders 3.66 | Percent Institutions 99.11 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 4591568463 | Price to Sales(TTM) 11.05 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.54 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.46 | Shares Outstanding 92165200 | Shares Floating 88850835 |
Percent Insiders 3.66 | Percent Institutions 99.11 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.65 | Target Price 90.56 | Buy 7 |
Strong Buy 13 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.65 | Target Price 90.56 | Buy 7 | Strong Buy 13 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Ultragenyx (NASDAQ: RARE): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
- Founded in 2010, Ultragenyx is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing novel therapies for serious rare and ultra-rare diseases.
- The company focuses on diseases with limited treatment options or where the existing therapies are inadequate.
- Ultragenyx has a robust pipeline of product candidates across various stages of development, targeting unmet medical needs in areas like metabolic disorders, neuromuscular diseases, and bone disorders.
Core Business Areas:
- Product Development: Ultragenyx's primary focus is developing and commercializing therapies for rare and ultra-rare diseases.
- Commercialization: The company commercializes its approved products through its own sales and marketing team in the US and through partnerships with other companies in international markets.
- Research and Development: Ultragenyx maintains a strong commitment to research and development, continuously exploring new therapeutic approaches and expanding its pipeline.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Emile D. Kakkis, Ph.D.: President and Chief Executive Officer
- Michael Wyzga: Chief Financial Officer
- Daniel Skovronsky, M.D., Ph.D.: Chief Medical Officer
- Eliseo Salinas: Chief Commercial Officer
- Board of Directors: Comprised of experienced professionals with expertise in pharmaceuticals, finance, and business development.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Kymriah (tisagenlecleucel): CAR-T cell therapy for the treatment of B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) in pediatric and young adult patients.
- Megalith (mecasermin rinfabate): Treatment for severe primaryIGF-1 deficiency.
- Crysvita (burosumab): Treatment for X-linked hypophosphatemia (XLH).
Market Share:
- Due to the rarity of the diseases Ultragenyx targets, it's difficult to provide an accurate market share figure. However, the company holds a dominant position in the treatment of certain ultra-rare diseases, such as XLH.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
- The global market for rare diseases is estimated to be worth over $200 billion, with the US market accounting for a significant portion of this. Ultragenyx's TAM is a subset of this, focusing on the specific ultra-rare diseases it targets.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Highlights:
- Revenue in 2022: $458.3 million
- Net income in 2022: $121.8 million
- Gross margin in 2022: 93.7%
- Operating expenses in 2022: $359.2 million
- Cash and cash equivalents as of December 31, 2022: $450.8 million
Year-over-Year Growth:
- Revenue growth in 2022: 30%
- Net income growth in 2022: 143%
- Gross margin growth in 2022: 14 percentage points
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
- Strong cash flow from operations supports ongoing R&D investments and potential future acquisitions.
- The balance sheet shows a healthy cash position and manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
- Ultragenyx does not currently pay dividends, choosing to reinvest profits into further growth and development.
Shareholder Returns:
- The stock has delivered impressive returns to shareholders in recent years, with a
- 5-year return of over 400% and a 1-year return of over 100%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
- Ultragenyx has experienced strong revenue and earnings growth over the past few years, driven by the successful commercialization of its first product, Crysvita.
Future Growth Projections:
- Analysts project continued strong growth for the company, with revenue expected to reach over $1 billion by 2025.
- This growth is expected to be fueled by the launch of new products and the expansion of existing product indications.
Growth Initiatives:
- Ultragenyx is actively pursuing growth initiatives through:
- Expanding its product portfolio through internal development and acquisitions.
- Building a global commercial infrastructure.
- Investing in research and development to identify new therapeutic targets.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
- The rare disease market is characterized by high unmet medical needs, driving significant research and development activity.
- Technological advancements, such as gene therapy and next-generation sequencing, are transforming the treatment landscape.
Ultragenyx's Positioning:
- The company is well-positioned in the rare disease market due to its:
- Strong focus on ultra-rare diseases with limited competition.
- Innovative pipeline of product candidates targeting significant unmet needs.
- Proven commercialization capabilities.
Competitive Landscape
Key Competitors:
- Alexion Pharmaceuticals (ALXN)
- BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN)
- Horizon Therapeutics (HZNP)
- Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)
Competitive Advantages:
- Ultragenyx's focus on ultra-rare diseases provides a competitive advantage, as it faces less competition in these areas.
- The company's strong R&D capabilities and innovative pipeline differentiate it from competitors.
- Ultragenyx's established commercial infrastructure in the US gives it a head start in marketing its products.
Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Obtaining regulatory approval for new product candidates.
- Managing the high costs of developing and commercializing rare disease therapies.
- Maintaining a strong R&D pipeline in a competitive landscape.
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new geographic markets.
- Leveraging partnerships to accelerate development and commercialization.
- Pursuing strategic acquisitions to broaden the product portfolio.
Recent Acquisitions
- 2023: Completion of the acquisition of Dimension Therapeutics, adding DTX401 to its pipeline, a promising gene therapy for Duchenne muscular dystrophy.
- 2022: Acquisition of ProMetic Biosciences, expanding its portfolio with a rare inborn error of metabolism treatment.
- 2021: In-licensing of GTX-102 from GeneTx, a novel gene therapy for the treatment of glycogen storage disease type Ia.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an AI-powered analysis of Ultragenyx's financial performance, market position, and growth prospects, the company receives a rating of 8 out of 10.
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
- Leading position in the ultra-rare disease market with a differentiated product portfolio.
- Robust R&D pipeline with the potential to drive future growth.
- Experienced management team with a proven track record.
Sources and Disclaimers
- Information presented in this report is based on publicly available data from Ultragenyx's financial statements, company press releases, and industry reports.
- This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
- We recommend conducting independent research and consulting with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ultragenyx
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Novato, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2014-01-31 | Founder, President, CEO & Director | Dr. Emil D. Kakkis M.D., Ph.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.ultragenyx.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 1276 |
Headquaters | Novato, CA, United States | ||
Founder, President, CEO & Director | Dr. Emil D. Kakkis M.D., Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://www.ultragenyx.com | ||
Website | https://www.ultragenyx.com | ||
Full time employees | 1276 |
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the identification, acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases in North America, Latin America, Japan, Europe, and internationally. Its biologic products include Crysvita (burosumab), an antibody targeting fibroblast growth factor 23 for the treatment of X-linked hypophosphatemia, as well as tumor-induced osteomalacia; Mepsevii, an enzyme replacement therapy for the treatment of children and adults with Mucopolysaccharidosis VII; Dojolvi for treating long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders; and Evkeeza (evinacumab) for the treatment of homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia. The company's products candidatures include DTX401, an adeno-associated virus 8 (AAV8) gene therapy clinical candidate for the treatment of patients with glycogen storage disease type Ia; DTX301, an AAV8 gene therapy for the treatment of patients with ornithine transcarbamylase; UX143, a human monoclonal antibody for the treatment of osteogenesis imperfecta; GTX-102, an antisense oligonucleotide for the treatment of Angelman syndrome; UX111, an AAV9 gene therapy product candidate for the treatment of patients with Sanfilippo syndrome type A, or MPS IIIA, a rare lysosomal storage disease; UX701, for the treatment of Wilson disease; and UX053 for the treatment of glycogen storage disease type III. Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. has collaboration and license agreement with Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd.; Saint Louis University; Baylor Research Institute; REGENXBIO Inc.; Bayer Healthcare LLC; GeneTx; Mereo; University of Pennsylvania; Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.; Solid Biosciences Inc.; Regeneron; Abeona; and Daiichi Sankyo Co., Ltd. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, California.
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