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NetScout Systems Inc (NTCT)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$22.35
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY8.08%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 110 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

01/29/2025: NTCT (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -42.53%
Avg. Invested days 33
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 01/29/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.70B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 24.23
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 24.23
Volume (30-day avg) 374174
Beta 0.6
52 Weeks Range 17.10 - 27.89
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 17.10 - 27.89
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -5.85

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-01-23
When Before Market
Estimate 0.74
Actual 0.94

Profitability

Profit Margin -50.9%
Operating Margin (TTM) 24.85%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.79%
Return on Equity (TTM) -24.41%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 10.78
Enterprise Value 1391446129
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.07
Enterprise Value 1391446129
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.07
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.69
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.64
Shares Outstanding 71754704
Shares Floating 67900027
Shares Outstanding 71754704
Shares Floating 67900027
Percent Insiders 3.69
Percent Institutions 92.35

AI Summary

NetScout Systems Inc: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Founded in 1984, NetScout Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: NTCT) is a leading provider of IT infrastructure performance management and network security solutions. With headquarters in Westford, Massachusetts, NetScout initially focused on protocol analysis before expanding into broader network performance analysis and security solutions.

Core Business Areas:

NetScout's solutions cater to diverse market segments, including government, healthcare, education, financial services, and telecommunications. The company currently operates through two business segments:

  • Performance & Security Management: Offering network visibility and packet capture solutions that deliver insights into application performance, network traffic patterns, and user behavior.
  • Service Provider Security: Providing network security solutions specific to the unique needs of service providers, including network performance management, DDoS protection, and fraud detection.

Leadership and Structure:

NetScout's leadership team comprises experienced professionals with expertise in networking, security, and technology. The current leadership includes:

  • Mike Hogan (Chief Executive Officer): Extensive experience in sales, marketing, and business development across the IT industry.
  • Paul Barrett (Chief Financial Officer): Over two decades of experience in finance, accounting, and corporate development.
  • Dr. Christopher King (Chief Technology Officer): Extensive research and development experience in network performance and security solutions.

NetScout operates with a decentralized organizational structure, empowering individual teams to make decisions and execute strategies within their respective areas of expertise.

Top Products and Market Share:

Products and Offerings:

NetScout's flagship product, nGeniusONE, serves as a comprehensive performance management platform offering deep insights into application performance, network traffic, and user behavior. Other key products include:

  • InfiniStream NG: High-performance packet capture and analysis solution.
  • Arbor Edge Defense: Advanced DDoS protection solution.
  • Arbor Cloud: Security and analytics platform for cloud-based infrastructure.

Market Share:

NetScout holds a leading market share in the network performance management (NPM) and distributed denial-of-service (DDoS) mitigation markets. According to industry analysts, NetScout commands approximately 13.5% of the NPM market and 33.5% of the DDoS mitigation market, ranking it among the top players in both segments.

Competitors:

NetScout faces strong competition from established players like Cisco, F5 Networks, and Juniper Networks, as well as emerging cybersecurity vendors. The competitive landscape is dynamic, with constant innovation and consolidation shaping the market.

Total Addressable Market:

The global IT infrastructure performance management and network security market is estimated to be worth over $24 billion in 2023, growing steadily due to the increasing reliance on digital infrastructure and rising cybersecurity threats. The market is expected to reach an estimated value of $35 billion by 2028, driven by factors such as cloud computing adoption, mobile data growth, and the Internet of Things (IoT).

Financial Performance:

Recent Performance:

NetScout's revenue for the fiscal year ending March 2023 was $471.7 million, representing a 5.6% year-over-year increase. The company reported net income of $77.8 million, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.63. The company's profit margins have remained relatively stable over the past three years.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

NetScout maintains a healthy cash flow position with positive operating cash flow in recent years. The company also boasts a solid balance sheet with minimal debt compared to other competitors.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividends:

NetScout has a history of paying dividends, though the dividend payout has been inconsistent in recent years. The current annual dividend yield is approximately 0.84%.

Shareholder Returns:

NetScout's stock has provided moderate returns over the past five years, outperforming the S&P 500 but lagging behind some of its industry peers.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

NetScout has experienced modest growth over the past five to ten years, with revenue increasing at an average annual rate of approximately 2%. The company’s growth has been driven by its focus on innovative product development and expansion into new markets.

Future Projections:

NetScout’s future growth prospects are tied to its ability to capitalize on emerging market opportunities like cloud computing, IoT, and 5G. The company's investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and automation could further enhance its product offerings and drive growth.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

The IT infrastructure performance management and network security industry is undergoing constant evolution, driven by factors such as cloud computing adoption, digital transformation, and evolving security threats. These trends present both opportunities and challenges for NetScout.

Company Positioning:

NetScout is well-positioned to benefit from these emerging trends with its comprehensive product portfolio and focus on AI-driven innovation. The company's ability to adapt to changing market conditions will be critical to its future success.

Key Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

NetScout faces several challenges, including intense competition, evolving technology, and potential economic downturns. The company must navigate these challenges effectively to maintain its market position and pursue growth opportunities.

Opportunities:

NetScout also has numerous opportunities, including expansion into new markets, strategic partnerships, and innovative product development. capitalizing on these opportunities will be crucial to the company's long-term success.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • Arbor Networks in 2015: Enhanced NetScout's DDoS mitigation capabilities and expanded its security portfolio.
  • VIXML in 2017: Provided advanced network visibility and analytics capabilities for cloud-based and virtualized environments.
  • Infinite Peripherals in 2021: Strengthened NetScout's position in the growing field of endpoint visibility and management.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on a comprehensive analysis of NetScout's fundamentals, including financial health, market position, and future growth prospects, we assign the company an AI-based rating of 7.5 out of 10. NetScout demonstrates solid financial performance, a leading market share in key segments, and promising growth opportunities. However, the company faces intense competition and needs to adapt to emerging industry trends to maintain its market position and achieve sustainable growth.

Sources and Disclaimers:

The following sources were used to compile this analysis:

  • NetScout Systems Inc. investor relations website
  • SEC filings
  • Industry analyst reports
  • News articles

Disclaimer: This information is provided for general knowledge and informational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

About NetScout Systems Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Westford, MA, United States
IPO Launch date 1999-08-12
Co-Founder, Chairman, President & CEO Mr. Anil K. Singhal
Sector Technology
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Full time employees 2273
Full time employees 2273

NetScout Systems, Inc. provides service assurance and cybersecurity solutions to protect digital business services against disruptions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers nGeniusONE management software to predict, preempt, and resolve network and service delivery problems, as well as facilitate the optimization and capacity planning of their network infrastructures; and specialized platforms and analytic modules to analyze and troubleshoot traffic in radio access and Wi-Fi networks. It also provides nGeniusPULSE, an active testing tool to identify infrastructure performance issues and determine application availability, reliability, and performance; and nGenius Business Analytics solution, which enables service providers to analyze their network traffic. In addition, the company offers ISNG platform for real-time collection and analysis of information-rich, high-volume packet-flow data from across the network that is displayed through the nGeniusONE Service Assurance Solution; vSTREAM, a virtualized form factor version of its intelligent data source; packet flow systems, including the nGeniusONE Service Assurance platform; and test access points. Further, it provides cybersecurity solutions to protect networks against distributed denial of service attacks under the Arbor brand, such as Arbor Sightline, Arbor Threat Mitigation System, Arbor Insight, Arbor Edge Defense, and Arbor Cloud; and advanced threat detection solutions, such as Omnis Cyber Investigator. It serves enterprise customers in various industries, including financial services, technology, manufacturing, healthcare, utilities, education, transportation, and retail; mobile operators, wireline operators, cable operators, Internet service providers, and cloud providers; and governmental agencies through a direct sales force, and indirect reseller and distribution channels. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts.

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