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Progressive Corp (PGR)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: PGR (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 40 days. Profits (14.63%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 69.1% | Avg. Invested days 51 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 166.66B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 19.73 | 1Y Target Price 290.35 |
Price to earnings Ratio 19.73 | 1Y Target Price 290.35 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3468120 | Beta 0.35 | 52 Weeks Range 197.24 - 292.99 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 197.24 - 292.99 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.73% | Basic EPS (TTM) 14.41 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 11.26% | Operating Margin (TTM) 14.99% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.07% | Return on Equity (TTM) 36.98% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 19.73 | Forward PE 18.94 | Enterprise Value 172660682623 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.21 |
Enterprise Value 172660682623 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.21 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.29 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 21.85 | Shares Outstanding 586236032 | Shares Floating 583968366 |
Shares Outstanding 586236032 | Shares Floating 583968366 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.27 | Percent Institutions 87.66 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.8 | Target Price 277.76 | Buy 8 | Strong Buy 5 |
Buy 8 | Strong Buy 5 | ||
Hold 6 | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 | |
Strong Sell 1 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Progressive Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Progressive Corp. was founded in 1937 by Joseph M. Lewis and Jack Green as Progressive Mutual Insurance Company. Initially focused on providing affordable auto insurance, it pioneered the use of risk-based pricing. Significant milestones include becoming a public company in 1971 and its expansion into various insurance products and services.
Core Business Areas
- Personal Auto: Provides insurance for personal vehicles, including cars, motorcycles, and RVs.
- Commercial Auto: Offers insurance coverage for commercial vehicles, such as trucks and vans.
- Property: Provides property insurance, including homeowners and renters insurance (typically bundled with auto).
- Other: Includes specialized insurance products and services. These are smaller segments but contribute to overall revenue.
Leadership and Structure
Tricia Griffith is the current CEO of Progressive Corp. The company has a traditional corporate structure with various departments led by executive vice presidents, reporting to the CEO. Key departments include claims, product management, technology, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Personal Auto Insurance: The largest segment, providing auto insurance policies to individuals. Progressive holds a significant market share, battling with State Farm and GEICO for the top spot. Estimated market share is approximately 13%. Competitors include State Farm, GEICO (BRK.A), Allstate (ALL).
- Commercial Auto Insurance: Offers insurance for businesses operating vehicles. Progressive is a major player in this market. Market share is estimated around 10%. Competitors include Travelers (TRV), Liberty Mutual, Zurich.
- Homeowners Insurance: A growing area, often bundled with auto policies. Progressive partners with other insurers for this segment, but is growing their own capabilities. Competitors include State Farm, Allstate, Liberty Mutual.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The insurance industry is highly competitive and heavily regulated, with a mix of large national players and smaller regional companies. Key trends include the increasing use of technology and data analytics, the rise of direct-to-consumer sales channels, and the impact of autonomous vehicles.
Positioning
Progressive Corp is positioned as a technology-driven insurer with a focus on data analytics and personalized pricing. Its competitive advantages include its brand recognition, extensive distribution network, and sophisticated pricing algorithms.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The U.S. property and casualty insurance market is estimated to be approximately $800 billion annually. Progressive, with revenues around $56 billion, has ample opportunity to gain further market share.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Advanced data analytics capabilities
- Efficient claims processing
- Extensive distribution network
- Competitive pricing
Weaknesses
- Reliance on auto insurance market
- Exposure to catastrophic events
- Potential for pricing errors
- Dependence on independent agents
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of new insurance products
- Increased use of technology
- Partnerships with other companies
- Growth in homeowners insurance
Threats
- Increased competition
- Changes in regulations
- Economic downturn
- Technological disruption
- Increased claims costs due to weather and litigation
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- STATE FARM
- BRK.A
- ALL
Competitive Landscape
Progressive competes primarily on price, service, and technology. Its strengths include its sophisticated pricing algorithms and efficient claims processing. Weaknesses include its reliance on the auto insurance market and exposure to catastrophic events.
Major Acquisitions
ARX Holding Corp
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 875
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded presence in independent agency channel and specialty property insurance market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Progressive's historical growth has been driven by organic growth in its core auto insurance business, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Progressive, driven by increasing demand for insurance, expansion into new markets, and technological advancements. Analysts foresee continued expansion of the Homeowners insurance area.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in technology, such as AI and machine learning, to improve pricing and claims processing. Progressive has invested heavily in telematics to improve accuracy of risk assessment.
Summary
Progressive Corp is a strong company with a well-established position in the insurance market. It has demonstrated consistent growth and profitability. Its strengths lie in its data analytics, technology, and brand recognition. However, it needs to be mindful of increasing competition, regulatory changes, and catastrophic events. Progressive's homeowner growth will add to their financial growth.
Similar Companies

ALL

The Allstate Corporation



ALL

The Allstate Corporation

HIG

Hartford Financial Services Group



HIG

Hartford Financial Services Group

MET

MetLife Inc



MET

MetLife Inc
TRV

The Travelers Companies Inc


TRV

The Travelers Companies Inc
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC filings
- Industry reports
- Financial news sources
- Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market data and financial information are subject to change. All investments involve risk.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Progressive Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Mayfield Village, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1986-07-09 | President, CEO & Director Ms. Susan Patricia Griffith | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty | Full time employees 66308 | Website https://www.progressive.com |
Full time employees 66308 | Website https://www.progressive.com |
The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. The company writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowners and renters. It also writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance for comprising dump trucks, log trucks, garbage trucks, tractors, trailers, straight trucks, tow trucks and wreckers, vans, pick-up trucks, and autos; business-related general liability and commercial property insurance for small businesses; and workers' compensation insurance for the transportation industry. In addition, the company offers other specialty property-casualty insurance and provide related services; personal property reinsurance products; and involved in investment activities. It sells its products through independent insurance agencies, as well as online and over the phone. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, Ohio.
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