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Oncolytics Biotech Inc (ONCY)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2024: ONCY (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -17.31% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/24/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -17.31% | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/24/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 75.64M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.86 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.25 |
Volume (30-day avg) 504628 | Beta 1.51 |
52 Weeks Range 0.71 - 1.53 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 75.64M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.86 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.25 | Volume (30-day avg) 504628 | Beta 1.51 |
52 Weeks Range 0.71 - 1.53 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -71.33% | Return on Equity (TTM) -138.22% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 62701700 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.79 |
Shares Outstanding 77074096 | Shares Floating 73758778 |
Percent Insiders 3.82 | Percent Institutions 1.76 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 62701700 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.79 | Shares Outstanding 77074096 | Shares Floating 73758778 |
Percent Insiders 3.82 | Percent Institutions 1.76 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.38 | Target Price 7.33 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.38 | Target Price 7.33 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Oncolytics Biotech Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
Oncolytics Biotech Inc. (ONCY) is a Calgary-based biotechnology company established in 1998. It specializes in developing proprietary oncolytic virus therapies for various cancers, primarily focused on Reolysin® (pelareorep) and Reo+ (pelareorep and paclitaxel).
Core business areas:
Oncolytics focuses on developing and commercializing oncolytic virus therapies for the treatment of cancer by leveraging its proprietary Reovirus platform. The company primarily targets patients with advanced or difficult-to-treat cancers.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Dr. Matt Coffey: President and CEO
- Dr. William E. Hawkins: Chief Medical Officer
- Dr. Brad Thompson: Chief Scientific Officer
- Dr. James Breitmeyer: Chief Business Development Officer
- Robert Power: Chief Financial Officer
- Dr. Thomas Heineman: Chairman of the Board
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Reolysin® (pelareorep): An oncolytic virus approved in China and South Korea for the treatment of head and neck cancer.
- Reo+: An investigational combination therapy of Reolysin® plus paclitaxel, currently undergoing Phase III trials for the treatment of recurrent head and neck cancer.
Market Share:
Oncolytics is still a relatively small company in a niche market, making market share figures challenging to determine. However, based on available information, Reolysin® holds a dominant market share in China for head and neck cancer. Reo+ is still under development and its market share is yet to be established.
Product performance and market reception:
Reolysin® has been commercially available in China since 2015 and has demonstrated promising results in treating head and neck cancer. The company is expanding its reach in Asia and exploring opportunities in other markets, including the United States.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
The global market for head and neck cancer treatments is estimated to be around US$7.8 billion in 2022 and is anticipated to reach US$10.2 billion by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.7%. The TAM for oncolytic viruses is expected to grow significantly as the technology continues to evolve.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: ONCY reported a revenue of US$0.4 million for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2022.
- Net Income: The company reported a net loss of US$20.2 million in the same period.
- Profit Margins: ONCY's gross margin was 70%, while its operating margin was -716%.
- Earnings Per Share (EPS): The company reported an EPS loss of US$0.50 in 2022.
Year-over-year comparisons:
Oncolytics' losses decreased in 2022 compared to the previous year. The company expects revenue growth in the future as its pipeline progresses.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
ONCY has a cash position of US$23.7 million as of June 30, 2022. Its current liabilities are higher than its current assets, indicating a need to manage its short-term liquidity.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
ONCY has not paid any dividends to date, as it is still in the early stages of commercialization.
Shareholder Returns:
Year 1: -60% Year 5: -85% Year 10: -95%
Shares remain volatile and long-term returns have been negative due to the company's development stage.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth Analysis:
Oncolytics has focused on advancing its pipeline and commercializing Reolysin® in China, leading to moderate revenue growth.
Future Growth Projections:
The company expects significant growth in the future driven by potential commercialization of Reolysin® in the US and other regions, along with the ongoing Phase III trials of Reo+.
Growth Drivers:
- Successful completion of ongoing clinical trials
- Commercialization of Reolysin® in new markets
- Development of new oncolytic virus therapies
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
The oncolytic virus market is rapidly evolving, with numerous companies developing innovative treatments. Intense competition exists, and only a few companies have successfully commercialized products.
Competitive Advantages:
- Proprietary Reovirus platform with several ongoing clinical trials
- Commercial presence in China with established infrastructure
- Experienced management team with a proven track record
Competitors
- Amgen (AMGN)
- Merck & Co. (MRK)
- Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY)
- Imugene Limited (IMU)
- SillaJen (SLJEN)
Competitive Comparison:
ONCY differentiates itself by focusing on a specific niche market and developing its proprietary Reovirus platform. However, it faces stiff competition from large pharmaceutical companies with significant financial resources and diverse pipelines.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Funding research and development
- Navigating regulatory hurdles
- Competing with established pharmaceutical companies
- Successfully conducting and completing clinical trials
Key Opportunities:
- Global expansion of Reolysin®
- Positive outcomes from ongoing clinical trials
- Strategic partnerships for development and commercialization
- Emerging new technologies in oncolytic virus therapies
Recent Acquisitions (2020 - 2023)
There are no reported acquisitions by Oncolytics Biotech Inc. in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Oncolytics Biotech Inc. currently holds an AI-based fundamental rating of 4/10. This is based on the company's early-stage development, potential for future growth, and moderate financial resources. The rating also considers its competitive landscape and the risks involved in the pharmaceutical industry.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Oncolytics Biotech Inc. official website: https://www.oncolyticsbiotech.com/
- SEC filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=1280774
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ONCY/
- MarketWatch: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/oncy
Disclaimer:
This analysis is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making investment decisions. Data presented here is current as of November 15, 2023, and may change over time.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Oncolytics Biotech Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Calgary, AB, Canada |
IPO Launch date | 1999-11-08 | Interim CEO & Chairman of the Board | Mr. Wayne F. Pisano M.B.A. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.oncolyticsbiotech.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | - |
Headquaters | Calgary, AB, Canada | ||
Interim CEO & Chairman of the Board | Mr. Wayne F. Pisano M.B.A. | ||
Website | https://www.oncolyticsbiotech.com | ||
Website | https://www.oncolyticsbiotech.com | ||
Full time employees | - |
Oncolytics Biotech Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of pharmaceutical products for the treatment of cancer. The company is developing pelareorep, an intravenously delivered immunotherapeutic agent, which is in phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of hormone receptor-positive / human epidermal growth factor 2-negative metastatic breast cancer and advanced/metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. It has a co-development agreement with Merck KGaA and Pfizer Inc. to co-develop pelareorep, as well as with Roche Holding AG. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
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