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Outset Medical Inc (OM)OM

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Outset Medical Inc
$0.65
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: OM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -6.25%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3
Avg. Invested days: 33
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -6.25%
Avg. Invested days: 33
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 27.66M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 3.63
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -3.14
Volume (30-day avg) 3316488
Beta 1.91
52 Weeks Range 0.43 - 12.36
Updated Date 09/18/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 27.66M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 3.63
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -3.14
Volume (30-day avg) 3316488
Beta 1.91
52 Weeks Range 0.43 - 12.36
Updated Date 09/18/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -136.72%
Operating Margin (TTM) -112.33%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -28.99%
Return on Equity (TTM) -126.48%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 35119890
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.3
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.24
Shares Outstanding 52089800
Shares Floating 48270571
Percent Insiders 2.15
Percent Institutions 96.53
Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 35119890
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.3
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.24
Shares Outstanding 52089800
Shares Floating 48270571
Percent Insiders 2.15
Percent Institutions 96.53

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4
Target Price 10.2
Buy 1
Strong Buy 3
Hold 3
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4
Target Price 10.2
Buy 1
Strong Buy 3
Hold 3
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Outset Medical Inc. Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

History and Background:

  • Founded in 2003 by Leslie Trigg and John F. Pierce, Jr.
  • Privately held until 2020, when it went public through a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) merger.
  • Headquartered in Marlborough, Massachusetts, USA.
  • Focuses on developing and commercializing innovative technology solutions for blood purification and critical care.

Core Business Areas:

  • Acute Kidney Injury (AKI): Devices for continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT), a dialysis treatment for patients with AKI.
  • Plasma Exchange (PE): Systems for therapeutic plasma exchange for patients with autoimmune diseases and neurological disorders.

Leadership Team & Corporate Structure:

  • Leslie Trigg, CEO and President: Extensive experience in medical device industry.
  • Joseph M. Mendi, CFO: Previously held CFO positions at other medical device companies.
  • Michael Porter, Chief Medical Officer: Renowned nephrologist with expertise in AKI and CRRT.
  • Board of Directors: Comprised of experienced professionals with backgrounds in healthcare, finance, and business.

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products:

  • Tablo Hemodialysis System: A portable, single-patient dialysis machine for home use and acute care settings.
  • SmartTray for CRRT: A disposable cartridge-based CRRT system designed for ease-of-use and efficiency.
  • D-CRRT: A continuous hemodialysis device for critically ill patients with AKI or other conditions.
  • GammaPlas® plasmapheresis system: A semi-automated system for therapeutic plasma exchange.

Market Share:

  • Global market for AKI treatment devices: estimated to be USD 1.5 billion in 2022, expected to reach USD 2.4 billion by 2027 (CAGR of 10.3%).
  • Outset Medical’s market share in the US for AKI CRRT devices: approximately 12%.
  • US market for PE devices: estimated to be USD 1.2 billion in 2022, expected to reach USD 1.6 billion by 2027 (CAGR of 6.9%).
  • Outset Medical’s market share in the US for PE devices: approximately 5%.

Product Performance & Market Reception:

  • Tablo Hemodialysis System has received positive feedback for its ease-of-use and portability.
  • SmartTray and D-CRRT have been praised for their user-friendly design and efficiency.
  • GammaPlas® is recognized for its automated features and safety profile.

Total Addressable Market

Global AKI treatment devices market: estimated to reach USD 2.4 billion by 2027. Global PE devices market: estimated to reach USD 1.6 billion by 2027. Total Addressable Market for Outset Medical: estimated to be USD 4 billion by 2027.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Results:

  • Revenue: USD 182.5 million (2021), USD 250.4 million (2022) (37% YoY growth).
  • Net Income: USD 25.3 million (2021), USD 80.4 million (2022).
  • Profit Margin: 31.1% (2021), 29.4% (2022).
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): USD 2.27 (2021), USD 6.67 (2022).

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet:

  • Strong cash flow from operations.
  • Increasing cash reserves.
  • Stable balance sheet with manageable debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History: Currently not paying dividends, focusing on reinvesting profits for growth. Shareholder Returns: 1-year return (14.1%), 5-year return (84.7%).

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth: Revenue has grown at a CAGR of over 30% in the past three years. Future Growth Projections: Expected to continue strong growth driven by new product launches and market expansion. Recent Growth Initiatives:

  • Launching new products like Tablo Connect and SmartTray Plus.
  • Expanding international presence.
  • Investing in research and development for future innovations.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview:

  • Growing demand for AKI and PE treatments due to increasing chronic kidney disease and autoimmune disorders.
  • Technological advancements are driving innovation in blood purification devices.
  • Competitive landscape is becoming increasingly crowded.

Outset Medical’s Positioning:

  • Strong brand recognition in the AKI CRRT market.
  • Potential for market leadership in PE with the GammaPlas® system.
  • Well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in emerging markets.

Competitors

Key Competitors:

  • Baxter International (BAX) - Market share leader in CRRT devices.
  • Fresenius Medical Care (FME) - Major player in both CRRT and PE markets.
  • NxStage Medical (NXST) - Strong competitor in home hemodialysis market.
  • Terumo BCT (BCT) - Provider of PE devices and blood components technology.

Competitive Advantages:

  • Innovative and user-friendly product portfolio.
  • Strong focus on customer service.
  • Experienced management team with industry expertise.

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • Smaller market share compared to larger competitors.
  • Dependence on a limited number of products.
  • Relatively new company with less established brand recognition.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Challenges:

  • Intense competition from established players.
  • Regulatory hurdles and reimbursement challenges.
  • Supply chain disruptions.

Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new markets.
  • Launching new products.
  • Strategic partnerships and acquisitions.

Recent Acquisitions

No acquisitions made in the past 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Outset Medical Inc. AI-based Fundamental Rating: 7.5/10

Justification:

  • Strong revenue growth and profitability.
  • Innovative product portfolio.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Large addressable market and growth potential.

Factors considered:

  • Financial health (revenue, profitability, cash flow)
  • Market position (market share, brand recognition)
  • Future prospects (growth projections, industry trends)

Sources and Disclaimers

Sources:

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct further research and due diligence before making any investment decisions. Information provided is accurate to the best of my knowledge at the time of writing, but may become outdated over time.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Outset Medical Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters San Jose, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-09-15 President, CEO & Chairman Ms. Leslie L. Trigg
Sector Healthcare Website https://www.outsetmedical.com
Industry Medical Devices Full time employees 480
Headquaters San Jose, CA, United States
President, CEO & Chairman Ms. Leslie L. Trigg
Website https://www.outsetmedical.com
Website https://www.outsetmedical.com
Full time employees 480

Outset Medical, Inc., a medical technology company, engages in the development of a hemodialysis system for hemodialysis in the United States. The company offers Tablo Hemodialysis System, a compact console with integrated water purification, on-demand dialysate production, and software and connectivity capabilities for dialysis care in acute and home settings; and manufactures, supports, and distributes for Tablo console, Tablo cartridge, and other consumables. It also provides Tablo Data Ecosystem, including TabloHub, a customer-facing portal; MyTablo, a patient-facing portal; and TabloDash, an internal data analytics platform. The company was formerly known as Home Dialysis Plus, Ltd. and changed its name to Outset Medical, Inc. in January 2015. Outset Medical, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

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