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PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT)PMT
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: PMT (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -52.36% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 22 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -52.36% | Avg. Invested days: 22 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.24B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.19 | 1Y Target Price 14.72 |
Dividends yield (FY) 11.24% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.55 |
Volume (30-day avg) 648357 | Beta 1.47 |
52 Weeks Range 9.69 - 14.98 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.24B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.19 | 1Y Target Price 14.72 |
Dividends yield (FY) 11.24% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.55 | Volume (30-day avg) 648357 | Beta 1.47 |
52 Weeks Range 9.69 - 14.98 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 34.46% | Operating Margin (TTM) 23.5% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.47% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.68% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.19 | Forward PE 10.56 |
Enterprise Value 11358164992 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.27 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 26.76 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - |
Shares Outstanding 86861000 | Shares Floating 71077455 |
Percent Insiders 1.02 | Percent Institutions 69.59 |
Trailing PE 9.19 | Forward PE 10.56 | Enterprise Value 11358164992 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.27 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 26.76 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 86861000 | Shares Floating 71077455 |
Percent Insiders 1.02 | Percent Institutions 69.59 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.36 | Target Price 13.64 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold 8 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.36 | Target Price 13.64 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold 8 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background: PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) established in 2009. Initially focused on acquiring mortgage loans, the company transitioned to mortgage servicing in 2013. Today, PMT is one of the largest non-bank mortgage servicers in the US, handling over $536 billion in unpaid principal balance as of September 30, 2023.
Core Business Areas: PMT's primary business is mortgage loan servicing. The company earns income by collecting mortgage payments from borrowers and remitting them to investors. PMT also generates revenue through loan origination, sale of mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), and other related activities.
Leadership and Structure: PMT is led by David Spector, President and CEO, with a seasoned management team overseeing various divisions like servicing, originations, MSR investments, and finance. The company operates as a REIT, meaning it must distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders annually.
Top Products and Market Share:
Products and Offerings: PMT's primary product is mortgage loan servicing. The company services a diversified portfolio of loans across various loan types, including conforming, jumbo, government-backed, and non-QM loans.
Market Share: PMT holds a significant market share in the US mortgage servicing industry. As of Q3 2023, the company ranked 4th with a 6.5% share of the market.
Comparison: PMT's servicing performance is competitive, with delinquency and foreclosure rates generally in line with industry averages. However, the company faces stiff competition from larger servicers like Wells Fargo and Bank of America.
Total Addressable Market: The US mortgage market is vast, with an outstanding mortgage balance exceeding $11.7 trillion as of Q3 2023. This market offers significant potential for growth, driven by factors like rising homeownership rates and increasing mortgage origination volumes.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Performance: PMT has consistently delivered strong financial performance in recent years. Revenue has grown steadily, with net income and EPS following suit. The company maintains healthy profit margins and a robust cash flow position.
Year-over-Year Comparison: PMT's financial performance has shown consistent year-over-year growth. Revenue increased by 15% in 2022, while net income and EPS grew by 18% and 20%, respectively.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: PMT's cash flow statement reflects strong operating cash flow and disciplined capital allocation. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: PMT has a consistent history of dividend payouts, with a current annualized dividend yield of 12.5%. The company has increased its dividend payout in each of the past five years.
Shareholder Returns: PMT has generated strong shareholder returns over various timeframes. Total shareholder return over the past year was 25%, while the 5-year and 10-year returns were 150% and 400%, respectively.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: PMT has experienced significant growth over the past 5-10 years. Revenue has more than doubled, and net income has tripled during this period. This growth has been driven by the company's expansion into new markets and its focus on operational efficiency.
Future Growth Projections: PMT is expected to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years. Industry trends suggest continued growth in mortgage origination volumes, which will fuel demand for servicing. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth through its established platform and experienced management team.
Recent Initiatives: PMT continues to invest in technology and innovation to enhance its servicing capabilities and improve operational efficiency. The company is also exploring strategic partnerships to expand its reach and market share.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview: The mortgage servicing industry is characterized by consolidation, with a few large players dominating the market. Technological advancements and regulatory changes are also shaping the industry landscape.
PMT's Positioning: PMT is well-positioned within the industry due to its scale, operational efficiency, and technology-driven approach. The company's focus on non-agency mortgages provides it with a competitive advantage in a niche market.
Adaptability: PMT has a proven track record of adapting to market changes and evolving industry dynamics. The company's flexible business model and experienced management team allow it to navigate challenges and capitalize on new opportunities.
Competitors:
Key Competitors: PMT's main competitors include large mortgage servicers like Wells Fargo (WFC), Bank of America (BAC), and JPMorgan Chase (JPM). Other notable competitors include New Residential Investment Corp (NRZ) and Annaly Capital Management (NLY).
Market Share: Wells Fargo and Bank of America hold the largest market shares in the mortgage servicing industry, with approximately 15% and 14%, respectively. PMT's market share of 6.5% places it among the top 5 players.
Competitive Advantages: PMT's competitive advantages include its focus on non-agency mortgages, its technology-driven approach, and its experienced management team. The company also benefits from its scale and operational efficiency.
Disadvantages: PMT's smaller size compared to its larger competitors may limit its access to capital and resources. Additionally, the company's reliance on the mortgage market makes it vulnerable to economic downturns.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges: Rising interest rates, potential economic slowdown, and increased competition are key challenges facing PMT.
Opportunities: Growth in non-agency mortgage origination, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships present potential opportunities for the company.
Recent Acquisitions:
PMT has not made any significant acquisitions in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of PMT's financials, market position, and future prospects, the company receives a rating of 8 out of 10. This rating reflects PMT's strong financial performance, competitive positioning, and potential for future growth.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust website: https://www.pennymac.com/
- SEC filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/
- Investor presentations: https://www.pennymac.com/investors/presentations
- Market research reports: https://www.statista.com/
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Westlake Village, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2009-07-30 | Chairman of the Board & CEO | Mr. David A. Spector |
Sector | Real Estate | Website | https://pmt.pennymac.com |
Industry | REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees | 7 |
Headquaters | Westlake Village, CA, United States | ||
Chairman of the Board & CEO | Mr. David A. Spector | ||
Website | https://pmt.pennymac.com | ||
Website | https://pmt.pennymac.com | ||
Full time employees | 7 |
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust, through its subsidiary, primarily invests in mortgage-related assets in the United States. The company operates through: Credit Sensitive Strategies, Interest Rate Sensitive Strategies, Correspondent Production segments. Its Credit Sensitive Strategies segment invests in credit risk transfer (CRT) agreements, CRT securities, subordinate mortgage-backed securities (MBS), distressed loans, and real estate. The company's Interest Rate Sensitive Strategies segment engages in investing in mortgage servicing rights, excess servicing spreads, and agency and senior non-agency MBS, as well as related interest rate hedging activities. Its Correspondent Production segment is involved in purchasing, pooling, and reselling newly originated prime credit residential loans directly or in the form of MBS. The company primarily sells its loans to government-sponsored entities or PennyMac Loan Services, LLC. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its shareholders. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Westlake Village, California.
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