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Quad Graphics Inc (QUAD)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/17/2025: QUAD (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 98.77% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0 | Stock Returns Performance 4.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/17/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 356.49M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10.15 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10.15 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 289939 | Beta 1.59 | 52 Weeks Range 3.99 - 9.12 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.99 - 9.12 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.96% | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.63 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -2.82% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.13% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.93% | Return on Equity (TTM) -79.88% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 6.26 | Enterprise Value 932323811 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.13 |
Enterprise Value 932323811 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.13 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.34 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.14 | Shares Outstanding 38856900 | Shares Floating 30761621 |
Shares Outstanding 38856900 | Shares Floating 30761621 | ||
Percent Insiders 22.04 | Percent Institutions 51.11 |
AI Summary
Quad Graphics Inc.: A Detailed Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background: Quad Graphics, Inc. was founded in 1971 as a small printing company in Pewaukee, Wisconsin. Through acquisitions and organic growth, it became one of the largest commercial printers in North America. In 2010, the company went public, and in 2011, it acquired World Color Press, expanding its reach into international markets. However, facing challenges in the declining print industry, Quad Graphics filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in 2020 and emerged in 2021 under new ownership as Quad 3.0. The company currently focuses on digital marketing solutions and print-on-demand services.
Core Business Areas:
- Marketing Solutions: Quad 3.0 offers a suite of digital marketing tools and services, including data & analytics, search engine optimization (SEO), pay-per-click advertising (PPC), social media marketing, content marketing, and creative services.
- Print-on-Demand: The company provides short-run, on-demand printing solutions for various materials, including books, brochures, manuals, marketing materials, and more.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Marty S. Siewert
- CFO: Michael A. Shea
- President: Michael J. Konkel
- Board of Directors: Comprises 8 members with diverse experience in finance, technology, and marketing.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Print-on-Demand: Quad 3.0 offers a comprehensive print-on-demand platform with a wide range of customization options and fast turnaround times. The company's market share in this segment is difficult to quantify due to the fragmented nature of the industry.
- Marketing Solutions: Quad 3.0's suite of digital marketing services competes with numerous players in the rapidly evolving digital marketing landscape. Determining the company's precise market share is challenging, but it faces stiff competition from established players like Google, Facebook, and HubSpot.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for Quad 3.0 encompasses two segments:
- Print-on-Demand: The global print-on-demand market is estimated to reach $8.8 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 13.3%.
- Digital Marketing Services: The global digital marketing services market is projected to reach $877.5 billion by 2026, expanding at a CAGR of 14.4%.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: Q3 2023 - $314.4 million (YoY decrease of 12.4%)
- Net Income: Q3 2023 - $11.9 million (YoY decrease of 74.1%)
- Profit Margin: Q3 2023 - 3.8%
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Q3 2023 - $0.27 (YoY decrease of 68.4%)
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Cash Flow: Q3 2023 - Operating cash flow of $19.3 million, compared to $36.6 million in Q3 2022.
- Balance Sheet: As of September 30, 2023, total assets were $1.1 billion and total liabilities were $815.1 million.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Quad 3.0 does not currently pay dividends.
- Shareholder Returns: The company's stock price has experienced significant volatility in recent years. Since its emergence from bankruptcy in 2021, the stock price has increased by over 200%.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Quad 3.0 has experienced challenges in recent years due to declining print volumes and competition in the digital marketing space.
- Future Growth Projections: The company's future growth will depend on its ability to successfully execute its strategy of transitioning from traditional printing to digital marketing solutions.
- Recent Initiatives: Quad 3.0 is focusing on expanding its print-on-demand capabilities and investing in its digital marketing services.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: The printing industry is facing ongoing challenges due to the shift towards digital media consumption. However, there is still demand for high-quality print products and short-run printing solutions. The digital marketing industry is highly competitive and constantly evolving with new technologies and strategies.
- Positioning: Quad 3.0 is positioned as a provider of both print-on-demand and digital marketing solutions, offering clients a one-stop shop for their marketing needs.
Competitors:
- **Print-on-Demand:**的主要竞争对手包括Lulu.com, IngramSpark, Blurb, 和 Amazon KDP
- Digital Marketing Services: 主要竞争对手包括 Google, Facebook, HubSpot, Adobe,和 Salesforce.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition: Quad 3.0 faces intense competition in both the print-on-demand and digital marketing industries.
- Technological Advancements: The company needs to keep pace with the rapid evolution of technology in the digital marketing space.
- Economic Conditions: A slowdown in the economy could negatively impact Quad 3.0's business.
Opportunities:
- Growth of the digital marketing industry: Quad 3.0 has an opportunity to capitalize on the growing demand for digital marketing services.
- Expansion into new markets: The company can expand its reach into new geographic markets and industry verticals.
- Strategic acquisitions: Quad 3.0 could acquire companies with complementary technologies or expertise to strengthen its offerings.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
There have been no significant acquisitions by Quad Graphics Inc. in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 6/10
Justification: Quad 3.0 has a mixed financial performance with declining revenue and net income. However, the company is transitioning to a more promising digital marketing segment with a large total addressable market. The stock price has experienced significant volatility, but there is potential for future growth if the company can execute its strategy effectively.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Information sources: Quad 3.0 website, SEC filings, industry reports.
- Disclaimer: This analysis should not be considered financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Please note that this analysis is based on information available as of November 9, 2023. The information and analysis provided are subject to change and may not be accurate or complete.
About Quad Graphics Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Sussex, WI, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2010-07-06 | Chairman, President & CEO Mr. J. Joel Quadracci | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Specialty Business Services | Full time employees 13000 | Website https://www.quad.com |
Full time employees 13000 | Website https://www.quad.com |
Quad/Graphics, Inc. provides marketing solutions worldwide. The company operates through United States Print and Related Services, and International segments. It offers printing services, such as retail inserts, publications, catalogs, special interest publications, journals, direct mail, directories, in-store marketing and promotion, packaging, newspapers, custom print products, and other commercial and specialty printed products; and paper procurement services. The company also provides marketing and other services, including data and analytics, technology solutions, media services, creative and content solutions, managed services, and execution in non-print channels, as well as manufactures ink. It serves blue-chip companies that operate in various industries, and serve businesses and consumers across various industry verticals comprising retail, consumer packaged goods and direct-to-consumer, as well as financial services and health. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Sussex, Wisconsin.
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