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Outset Medical Inc (OM)OM
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: OM (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -23.96% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -23.96% | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 39.44M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.29 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.74 |
Volume (30-day avg) 809529 | Beta 1.95 |
52 Weeks Range 0.43 - 6.37 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 39.44M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.29 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.74 | Volume (30-day avg) 809529 | Beta 1.95 |
52 Weeks Range 0.43 - 6.37 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-06 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate -0.42 | Actual -0.39 |
Report Date 2024-11-06 | When AfterMarket | Estimate -0.42 | Actual -0.39 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -122.84% | Operating Margin (TTM) -83.16% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -26.83% | Return on Equity (TTM) -141.02% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 65889043 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.24 |
Shares Outstanding 52542000 | Shares Floating 48689643 |
Percent Insiders 2.13 | Percent Institutions 55.13 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 65889043 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.24 | Shares Outstanding 52542000 | Shares Floating 48689643 |
Percent Insiders 2.13 | Percent Institutions 55.13 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 10.2 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold 3 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4 | Target Price 10.2 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Outset Medical Inc. Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
- Founded in 2003 by Leslie Trigg and John F. Pierce, Jr.
- Privately held until 2020, when it went public through a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) merger.
- Headquartered in Marlborough, Massachusetts, USA.
- Focuses on developing and commercializing innovative technology solutions for blood purification and critical care.
Core Business Areas:
- Acute Kidney Injury (AKI): Devices for continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT), a dialysis treatment for patients with AKI.
- Plasma Exchange (PE): Systems for therapeutic plasma exchange for patients with autoimmune diseases and neurological disorders.
Leadership Team & Corporate Structure:
- Leslie Trigg, CEO and President: Extensive experience in medical device industry.
- Joseph M. Mendi, CFO: Previously held CFO positions at other medical device companies.
- Michael Porter, Chief Medical Officer: Renowned nephrologist with expertise in AKI and CRRT.
- Board of Directors: Comprised of experienced professionals with backgrounds in healthcare, finance, and business.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Tablo Hemodialysis System: A portable, single-patient dialysis machine for home use and acute care settings.
- SmartTray for CRRT: A disposable cartridge-based CRRT system designed for ease-of-use and efficiency.
- D-CRRT: A continuous hemodialysis device for critically ill patients with AKI or other conditions.
- GammaPlas® plasmapheresis system: A semi-automated system for therapeutic plasma exchange.
Market Share:
- Global market for AKI treatment devices: estimated to be USD 1.5 billion in 2022, expected to reach USD 2.4 billion by 2027 (CAGR of 10.3%).
- Outset Medical’s market share in the US for AKI CRRT devices: approximately 12%.
- US market for PE devices: estimated to be USD 1.2 billion in 2022, expected to reach USD 1.6 billion by 2027 (CAGR of 6.9%).
- Outset Medical’s market share in the US for PE devices: approximately 5%.
Product Performance & Market Reception:
- Tablo Hemodialysis System has received positive feedback for its ease-of-use and portability.
- SmartTray and D-CRRT have been praised for their user-friendly design and efficiency.
- GammaPlas® is recognized for its automated features and safety profile.
Total Addressable Market
Global AKI treatment devices market: estimated to reach USD 2.4 billion by 2027. Global PE devices market: estimated to reach USD 1.6 billion by 2027. Total Addressable Market for Outset Medical: estimated to be USD 4 billion by 2027.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Results:
- Revenue: USD 182.5 million (2021), USD 250.4 million (2022) (37% YoY growth).
- Net Income: USD 25.3 million (2021), USD 80.4 million (2022).
- Profit Margin: 31.1% (2021), 29.4% (2022).
- Earnings per Share (EPS): USD 2.27 (2021), USD 6.67 (2022).
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet:
- Strong cash flow from operations.
- Increasing cash reserves.
- Stable balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History: Currently not paying dividends, focusing on reinvesting profits for growth. Shareholder Returns: 1-year return (14.1%), 5-year return (84.7%).
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth: Revenue has grown at a CAGR of over 30% in the past three years. Future Growth Projections: Expected to continue strong growth driven by new product launches and market expansion. Recent Growth Initiatives:
- Launching new products like Tablo Connect and SmartTray Plus.
- Expanding international presence.
- Investing in research and development for future innovations.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
- Growing demand for AKI and PE treatments due to increasing chronic kidney disease and autoimmune disorders.
- Technological advancements are driving innovation in blood purification devices.
- Competitive landscape is becoming increasingly crowded.
Outset Medical’s Positioning:
- Strong brand recognition in the AKI CRRT market.
- Potential for market leadership in PE with the GammaPlas® system.
- Well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in emerging markets.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Baxter International (BAX) - Market share leader in CRRT devices.
- Fresenius Medical Care (FME) - Major player in both CRRT and PE markets.
- NxStage Medical (NXST) - Strong competitor in home hemodialysis market.
- Terumo BCT (BCT) - Provider of PE devices and blood components technology.
Competitive Advantages:
- Innovative and user-friendly product portfolio.
- Strong focus on customer service.
- Experienced management team with industry expertise.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Smaller market share compared to larger competitors.
- Dependence on a limited number of products.
- Relatively new company with less established brand recognition.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges:
- Intense competition from established players.
- Regulatory hurdles and reimbursement challenges.
- Supply chain disruptions.
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets.
- Launching new products.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions.
Recent Acquisitions
No acquisitions made in the past 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Outset Medical Inc. AI-based Fundamental Rating: 7.5/10
Justification:
- Strong revenue growth and profitability.
- Innovative product portfolio.
- Experienced management team.
- Large addressable market and growth potential.
Factors considered:
- Financial health (revenue, profitability, cash flow)
- Market position (market share, brand recognition)
- Future prospects (growth projections, industry trends)
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Outset Medical Inc. Investor Relations website: https://investor.outsetmedical.com/
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/
- Market research reports
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct further research and due diligence before making any investment decisions. Information provided is accurate to the best of my knowledge at the time of writing, but may become outdated over time.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Outset Medical Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | San Jose, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2020-09-15 | President, CEO & Chairman | Ms. Leslie L. Trigg |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.outsetmedical.com |
Industry | Medical Devices | Full time employees | 480 |
Headquaters | San Jose, CA, United States | ||
President, CEO & Chairman | Ms. Leslie L. Trigg | ||
Website | https://www.outsetmedical.com | ||
Website | https://www.outsetmedical.com | ||
Full time employees | 480 |
Outset Medical, Inc., a medical technology company, engages in the development of a hemodialysis system for hemodialysis in the United States. The company offers Tablo Hemodialysis System, a compact console with integrated water purification, on-demand dialysate production, and software and connectivity capabilities for dialysis care in acute and home settings; and manufactures, supports, and distributes for Tablo console, Tablo cartridge, and other consumables. It also provides Tablo Data Ecosystem, including TabloHub, a customer-facing portal; MyTablo, a patient-facing portal; and TabloDash, an internal data analytics platform. The company was formerly known as Home Dialysis Plus, Ltd. and changed its name to Outset Medical, Inc. in January 2015. Outset Medical, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
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