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Ultragenyx (RARE)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Ultragenyx
$43.75
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

12/24/2024: RARE (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -12.66%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3
Avg. Invested days: 36
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 12/24/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -12.66%
Avg. Invested days: 36
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/24/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.04B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 92.95
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -6.35
Volume (30-day avg) 744697
Beta 0.58
52 Weeks Range 37.02 - 60.37
Updated Date 12/25/2024
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.04B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 92.95
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -6.35
Volume (30-day avg) 744697
Beta 0.58
52 Weeks Range 37.02 - 60.37
Updated Date 12/25/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -106.93%
Operating Margin (TTM) -94.62%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -24.12%
Return on Equity (TTM) -289.98%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 3452534725
Price to Sales(TTM) 7.73
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.6
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.46
Shares Outstanding 92344304
Shares Floating 89013412
Percent Insiders 3.62
Percent Institutions 97.44
Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 3452534725
Price to Sales(TTM) 7.73
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.6
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.46
Shares Outstanding 92344304
Shares Floating 89013412
Percent Insiders 3.62
Percent Institutions 97.44

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.57
Target Price 90.56
Buy 7
Strong Buy 13
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4.57
Target Price 90.56
Buy 7
Strong Buy 13
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Ultragenyx: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background: Founded in 2010, Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ: RARE) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing novel therapies for serious rare and ultra-rare metabolic genetic diseases. Headquartered in Novato, California, the company has a global presence with operations in Europe, Canada, and Japan.

Core Business Areas: Ultragenyx focuses on three core therapeutic areas:

  • Rare metabolic diseases: This includes conditions like glycogen storage disease type Ia, homocystinuria, and mucopolysaccharidosis type VII.
  • Neonatal and pediatric diseases: The company develops treatments for conditions like urea cycle disorders and maple syrup urine disease.
  • Other rare diseases: This includes areas like Angelman syndrome and congenital adrenal hyperplasia.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure: Ultragenyx is led by an experienced management team with expertise in rare disease drug development and commercialization. The CEO is Emil D. Kakkis, Ph.D., and the company has a Board of Directors with diverse backgrounds in pharmaceuticals, finance, and law.

Top Products and Market Share:

  • Crysvita (burosumab): This drug treats X-linked hypophosphatemia (XLH), a rare bone disease. It has a leading market share in the US and is gaining traction in other regions.
  • ** Mepsevii (vestronidase alfa):** This enzyme replacement therapy treats MPS VII, a rare lysosomal storage disorder. It holds a significant market share in the MPS VII treatment space.
  • ** Dojolvi (dojolisteovir):** This therapy treats progressive familial intrahepatic cholestasis (PFIC), a rare liver disease. It recently received FDA approval and is expected to capture a significant portion of the PFIC market.

Total Addressable Market: The global market for rare disease therapies is estimated to be worth over $200 billion, with the US market accounting for a significant portion. Ultragenyx operates in several niche areas within this market, focusing on conditions with limited treatment options and high unmet medical needs.

Financial Performance:

  • Revenue: Ultragenyx's revenue has grown steadily over the past few years, reaching $496.1 million in 2022.
  • Net Income: The company reported a net loss of $156.6 million in 2022 due to investments in research and development and commercialization efforts.
  • Profit Margins: Gross profit margin was 87.1% in 2022, indicating strong product profitability.
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS was -$0.99 in 2022.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • Dividends: Ultragenyx does not currently pay dividends, as it reinvests its profits into growth initiatives.
  • Shareholder Returns: The company's stock has performed well in recent years, with a total shareholder return of over 100% in the past year.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Historical Growth: Ultragenyx has experienced significant revenue growth over the past few years, driven by the launch of new products and market expansion.
  • Future Growth Projections: The company expects continued strong growth in the coming years, fueled by the commercialization of Dojolvi and other pipeline candidates.

Market Dynamics: The rare disease market is characterized by high unmet medical needs, limited competition, and premium pricing. Ultragenyx is well-positioned in this market due to its focus on innovative therapies and strong execution capabilities.

Competitors:

  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN): A leading player in rare disease therapies, with products for conditions like PKU and MPS I.
  • Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS): Develops antisense oligonucleotide therapies for rare diseases, including spinal muscular atrophy and Huntington's disease.
  • PTC Therapeutics (PTCT): Focuses on developing treatments for rare neuromuscular and genetic disorders.

Competitive Advantages:

  • Strong pipeline: Ultragenyx has a robust pipeline of potential therapies for various rare diseases.
  • Experienced management team: The company has a proven track record of successfully developing and commercializing rare disease treatments.
  • Favorable market dynamics: The rare disease market is growing rapidly, providing significant opportunities for growth.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Competition: The rare disease market is becoming increasingly competitive, with several companies vying for market share.
  • Regulatory hurdles: Obtaining regulatory approval for new rare disease therapies can be complex and time-consuming.
  • Pricing pressures: Payers are increasingly scrutinizing the high cost of rare disease treatments.

Opportunities:

  • Expanding product portfolio: Ultragenyx has several promising pipeline candidates that could drive future growth.
  • Entering new markets: The company has opportunities to expand its reach into new geographic markets.
  • Partnerships: Strategic partnerships with other companies could help accelerate development and commercialization efforts.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • 2022:
    • Rateb Therapeutics: Acquired for $110 million to gain access to its gene therapy platform for the treatment of rare metabolic disorders.
  • 2021:
    • Pentraxin Therapeutics: Acquired for $350 million to gain access to its novel therapies for complement-mediated diseases.
  • 2020:
    • Poseida Therapeutics: Acquired for $125 million to gain access to its non-viral gene therapy platform for the treatment of rare diseases.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on an AI-based analysis, Ultragenyx receives a rating of 7 out of 10. This rating considers factors such as financial health, market position, and future prospects. The company demonstrates strong revenue growth, a robust pipeline, and favorable market dynamics. However, it faces challenges from competition and regulatory hurdles.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

Disclaimer:

This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Ultragenyx

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Novato, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-01-31 Founder, President, CEO & Director Dr. Emil D. Kakkis M.D., Ph.D.
Sector Healthcare Website https://www.ultragenyx.com
Industry Biotechnology Full time employees 1276
Headquaters Novato, CA, United States
Founder, President, CEO & Director Dr. Emil D. Kakkis M.D., Ph.D.
Website https://www.ultragenyx.com
Website https://www.ultragenyx.com
Full time employees 1276

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the identification, acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases in North America, Latin America, Japan, Europe, and internationally. Its biologic products include Crysvita (burosumab), an antibody targeting fibroblast growth factor 23 for the treatment of X-linked hypophosphatemia, as well as tumor-induced osteomalacia; Mepsevii, an enzyme replacement therapy for the treatment of children and adults with Mucopolysaccharidosis VII; Dojolvi for treating long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders; and Evkeeza (evinacumab) for the treatment of homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia. The company's products candidatures include DTX401, an adeno-associated virus 8 (AAV8) gene therapy clinical candidate for the treatment of patients with glycogen storage disease type Ia; DTX301, an AAV8 gene therapy for the treatment of patients with ornithine transcarbamylase; UX143, a human monoclonal antibody for the treatment of osteogenesis imperfecta; GTX-102, an antisense oligonucleotide for the treatment of Angelman syndrome; UX111, an AAV9 gene therapy product candidate for the treatment of patients with Sanfilippo syndrome type A, or MPS IIIA, a rare lysosomal storage disease; UX701, for the treatment of Wilson disease; and UX053 for the treatment of glycogen storage disease type III. Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. has collaboration and license agreement with Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd.; Saint Louis University; Baylor Research Institute; REGENXBIO Inc.; Bayer Healthcare LLC; GeneTx; Mereo; University of Pennsylvania; Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.; Solid Biosciences Inc.; Regeneron; Abeona; and Daiichi Sankyo Co., Ltd. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, California.

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