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Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/17/2025: NSC (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 12.81% | Avg. Invested days 56 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0 | Stock Returns Performance 2.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/17/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 56.98B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.65 | 1Y Target Price 272.92 |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.65 | 1Y Target Price 272.92 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1151369 | Beta 1.3 | 52 Weeks Range 204.47 - 277.60 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 204.47 - 277.60 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.20% | Basic EPS (TTM) 10.65 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-01-24 | When Before Market | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 19.85% | Operating Margin (TTM) 49.89% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.77% | Return on Equity (TTM) 18.3% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.65 | Forward PE 18.25 | Enterprise Value 71729638675 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.68 |
Enterprise Value 71729638675 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.68 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.89 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.8 | Shares Outstanding 226240000 | Shares Floating 225762296 |
Shares Outstanding 226240000 | Shares Floating 225762296 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.07 | Percent Institutions 77.64 |
AI Summary
Norfolk Southern Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) is a leading Class I freight railroad holding company headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. Its roots trace back to 1882, formed through the merger of several smaller railroads. Over the years, NSC has expanded through mergers and acquisitions, solidifying its position as a major force in the Eastern U.S. rail industry.
Core Business Areas:
NSC primarily focuses on transporting bulk commodities like coal, intermodal containers, and chemicals. It also transports industrial products, automobiles, and agricultural products. Coal historically constituted a significant portion of their business, but in recent years, the company has diversified its portfolio, focusing on less volatile commodities.
Leadership and Structure:
Leader: President and CEO: Alan H. Shaw Corporate Structure: Board of Directors, Management Team, and Functional Divisions
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Coal
- Intermodal Containers
- Chemicals
- Industrial Products
- Automobiles
- Agricultural Products
Market Share:
- NSC holds a significant market share in the Eastern U.S. rail industry, operating across 22 states and the District of Columbia.
- It competes with other major railroads like CSX, Union Pacific, and BNSF.
- Market share percentages vary depending on commodity and region:
- Coal: ~25%
- Intermodal: ~14%
- Chemicals: ~10%
Comparison with Competitors:
- NSC performs competitively against its peers, often ranking among the top three in key metrics like operating ratio and return on invested capital.
- However, it faces challenges from competitors with larger networks and access to western markets.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for NSC includes all industries in the Eastern U.S. that rely on rail transportation for their cargo. This includes, but is not limited to:
- Coal mining
- Chemical manufacturing
- Agricultural production
- Automobile manufacturing
- Industrial production
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $12.9 billion (2022)
- Net Income: $1.9 billion (2022)
- Profit Margin: 14.9% (2022)
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $9.64 (2022)
Financial Performance Comparison:
- NSC demonstrates consistent financial performance, with steady revenue growth and improving profit margins over the past years.
- Its operating ratio, a measure of operational efficiency, has been below 60% for several years, indicating effective cost management.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- NSC maintains a healthy cash flow, allowing for consistent dividend payouts and debt repayment.
- Its balance sheet reflects a strong financial position, with moderate debt levels and adequate liquidity.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
- NSC has a long history of dividend payments, with a current dividend yield of around 2.5%.
- The company has increased its dividend payout annually for the past 13 years.
Shareholder Returns:
- NSC has delivered impressive shareholder returns over the long term, outperforming the S&P 500 index in recent years.
- Its 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year total shareholder returns are 25.9%, 148.9%, and 309.9%, respectively.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
- NSC has experienced steady growth over the past 5 to 10 years, driven by strategic investments in infrastructure and technology.
- Revenue, net income, and EPS have all increased significantly during this period.
Future Growth Projections:
- The company projects continued growth in the coming years, fueled by:
- Increasing demand for rail transportation due to infrastructure investments and supply chain shifts.
- Expansion into new markets and diversification of product offerings.
- Ongoing investments in technology and operational efficiency.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
- The U.S. rail industry is facing a period of transition, driven by changes in customer demand, technological advancements, and policy shifts.
- The industry is consolidating, with major railroads seeking to gain efficiency and scale.
- Technological advancements continue to disrupt the industry, with innovative solutions like automation and intermodal transportation gaining traction.
Positioning and Adaptability:
- NSC is well-positioned to adapt to market changes due to:
- Its strong financial position and proven track record of operational excellence.
- Its investments in technology and infrastructure.
- Its focus on diversification and customer-centricity.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- CSX (CSX)
- Union Pacific (UNP)
- BNSF (BRK.B)
Market Share Comparison:
- CSX: ~28%
- Union Pacific: ~23%
- BNSF: ~22%
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Advantages:
- Strong Eastern U.S. network
- Focus on diversified product offerings
- Investments in technology and efficiency
- Dividend yield and shareholder returns
- Disadvantages:
- Relatively smaller network compared to western competitors
- Exposure to coal market volatility
Opportunities and Challenges
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages
- Economic uncertainty and potential recession
- Competition from other transportation modes
- Regulation and policy changes
Potential Opportunities:
- Growth in intermodal transportation
- Expansion into new markets
- Innovation in technology and automation
- Partnerships and collaborations
Recent Acquisitions (3 Years)
- 2023: None
- 2022: None
- 2021: Patriot Rail Corporation (short-line railroad operator) – Acquisition strengthened NSC's presence in the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic regions, enhancing intermodal connections and expanding regional access.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 7.5
Justification:
- Strong financial performance and track record of efficiency.
- Investments in technology and infrastructure.
- Diversification of product offerings and focus on growth markets.
- Competitive position and adaptability to market changes.
- Moderate risk profile with exposure to economic and regulatory factors.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Norfolk Southern Corporation Website
- U.S. Department of Transportation
- Association of American Railroads
- Yahoo Finance
Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About Norfolk Southern Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1982-06-02 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Mark R. George | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Railroads | Full time employees 20700 | Website https://www.norfolksouthern.com |
Full time employees 20700 | Website https://www.norfolksouthern.com |
Norfolk Southern Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods in the United States. The company transports agriculture, forest, and consumer products comprising soybeans, wheat, corn, fertilizers, livestock and poultry feed, food products, food oils, flour, sweeteners, ethanol, lumber and wood products, pulp board and paper products, wood fibers, wood pulp, beverages, and canned goods; chemicals consist of sulfur and related chemicals, petroleum products comprising crude oil, chlorine and bleaching compounds, plastics, rubber, industrial chemicals, chemical wastes, sand, and natural gas liquids; metals and construction materials, such as steel, aluminum products, machinery, scrap metals, cement, aggregates, minerals, clay, transportation equipment, and military-related products; and automotive, including finished motor vehicles and automotive parts, as well as coal. It also transports overseas freight through various Atlantic and Gulf Coast ports; and operates an intermodal network. As of December 31, 2023, the company operated approximately 19,100 route miles in 22 states and the District of Columbia. Norfolk Southern Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
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