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Passage Bio Inc (PASG)PASG
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: PASG (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 49.96% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 49.96% | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 45.12M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.75 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.35 |
Volume (30-day avg) 353865 | Beta 1.19 |
52 Weeks Range 0.57 - 1.79 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 45.12M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.75 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.35 | Volume (30-day avg) 353865 | Beta 1.19 |
52 Weeks Range 0.57 - 1.79 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -34.48% | Return on Equity (TTM) -63.55% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value -20500998 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.87 |
Shares Outstanding 61767300 | Shares Floating 36856540 |
Percent Insiders 0.49 | Percent Institutions 60.96 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -20500998 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.87 | Shares Outstanding 61767300 | Shares Floating 36856540 |
Percent Insiders 0.49 | Percent Institutions 60.96 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 6.67 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 5 | Target Price 6.67 | Buy - | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Passage Bio Inc: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Passage Bio Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company founded in 2018. The company focuses on developing and commercializing gene therapy treatments for rare, monogenic central nervous system (CNS) disorders. Passage Bio leverages adeno-associated viral (AAV) vectors to deliver therapeutic genes to target tissues, aiming to provide long-term and potentially curative treatments.
Core Business Areas:
- Gene therapy development: Passage Bio focuses on developing gene therapies for rare CNS disorders caused by single-gene mutations. Their lead program targets GM1 gangliosidosis, a fatal neurodegenerative disease.
- Manufacturing and commercialization: The company aims to establish internal manufacturing capabilities and develop commercialization strategies for its gene therapy products.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Passage Bio is led by CEO and President Bruce Goldsmith, Ph.D., who brings extensive experience in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries. The company has a seasoned management team with expertise in gene therapy development, clinical research, and business development.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- PBGM01: This gene therapy candidate targets GM1 gangliosidosis, currently in Phase 1/2 clinical trials.
- PBGM02: A gene therapy candidate for Metachromatic Leukodystrophy, in preclinical development.
Market Share:
Passage Bio's products are still in development and have not yet received regulatory approval. Therefore, they do not currently have a market share.
Comparison with Competitors:
Major competitors in the gene therapy space for CNS disorders include AveXis (AVXS), BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN), and uniQure (QURE). These companies have approved gene therapies for other CNS disorders, giving them a head start in the market. However, Passage Bio's focus on GM1 gangliosidosis and Metachromatic Leukodystrophy, with no currently approved treatments, could provide a competitive advantage.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for gene therapy for CNS disorders is estimated to reach $12.5 billion by 2027. Passage Bio's target market, GM1 gangliosidosis and Metachromatic Leukodystrophy, represents a significant opportunity within this growing market.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
Passage Bio is a pre-revenue company, meaning they have not yet generated any commercial sales. As of June 30, 2023, the company had $246.5 million in cash and cash equivalents. Research and development expenses were $18.5 million in the first six months of 2023.
Year-over-Year Performance:
As a young company, Passage Bio's financial performance is still evolving. However, the significant increase in R&D expenses reflects their commitment to advancing their gene therapy pipeline.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
With a strong cash position and minimal debt, Passage Bio appears to have a healthy balance sheet. However, continued clinical development will require additional funding, which could be achieved through partnerships, equity offerings, or debt financing.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Passage Bio is a pre-revenue company and does not currently pay dividends. Shareholder returns have been negative since the company's IPO in 2021.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Passage Bio has experienced rapid growth in its short history. The company successfully completed IPO in 2021 and advanced its lead program, PBGM01, into Phase 1/2 clinical trials.
Future Growth Projections:
Future growth will depend on the success of clinical trials and regulatory approvals for PBGM01 and other pipeline candidates. Success in these areas could lead to significant revenue growth and positive shareholder returns.
Recent Product Launches and Initiatives:
Passage Bio recently initiated a Phase 1/2 clinical trial for PBGM01 in patients with GM1 gangliosidosis. This trial is expected to provide important data on the safety and efficacy of the treatment.
Market Dynamics:
Current Trends:
The gene therapy market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by technological advancements and increasing investment. Regulatory pathways for gene therapies are also evolving, with more streamlined approval processes being implemented.
Demand and Supply:
Demand for gene therapies is expected to continue to grow as more treatments become available and awareness of the technology increases. Supply may be limited in the near term due to the complex manufacturing process and regulatory hurdles.
Technological Advancements:
Ongoing research and development in gene therapy technology are expected to lead to more effective and affordable treatments. This could further drive market growth and increase accessibility for patients.
Passage Bio's Positioning:
Passage Bio is well-positioned to benefit from the growing gene therapy market, with a strong pipeline of promising candidates and a focus on large, underserved patient populations.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- AveXis (AVXS)
- BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN)
- uniQure (QURE)
Market Share Comparison:
AveXis has the largest market share in the gene therapy market for CNS disorders due to its approved treatment for Spinal Muscular Atrophy. BioMarin and uniQure also have approved gene therapies for other rare diseases. Passage Bio is currently not generating revenue and has no market share.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Passage Bio's competitive advantages include its focus on rare CNS disorders with no currently approved treatments and its proprietary AAV vector platform. However, the company faces competition from established players with more experience and resources.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Clinical trial success and regulatory approval
- Manufacturing scale-up and cost control
- Competition from established players
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets and indications
- Partnering with larger pharmaceutical companies
- Technological advancements in gene therapy
Recent Acquisitions:
Passage Bio has not made any acquisitions in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Passage Bio receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. This rating is based on a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health, market position, and future prospects. The company has a strong cash position, a promising pipeline of gene therapy candidates, and a focus on a large, underserved market. However, the company is still in the early stages of development and faces significant risks associated with clinical trials and regulatory approvals.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on information gathered from the following sources:
- Passage Bio Inc. website (https://passagebio.com/)
- SEC filings (https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/)
- Market research reports
- News articles
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is important to do your own research before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Passage Bio Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Philadelphia, PA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2020-02-28 | President, CEO & Director | Dr. William Chou M.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.passagebio.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 58 |
Headquaters | Philadelphia, PA, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Dr. William Chou M.D. | ||
Website | https://www.passagebio.com | ||
Website | https://www.passagebio.com | ||
Full time employees | 58 |
Passage Bio, Inc., a genetic medicines company, develops gene therapies for central nervous system diseases. It develops PBGM01, a functional GLB1 gene encoding ß-galactosidase for infantile GM1; PBFT02, a functional granulin (GRN) and gene encoding progranulin (PGRN) for the treatment of FTD caused by progranulin deficiency; and PBKR03, a functional GALC gene encoding the hydrolytic enzyme galactosylceramidase for infantile Krabbe disease. The company develops PBML04 for the treatment of metachromatic leukodystrophy; PBAL05 for the treatment of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis; and other program for huntington's disease. It has a strategic research collaboration with the Trustees of the University of Pennsylvania's Gene Therapy Program; and collaboration agreement, and a development services and clinical supply agreement with Catalent Maryland, Inc. Passage Bio, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
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