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Potbelly Co (PBPB)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: PBPB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -5.3% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 293.12M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.49 | 1Y Target Price 16.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.49 | 1Y Target Price 16.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 307520 | Beta 1.51 | 52 Weeks Range 6.28 - 13.48 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 6.28 - 13.48 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.31 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-05 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.0675 | Actual 0.13 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.71% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.14% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.97% | Return on Equity (TTM) 114.75% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.49 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 436192934 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.63 |
Enterprise Value 436192934 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.63 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.94 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.49 | Shares Outstanding 29879500 | Shares Floating 23041281 |
Shares Outstanding 29879500 | Shares Floating 23041281 | ||
Percent Insiders 15.27 | Percent Institutions 79.68 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.5 | Target Price 15.33 | Buy - | Strong Buy 3 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 3 | ||
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Potbelly Co

Company Overview
History and Background
Potbelly Corporation was founded in 1977 as an antique store that served sandwiches to customers. It officially became a sandwich shop in 1996. The company has expanded through franchising and company-owned locations.
Core Business Areas
- Sandwich Shops: Potbelly operates and franchises sandwich shops that offer sandwiches, salads, soups, shakes, and other food items.
Leadership and Structure
Robert Wright is the President and CEO of Potbelly Corporation. The company has a board of directors and a corporate structure with various departments overseeing operations, marketing, finance, and development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Sandwiches: Potbelly's signature sandwiches are its primary product, with various fillings and bread options. Market share data is not readily available at the product level, but sandwiches contribute the vast majority of revenue. Competitors include Subway, Panera Bread, and Jimmy John's.
- Salads: Potbelly offers a variety of salads as a lighter alternative to sandwiches. While not the main revenue driver, they contribute significantly. Competitors include Sweetgreen, Chopt, and other fast-casual restaurants offering salads.
- Soups: Potbelly offers a selection of soups, changing flavors seasonally. While not the main revenue driver, they contribute significantly. Competitors include Panera Bread, and other fast-casual restaurants offering soups.
- Shakes: Potbelly offers shakes as a dessert product. While not the main revenue driver, they contribute significantly. Competitors include fast food restaurants and ice cream parlors.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The fast-casual restaurant industry is highly competitive and influenced by consumer preferences for convenience, health, and value. Trends include digital ordering, delivery services, and menu innovation.
Positioning
Potbelly positions itself as a fast-casual sandwich shop offering a unique atmosphere and high-quality ingredients, differentiating itself through its distinctive branding and focus on lunch and dinner.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The fast-casual restaurant market in the U.S. is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Potbelly's positioning allows it to capture a portion of this TAM, though its market share is relatively small compared to larger chains.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Unique Brand and Atmosphere
- High-Quality Ingredients
- Loyal Customer Base
- Established Franchise System
Weaknesses
- Smaller Scale Compared to Major Competitors
- Limited Geographic Presence
- Vulnerability to Fluctuations in Food Costs
- Inconsistent Store Performance
Opportunities
- Expansion into New Markets
- Menu Innovation and New Product Development
- Increased Focus on Digital Ordering and Delivery
- Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions
Threats
- Intense Competition in the Fast-Casual Sector
- Changing Consumer Preferences
- Economic Downturns
- Rising Labor Costs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- SBUX
- CMG
- PNRA
- QSR
- MCD
Competitive Landscape
Potbelly faces competition from large chains with greater resources. Its advantages lie in its unique brand and loyal customer base, while its disadvantages include smaller scale and limited geographic presence.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been moderate, with fluctuations due to economic conditions and strategic changes.
Future Projections: Future projections vary depending on analyst estimates and company guidance. Expansion and same-store sales growth are key drivers.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include menu enhancements, digital ordering platform improvements, and expansion into new markets.
Summary
Potbelly Co. is a fast-casual sandwich chain with a unique brand and loyal customer base. However, it faces intense competition from larger chains and has a limited geographic presence. Successful execution of its expansion and digital initiatives will be crucial for future growth and is financially weaker than its competitors and needs to look out for the macroeconomic environment.
Similar Companies
- SBUX
- CMG
- PNRA
- QSR
- MCD
- YUM
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Company Website
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Potbelly Co
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Chicago, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-10-04 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Robert D. Wright | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 5000 | Website https://www.potbelly.com |
Full time employees 5000 | Website https://www.potbelly.com |
Potbelly Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises Potbelly sandwich shops in the United States. The company was formerly known as Potbelly Sandwich Works, Inc. and changed its name to Potbelly Corporation in 2002. Potbelly Corporation was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
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