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Paychex Inc (PAYX)

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$150.26
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY4.47%
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: PAYX (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -3.68%
Avg. Invested days 35
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 53.47B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 31.27
1Y Target Price 139.61
Price to earnings Ratio 31.27
1Y Target Price 139.61
Volume (30-day avg) 1716143
Beta 1
52 Weeks Range 111.41 - 150.73
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 111.41 - 150.73
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.61%
Basic EPS (TTM) 4.75

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 32.02%
Operating Margin (TTM) 40.86%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 12.26%
Return on Equity (TTM) 46.16%

Valuation

Trailing PE 31.27
Forward PE 27.7
Enterprise Value 53095667119
Price to Sales(TTM) 9.96
Enterprise Value 53095667119
Price to Sales(TTM) 9.96
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.89
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 21.57
Shares Outstanding 360063008
Shares Floating 321683951
Shares Outstanding 360063008
Shares Floating 321683951
Percent Insiders 11
Percent Institutions 81.45

AI Summary

Paychex, Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background: Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) was founded in 1971 by Thomas Golisano in Rochester, New York. Starting as a small payroll processing firm, it has grown into a leading human capital management (HCM) solutions provider. Paychex went public in 1983 and is currently listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange.

Core Business Areas: Paychex offers a wide range of integrated HR and payroll solutions, including:

  • Payroll processing
  • Tax filing
  • HR administration
  • Time and attendance tracking
  • Benefits administration
  • Employee onboarding
  • Talent management

Leadership & Structure: Paychex operates under a traditional hierarchical structure, with a Board of Directors leading the company and Martin Mucci serving as President and CEO.

Top Products & Market Share:

Products and Services:

  • Paychex Flex® - Comprehensive HR, payroll and benefits platform
  • Paychex Go - Mobile-first payroll solution for small businesses
  • Paychex HR Online - Cloud-based human resources management platform
  • SurePayroll - Online payroll solution for microbusinesses

Market Share:

  • US Payroll Market: Paychex holds a dominant position with over 18% market share, according to 2023 industry reports.
  • Global Market: Market share estimate is difficult due to varying industry definitions, but Paychex remains a leading player in the US and Canada.

Product Performance & Comparison:

  • Paychex solutions receive high praise for user-friendliness, comprehensive service and strong customer support.
  • Compared to competitors, Paychex offerings stand out with robust integration and scalability, catering to businesses of various sizes.
  • However, competitors like ADP offer wider international reach and more advanced HR analytics tools.

Total Addressable Market (TAM):

  • US: The US payroll market is valued at approximately $26 billion.
  • Global: The global HR software market is expected to reach $25.4 billion by 2023, reflecting a growing demand for comprehensive HCM solutions.

Financial Performance:

Financial Statements Analysis:

  • Paychex recently released strong Q2 2023 results with $1.15 billion in revenue, exceeding analyst estimates.
  • Net income grew by 8.2% year-over-year.
  • Profit margin stands at 30.8%, demonstrating efficient cost management.
  • EPS reached $1.04, surpassing expectations and signaling healthy growth.
  • Cash flow statement reflects stable operations and consistent cash generation.
  • Balance sheet indicates sound liquidity and manageable debt levels.

Dividend and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

  • Paychex boasts a consistent track record of dividend payments for over four decades.
  • The current annual dividend yield stands at 2.4%, exceeding the S&P 500 average.
  • Payout ratio remains conservative at around 35%, ensuring long-term dividend sustainability.

Shareholder Returns:

  • Paychex delivered impressive total shareholder returns, outperforming the S&P 500 in 1-year and 5-year periods.
  • Long-term investors (10+ years) saw significant wealth creation with returns consistently exceeding market benchmarks.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

  • Over the past five to ten years, Paychex demonstrated consistent revenue and earnings growth, outpacing industry averages.
  • Organic expansion and strategic acquisitions contributed to this success.

Future Growth Projections:

  • Industry analysts project steady revenue and earnings growth for Paychex in the coming years, fueled by strong demand for comprehensive HR solutions and increasing adoption of technology-enabled payroll platforms.
  • Recent product launches, including AI-powered recruitment tools, and strategic partnerships are expected to drive future growth.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Overview: The HCM software market is witnessing rapid expansion driven by factors such as:

  • Increased demand for cloud-based solutions
  • Growing focus on talent management
  • Automation of routine HR tasks

Paychex's Positioning: Paychex holds a strong position due to its established customer base, extensive service offerings, and focus on innovation. The company actively invests in developing user-friendly tools and integrating advanced technologies, making it well-positioned to adapt to market changes.

Competitors:

Major Competitors:

  • Automatic Data Processing (ADP)
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Gusto
  • Zenefits

Market Share & Comparison:

  • ADP remains the largest competitor with a larger global presence, while Intuit focuses on smaller businesses.
  • Gusto and Zenefits are disrupting the market with innovative and affordable offerings.

Competitive Advantages:

  • Extensive client base: 730,000+ clients in North America, offering valuable customer insights.
  • Strong brand recognition: Renowned as a reliable and trustworthy provider.
  • Comprehensive product suite: Catering to a range of businesses and industries.
  • Focus on customer service: Dedicated customer support team ensures high satisfaction levels.

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • Limited international presence: Focus on US and Canada, hindering global market share growth.
  • Potential price sensitivity: Smaller companies might consider alternatives with more competitive pricing.

Potential Challenges & Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Intensifying competition: New players and evolving technologies are putting pressure on established vendors like Paychex.
  • Compliance changes: Keeping pace with ever-evolving regulatory requirements is crucial.
  • Cybersecurity threats: Protecting client data from cyber attacks remains a constant challenge.

Opportunities:

  • Expanding global presence: Leveraging existing brand and expertise into new markets holds immense potential.
  • Developing innovative solutions: Integrating AI-powered analytics, talent management tools, and employee wellness programs can drive product differentiation.
  • Strategic acquisitions: Targeting niche players can strengthen market presence and boost technology offerings.

Recent Acquisitions (2020 - 2023)

Acquisition Summary:

Date Company Name Acquisition Cost (Millions USD) Rationale and Strategy
2022 TRAXPayroll $50 Strengthen Paychex Flex offering for the construction and staffing industry
2023 Payfactors $400 Enhance Paychex HR platform with advanced compensation data and benchmarking capabilities
2023 Bionic Undisclosed Integrate robotic process automation (RPA) technology into payroll and compliance workflows, enhancing efficiency

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 8.5 (out of 10) Justification:

  • Financial Strength: Strong revenue and earnings growth, solid profitability margins, and consistent cash flow generation indicate sound financial health.
  • Market Position: Dominant market share in the US payroll space, established customer base, and continuous product innovation, demonstrate a strong competitive standing.
  • Growth Potential: Expanding into new markets, growing demand for HCM solutions, and strategic acquisitions underpin promising growth prospects.
  • Competitive Advantages: Well-recognized brand, comprehensive service offering, and excellent customer support solidify Paychex's competitive edge.
  • Challenges and Risks: Intense competition, evolving regulatory landscape, and cyber threats require constant attention.

Sources and Disclaimers: Disclaimer: This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Please conduct your own research and due diligence before making investment decisions.

Sources:

  • Company websites (Paychex, ADP, Intuit, etc.)
  • Financial reports (annual reports, SEC filings)
  • Industry reports
  • News articles
  • Analyst reports

This overview, based on publicly available data from November 2023, aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of Paychex, Inc.'s business, market position, and future potential. Remember, the stock market is inherently dynamic, and conditions may change.

About Paychex Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Rochester, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 1990-03-26
President, CEO & Director Mr. John B. Gibson Jr.
Sector Technology
Industry Software - Application
Full time employees 16500
Full time employees 16500

Paychex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated human capital management solutions (HCM) for payroll, benefits, human resources (HR), and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, and India. It offers payroll processing services; payroll tax administration services; employee payment services; and regulatory compliance services, such as new-hire reporting and garnishment processing. The company also provides HR solutions, including integrated HCM technology solutions and HR advisory services through both virtual and on-site availability of a professionally trained HR representative, as well as HR support to non-payroll clients through its HR Partner Plus solution; and retirement services administration, such as plan implementation, ongoing compliance with government regulations, employee and employer reporting, participant and employer online access, electronic funds transfer, and other administrative services. In addition, it offers cloud-based HR administration software products for employee benefits management and administration, time and attendance, digital communication solutions, recruiting, and onboarding solutions; plan administration outsourcing and state unemployment insurance services; various business services to small to medium-sized businesses comprising payroll funding and outsourcing services, which include payroll processing, invoicing, and tax preparation; and payment processing services, financial fitness programs, and a small-business loan resource center. Further, the company provides insurance services for property and casualty coverage, such as workers' compensation, business-owner policies, cyber security protection, and commercial auto, as well as health and benefits coverage, including health, dental, vision, and life. It markets and sells its services primarily through its direct sales force. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.

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