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Oncolytics Biotech Inc (ONCY)ONCY
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: ONCY (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 7.25% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 29 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 7.25% | Avg. Invested days: 29 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 72.37M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.85 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.28 |
Volume (30-day avg) 177323 | Beta 1.38 |
52 Weeks Range 0.85 - 2.30 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 72.37M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.85 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.28 | Volume (30-day avg) 177323 | Beta 1.38 |
52 Weeks Range 0.85 - 2.30 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -71.33% | Return on Equity (TTM) -138.22% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 54909789 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.79 |
Shares Outstanding 76857200 | Shares Floating 73755699 |
Percent Insiders 3.82 | Percent Institutions 1.76 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 54909789 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.79 | Shares Outstanding 76857200 | Shares Floating 73755699 |
Percent Insiders 3.82 | Percent Institutions 1.76 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.38 | Target Price 7.33 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.38 | Target Price 7.33 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Oncolytics Biotech Inc. - A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
Oncolytics Biotech Inc. (NASDAQ: ONCY) is a clinical-stage oncology company established in 2002, with headquarters in Calgary, Canada. The company focuses on developing proprietary oncolytic virotherapy for the treatment of various cancer types. The core of their technology revolves around the development and application of the proprietary vesicular stomatitis virus (VSV) platform.
Core business areas:
- Research and development of oncolytic viruses for cancer treatment.
- Preclinical and clinical research on various cancer types including melanoma, breast, and head and neck.
- Development of novel delivery systems for oncolytic viruses.
- Partnering with other biopharmaceutical companies for clinical development and commercialization.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Dr. Matt Coffey - President & CEO
- Brad Thompson - Chief Medical Officer
- Matt Johnston - Chief Financial Officer
- Jennifer Harrop - Chief Scientific Officer
- The company operates with a Board of Directors, Scientific Advisory Board, and Audit Committee.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products and offerings:
- Reolysin™: Oncolytic virus for the treatment of advanced melanoma, currently in Phase III clinical trial.
- Tavokin™: Immunotherapeutic agent based on the measles virus, studied for the treatment of head & neck cancer, melanoma, and breast cancer.
- PARP Inhibitor Combination: Combination therapy strategy with Reolysin and poly ADP-ribose polymerase (PARP) inhibitors for enhanced anti-tumor effects.
Market share:
- The company's products are still in clinical development, without FDA approval. Therefore, they do not hold any significant market share currently.
- The potential market share of Reolysin is estimated to be 5% of the $3-5 billion advanced melanoma market, post-approval and commercialization.
Competitive landscape:
- Reolysin faces competition from other oncolytic virotherapies and immunotherapy agents in development.
- The key advantage of Reolysin over competitors is its potential to directly kill cancer cells and boost the immune system for long-term efficacy.
Total Addressable Market:
The global oncolytic market is estimated to reach USD 1.7 billion by 2025. Within this, the melanoma and head & neck cancer markets are estimated to be significant segments, driving the growth of the oncolytic virotherapy industry.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements:
- Revenue: Oncolytics is a development-stage company with minimal revenue generated. The primary source of income comes from research grants, collaborations, and licensing agreements.
- Net income: The company is yet to achieve profitability. Net losses are primarily driven by R&D expenditure, clinical trial costs, and administrative expenses.
- Cash flow and balance sheet health: The company relies on issuing shares and debt financing to support ongoing operations. They have reported cash and cash equivalents of approximately $31.4 million as of September 30, 2023.
- Profitability and EPS: As a pre-revenue company, Oncolytics has not reported any earnings and EPS remains negative.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history:
Oncolytics does not currently pay dividends due to its focus on research and development, which requires reinvesting capital back into the company.
Shareholder returns:
- Year-to-date (2023): Share price has experienced fluctuations, currently showing a negative return.
- 5-year performance: Share price has demonstrated volatility, with a cumulative negative return over the past five years.
- 10-year performance: Data is not available since the company has existed for less than 10 years.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
- Over the past 5 years, Oncolytics has primarily focused on advancing its clinical programs and building its technology platform. This has resulted in the initiation of Phase III trials for Reolysin and advancement of other programs.
- Revenue and EPS have not demonstrated significant growth due to the pre-revenue stage of the company's development.
Future growth projections:
- The successful completion of ongoing clinical trials, especially the Phase III trial for Reolysin, could lead to FDA approval and significant revenue growth.
- Strategic partnerships and potential licensing deals could provide additional financial resources and accelerate market penetration.
- Expansion into new cancer indications and development of novel delivery systems can further drive future growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry overview:
- The oncolytic virotherapy market is an emerging field with significant growth potential.
- Advancements in genetic engineering and virology have led to the development of more efficient and targeted oncolytic virus-based therapies.
- Growing demand for personalized and effective treatment options for cancer patients drives the adoption of oncolytic virotherapies.
Oncolytics' positioning:
- The company is at the forefront of developing innovative oncolytic virotherapy platforms with its unique VSV technology.
- Their clinical programs focus on addressing unmet needs in various cancer types, offering promising treatment options.
- Collaborations with other leading research institutions and biopharmaceutical companies strengthen their market position.
Competitors:
- Amgen Inc. (AMGN)
- Biocytogen Pharmaceuticals (BCBP)
- Bristol Myers Squibb Company (BMY)
- Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK)
- Pfizer (PFE)
- SillaJen Inc. (KO)
These companies have established products in the oncology market and invest heavily in developing innovative cancer treatment options. Oncolytics differentiates itself by its proprietary VSV technology and the potential for superior efficacy with Reolysin and other drug candidates.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Failure to meet clinical trial endpoints or regulatory setbacks could delay market entry and impact financial performance.
- Intense competition in the oncology market from established players and other emerging companies.
- Uncertainties in securing adequate funding for ongoing clinical trials and operations.
Opportunities:
- Positive clinical trial outcomes, especially for Reolysin, could lead to FDA approval and rapid market share gains.
- Strategic partnerships and potential acquisitions can provide additional funding and access to novel technologies.
- Development of new products and expansion into new therapeutic areas can open up new market opportunities.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
Oncolytics has not acquired any companies in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an analysis of various factors, including financial health, clinical progress, market dynamics, and competitive landscape, the AI-based fundamental rating for Oncolytics Biotech Inc. is 6.5 out of 10.
Justification for the rating:
- The company possesses a promising pipeline of oncolytic viruses with potential for high efficacy.
- They are actively pursuing clinical development and have established important collaborations.
- However, the pre-revenue stage, intense competition, and funding risks are considered limitations.
Future potential:
The future prospects for Oncolytics are highly dependent on the success of its ongoing clinical trials. Strong results could propel the company towards profitability and rapid market penetration.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- This information was gathered from Oncolytics Biotech Inc.'s website, recent SEC filings, press releases, and industry reports from reputable sources like Market Research Future, Grand View Research, and Zion Market Research.
- The analysis presented here is based on publicly available information and does not constitute financial advice. Any investment decisions should be made with independent research and professional consultation.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Oncolytics Biotech Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Calgary, AB, Canada |
IPO Launch date | 1999-11-08 | Interim CEO & Chairman of the Board | Mr. Wayne F. Pisano M.B.A. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.oncolyticsbiotech.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | - |
Headquaters | Calgary, AB, Canada | ||
Interim CEO & Chairman of the Board | Mr. Wayne F. Pisano M.B.A. | ||
Website | https://www.oncolyticsbiotech.com | ||
Website | https://www.oncolyticsbiotech.com | ||
Full time employees | - |
Oncolytics Biotech Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of pharmaceutical products for the treatment of cancer. The company is developing pelareorep, an intravenously delivered immunotherapeutic agent, which is in phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of hormone receptor-positive / human epidermal growth factor 2-negative metastatic breast cancer and advanced/metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. It has a co-development agreement with Merck KGaA and Pfizer Inc. to co-develop pelareorep, as well as with Roche Holding AG. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
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