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Ollie\'s Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: OLLI (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -17.36% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.13B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 36.02 | 1Y Target Price 125.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio 36.02 | 1Y Target Price 125.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1230138 | Beta 0.83 | 52 Weeks Range 68.05 - 120.03 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 68.05 - 120.03 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.23 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-18 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.1949 | Actual 1.19 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.79% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.15% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.42% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.47% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 36.02 | Forward PE 30.67 | Enterprise Value 7267657025 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.14 |
Enterprise Value 7267657025 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.14 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.2 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 24.77 | Shares Outstanding 61251000 | Shares Floating 61025614 |
Shares Outstanding 61251000 | Shares Floating 61025614 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.26 | Percent Institutions 111.24 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 125.13 | Buy 4 | Strong Buy 8 |
Buy 4 | Strong Buy 8 | ||
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg

Company Overview
History and Background
Ollie's Bargain Outlet was founded in 1982 in Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania. The company focuses on selling closeout merchandise and excess inventory from other retailers at discounted prices. Over the years, Ollie's has expanded its store footprint and developed a loyal customer base due to its treasure hunt shopping experience and value proposition.
Core Business Areas
- Discount Retail: Ollie's operates as a discount retailer, offering a wide variety of products across various categories, including housewares, food, books, toys, and hardware, all at significantly reduced prices.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team consists of the CEO, CFO, and other key executives responsible for setting the strategic direction and managing the company's operations. The organizational structure is hierarchical, with regional managers overseeing store operations and reporting to corporate headquarters.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Housewares: Ollie's offers a range of housewares, including kitchen gadgets, home decor, and cleaning supplies. Market share data for specific houseware products is not publicly available. Competitors include TJ Maxx (TJX), Ross Stores (ROST), and Dollar General (DG).
- Food: Ollie's sells discounted food items, including snacks, beverages, and shelf-stable goods. Competitors include Dollar General (DG), Dollar Tree (DLTR), and Grocery Outlet (GO).
- Hardware: Ollie's features discounted tools, seasonal products, and home improvement items. Competitors include Harbor Freight Tools and big box hardware retailers like Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The discount retail industry is characterized by intense competition and a focus on value pricing. Consumers are increasingly seeking bargains, making this a growing sector. The industry is driven by consumer spending habits and economic conditions.
Positioning
Ollie's differentiates itself through its 'treasure hunt' shopping experience and deeply discounted prices on brand-name merchandise. Its competitive advantages include a strong sourcing network and a loyal customer base.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for discount retail is estimated in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Ollie's is positioned to capture a portion of this market through continued store expansion and effective merchandising.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Loyal customer base
- Effective sourcing network
- Treasure hunt shopping experience
- Deeply discounted prices
Weaknesses
- Inconsistent merchandise assortment
- Reliance on closeout inventory
- Limited online presence
- Potential supply chain disruptions
- Smaller Average order size as compared to competitors
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Increased online sales
- Strategic partnerships with suppliers
- Growing demand for value-priced goods
- Enhance customer loyalty program
Threats
- Increased competition from other discount retailers
- Economic downturn
- Changes in consumer preferences
- Supply chain disruptions
- Inflation impacting sourcing costs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- TJ Maxx (TJX)
- Ross Stores (ROST)
- Dollar General (DG)
- Dollar Tree (DLTR)
- Big Lots (BIG)
Competitive Landscape
Ollie's competes with other discount retailers based on price, product assortment, and store location. Its 'treasure hunt' experience provides a differentiating factor, but it faces challenges from larger competitors with greater scale.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Ollie's has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by new store openings and increased same-store sales.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Ollie's, with expectations for further store expansion and revenue increases.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new markets and enhancing its loyalty program.
Summary
Ollie's Bargain Outlet is a growing discount retailer with a loyal customer base and a differentiated shopping experience. The company's strong sourcing network and value proposition are key strengths. However, Ollie's faces challenges related to consistent merchandise assortment and increasing competition. Future growth depends on successful store expansion and effective management of its supply chain and cost structure.
Similar Companies

BIG

Big Lots Inc



BIG

Big Lots Inc

DG

Dollar General Corporation



DG

Dollar General Corporation

DLTR

Dollar Tree Inc



DLTR

Dollar Tree Inc

ROST

Ross Stores Inc



ROST

Ross Stores Inc

TJX

The TJX Companies Inc



TJX

The TJX Companies Inc
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings, Market research reports, Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
The data and analysis provided are for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Actual results may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Harrisburg, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-07-16 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Eric van der Valk | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Discount Stores | Full time employees 5900 | Website https://www.ollies.com |
Full time employees 5900 | Website https://www.ollies.com |
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory in the United States. The company offers housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics; and other products, including hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pet and lawn, and garden products. It sells its products under the Ollie's, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie's Army, Real Brands Real Cheap!, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sarasota Breeze, Steelton Tools, American Way, and Middleton Home brands. The company was formerly known as Bargain Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. in March 2015. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.
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