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Porch Group Inc (PRCH)PRCH
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: PRCH (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 57.97% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 57.97% | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 150.69M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.86 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.86 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1056515 | Beta 2.02 |
52 Weeks Range 0.49 - 4.78 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 150.69M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.86 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.86 | Volume (30-day avg) 1056515 | Beta 2.02 |
52 Weeks Range 0.49 - 4.78 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -18.26% | Operating Margin (TTM) -48.56% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -5.35% | Return on Equity (TTM) -15311% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 279077294 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.32 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.59 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -7.28 |
Shares Outstanding 100460000 | Shares Floating 79811486 |
Percent Insiders 19.56 | Percent Institutions 49.23 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 279077294 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.32 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.59 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -7.28 | Shares Outstanding 100460000 | Shares Floating 79811486 |
Percent Insiders 19.56 | Percent Institutions 49.23 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.43 | Target Price 4.28 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 2 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.43 | Target Price 4.28 | Buy - | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Porch Group Inc: A Comprehensive Stock Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background: Porch Group Inc., founded in 2014, is a leading online marketplace connecting homeowners with home improvement professionals in the US. Through its flagship platform Porch.com and other brands, the company facilitates communication, simplifies project management, and offers resources for homeowners to make informed decisions. Porch Group also provides software, data, and marketing solutions to home service companies.
Business Areas:
- Porch.com: This platform connects homeowners with home improvement professionals.
- Modernize: This platform helps connect homeowners with pre-vetted contractors, including financing options.
- Realty.com: This platform offers real estate listings and connects potential homebuyers with agents.
- Insurance.com: This platform assists homeowners in comparing insurance quotes from various carriers.
- HomeownersROI: This arm focuses on data analytics, market research, and insights for the home improvement sector.
Leadership and Structure:
- CEO: Matt Zarracina (President & CEO, Co-Founder)
- President, Modernize: Michael Gerber
- SVP of Product: Anupam Gupta
- Head of Corporate Development: Kyle Foreman
- Head of People: Jennifer Johnson
- Chief Legal Officer: Michelle Klier
Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Porch.com
- Modernize.com
- Roofing.com
Market Share:
- Porch.com: Holds a 4.8% market share of national contractor spend in 2022 (source: Porch Investor Presentation, Q2 2023).
- Modernize.com: Commands a market-leading position within its category.
Performance and Comparison:
Porch's platform is well-received, boasting an A+ rating by the BBB and positive user reviews. However, it faces strong competition from established players like HomeAdvisor and Angi, and newer entrants like Houzz.
Total Addressable Market:
The home improvement industry in the United States represents a massive market opportunity. According to a report by the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, the homeowner improvement and repair market in 2021 was estimated at $352.5 billion. This figure is projected to grow steadily, reaching an expected $514.24 billion in 2025 (Source: The Balance).
Financial Performance:
Financial Analysis
- Revenue has grown significantly in recent years, reaching $112.3M for the last twelve months (ending June 30, 2023), compared to $40.48M for the same period the previous year (Source: Seeking Alpha).
- The company remains unprofitable, reporting a net loss of $22.62M for the last twelve months (Source: Seeking Alpha).
- Gross profit margin for the latest quarter was 40.4% (Source: Yahoo Finance).
- Cash flow statement reveals positive operating cash flows of $2.44M for the latest quarter (Source: Yahoo Finance).
- Balance sheet analysis indicates improving financial health with increasing cash and equivalents of $36.34M (Source: Yahoo Finance).
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividends
- Porch Group currently does not distribute dividends, as they are focused on reinvesting their earnings for growth.
Shareholder Returns
- Over a five-year period, Porch's stock has generated a negative return of around -30.4%, indicating the need for cautious investment.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth
- Strong revenue growth has been observed in recent periods, indicating potential for future expansion.
Future Growth Prospects
- Porch's strategy is centered on increasing homeowner engagement, expanding partnerships, and driving monetization opportunities.
- Acquisitions of complementary businesses like Networx could bolster growth prospects.
Recent Developments
- Launched Porch Pro, a mobile app facilitating communication between pros and homeowners.
- Expanded into the insurance sector with the acquisition of Insurance.com.
Market Dynamics::
The home improvement industry is characterized by:
- Growing demand for renovation and maintenance projects.
- Tech-enabled innovation and online marketplaces are transforming the sector.
- Increased consumer focus on convenience, transparency, and value for money.
- Strong competition within the landscape.
Competitive Analysis:
Key competitors:
- HomeAdvisor (ANGI): Market leader with established brand recognition.
- Angi (ANGI): Offers similar services as Porch, including lead generation and customer reviews.
- Thumbtack (THUMB): Focused on connecting homeowners with skilled trade professionals.
- Houzz (HZ): Provides online platform for design inspiration, home renovation projects, and professional search.
- BuildZoom: Specializes in connecting homeowners with pre-screened and licensed contractors.
Competitive advantages:
- Focus on data and analytics: Provides valuable insights to home service professionals.
- Acquisitions: Strategic acquisitions like Networx enhance service offerings.
- Mobile-first approach: Porch Pro app offers improved communication tools for homeowners and pros.
Competitive disadvantages:
- Relatively new player: Faces established competition with deeper market penetration.
- Lack of profitability: Investors may be concerned by continued financial losses.
- Volatile stock price: Can present challenges for long-term investors.
Challenges & Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition: Intensified competition within the crowded space can impact market share.
- Profitability: Maintaining growth while achieving sustainable profitability is critical for long-term investor confidence.
- Evolving industry landscape: Staying ahead of technological advancements and adapting business models to changing consumer demands is crucial.
Potential Opportunities:
- Growing home improvement market: Leverage expansive market potential and increasing online adoption.
- Data-driven insights: Utilize valuable data assets to attract and retain both homeowner and professional users.
- Strategic partnerships: Collaborate with industry leaders, expand product portfolio, and cross-sell services.**
- International expansion: Explore growth potential in international home improvement markets.**
AI-Based Fundamental Rating: 6.5 out of 10.
This rating reflects the potential of Porch Group's platform, data-driven approach, and market expansion initiatives. However, concerns regarding competition, consistent profitability, and volatile stock performance necessitate caution for potential investors.
Disclaimer::
This information constitutes a general analysis and is not intended as financial advice. Thorough research is crucial before making investment decisions.
Sources:
- Porch Group Investor Relations
- Seeking Alpha
- Yahoo Finance
- Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies
- Porch Company website
- Crunchbase
This report aims to present a comprehensive overview of Porch Group Inc. for informational purposes. The analysis provided should be further validated through personal research, due diligence, and professional consultation before any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Porch Group Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Seattle, WA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2020-01-13 | Founder, Chairman & CEO | Mr. Matthew Ehrlichman |
Sector | Technology | Website | https://porchgroup.com |
Industry | Software - Application | Full time employees | 864 |
Headquaters | Seattle, WA, United States | ||
Founder, Chairman & CEO | Mr. Matthew Ehrlichman | ||
Website | https://porchgroup.com | ||
Website | https://porchgroup.com | ||
Full time employees | 864 |
Porch Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a vertical software and insurance platform in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Vertical Software and Insurance. The Vertical Software segment provides software and services to inspection, mortgage, and title companies on a subscription and transactional basis, as well as move and post-move services. This segment offers inspection software and services, title insurance software, mortgage software, moving services, mover and homeowner marketing, and measurement software for roofers. The Insurance segment offers consumers with insurance and warranty products to protect their homes. This segment provides property-related insurance and captive reinsurance products; and warranty products under the Porch Warranty, American Home Protect, and Residential Warranty Services brands. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
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