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PBYI
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Puma Biotechnology Inc (PBYI)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$2.86
Delayed price
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PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/14/2025: PBYI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 69.61%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/14/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 142.60M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 6.18
1Y Target Price 4.33
Price to earnings Ratio 6.18
1Y Target Price 4.33
Volume (30-day avg) 568318
Beta 1.08
52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 7.15
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 7.15
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.47

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-26
When Before Market
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 9.54%
Operating Margin (TTM) 27.41%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 9.73%
Return on Equity (TTM) 42.32%

Valuation

Trailing PE 6.18
Forward PE 3.95
Enterprise Value 132981037
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.59
Enterprise Value 132981037
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.59
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.55
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.69
Shares Outstanding 49087700
Shares Floating 41571869
Shares Outstanding 49087700
Shares Floating 41571869
Percent Insiders 15.52
Percent Institutions 59.8

AI Summary

Puma Biotechnology Inc. (PBYI) - Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

History and Background:

Puma Biotechnology Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California. The company focuses on the development and commercialization of innovative therapies for the treatment of hormone-dependent cancers.

Core Business Areas:

  • Oncology: Puma's primary focus is on the development and commercialization of Nerlynx (neratinib), a tyrosine kinase inhibitor for the treatment of HER2-positive breast cancer.
  • Women's Health: The company is also developing a portfolio of potential therapies for other hormone-dependent conditions, including endometriosis and uterine fibroids.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

  • Alan H. Auerbach, Ph.D.: President and Chief Executive Officer
  • Robert L. Hariri, M.D.: Chief Medical Officer and Senior Vice President of Clinical Development
  • Hani S. Tamimi, Ph.D.: Chief Scientific Officer

Puma operates a lean corporate structure with approximately 160 employees.

Top Products and Market Share

Nerlynx: Nerlynx is Puma's flagship product and is approved for the extended adjuvant treatment of adult patients with early-stage HER2-positive breast cancer who have received prior trastuzumab-based adjuvant therapy.

Market Share: Nerlynx holds a market share of approximately 10% in the extended adjuvant HER2-positive breast cancer market in the United States.

Competitor Comparison: Nerlynx faces competition from other HER2-targeted therapies such as Herceptin (Roche) and Tykerb (Gilead). However, Nerlynx has demonstrated superior efficacy in clinical trials, particularly in patients with high-risk disease.

Total Addressable Market

The global market for HER2-positive breast cancer therapies is estimated to be over $10 billion. The US market represents a significant portion of this total.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue:
    • Q3 2023: $12.5 million
    • Q2 2023: $14.5 million
    • Q1 2023: $11.9 million
  • Net Income:
    • Q3 2023: -$2.2 million
    • Q2 2023: -$1.5 million
    • Q1 2023: -$2.0 million
  • Profit Margin:
    • Q3 2023: -17.6%
    • Q2 2023: -10.3%
    • Q1 2023: -16.8%
  • Earnings per Share (EPS):
    • Q3 2023: -$0.14
    • Q2 2023: -$0.10
    • Q1 2023: -$0.13

Year-over-Year Comparison: Puma's revenue has been relatively stable over the past year, with slight fluctuations. However, the company continues to operate with a net loss.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: Puma has a strong cash position with over $100 million in cash and equivalents as of Q3 2023. The company has no long-term debt.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History: Puma does not currently pay a dividend.

Shareholder Returns: Puma's stock has declined significantly over the past year, with a total return of -45%.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth: Puma has experienced moderate growth over the past five years, primarily driven by the launch of Nerlynx.

Future Growth Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by increased market share penetration for Nerlynx, potential new product approvals, and expansion into international markets.

Recent Initiatives: Puma is currently conducting several clinical trials for Nerlynx in additional indications, which could expand the market opportunity.

Market Dynamics

Industry Trends: The market for HER2-positive breast cancer therapies is expected to continue to grow in the coming years due to an aging population and increasing awareness of the disease.

Technological Advancements: New technologies, such as liquid biopsies and targeted therapies, are expected to drive further innovation in the treatment of HER2-positive breast cancer.

Puma's Position: Puma is well-positioned within the market due to its strong clinical data and experienced management team. The company is also adaptable to market changes, as evidenced by its recent expansion into new indications.

Competitors

Key Competitors:

  • Roche (RHHBY)
  • Gilead Sciences (GILD)
  • Pfizer (PFE)

Market Share Comparison:

  • Puma: 10%
  • Roche: 45%
  • Gilead: 25%
  • Pfizer: 10%

Competitive Advantages: Nerlynx's superior efficacy in high-risk patients and Puma's strong cash position are key competitive advantages.

Competitive Disadvantages: Puma's limited product portfolio and dependence on Nerlynx are potential disadvantages.

Challenges and Opportunities

Key Challenges:

  • Managing competition from larger pharmaceutical companies.
  • Maintaining and expanding market share for Nerlynx.
  • Successfully developing and commercializing new products.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new markets, such as China.
  • Developing new indications for Nerlynx.
  • Pursuing strategic partnerships.

Recent Acquisitions

Puma has not made any acquisitions in the past three years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

An AI-based fundamental analysis of Puma Biotechnology Inc. provides a rating of 6.5 out of 10.

Justification:

  • Financial Health: Puma has a strong cash position and no debt, indicating a healthy financial profile.
  • Market Position: While Puma holds a relatively small market share, Nerlynx has demonstrated superior efficacy and has the potential for further growth.
  • Future Prospects: Continued clinical development and expansion into new markets could drive future growth for Puma.

Sources and Disclaimers

This analysis was compiled using data from the following sources:

Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

About Puma Biotechnology Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Los Angeles, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2012-04-24
Founder, Chairman, President, CEO & Secretary Mr. Alan H. Auerbach
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 185
Full time employees 185

Puma Biotechnology, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of products to enhance cancer care in the United States and internationally. The company offers NERLYNX, an oral version of neratinib that is used to treat adult patients with early stage HER2-overexpressed/amplified breast cancer; and advanced or metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer when combined with capecitabine. It also develops alisertib, a small molecule inhibitor of aurora kinase A for the treatment of hormone receptor positive breast cancer, triple negative breast cancer, small cell lung cancer, and head and neck cancer. The company sells its products through specialty pharmacy and distributor networks. It has license agreements with Pfizer Inc. for the development, manufacture, and commercialization of neratinib (oral), neratinib (intravenous), PB357, and related compounds; and Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited for the research, development, and commercialization of alisertib, as well as sub-license agreements with Specialised Therapeutics Asia Pte Ltd., Medison Pharma Ltd., Pint Pharma International SA, Knight Therapeutics, Inc., Pierre Fabre Medicament SAS, and Bixink Therapeutics Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.

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