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PGR logo PGR
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
PGR logo

Progressive Corp (PGR)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$284.29
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY14.63%
upturn advisory
Strong Buy
BUY since 40 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
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Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: PGR (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 40 days. Profits (14.63%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

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Outstanding Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, have historically outperformed the market, making them a top-tier choice for investors.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 69.1%
Avg. Invested days 51
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 166.66B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 19.73
1Y Target Price 290.35
Price to earnings Ratio 19.73
1Y Target Price 290.35
Volume (30-day avg) 3468120
Beta 0.35
52 Weeks Range 197.24 - 292.99
Updated Date 04/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 197.24 - 292.99
Updated Date 04/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 1.73%
Basic EPS (TTM) 14.41

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 11.26%
Operating Margin (TTM) 14.99%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.07%
Return on Equity (TTM) 36.98%

Valuation

Trailing PE 19.73
Forward PE 18.94
Enterprise Value 172660682623
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.21
Enterprise Value 172660682623
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.21
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.29
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 21.85
Shares Outstanding 586236032
Shares Floating 583968366
Shares Outstanding 586236032
Shares Floating 583968366
Percent Insiders 0.27
Percent Institutions 87.66

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.8
Target Price 277.76
Buy 8
Strong Buy 5
Buy 8
Strong Buy 5
Hold 6
Sell -
Strong Sell 1
Strong Sell 1

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Progressive Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Progressive Corp. was founded in 1937 by Joseph M. Lewis and Jack Green as Progressive Mutual Insurance Company. Initially focused on providing affordable auto insurance, it pioneered the use of risk-based pricing. Significant milestones include becoming a public company in 1971 and its expansion into various insurance products and services.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Personal Auto: Provides insurance for personal vehicles, including cars, motorcycles, and RVs.
  • Commercial Auto: Offers insurance coverage for commercial vehicles, such as trucks and vans.
  • Property: Provides property insurance, including homeowners and renters insurance (typically bundled with auto).
  • Other: Includes specialized insurance products and services. These are smaller segments but contribute to overall revenue.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Tricia Griffith is the current CEO of Progressive Corp. The company has a traditional corporate structure with various departments led by executive vice presidents, reporting to the CEO. Key departments include claims, product management, technology, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Personal Auto Insurance: The largest segment, providing auto insurance policies to individuals. Progressive holds a significant market share, battling with State Farm and GEICO for the top spot. Estimated market share is approximately 13%. Competitors include State Farm, GEICO (BRK.A), Allstate (ALL).
  • Commercial Auto Insurance: Offers insurance for businesses operating vehicles. Progressive is a major player in this market. Market share is estimated around 10%. Competitors include Travelers (TRV), Liberty Mutual, Zurich.
  • Homeowners Insurance: A growing area, often bundled with auto policies. Progressive partners with other insurers for this segment, but is growing their own capabilities. Competitors include State Farm, Allstate, Liberty Mutual.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The insurance industry is highly competitive and heavily regulated, with a mix of large national players and smaller regional companies. Key trends include the increasing use of technology and data analytics, the rise of direct-to-consumer sales channels, and the impact of autonomous vehicles.

Positioning

Progressive Corp is positioned as a technology-driven insurer with a focus on data analytics and personalized pricing. Its competitive advantages include its brand recognition, extensive distribution network, and sophisticated pricing algorithms.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The U.S. property and casualty insurance market is estimated to be approximately $800 billion annually. Progressive, with revenues around $56 billion, has ample opportunity to gain further market share.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Advanced data analytics capabilities
  • Efficient claims processing
  • Extensive distribution network
  • Competitive pricing

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on auto insurance market
  • Exposure to catastrophic events
  • Potential for pricing errors
  • Dependence on independent agents

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets
  • Development of new insurance products
  • Increased use of technology
  • Partnerships with other companies
  • Growth in homeowners insurance

Threats

  • Increased competition
  • Changes in regulations
  • Economic downturn
  • Technological disruption
  • Increased claims costs due to weather and litigation

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • STATE FARM
  • BRK.A
  • ALL

Competitive Landscape

Progressive competes primarily on price, service, and technology. Its strengths include its sophisticated pricing algorithms and efficient claims processing. Weaknesses include its reliance on the auto insurance market and exposure to catastrophic events.

Major Acquisitions

ARX Holding Corp

  • Year: 2020
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 875
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded presence in independent agency channel and specialty property insurance market.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Progressive's historical growth has been driven by organic growth in its core auto insurance business, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions.

Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Progressive, driven by increasing demand for insurance, expansion into new markets, and technological advancements. Analysts foresee continued expansion of the Homeowners insurance area.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in technology, such as AI and machine learning, to improve pricing and claims processing. Progressive has invested heavily in telematics to improve accuracy of risk assessment.

Summary

Progressive Corp is a strong company with a well-established position in the insurance market. It has demonstrated consistent growth and profitability. Its strengths lie in its data analytics, technology, and brand recognition. However, it needs to be mindful of increasing competition, regulatory changes, and catastrophic events. Progressive's homeowner growth will add to their financial growth.

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ALLratingrating

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HIGratingrating

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METratingrating

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METratingrating

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TRVratingrating

The Travelers Companies Inc

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TRVratingrating

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC filings
  • Industry reports
  • Financial news sources
  • Analyst estimates

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market data and financial information are subject to change. All investments involve risk.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Progressive Corp

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Mayfield Village, OH, United States
IPO Launch date 1986-07-09
President, CEO & Director Ms. Susan Patricia Griffith
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty
Full time employees 66308
Full time employees 66308

The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. The company writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowners and renters. It also writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance for comprising dump trucks, log trucks, garbage trucks, tractors, trailers, straight trucks, tow trucks and wreckers, vans, pick-up trucks, and autos; business-related general liability and commercial property insurance for small businesses; and workers' compensation insurance for the transportation industry. In addition, the company offers other specialty property-casualty insurance and provide related services; personal property reinsurance products; and involved in investment activities. It sells its products through independent insurance agencies, as well as online and over the phone. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, Ohio.

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