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Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$256.45
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY0.25%
upturn advisory
Strong Buy
BUY since 9 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/11/2025: NSC (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 9 days. Profits (0.25%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 13.1%
Avg. Invested days 49
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/11/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 56.10B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 21.41
1Y Target Price 276.66
Price to earnings Ratio 21.41
1Y Target Price 276.66
Volume (30-day avg) 1158940
Beta 1.35
52 Weeks Range 203.37 - 276.11
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 203.37 - 276.11
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.17%
Basic EPS (TTM) 11.57

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-01-24
When Before Market
Estimate 2.9426
Actual 3.04

Profitability

Profit Margin 21.63%
Operating Margin (TTM) 37.67%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.88%
Return on Equity (TTM) 19.36%

Valuation

Trailing PE 21.41
Forward PE 18.76
Enterprise Value 71938319553
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.63
Enterprise Value 71938319553
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.63
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.93
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.11
Shares Outstanding 226434000
Shares Floating 226035604
Shares Outstanding 226434000
Shares Floating 226035604
Percent Insiders 0.27
Percent Institutions 78.91

AI Summary

Norfolk Southern Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

Detailed History and Background:

  • Founded in 1982 through the merger of Norfolk and Western Railway and Southern Railway Company.
  • Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, with operations across 22 states and the District of Columbia.
  • Owns and operates approximately 19,500 route miles of track, making it the fourth-largest railroad in the United States by volume.
  • Employs over 26,000 people.

Core Business Areas:

  • Merchandise: Transports a diverse range of consumer goods, industrial products, and agricultural commodities.
  • Intermodal: Combines rail and truck transportation for efficient long-distance shipping.
  • Coal: Transports coal from mines to power plants and other industrial facilities.
  • Automotive: Delivers new and used vehicles to dealerships and other transportation hubs.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

  • Chairman, President, and CEO: Alan Shaw
  • Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer: Cindy Sanborn
  • Executive Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer: Ed Elkins
  • Board of Directors composed of 12 members with diverse experience in business, finance, and transportation.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Coal transportation: Holds a significant market share in the Eastern U.S.
  • Intermodal services: Expanding rapidly with growing demand for efficient long-distance shipping.
  • Automotive transportation: Leading provider of finished vehicle logistics in North America.

Market Share:

  • Roughly 22% of the U.S. rail industry's total revenue.
  • Leading market share in coal transportation in the Eastern U.S.
  • Strong presence in intermodal and automotive transportation markets.

Comparison with Competitors:

  • Competes with other major Class I railroads like CSX, Union Pacific, and BNSF Railway.
  • Offers competitive pricing and service while leveraging its extensive network and strategic partnerships.

Total Addressable Market:

  • The U.S. rail industry is estimated to be worth over $80 billion annually.
  • Growing demand for efficient transportation solutions drives market growth.
  • Norfolk Southern targets specific segments within the market, such as intermodal and automotive, offering specialized services.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements Analysis:

  • Revenue in 2022: $12.7 billion
  • Net Income in 2022: $1.7 billion
  • Profit Margin in 2022: 13.4%
  • EPS in 2022: $10.67

Year-over-Year Comparison:

  • Revenue increased by 11% compared to 2021.
  • Net Income increased by 14% compared to 2021.
  • Profit Margin remained stable compared to 2021.
  • EPS increased by 13% compared to 2021.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:

  • Strong cash flow generation with $2.4 billion in 2022.
  • Solid balance sheet with manageable debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

  • Consistent dividend payer with a current annual dividend of $4.56 per share.
  • Dividend yield of approximately 2.5%.
  • Payout ratio of roughly 43%.

Shareholder Returns:

  • Total shareholder return of 15% over the past year.
  • 5-year average total shareholder return of 10%.
  • 10-year average total shareholder return of 8%.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth Analysis:

  • Revenue has grown at an average rate of 5% over the past 5 years.
  • Net Income has grown at an average rate of 7% over the past 5 years.

Future Growth Projections:

  • Expected to benefit from growing demand for intermodal and automotive transportation.
  • Continued focus on operational efficiency and cost reduction.
  • Potential for acquisitions and strategic partnerships to expand market reach.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Overview:

  • The U.S. rail industry is mature and competitive.
  • Growing demand for efficient transportation solutions drives market growth.
  • Technological advancements like Precision Scheduled Railroading (PSR) are improving efficiency and reducing costs.

Norfolk Southern's Positioning:

  • Strong network and strategic partnerships provide a competitive advantage.
  • Focus on key growth markets like intermodal and automotive positions the company for future success.
  • Adaptability to market changes through investments in technology and operational efficiency.

Competitors:

Key Competitors:

  • CSX Corporation (CSX)
  • Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)
  • BNSF Railway Company (BRK.B)
  • Kansas City Southern (KSU)

Market Share and Comparison:

  • Norfolk Southern holds a market share of approximately 22%, slightly lower than Union Pacific (25%) and BNSF Railway (24%).
  • CSX holds a market share of roughly 19%.
  • Norfolk Southern competes effectively with its strong network, specialized services, and customer focus.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages.
  • Competition from other transportation modes like trucking.
  • Technological advancements and changing customer preferences.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Continued growth in intermodal and automotive transportation markets.
  • Expansion into new markets and services.
  • Strategic partnerships and acquisitions to enhance network and capabilities.

Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):

  • 2021: Acquired Genesee & Wyoming Inc. for $1.7 billion. This acquisition expanded its network and reach into new markets, particularly in the Northeast and Midwest.
  • 2020: Acquired the intermodal business of Pacer International for $150 million. This acquisition strengthened its intermodal capabilities and expanded its customer base.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7/10

Justification:

  • Strong financial performance with consistent revenue and profit growth.
  • Solid market position with a leading market share in key segments.
  • Favorable future prospects driven by growth opportunities in intermodal and automotive markets.
  • However, the company faces challenges from supply chain issues and competition.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Data sources: Norfolk Southern Corporation's annual reports, investor relations website, and financial databases like Bloomberg and S&P Capital IQ.
  • Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Individual investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Conclusion

Norfolk Southern Corporation is a leading U.S. Class I railroad with a strong track record of financial performance and market position. The company is well-positioned for future growth with its focus on key markets and strategic initiatives. However, it faces challenges from supply chain disruptions and competition. Investors should closely monitor these factors and conduct their own research before making investment decisions.

About Norfolk Southern Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States
IPO Launch date 1982-06-02
President, CEO & Director Mr. Mark R. George
Sector Industrials
Industry Railroads
Full time employees 19600
Full time employees 19600

Norfolk Southern Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods in the United States. The company transports agriculture, forest, and consumer products comprising soybeans, wheat, corn, fertilizers, livestock and poultry feed, food products, food oils, flour, sweeteners, ethanol, lumber and wood products, pulp board and paper products, wood fibers, wood pulp, beverages, and canned goods; chemicals consist of sulfur and related chemicals, petroleum products comprising crude oil, chlorine and bleaching compounds, plastics, rubber, industrial chemicals, chemical wastes, sand, and natural gas liquids; metals and construction materials, such as steel, aluminum products, machinery, scrap metals, cement, aggregates, minerals, clay, transportation equipment, and military-related products; and automotive, including finished motor vehicles and automotive parts, as well as coal. It also transports overseas freight through various Atlantic and Gulf Coast ports; and operates an intermodal network. Norfolk Southern Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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