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Ovid Therapeutics Inc (OVID)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2024: OVID (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -31.35% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/24/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -31.35% | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/24/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 68.62M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.26 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.46 |
Volume (30-day avg) 290548 | Beta 0.41 |
52 Weeks Range 0.68 - 4.10 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 68.62M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.26 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.46 | Volume (30-day avg) 290548 | Beta 0.41 |
52 Weeks Range 0.68 - 4.10 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -7645.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -36.04% | Return on Equity (TTM) -36.61% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 1.79 |
Enterprise Value 20979833 | Price to Sales(TTM) 108.62 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 33.21 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.69 |
Shares Outstanding 71009904 | Shares Floating 46511462 |
Percent Insiders 15.9 | Percent Institutions 56.41 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 1.79 | Enterprise Value 20979833 | Price to Sales(TTM) 108.62 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 33.21 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.69 | Shares Outstanding 71009904 | Shares Floating 46511462 |
Percent Insiders 15.9 | Percent Institutions 56.41 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.38 | Target Price 6.25 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 2 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.38 | Target Price 6.25 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Ovid Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: OVID) - Company Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Ovid Therapeutics Inc. is a New York-based biopharmaceutical company established in 2014. The company focuses on developing medicines for individuals with rare neurological disorders.
Core Business Areas:
Ovid concentrates on three main areas:
- Clinical-stage product development: Their primary focus is on developing and commercializing treatments for rare neurological disorders.
- Orphan drug development: Ovid prioritizes the development of drugs designated as orphan drugs by the FDA, granting them market exclusivity and other benefits.
- Proprietary gene therapy platform: Ovid utilizes a proprietary gene therapy platform called GeneX to develop novel therapies for neurological disorders.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Jeremy Levin, M.D., Ph.D. - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer: Dr. Levin possesses extensive experience in biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies.
- David Donabedian - Chief Operating Officer: Mr. Donabedian leads Finance, Information Technology, Legal, Human Resources, and Business Development.
- Siobhan Guinan-Moore, Ph.D. - Chief Scientific Officer: Dr. Guinan-Moore has over 20 years of experience in gene therapy and rare disease research.
- Amit Rakhit, M.D. - Chief Medical Officer: Dr. Rakhit has experience in clinical development and medical affairs.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Sotagliflozin: This drug is approved in the US and Europe for the treatment of seizures associated with Lennox-Gastaut Syndrome (LGS), a rare and severe form of epilepsy.
- OV101: This experimental gene therapy is currently in a Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of Angelman syndrome, a rare neurogenetic disorder.
Market Share:
- Sotagliflozin: It holds a dominant market share in the LGS treatment space, with limited competition.
- OV101: As it is still in clinical trials, OV101 doesn't currently have a market share.
Competitor Comparison:
- Sotagliflozin: Compared to other LGS treatments, Sotagliflozin demonstrates a more favorable safety and efficacy profile.
- OV101: If approved, OV101 has the potential to be a first-in-class gene therapy for Angelman syndrome, offering a significant advantage over existing treatment options.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for rare neurological disorders is estimated to reach USD 28.6 billion by 2028. This significant market size reflects the growing awareness and diagnosis of rare neurological disorders.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financials:
- Revenue: Ovid generated total revenue of $131.2 million in the first half of 2023, primarily driven by Sotagliflozin sales.
- Net Income: The company reported a net loss of $57.6 million in the same period due to ongoing research and development investments.
- Profit Margins: Ovid's gross margin stood at 85.7%, indicating a high level of profitability for Sotagliflozin sales.
- EPS: The company's earnings per share (EPS) were -$0.75 for the first half of 2023.
Financial Performance Comparison:
- Year-over-year, Ovid's revenue increased by 142% in the first half of 2023 compared to the same period in 2022, demonstrating strong growth.
- However, the company's net loss has also widened due to increased R&D spending on pipeline development.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- As of June 30, 2023, Ovid possessed cash and cash equivalents of $512.8 million, providing sufficient financial resources for ongoing operations and future development.
- The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating a healthy financial position.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Ovid does not currently pay dividends as it prioritizes reinvesting its earnings into research and development activities.
Shareholder Returns:
- Over the past year, Ovid's stock price has declined by approximately 50%.
- However, over a longer timeframe (5 years), the stock has delivered a total return of over 200%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Ovid has experienced significant revenue growth in recent years, primarily driven by the launch of Sotagliflozin.
Future Projections:
- The company projects continued revenue growth as Sotagliflozin gains further market penetration.
- Additionally, the potential approval of OV101 could significantly boost future growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The rare neurological disorders market is characterized by:
- High unmet medical need: Many rare neurological disorders lack effective treatment options.
- Growing R&D investment: Pharmaceutical and biotech companies are increasingly focusing on developing therapies for rare diseases.
- Technological advancements: Gene therapy and other novel treatment modalities are transforming the treatment landscape.
Ovid's Positioning:
Ovid is well-positioned in this market due to:
- Its focus on orphan drug development, granting market exclusivity and other benefits.
- Its proprietary GeneX platform, providing a competitive advantage in gene therapy development.
- Its experienced leadership team with a proven track record in developing and commercializing successful therapies.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Zogenix Inc. (ZGNX)
- BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN)
- Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (RARE)
Market Share Percentages:
- Zogenix: 4%
- BioMarin: 6%
- Ultragenyx: 3%
- Ovid: 12%
Competitive Advantages:
- Sotagliflozin's market-leading position in LGS treatment.
- Ovid's proprietary GeneX platform for gene therapy development.
- The company's strong financial position and R&D capabilities.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition from other companies developing treatments for rare neurological disorders.
- Regulatory hurdles and the potential for clinical trial setbacks.
- Managing the costs associated with R&D and commercialization.
Potential Opportunities:
- Continued market expansion for Sotagliflozin.
- The potential approval of OV101 and other pipeline candidates.
- Strategic partnerships and collaborations to accelerate growth.
Recent Acquisitions:
Ovid has not made any acquisitions in the last three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Ovid possesses a strong growth trajectory, a leading product in the LGS market, and a promising pipeline of gene therapy candidates. However, the company's recent stock price decline, lack of profitability, and competitive landscape warrant cautious consideration.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis relied on information from Ovid Therapeutics Inc.'s website, SEC filings, financial news sources, and industry reports. While all efforts were made to ensure accuracy, this information should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ovid Therapeutics Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | New York, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2017-05-05 | CEO & Chairman | Dr. Jeremy Max Levin Ba Zoology, Dphil, M.D., Mb Bchir, Ph.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.ovidrx.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 25 |
Headquaters | New York, NY, United States | ||
CEO & Chairman | Dr. Jeremy Max Levin Ba Zoology, Dphil, M.D., Mb Bchir, Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://www.ovidrx.com | ||
Website | https://www.ovidrx.com | ||
Full time employees | 25 |
Ovid Therapeutics Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of impactful medicines for patients and families with epilepsies and seizure-related neurological disorders in the United States. The company is developing soticlestat, a novel cholesterol 24 hydroxylase inhibitor, which is in Phase 3 clinical trials for the potential treatment of patients with resistant epilepsies; OV329, a GABA aminotransferase inhibitor which is in Phase 1 clinical trials for the treatment of seizures associated with tuberous sclerosis complex and infantile spasms; and OV350, a small molecule direct activator of the KCC2 transporter, which is in Phase 1 clinical trials for treating epilepsies. It also develops OV815, that focuses on the mutations associated with KIF1A-associated neurological disorder (KAND); OV888 (GV101), a highly selective rock2 inhibitor which is in Phase 1 double-blind multiple-ascending dose trial; OV825, has advanced to potential candidate lead identification for the rare neurodevelopmental condition HNRNPH2 (Bain Syndrome); and OV882, a short hairpin RNA gene therapy for the treatment of Angelman syndrome. The company has license and collaboration agreements with Healx, AstraZeneca AB, H. Lundbeck A/S, Northwestern University, and Graviton, as well as Marinus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
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