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NetScout Systems Inc (NTCT)NTCT
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: NTCT (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: -45.36% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: -45.36% | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.52B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 21.77 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -8.19 |
Volume (30-day avg) 403251 | Beta 0.58 |
52 Weeks Range 17.10 - 24.42 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.52B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 21.77 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -8.19 | Volume (30-day avg) 403251 | Beta 0.58 |
52 Weeks Range 17.10 - 24.42 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-24 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 0.45 | Actual 0.47 |
Report Date 2024-10-24 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 0.45 | Actual 0.47 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -76.14% | Operating Margin (TTM) 8.65% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1% | Return on Equity (TTM) -34.26% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 10.8 |
Enterprise Value 1237791092 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.93 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -50.09 |
Shares Outstanding 71717296 | Shares Floating 67836670 |
Percent Insiders 3.71 | Percent Institutions 93.47 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 10.8 | Enterprise Value 1237791092 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.93 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -50.09 | Shares Outstanding 71717296 | Shares Floating 67836670 |
Percent Insiders 3.71 | Percent Institutions 93.47 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 30.9 | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold 2 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3 | Target Price 30.9 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
NetScout Systems Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts. Initially known as Network General Corporation, the company rebranded as NetScout in 2006. NetScout provides network and service assurance solutions for global businesses.
Core Business Areas:
NetScout focuses on three core business areas:
- Cloud and Data Center: Enabling visibility, performance, and security for cloud and data center environments.
- Converged Enterprise: Assuring performance and security across wired and wireless networks, with a focus on unified communications and collaboration applications.
- Managed Service Providers (MSPs): Delivering visibility, performance, and security solutions through MSPs to enterprise and government customers.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
As of November 2023, NetScout's leadership team includes:
- Michael Szabados: President and Chief Executive Officer
- Mike McDougal: Chief Financial Officer
- Timotheos (Tim) Perdikakis: Chief Technology Officer
- John Del Mauro: Chief Human Resources Officer
- John Giamatteo: Senior Vice President, Worldwide Sales
- John Petrisko: Senior Vice President, Global Services
The Board of Directors consists of ten members with expertise in technology, finance, and business leadership.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
- InfiniStreamNG: Network Performance Management (NPM) solution offering comprehensive network visibility, deep packet inspection, and performance monitoring.
- nGeniusONE: AIOps platform providing proactive service assurance for complex IT environments.
- Arbor Edge Defense: Threat detection and mitigation platform for distributed denial-of-service (DDoS) attacks and cyber threats.
- vSTREAM: Network performance monitoring and troubleshooting solution for virtualized and cloud environments.
Market Share:
NetScout holds a significant market share in the network performance monitoring (NPM) and service assurance markets. As per industry reports, NetScout's NPM market share is around 14.5%, with key competitors like Cisco, SolarWinds, and ManageEngine holding larger shares.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
NetScout's products are generally well-received by customers and industry analysts. InfiniStreamNG and nGeniusONE receive high marks for their comprehensive features and scalability. However, some reports indicate that NetScout's products might be slightly more expensive than some competitors.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global IT service assurance market, which NetScout operates in, is estimated to be around $10.4 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.3% between 2023 and 2028. This indicates a substantial market opportunity for NetScout.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements Analysis:
Based on the latest available financial statements, NetScout's revenue in 2022 was $475.3 million, with a net income of $70.3 million. The company's profit margins have remained relatively stable over the past few years, and EPS has also shown steady growth.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
NetScout's revenue and net income have grown consistently over the past few years. Compared to 2021, the company's revenue increased by 5.3% in 2022, and net income grew by 12.5%.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
NetScout has a healthy cash flow position, with consistent operating cash flow over the past few years. The company also has a solid balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
NetScout has a history of paying dividends to shareholders. The current annual dividend yield is approximately 0.85%, and the payout ratio is around 30%.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, NetScout's stock has outperformed the S&P 500 index. However, over a longer 5-year period, the company's stock has seen moderate growth compared to the broader market.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
NetScout has demonstrated consistent revenue and earnings growth over the past 5-10 years. The company has also actively pursued acquisitions to expand its product portfolio and market reach.
Future Growth Projections:
Industry analysts project continued growth for NetScout, with expected revenue to reach $525 million by 2025. This growth will be driven by the increasing demand for network performance monitoring and service assurance solutions in the cloud and hybrid IT environments.
Recent Initiatives:
NetScout is focusing on expanding its cloud-based solutions and developing AI-powered analytics capabilities to enhance its product offerings and remain competitive.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
The IT service assurance market is characterized by ongoing innovation and technological advancements. Cloud adoption, increasing network complexity, and the rise of new security threats are driving the demand for comprehensive network performance monitoring and service assurance solutions.
NetScout's Position:
NetScout is well-positioned within the market due to its strong brand recognition, comprehensive product portfolio, and focus on innovation. The company's expanding cloud-based solutions and AI integration position it favorably to address future market demands.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Cisco (CSCO)
- SolarWinds (SWI)
- ManageEngine (part of Zoho Corporation)
- Dynatrace (DT)
- Splunk (SPLK)
Market Share Comparison:
Cisco and SolarWinds are the leading players in the NPM market, with larger market shares than NetScout. However, NetScout holds a significant market share in specific segments like service assurance and security.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
NetScout's advantages include its strong brand reputation, comprehensive product portfolio, and focus on innovation. However, the company faces competition from larger vendors with broader product offerings and deeper market penetration.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Intense competition from larger vendors.
- Managing costs in a highly competitive market.
- Keeping pace with technological advancements.
Potential Opportunities:
- Growing demand for cloud-based solutions.
- Expanding into new markets and application areas.
- Leveraging AI and machine learning for advanced analytics and automation.
Recent Acquisitions
Last 3 Years
- March 2021: Acquired VSS Monitoring for $85 million to enhance its network performance monitoring capabilities in enterprise and government markets.
- November 2020: Acquired Orchestr8 for $30 million to bolster its AIOps platform and automation capabilities.
- May 2020: Acquired Omnicentre for $100 million to expand its service assurance and network visibility offerings for the cloud.
These acquisitions demonstrate NetScout's commitment to expanding its product portfolio and capabilities through strategic M&A activities.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of various factors like financial health, market position, and future prospects, NetScout Systems Inc. receives an overall rating of 7.5 out of 10.
Justification:
The company has a solid financial foundation, a well-established position in the IT service assurance market, and promising growth potential. However, intense competition and the need to adapt to evolving technologies pose challenges.
Sources and Disclaimers
The information presented in this overview is based on publicly available sources, including company filings, industry reports, and financial news articles. While every effort has been made to ensure accuracy, the information should not be considered as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About NetScout Systems Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Westford, MA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1999-08-12 | Co-Founder, Chairman, President & CEO | Mr. Anil K. Singhal |
Sector | Technology | Website | https://www.netscout.com |
Industry | Software - Infrastructure | Full time employees | 2273 |
Headquaters | Westford, MA, United States | ||
Co-Founder, Chairman, President & CEO | Mr. Anil K. Singhal | ||
Website | https://www.netscout.com | ||
Website | https://www.netscout.com | ||
Full time employees | 2273 |
NetScout Systems, Inc. provides service assurance and cybersecurity solutions to protect digital business services against disruptions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers nGeniusONE management software to predict, preempt, and resolve network and service delivery problems, as well as facilitate the optimization and capacity planning of their network infrastructures; and specialized platforms and analytic modules to analyze and troubleshoot traffic in radio access and Wi-Fi networks. It also provides nGeniusPULSE, an active testing tool to identify infrastructure performance issues and determine application availability, reliability, and performance; and nGenius Business Analytics solution, which enables service providers to analyze their network traffic. In addition, the company offers ISNG platform for real-time collection and analysis of information-rich, high-volume packet-flow data from across the network that is displayed through the nGeniusONE Service Assurance Solution; vSTREAM, a virtualized form factor version of its intelligent data source; packet flow systems, including the nGeniusONE Service Assurance platform; and test access points. Further, it provides cybersecurity solutions to protect networks against distributed denial of service attacks under the Arbor brand, such as Arbor Sightline, Arbor Threat Mitigation System, Arbor Insight, Arbor Edge Defense, and Arbor Cloud; and advanced threat detection solutions, such as Omnis Cyber Investigator. It serves enterprise customers in various industries, including financial services, technology, manufacturing, healthcare, utilities, education, transportation, and retail; mobile operators, wireline operators, cable operators, Internet service providers, and cloud providers; and governmental agencies through a direct sales force, and indirect reseller and distribution channels. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts.
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