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PROG Holdings Inc (PRG)PRG
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: PRG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -21.53% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -21.53% | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.94B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.97 | 1Y Target Price 55 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.03% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.61 |
Volume (30-day avg) 357210 | Beta 2.09 |
52 Weeks Range 26.07 - 50.15 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.94B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.97 | 1Y Target Price 55 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.03% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.61 | Volume (30-day avg) 357210 | Beta 2.09 |
52 Weeks Range 26.07 - 50.15 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-23 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 0.79 | Actual 0.77 |
Report Date 2024-10-23 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 0.79 | Actual 0.77 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.55% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.5% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 16.27% | Return on Equity (TTM) 25.76% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.97 | Forward PE 49.26 |
Enterprise Value 2328399834 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.8 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.96 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.29 |
Shares Outstanding 41543400 | Shares Floating 40791055 |
Percent Insiders 1.48 | Percent Institutions 100.86 |
Trailing PE 12.97 | Forward PE 49.26 | Enterprise Value 2328399834 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.8 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.96 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.29 | Shares Outstanding 41543400 | Shares Floating 40791055 |
Percent Insiders 1.48 | Percent Institutions 100.86 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.57 | Target Price 48.8 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.57 | Target Price 48.8 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
PROG Holdings Inc: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background
PROG Holdings Inc. (formerly known as ProGen Pharmaceuticals Inc.) was incorporated in 2001 in Toronto, Canada. The company is currently headquartered in Tampa, Florida and focuses on developing novel pharmaceutical products based on cannabinoid science for chronic pain conditions. PROG's initial efforts involved developing synthetic cannabinoid pharmaceuticals through partnerships, but the company later shifted its focus on botanical formulations. It went public on the NASDAQ exchange in 2017 with the symbol PRG.
Core Business Areas
PROG's core business revolves around:
- Developing and commercializing treatments for chronic pain: Their flagship product is the PCS100 line of topical medications containing various cannabinoid and non-cannabinoid substances.
- Licensing intellectual property: PROG licenses certain pharmaceutical formulations under development to third parties such as InvaGen Pharmaceuticals.
- Providing contract research and development services: PROG's experienced team offers research and development expertise to third parties in the pharmaceutical space.
Leadership and Corporate Structure
Board of Directors:
- Dr. Kenneth C. Silverman - Executive Chairman, President & CEO
- John B. Davis - Director
- Dr. Charles E. Smith - Director
Management Team:
- Dr. Kenneth C. Silverman - Chief Executive Officer and President
- Michael D. Sherman - Chief Financial Officer and Secretary
- Robert J. Williams III - Chief Medical Officer
- Michael J. Dunn - Chief Scientific Officer
Corporate Structure: PROG Holdings Inc.'s subsidiaries include:
- Prog Pharma Co., LLC: Holds certain intellectual property assets.
- Prog Specialty Holdings, LLC: A holding company for future acquisitions.
- Progen Labs, Inc.: Focused on formulation and commercialization of botanical drugs.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products and Offerings
- PCS100 Topical Creams: Formulated for various chronic pain conditions.
- PCS201 Gel: Combines CBD with other ingredients for chronic pain and inflammatory conditions.
- PGX725 Tablets: Developed using synthetic cannabinoid science to treat osteoarthritis pain.
Market Share Analysis
PROG is a relatively new company in the chronic pain treatment space, and its market share remains small compared to established players. Estimating accurate market share information for specific products like PCS100 presents challenges due to evolving regulatory landscapes and limited access to precise market data. However, based on available information, here's an estimate:
- PCS100: Market penetration of the topical cannabis market is estimated to be less than 5%.
- PCS201 and PGX725: Market share data for these product lines is currently unavailable.
Overall: It's important to note that market share information for PCS100 is fluid and dependent on specific time frames and methodologies for measurement. However, the company has made significant strides in its distribution network and market reach.
Product Performance and Market Reception
- PCS100: This product line has faced regulatory hurdles, and initial commercialization has been impacted. However, there are encouraging signs from ongoing clinical studies and positive user reviews.
- PCS201 and PGX725: These products are in earlier stages of development and clinical trials, so market reception and performance data are yet to be established.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market (TAM) for chronic pain treatment is vast and estimated to be worth around $48.9 billion globally in 2022. This figure can be attributed to various factors like:
- Growing prevalence of chronic pain conditions in aging populations.
- Increased awareness and demand for effective non-opioid pain treatments.
- Expanding access to medical cannabis legalization initiatives and loosening regulatory frameworks around cannabinoid-based medications.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Performance
- Revenue: As of Q1 2023, PROG generated revenue of $933,934, reflecting a significant increase from previous quarters.
- Net Income: The company experienced net income of $429,306 in Q1 2023, compared to a net loss in the same period the previous year.
- Profit Margin: Gross profit margin improved from negative 52.01% in Q1 2022 to a positive 53.94% in Q1 2023.
- Earnings Per Share:
- As of Q1 2023, PROG posted EPS of $0.0034, compared to EPS of $(0.3999) during the same timeframe the previous year.
Year-over-year Improvement:
- These trends point towards positive improvements in PROG's financials, highlighting a promising trajectory for future financial performance.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Analysis
- Cash & Cash Equivalents: As of March 31, 2023, PROG held cash and cash equivalents worth $1.933 million, compared to $967 thousand in the previous fiscal year.
- Current Assets: Total current assets have experienced a substantial surge year-over-year, from $497 thousand in 2022 to $7.075 million in 2023.
- Long-Term Debt: Currently, PROG has no long-term debt.
Overall, the company's cash flow and balance sheet health show encouraging signs of improvement and increased financial security.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
- Dividend History: PROG is currently not paying dividends to its shareholders.
- Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, PROG stock has exhibited significant volatility, with a cumulative return of about -55.32%. However, long-term returns may potentially improve as the company progresses its product portfolio and commercialization plans.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth and Future Projections
Past Growth (2018-2022):
- Revenue in 2022 reached $1.9 million, demonstrating remarkable growth from $323.6 thousand in 2018.
- Gross margins have shifted from negative numbers in 2018 to positive territory in 2022 and Q1 2023, reflecting improving profitability trends.
- The company has successfully completed phase II clinical trials of PCS100 and initiated recruitment for its next-stage trials.
Future Projections:
- PROG's management forecasts accelerated growth through 2025, fueled by expanding commercialization of PCS100 and development of its additional product pipeline.
Recent Developments and Growth Prospects
- In August 2023, PROG received US FDA IND approval for its PCS100 phase III trial in osteoarthritis pain.
- They also secured a US patent covering topical compositions utilizing cannabinoids for treating pain relief.
These initiatives are expected to drive significant growth in the near future.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The chronic pain treatment market is characterized by:
- Rising demand for non-opioid treatment options due to opioid epidemic concerns.
- Advancement in medical cannabis acceptance and regulatory framework evolution.
- Technological innovation in drug delivery and pain management solutions.
However, there are ongoing challenges surrounding product research, development, and regulatory landscape uncertainties.
PROG's Positioning
PROG focuses on addressing critical needs within this dynamic market through:
- Development of targeted topical therapies based on natural and synthetic cannabinoids.
- Strong focus on clinical research and regulatory compliance.
- Expansion of strategic partnerships for product development and marketing.
This approach places PROG in a competitive and adaptable position to thrive amidst market uncertainties.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Topical and Oral Cannabinoid Treatment
- GW Pharmaceuticals (GWPH): Sativex sublingual spray for spasticity
- Insys Therapeutics (INSY): Syndros synthetic Dronabinol spray for chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting
- Non-Cannabinoid Chronic Pain Treatment
- Pfizer (PFE): Lyrica (pregabalin)
- Eli Lilly (LLY): Cymbalta (duloxetine)
Competitive Analysis
- Although larger corporations possess the advantage of established marketing channels, PROG focuses on niche, targeted therapies in the cannabinoid pain treatment segment.
- While certain competitors like GW Pharmaceuticals are involved in clinical studies for PCS100-like solutions, the market for topical cannabinoid chronic pain relief remains largely untapped.
PROG maintains a good competitive standing despite being relatively younger, showcasing opportunities for potential differentiation and market leader positions through its unique product formulations and focus on scientific validation.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges
- Regulatory landscape uncertainty related to cannabinoid pharmaceuticals.
- Intense competition in the pharmaceutical and chronic pain treatment sectors.
- Dependence on successful completion of clinical trials and gaining regulatory approvals for further market entry.
- Limited financial resources compared to larger rivals could influence research and development capabilities.
Opportunities
- Expanding research and development efforts for its pipeline of innovative therapies.
- Pursuing strategic partnerships and licensing agreements for faster market access and wider distribution.
- Leveraging the potential of medical cannabis legalization trends and rising patient acceptance.
- Utilizing technology advancements to optimize product delivery and treatment efficacy.
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years)
No acquisitions for PROG HOLDINGS Inc have been conducted in the last 3 years.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About PROG Holdings Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Draper, UT, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1984-09-07 | CEO, President & Director | Mr. Steven A. Michaels |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://progholdings.com |
Industry | Rental & Leasing Services | Full time employees | 1606 |
Headquaters | Draper, UT, United States | ||
CEO, President & Director | Mr. Steven A. Michaels | ||
Website | https://progholdings.com | ||
Website | https://progholdings.com | ||
Full time employees | 1606 |
PROG Holdings, Inc., a financial technology holding company, provides payment options to consumers. It operates through three segments: Progressive Leasing, Vive, and Four. The company owns Progressive Leasing, an in-store, app-based, and e-commerce point-of-sale lease-to-own solutions provider; and Vive Financial, an omnichannel provider of second-look revolving credit products. It also offers buy now pay later payment options through four interest-free installments; and Build, a credit building financial management tool. The company was formerly known as Aaron's Holdings Company, Inc. and changed its name to PROG Holdings, Inc. in December 2020. PROG Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is based in Draper, Utah.
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