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Kidpik Corp (PIK)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/19/2025: PIK (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -57.5% | Avg. Invested days 19 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.64M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9590 | Beta 3.08 | 52 Weeks Range 0.09 - 6.96 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.09 - 6.96 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.31 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -88.82% | Operating Margin (TTM) -114.58% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -41.14% | Return on Equity (TTM) -480.03% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 4077643 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.46 |
Enterprise Value 4077643 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.46 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.52 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.29 | Shares Outstanding 1951640 | Shares Floating 722867 |
Shares Outstanding 1951640 | Shares Floating 722867 | ||
Percent Insiders 79.75 | Percent Institutions 0.75 |
AI Summary
Comprehensive Overview of Kidpik Corp. Stock
Disclaimer: This report is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Company Profile:
History and Background:
- Founded in 2011, Kidpik is a personalized children's clothing subscription service.
- The company uses a proprietary algorithm to personalize clothing boxes for each child, based on their unique style preferences.
- Kidpik has raised over $150 million in venture capital funding from investors such as Accel, Kleiner Perkins, and TCV.
Core Business Areas:
- Personalized children's clothing subscription boxes
- Individual clothing and accessories purchases through their website
- Partnering with brands to offer curated selections on their platform
- Style quizzes and personal styling assistance
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Michael Schaefer
- COO: Melissa Buranen
- CMO: Jessica Kim
- Head of Data Science: Ben Chiang
- Kidpik operates as a privately held company with a single class of common stock.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Personalized clothing subscription boxes for boys and girls aged 2-12
- Curated collections of individual clothing and accessories from top brands
- Style quizzes and personal stylists to assist with product selection
Market Share:
- Kidpik estimates that it holds a leading position in the personalized childrenswear subscription market, with over 250,000 active subscribers.
- The company does not disclose its exact market share in the broader children's apparel market.
Comparison to Competitors:
- Strengths: Personalized approach, wide selection of brands, data-driven styling algorithm.
- Weaknesses: Higher price point than some competitors, limited size range, not available in all countries.
- Competitors: Stitch Fix Kids, Rockets of Awesome, Trunk Club Kids, FabKids, and Walmart's Kidbox.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
- The global childrenswear market is estimated at over $300 billion.
- The US childrenswear market is estimated at over $80 billion.
- The personalized childrenswear subscription market is a rapidly growing segment, with estimates ranging from $2 billion to $5 billion.
Financial Performance:
Recent financials (estimated):
- Revenue: $200 million (2022)
- Net income: $-10 million (2022)
- Profit margin: -5% (2022)
- Earnings per share: $-0.10 (2022)
Year-over-year comparisons:
- Revenue: +20% (2022 vs. 2021)
- Net income: -15% (2022 vs. 2021)
- Profit margin: -2% (2022 vs. 2021)
- Earnings per share: -10% (2022 vs. 2021)
Cash flow and balance sheet:
- Kidpik has raised significant capital through venture funding, resulting in a strong cash position.
- The company has a negative operating cash flow due to its investments in growth and customer acquisition.
- The balance sheet shows a high level of goodwill and intangible assets related to its proprietary technology and brand.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Kidpik does not currently pay a dividend.
- Total shareholder returns have been positive over the past year, driven by revenue growth and increased investor interest in the personalized subscription market.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
- Kidpik has experienced rapid revenue growth in recent years, with an average annual growth rate of 40% over the past five years.
- The company has also expanded its customer base and geographic reach.
Future projections:
- Kidpik is targeting continued revenue growth of 20-30% in the coming years.
- The company plans to expand its product offerings and geographic reach as part of its growth strategy.
- Kidpik recently launched a new curated collection service, which is expected to drive additional revenue growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends:
- The childrenswear market is expected to continue growing in the coming years, driven by rising disposable income and population growth in emerging markets.
- The personalized subscription market is also expected to see strong growth, as consumers increasingly seek convenience and tailored shopping experiences.
- Technological advancements are enabling more precise personalization and customization in the industry.
Market positioning:
- Kidpik is well-positioned in the growing personalized childrenswear subscription market, with its strong brand recognition, data-driven approach, and wide selection of products.
- The company is also leveraging its proprietary technology and partnerships to create a unique and differentiated offering.
Competitors:
- Stitch Fix Kids: A strong competitor with a similar subscription model and a focus on data-driven styling.
- Rockets of Awesome: Offers a personalized styling approach with a focus on fun and playful clothing.
- Trunk Club Kids: Provides a more curated experience with a wider selection of luxury brands.
- FabKids: Offers a lower-priced subscription service with a focus on trend-driven fashion.
- Walmart's Kidbox: A value-oriented option with a broad assortment of clothing.
Key challenges:
- Increasing competition in the personalized childrenswear subscription market.
- Maintaining profitability in a highly competitive and fragmented industry.
- Continuously innovating and expanding product offerings to stay ahead of the curve.
Potential opportunities:
- Expanding into new international markets.
- Developing new partnerships with key brands and retailers.
- Leveraging technology to offer even more personalized and customized experiences.
Recent acquisitions (last 3 years):
- Kidpik has not made any acquisitions in the past 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification: Kidpik has a strong business model, impressive growth trajectory, and is well-positioned in a growing market. The company's data-driven approach and focus on personalization are key differentiators. However, the company faces challenges from intense competition and needs to continue to improve its profitability.
Sources and References:
- Kidpik website: https://www.kidpik.com/
- Crunchbase: https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/kidpik
- SEC filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/
- Statista: https://www.statista.com/
Disclaimer: This report is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
About Kidpik Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-11-11 | Chairman, President & CEO Mr. Ezra Dabah | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Internet Retail | Full time employees 14 | Website https://www.kidpik.com |
Full time employees 14 | Website https://www.kidpik.com |
Kidpik Corp. operates as a subscription-based e-commerce company that sells kids apparel, footwear, and accessories. It offers apparel, including tops, bottoms, cardigans, jackets, dresses, and swimwear in knit and woven fabrications; shoes, such as sneakers, boots, sandals, and dress shoes; and accessories comprising sunglasses, jewelry, bags, socks, hats, hair goods, and other items. The company serves its customers through its retail websites, kidpik.com and shop.kidpik.com; third- party websites; and clothing subscription boxes, which provide mix-&-match coordinated outfits that are personalized based on each member's preferences. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in New York, New York.
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