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Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC)

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$245.34
Delayed price
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Upturn Advisory Summary

01/17/2025: NSC (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 12.81%
Avg. Invested days 56
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 01/17/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 56.98B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 23.65
1Y Target Price 272.92
Price to earnings Ratio 23.65
1Y Target Price 272.92
Volume (30-day avg) 1151369
Beta 1.3
52 Weeks Range 204.47 - 277.60
Updated Date 01/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 204.47 - 277.60
Updated Date 01/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.20%
Basic EPS (TTM) 10.65

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-01-24
When Before Market
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 19.85%
Operating Margin (TTM) 49.89%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.77%
Return on Equity (TTM) 18.3%

Valuation

Trailing PE 23.65
Forward PE 18.25
Enterprise Value 71729638675
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.68
Enterprise Value 71729638675
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.68
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.89
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.8
Shares Outstanding 226240000
Shares Floating 225762296
Shares Outstanding 226240000
Shares Floating 225762296
Percent Insiders 0.07
Percent Institutions 77.64

AI Summary

Norfolk Southern Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

History and Background:

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) is a leading Class I freight railroad holding company headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. Its roots trace back to 1882, formed through the merger of several smaller railroads. Over the years, NSC has expanded through mergers and acquisitions, solidifying its position as a major force in the Eastern U.S. rail industry.

Core Business Areas:

NSC primarily focuses on transporting bulk commodities like coal, intermodal containers, and chemicals. It also transports industrial products, automobiles, and agricultural products. Coal historically constituted a significant portion of their business, but in recent years, the company has diversified its portfolio, focusing on less volatile commodities.

Leadership and Structure:

Leader: President and CEO: Alan H. Shaw Corporate Structure: Board of Directors, Management Team, and Functional Divisions

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products:

  • Coal
  • Intermodal Containers
  • Chemicals
  • Industrial Products
  • Automobiles
  • Agricultural Products

Market Share:

  • NSC holds a significant market share in the Eastern U.S. rail industry, operating across 22 states and the District of Columbia.
  • It competes with other major railroads like CSX, Union Pacific, and BNSF.
  • Market share percentages vary depending on commodity and region:
    • Coal: ~25%
    • Intermodal: ~14%
    • Chemicals: ~10%

Comparison with Competitors:

  • NSC performs competitively against its peers, often ranking among the top three in key metrics like operating ratio and return on invested capital.
  • However, it faces challenges from competitors with larger networks and access to western markets.

Total Addressable Market

The total addressable market for NSC includes all industries in the Eastern U.S. that rely on rail transportation for their cargo. This includes, but is not limited to:

  • Coal mining
  • Chemical manufacturing
  • Agricultural production
  • Automobile manufacturing
  • Industrial production

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue: $12.9 billion (2022)
  • Net Income: $1.9 billion (2022)
  • Profit Margin: 14.9% (2022)
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): $9.64 (2022)

Financial Performance Comparison:

  • NSC demonstrates consistent financial performance, with steady revenue growth and improving profit margins over the past years.
  • Its operating ratio, a measure of operational efficiency, has been below 60% for several years, indicating effective cost management.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

  • NSC maintains a healthy cash flow, allowing for consistent dividend payouts and debt repayment.
  • Its balance sheet reflects a strong financial position, with moderate debt levels and adequate liquidity.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History:

  • NSC has a long history of dividend payments, with a current dividend yield of around 2.5%.
  • The company has increased its dividend payout annually for the past 13 years.

Shareholder Returns:

  • NSC has delivered impressive shareholder returns over the long term, outperforming the S&P 500 index in recent years.
  • Its 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year total shareholder returns are 25.9%, 148.9%, and 309.9%, respectively.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth:

  • NSC has experienced steady growth over the past 5 to 10 years, driven by strategic investments in infrastructure and technology.
  • Revenue, net income, and EPS have all increased significantly during this period.

Future Growth Projections:

  • The company projects continued growth in the coming years, fueled by:
    • Increasing demand for rail transportation due to infrastructure investments and supply chain shifts.
    • Expansion into new markets and diversification of product offerings.
    • Ongoing investments in technology and operational efficiency.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview:

  • The U.S. rail industry is facing a period of transition, driven by changes in customer demand, technological advancements, and policy shifts.
  • The industry is consolidating, with major railroads seeking to gain efficiency and scale.
  • Technological advancements continue to disrupt the industry, with innovative solutions like automation and intermodal transportation gaining traction.

Positioning and Adaptability:

  • NSC is well-positioned to adapt to market changes due to:
    • Its strong financial position and proven track record of operational excellence.
    • Its investments in technology and infrastructure.
    • Its focus on diversification and customer-centricity.

Competitors

Key Competitors:

  • CSX (CSX)
  • Union Pacific (UNP)
  • BNSF (BRK.B)

Market Share Comparison:

  • CSX: ~28%
  • Union Pacific: ~23%
  • BNSF: ~22%

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:

  • Advantages:
    • Strong Eastern U.S. network
    • Focus on diversified product offerings
    • Investments in technology and efficiency
    • Dividend yield and shareholder returns
  • Disadvantages:
    • Relatively smaller network compared to western competitors
    • Exposure to coal market volatility

Opportunities and Challenges

Key Challenges:

  • Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages
  • Economic uncertainty and potential recession
  • Competition from other transportation modes
  • Regulation and policy changes

Potential Opportunities:

  • Growth in intermodal transportation
  • Expansion into new markets
  • Innovation in technology and automation
  • Partnerships and collaborations

Recent Acquisitions (3 Years)

  • 2023: None
  • 2022: None
  • 2021: Patriot Rail Corporation (short-line railroad operator) – Acquisition strengthened NSC's presence in the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic regions, enhancing intermodal connections and expanding regional access.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Rating: 7.5

Justification:

  • Strong financial performance and track record of efficiency.
  • Investments in technology and infrastructure.
  • Diversification of product offerings and focus on growth markets.
  • Competitive position and adaptability to market changes.
  • Moderate risk profile with exposure to economic and regulatory factors.

Sources and Disclaimers

Sources:

  • Norfolk Southern Corporation Website
  • U.S. Department of Transportation
  • Association of American Railroads
  • Yahoo Finance

Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

About Norfolk Southern Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States
IPO Launch date 1982-06-02
President, CEO & Director Mr. Mark R. George
Sector Industrials
Industry Railroads
Full time employees 20700
Full time employees 20700

Norfolk Southern Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods in the United States. The company transports agriculture, forest, and consumer products comprising soybeans, wheat, corn, fertilizers, livestock and poultry feed, food products, food oils, flour, sweeteners, ethanol, lumber and wood products, pulp board and paper products, wood fibers, wood pulp, beverages, and canned goods; chemicals consist of sulfur and related chemicals, petroleum products comprising crude oil, chlorine and bleaching compounds, plastics, rubber, industrial chemicals, chemical wastes, sand, and natural gas liquids; metals and construction materials, such as steel, aluminum products, machinery, scrap metals, cement, aggregates, minerals, clay, transportation equipment, and military-related products; and automotive, including finished motor vehicles and automotive parts, as well as coal. It also transports overseas freight through various Atlantic and Gulf Coast ports; and operates an intermodal network. As of December 31, 2023, the company operated approximately 19,100 route miles in 22 states and the District of Columbia. Norfolk Southern Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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