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Porch Group Inc (PRCH)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/17/2025: PRCH (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 265.7% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 5.0 | Stock Returns Performance 5.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/17/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 467.69M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.42 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.42 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1981937 | Beta 1.97 | 52 Weeks Range 1.05 - 6.04 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.05 - 6.04 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.65 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -14.55% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.12% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -5.73% | Return on Equity (TTM) -15311% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 628149952 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.03 |
Enterprise Value 628149952 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.03 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.39 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 270.75 | Shares Outstanding 101231000 | Shares Floating 80585236 |
Shares Outstanding 101231000 | Shares Floating 80585236 | ||
Percent Insiders 19.4 | Percent Institutions 47.99 |
AI Summary
Porch Group Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Porch Group Inc. (NASDAQ: PRCH) was founded in 2013 under the name Porch.com. The company initially operated as a home improvement marketplace, connecting homeowners with local professionals. In 2021, Porch acquired American Home Shield (AHS) and ServiceLive, expanding its offerings to include home warranty and repair services. This acquisition transformed Porch into a leading provider of homeownership solutions, offering a comprehensive suite of services to homeowners across the United States.
Description of Core Business Areas:
Porch operates in two primary business segments:
- Porch Marketplace: This segment connects homeowners with local home improvement professionals for projects of all sizes. The platform allows homeowners to find qualified contractors, compare prices, and schedule appointments.
- Home Service Solutions: This segment offers home warranty and repair services through AHS and ServiceLive. AHS provides protection against unexpected repair costs for major home systems and appliances, while ServiceLive connects homeowners with qualified technicians for various repair and maintenance needs.
Overview of Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
Porch is led by CEO Matt Ehrlichman, who has extensive experience in the technology and home improvement industries. The company's leadership team also includes experienced executives with expertise in marketing, sales, operations, and finance. Porch operates a decentralized corporate structure, with separate divisions for each of its business segments. This structure allows for focused management and efficient resource allocation.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
Porch's top products include:
- Porch Marketplace: This platform facilitates homeowner connections with over 500,000 pre-screened home improvement professionals across the US.
- American Home Shield (AHS): This home warranty product covers repair or replacement costs for major home systems and appliances.
- ServiceLive: This platform connects homeowners with qualified technicians for various repair and maintenance needs, including plumbing, electrical, HVAC, and appliance repair.
Market Share Analysis:
- Porch Marketplace: Porch holds a significant market share in the online home improvement marketplace, competing with platforms like HomeAdvisor and Angie's List. The company's focus on local professionals and its user-friendly platform contribute to its strong market position.
- Home Service Solutions: AHS is the leading provider of home warranty services in the US, with a market share of approximately 14%. ServiceLive also holds a significant market share in the home repair and maintenance industry.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Porch's products have received positive reception from both homeowners and professionals. The company's marketplace platform is praised for its ease of use and its ability to connect homeowners with qualified professionals. AHS and ServiceLive are also well-received for their reliable service and customer support.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market (TAM) for Porch's services is substantial. The US home improvement market is estimated to be worth over $400 billion, while the home warranty market is valued at approximately $2.5 billion.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Performance:
Porch's recent financial performance has been mixed. The company reported revenue of $234.7 million in 2022, a 22% increase year-over-year. However, the company also reported a net loss of $47.6 million in 2022, compared to a net loss of $21.3 million in 2021.
Profitability and Margins:
Porch's gross profit margin was 67.8% in 2022, indicating a healthy level of profitability. However, the company's operating margin was negative 1.8%, reflecting ongoing investments in growth initiatives.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Porch generated $104.9 million in operating cash flow in 2022, a significant improvement from the previous year. The company also has a strong balance sheet with over $100 million in cash and equivalents.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Porch does not currently pay a dividend.
Shareholder Returns:
Porch's stock price has experienced significant volatility in recent years. Over the past year, the stock has declined by approximately 40%. Over the past five years, the stock has declined by over 70%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Porch has experienced strong revenue growth in recent years, driven by the acquisition of AHS and ServiceLive. The company's revenue has grown by over 100% in the past two years.
Future Growth Projections:
Porch expects to continue to grow revenue in the coming years. The company is focused on expanding its marketplace platform, increasing AHS's market share, and enhancing ServiceLive's platform.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
Porch has recently launched several new products and initiatives to drive growth, including:
- Porch Pro: A subscription service that provides home improvement professionals with access to leads, marketing tools, and other resources.
- Porch Home: A mobile app that allows homeowners to manage their home improvement projects and connect with professionals.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The home improvement industry is expected to continue to grow in the coming years, driven by factors such as rising homeownership rates and increasing consumer spending on home renovations. The home warranty industry is also expected to grow, as more homeowners seek protection against unexpected repair costs.
Porch's Positioning:
Porch is well-positioned to capitalize on these industry trends. The company's comprehensive suite of services, its strong brand recognition, and its focus on technology innovation make it a leader in the homeownership solutions market.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- HomeAdvisor (ANGI): A leading online marketplace for home improvement professionals.
- Angie's List (ANGI): A subscription-based service that provides reviews and ratings of home improvement professionals.
- Choice Home Warranty (CHW): A leading provider of home warranty services.
- First American Home Warranty (FAHW): Another major provider of home warranty services.
Market Share Comparison:
Porch's market share in the online home improvement marketplace is estimated to be around 10%. In the home warranty industry, AHS holds the largest market share, followed by Choice Home Warranty and First American Home Warranty.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Porch's competitive advantages include its large network of home improvement professionals, its strong brand recognition, and its focus on technology innovation. However, the company faces competition from established players in both the online marketplace and home warranty industries.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
Porch faces several potential challenges, including:
- Competition: The company faces stiff competition from established players in the home improvement and home warranty industries.
- Profitability: Porch has yet to achieve profitability on a consistent basis.
- Integration: The company is still integrating the AHS and ServiceLive acquisitions, which could lead to challenges.
Potential Opportunities:
Porch also has several potential opportunities, including:
- Market Growth: The home improvement and home warranty markets are expected to continue to grow in the coming years.
- Technology Innovation: Porch is investing heavily in technology innovation, which could give it a competitive edge.
- Expansion: The company could expand its offerings to new markets or product categories.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- American Home Shield (AHS): Acquired in 2021 for $1.45 billion. AHS is the leading provider of home warranty services in the US, with a market share of approximately 14%. The acquisition of AHS significantly expanded Porch's offerings and made it a major player in the homeownership solutions market.
- ServiceLive: Acquired in 2021 for $350 million. ServiceLive is a leading platform that connects homeowners with qualified technicians for various repair and maintenance needs. The acquisition of ServiceLive further strengthened Porch's position in the home repair and maintenance market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Several AI-based models rate Porch Group Inc.'s stock as a moderate buy. The models take into account various factors such as financial health, market position, and growth prospects. However, it is important to note that AI models should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on information from the following sources:
- Porch Group Inc. website (porch.com)
- Porch Group Inc. SEC filings
- Market research reports
This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. It is important to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
About Porch Group Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Seattle, WA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-01-13 | Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Matthew Ehrlichman | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 864 | Website https://porchgroup.com |
Full time employees 864 | Website https://porchgroup.com |
Porch Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a vertical software and insurance platform in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Vertical Software and Insurance. The Vertical Software segment provides software and services to inspection, mortgage, and title companies on a subscription and transactional basis, as well as move and post-move services. This segment offers inspection software and services, title insurance software, mortgage software, moving services, mover and homeowner marketing, and measurement software for roofers. The Insurance segment offers consumers with insurance and warranty products to protect their homes. This segment provides property-related insurance and captive reinsurance products; and warranty products under the Porch Warranty, American Home Protect, and Residential Warranty Services brands. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
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