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Pagerduty Inc (PD)PD

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Pagerduty Inc
$18.84
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-6.96%
WEAK BUY
upturn advisory
BUY since 10 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: PD (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY
Historic Profit: -46.68%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 27
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY
Historic Profit: -46.68%
Avg. Invested days: 27
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.74B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 21.82
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.9
Volume (30-day avg) 673961
Beta 1.07
52 Weeks Range 16.46 - 26.70
Updated Date 11/20/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.74B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 21.82
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.9
Volume (30-day avg) 673961
Beta 1.07
52 Weeks Range 16.46 - 26.70
Updated Date 11/20/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-11-28
When BeforeMarket
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date 2024-11-28
When BeforeMarket
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -18.58%
Operating Margin (TTM) -13.83%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -6.11%
Return on Equity (TTM) -31.3%

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 23.64
Enterprise Value 1600507487
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.89
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.58
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -35.89
Shares Outstanding 93058096
Shares Floating 88770944
Percent Insiders 7.44
Percent Institutions 91.01
Trailing PE -
Forward PE 23.64
Enterprise Value 1600507487
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.89
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.58
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -35.89
Shares Outstanding 93058096
Shares Floating 88770944
Percent Insiders 7.44
Percent Institutions 91.01

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.85
Target Price 28.29
Buy 1
Strong Buy 5
Hold 7
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 3.85
Target Price 28.29
Buy 1
Strong Buy 5
Hold 7
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Pagerduty Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed history and background:

  • Founded in 2009, Pagerduty Inc. initially focused on incident management for IT professionals.
  • Rapidly evolved to cater to a broader audience through its digital operations management platform.
  • Initial public offering (IPO) on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in April 2019.

Core business areas:

  • Digital Operations Management Platform: Enables real-time incident response, on-call scheduling, and event correlation for modern businesses.
  • Event Intelligence & Analytics: Provides actionable insights to understand and optimize digital operations.
  • Ecosystem & Integrations: Offers a vast network of integrations with popular IT, DevOps, and security tools.

Leadership team and corporate structure:

  • Jennifer Tejada (CEO): Extensive experience in scaling technology organizations.
  • Alex Solomon (COO): Strong background in product and engineering leadership.
  • Howard Wilson (CFO): Expertise in financial management and strategy.
  • Board of directors includes seasoned technology executives and investors.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top products and offerings:

  • Pagerduty platform: The core incident management and response solution.
  • Events API: Enables custom integrations and event ingestion.
  • ServiceNow Integration: Streamlines incident management within the ServiceNow platform.
  • Mobile apps: Provide real-time visibility and response capabilities on the go.

Market share:

  • Leading player in the digital operations management market with an estimated global market share of around 10%.
  • Faces competition from established players like Splunk, ServiceNow, and Atlassian.
  • Growing adoption by enterprises across various industries, including technology, healthcare, and finance.

Product performance and market reception:

  • Pagerduty platform receives positive reviews for its user-friendly interface, powerful automation capabilities, and robust integrations.
  • Strong adoption by leading technology companies and positive industry analyst feedback.

Total Addressable Market:

  • Global digital operations management market estimated to be worth $14.5 billion (2023).
  • Projected to grow at a CAGR of 16.5% from 2023 to 2028.
  • Increasing demand for real-time incident response and proactive monitoring driving market growth.

Financial Performance:

Recent financial statements (Q3 FY23):

  • Revenue: $108.7 million (20% YoY growth)
  • Net income: $1.7 million (compared to a net loss of $12.7 million in Q3 FY22)
  • Gross profit margin: 71.5%
  • Operating margin: 2.6%
  • EPS: $0.04

Year-over-year comparison:

  • Revenue and earnings steadily increasing over the past year, indicating positive business momentum.
  • Gross margins remain healthy, demonstrating effective cost management.
  • Operating margins improving but still negative as the company invests in growth initiatives.

Cash flow and balance sheet:

  • Strong cash flow from operations, indicating financial stability.
  • Healthy debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting prudent financial management.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend history:

  • Pagerduty does not currently pay dividends, focusing on reinvesting profits into growth initiatives.

Shareholder returns:

  • Stock price has appreciated by over 100% since its IPO in April 2019.
  • Total shareholder return (including reinvested dividends) is even higher, exceeding 150%.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical growth:

  • Revenue has grown at a CAGR of over 30% over the past 5 years.
  • Customer base has expanded significantly, with over 15,000 paying customers globally.

Future growth projections:

  • Management expects revenue growth to moderate to mid-20s percentage range in FY24.
  • Expansion into new markets and product innovation expected to drive future growth.

Recent product launches and strategic initiatives:

  • Launched new features for AI-powered incident correlation and remediation.
  • Expanding partnerships with leading technology vendors.
  • Investing in international expansion and go-to-market initiatives.

Market Dynamics:

Industry overview:

  • Digital operations management market experiencing rapid growth due to increasing digital complexity and reliance on technology.
  • Growing adoption of cloud-based solutions and DevOps practices fueling demand.
  • Intense competition from established players and emerging startups.

Pagerduty's position:

  • Well-positioned as a leading provider of digital operations management solutions.
  • Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
  • Continuous innovation and product development help differentiate the company from competitors.

Competitors:

Key competitors:

  • Splunk (SPLK): Leading provider of IT operations management and security software.
  • ServiceNow (NOW): Focuses on workflow automation and IT service management (ITSM).
  • Atlassian (TEAM): Offers collaboration and project management tools like Jira and Confluence.
  • Other notable competitors: Dynatrace (DT), Datadog (DDOG), and VictorOps.

Market share comparison:

  • Pagerduty has a market share of around 10%, followed by Splunk (approximately 15%), ServiceNow (around 12%), and Atlassian (around 8%).

Competitive advantages and disadvantages:

  • Advantages: Strong brand, user-friendly platform, robust integrations, focus on customer success.
  • Disadvantages: Smaller company compared to major competitors, limited product portfolio outside of core incident management.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key challenges:

  • Maintaining rapid growth in a competitive market.
  • Integrating recent acquisitions effectively.
  • Managing operating expenses while investing in growth initiatives.

Potential opportunities:

  • Expanding into new markets and industries.
  • Developing new product offerings and integrations.
  • Partnering with strategic technology players.

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):

  • Rundeck (2022): Open-source automation platform for IT and DevOps teams.
  • Opslevel (2022): Incident escalation solution for resolving critical issues faster.
  • Vero (2021): AI-powered incident response automation software.

Acquisition rationales:

  • Rundeck and Opslevel strengthen Pagerduty's offering for IT and DevOps teams.
  • Vero enhances AI capabilities for automated incident response.
  • These acquisitions align with Pagerduty's strategy to expand its platform and address critical needs in the digital operations management market.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7.5/10

Justification:

  • Pagerduty demonstrates strong financial performance with increasing revenue and improving margins.
  • The company leads a growing market with significant opportunities for future expansion.
  • Strong product differentiation and healthy customer base contribute to its competitive positioning.
  • However, the company faces intense competition and needs to continue investing in growth, leading to potential short-term profitability challenges.

Overall, Pagerduty is a well-positioned company with strong growth potential in the dynamic digital operations management market. However, investors should consider the competitive landscape and potential challenges when evaluating the stock.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Sources: Pagerduty Inc. website, SEC filings, investor relations materials, industry reports, financial news articles.
  • Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Pagerduty Inc

Exchange NYSE Headquaters San Francisco, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2019-04-11 Chair of the Board & CEO Ms. Jennifer G. Tejada
Sector Technology Website https://www.pagerduty.com
Industry Software - Application Full time employees 1182
Headquaters San Francisco, CA, United States
Chair of the Board & CEO Ms. Jennifer G. Tejada
Website https://www.pagerduty.com
Website https://www.pagerduty.com
Full time employees 1182

PagerDuty, Inc. engages in the operation of a digital operations management platform in the United States and internationally. The company's digital operations management platform collects data and digital signals from virtually any software-enabled system or device and leverage machine learning to correlate, process, and predict opportunities and issues. Its platform includes PagerDuty Incident Management that provides a real-time view across the status of a digital service while incorporating noise reduction to remove false positives; AIOps that applies machine learning to correlate and automate the identification of incidents from billions of events; Process Automation offers centralized design time and run time environment for orchestrating automated workflows that span across departments, technologies, and networks; Customer Service Operations, which is offered to orchestrate, automate, and scale responses to customer impacting issues. It serves various industries, including software and technology, telecommunications, retail, travel and hospitality, media and entertainment, and financial services. PagerDuty, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

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