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Vaxcyte Inc (PCVX)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2024: PCVX (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 17.21% | Avg. Invested days 46 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 2.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/31/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 10.20B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 149.89 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 149.89 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1159145 | Beta 1.01 | 52 Weeks Range 53.83 - 121.06 | Updated Date 01/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 53.83 - 121.06 | Updated Date 01/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.6 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -14.94% | Return on Equity (TTM) -21.06% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 8066444406 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 8066444406 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -14.43 | Shares Outstanding 124637000 | Shares Floating 115468282 |
Shares Outstanding 124637000 | Shares Floating 115468282 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.5 | Percent Institutions 111.95 |
AI Summary
Vaxcyte Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
Vaxcyte Inc. (NASDAQ: VAXT) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company founded in 2011 and headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland. Vaxcyte focuses on developing and commercializing novel vaccines to prevent infectious diseases in children and adults.
The company has a rich history of innovation and collaboration, arising from a merger between Translational Research in Infectious Diseases and Metabasis Therapeutics in 2011. Vaxcyte has leveraged its expertise in immunology, vaccinology, and drug development to build a pipeline of promising vaccine candidates.
Core Business Areas
Vaxcyte's primary business areas are:
- Developing and commercializing vaccines for infectious diseases: The company's lead product candidates target diseases like pneumococcal disease, seasonal influenza, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV).
- Utilizing advanced technologies: Vaxcyte employs modern technologies like virus-like particles (VLPs) and glycoconjugation to create potentially safer and more effective vaccines.
- Conducting clinical trials: Vaxcyte is actively conducting Phase 3 clinical trials for its lead vaccine candidate, VAX-24, for the prevention of pneumococcal pneumonia and invasive disease in adults.
Leadership and Corporate Structure
Vaxcyte's leadership team comprises experienced individuals with expertise in various fields like medicine, vaccine development, and business management. Some key members include:
- Dr. William J. Gruber, Chief Executive Officer: Dr. Gruber has extensive experience in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry, having previously held leadership roles at Pfizer and Wyeth.
- Dr. Grant A. McFadden, Chief Scientific Officer: Dr. McFadden is a renowned virologist with significant contributions to understanding and developing vaccines for RSV and other respiratory viruses.
The company operates under a traditional corporate structure with a Board of Directors overseeing the executive team and ensuring good governance practices.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products
Currently, Vaxcyte has no marketed products, as its lead candidates are still in the clinical trial phase. However, the company's pipeline includes promising vaccines like:
- VAX-24: A 24-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine targeting pneumococcal pneumonia and invasive disease in adults.
- VAX-102: A respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine candidate designed to protect infants and young children from RSV infection.
- PrePneu: A single-dose, pre-pandemic influenza vaccine candidate aiming to provide broad protection against multiple influenza strains.
Market Share
As Vaxcyte currently has no marketed products, it holds no market share in the relevant markets. However, the company's potential market share for its lead candidates depends on factors like clinical trial success, regulatory approvals, and commercialization strategies.
Competitor Comparison
Vaxcyte faces competition from established pharmaceutical companies and other biotechnology firms developing vaccines for similar diseases. Key competitors include:
- Pfizer (PFE): A leading pharmaceutical company with a marketed pneumococcal vaccine, Prevnar 13.
- GSK (GSK): Another major pharmaceutical company with a marketed RSV vaccine, Synagis.
- Moderna (MRNA): A competitor in the mRNA vaccine space, developing a vaccine for respiratory diseases.
While Vaxcyte's competitors have a head start with marketed products, the company's novel vaccine technologies and differentiated product profiles could lead to competitive advantages in the future.
Total Addressable Market
Vaxcyte's target markets are substantial. For instance, the global market for pneumococcal vaccines is estimated to be worth over $6 billion annually, while the RSV vaccine market is projected to reach $5 billion by 2027. These sizable markets present significant opportunities for Vaxcyte's growth.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements
Vaxcyte is currently in a pre-revenue stage, focusing on research and development. The company reported a net loss of $125.7 million for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2022. This loss primarily reflects expenses related to clinical trials and research activities.
Financial Performance Comparison
Year-over-year, Vaxcyte's net loss has increased due to higher R&D expenses associated with advancing its lead vaccine candidates through clinical trials. The company's cash and cash equivalents stood at $227.8 million at the end of 2022, providing sufficient runway for continued operations.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History
Vaxcyte does not currently pay dividends as it is reinvesting its earnings back into research and development activities.
Shareholder Returns
Vaxcyte's stock price has experienced significant volatility in recent years, reflecting the inherent risks associated with early-stage biotechnology companies. However, investors who held VAXT shares since its IPO in 2021 have seen positive returns.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth
Vaxcyte has demonstrated strong historical growth in recent years, driven by the advancement of its vaccine candidates through clinical trials. The company's pipeline has matured, with its lead candidate, VAX-24, reaching Phase 3 trials.
Future Growth Projections
Vaxcyte's future growth prospects are tied to the success of its clinical trials, regulatory approvals, and commercialization efforts. The company's management team expects to file for regulatory approval of VAX-24 in the second half of 2023, potentially leading to market entry in 2024.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends
The vaccine market is expected to experience continued growth driven by factors like rising awareness of vaccine-preventable diseases, technological advancements, and increasing demand from emerging markets.
Vaxcyte's Positioning
Vaxcyte is well-positioned within this growing market with its innovative vaccine technologies and differentiated product candidates. The company's focus on unmet medical needs, such as RSV in infants, could provide a competitive advantage.
Competitors
Key Competitors
Some of Vaxcyte's key competitors include:
- Pfizer (PFE): Market leader in pneumococcal vaccines with Prevnar 13.
- GSK (GSK): Major player in the RSV vaccine market with Synagis.
- Moderna (MRNA): Leading mRNA vaccine developer with potential respiratory disease vaccine candidates.
- Sanofi (SNY): Another major pharmaceutical company with a pneumococcal vaccine, Vaxneuvance.
- Emergent BioSolutions (EBS): Developer of the only FDA-approved anthrax vaccine, BioThrax.
Market Share and Competitive Advantages
Vaxcyte currently has no market share as it has no marketed products. However, the company's potential market share for its lead candidates will depend on factors like clinical trial success and commercialization strategies.
Vaxcyte's competitive advantages include:
- Novel vaccine technologies: The company's VLP and glycoconjugation technologies offer potential benefits in terms of safety and efficacy.
- Differentiated product profiles: Vaxcyte's vaccine candidates are designed to address unmet medical needs, such as providing broader protection against pneumococcal strains or offering longer-lasting immunity against RSV.
- Strong partnerships: The company has strategic collaborations with institutions like the National Institutes of Health and PATH, which could facilitate clinical development and market access.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges
Vaxcyte faces several challenges, including:
- Clinical trial risks: The success of Vaxcyte's lead vaccine candidates is not guaranteed, and clinical trials could fail or be delayed.
- Regulatory hurdles: Obtaining regulatory approval for new vaccines is a complex and time-consuming process.
- Competition: Vaxcyte faces stiff competition from established pharmaceutical companies and other biotechnology firms.
- Market access: Even with successful clinical trials and regulatory approval, Vaxcyte needs to secure market access and build a strong commercial infrastructure.
Potential Opportunities
Vaxcyte also has significant opportunities, including:
- Large addressable markets: The company's target markets for pneumococcal, RSV, and influenza vaccines represent substantial business opportunities.
- Novel vaccine technologies: Vaxcyte's VLP and glycoconjugation technologies could lead to the development of more effective and safer vaccines, potentially capturing larger market shares.
- Strategic partnerships: The company's collaborations with leading institutions could provide access to expertise, funding, and market access, accelerating its growth and development.
- Unmet medical needs: Vaxcyte's focus on addressing unmet medical needs, such as providing broader protection against pneumococcal strains or offering longer-lasting immunity against RSV, could create a competitive advantage and attract significant market demand.
Recent Acquisitions
Vaxcyte has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an AI-based fundamental analysis, Vaxcyte receives a rating of 7 out of 10. This rating reflects the company's promising pipeline, market opportunities, and potential for growth. However, the rating also acknowledges the inherent risks associated with clinical-stage biotechnology companies, including the possibility of clinical trial setbacks, regulatory hurdles, and competition.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters San Carlos, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-06-12 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. Grant E. Pickering M.B.A. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 254 | Website https://vaxcyte.com |
Full time employees 254 | Website https://vaxcyte.com |
Vaxcyte, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology vaccine company, develops novel protein vaccines to prevent or treat bacterial infectious diseases. Its lead vaccine candidate is VAX-24, a 24-valent investigational pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for the prevention of invasive pneumococcal disease. The company also develops VAX-31 to protect against emerging strains and to help address antibiotic resistance; VAX-A1, a novel conjugate vaccine candidate to prevent disease caused by Group A Streptococcus; VAX-PG, a novel protein vaccine candidate targeting keystone pathogen responsible for periodontitis; and VAX-GI to prevent Shigella, a bacterial illness. The company was formerly known as SutroVax, Inc. and changed its name to Vaxcyte, Inc. in May 2020. Vaxcyte, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in San Carlos, California.
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