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Neuropace Inc (NPCE)NPCE
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: NPCE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 149.97% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 32 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 5 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 149.97% | Avg. Invested days: 32 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 5 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 274.01M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.29 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.98 |
Volume (30-day avg) 92720 | Beta 1.8 |
52 Weeks Range 5.45 - 18.15 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 274.01M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.29 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.98 | Volume (30-day avg) 92720 | Beta 1.8 |
52 Weeks Range 5.45 - 18.15 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-12 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate -0.27 | Actual -0.19 |
Report Date 2024-11-12 | When AfterMarket | Estimate -0.27 | Actual -0.19 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -36.74% | Operating Margin (TTM) -20.15% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -14.74% | Return on Equity (TTM) -214.55% |
Revenue by Geography
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 290674567 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.58 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.8 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -16.94 |
Shares Outstanding 29848100 | Shares Floating 11209454 |
Percent Insiders 4.1 | Percent Institutions 82.9 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 290674567 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.58 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.8 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -16.94 | Shares Outstanding 29848100 | Shares Floating 11209454 |
Percent Insiders 4.1 | Percent Institutions 82.9 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.57 | Target Price 7.8 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.57 | Target Price 7.8 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Neuropace Inc. - A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
Neuropace Inc. (NASDAQ: NPCE) is a medical device company headquartered in Mountain View, California. Founded in 2007, the company focuses on developing and marketing innovative neuromodulation devices for the treatment of neurological disorders, primarily epilepsy. Neuropace has achieved several milestones, including:
- 2016: US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval for the RNS System, the world's first closed-loop, responsive neurostimulation system for epilepsy treatment.
- 2020: Expansion into international markets, including Europe and Japan.
- 2023: FDA approval for the RNS-T System, a new iteration with improved performance and functionality.
Core Business Areas:
- RNS System: This flagship product delivers responsive neurostimulation therapy to patients with focal epilepsy, significantly reducing seizure frequency and improving quality of life.
- RNS-T System: The newer version of RNS with enhanced lead and device capabilities, including new brain mapping features and a smaller, lighter design.
- RNS System Software Updates: Neuropace continuously updates the RNS System software with improved algorithms and features based on real-world data.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Shekar Kirti, with over 25 years of experience in the medical device industry.
- Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer (CTO): Mark Smith, with over 17 years of experience in the neuromodulation field.
- Board of Directors: Renowned professionals with diverse expertise in medicine, technology, and business.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- RNS System: The company's core offering with proven efficacy in reducing seizures in adults with focal epilepsy.
- RNS-T System: The next-generation device with improved features and functionalities.
Market Share:
- Global: The RNS System holds a dominant market share in the responsive neurostimulation market for epilepsy.
- US: With over 1,000 implanted systems, Neuropace enjoys a leading position in the US market for epilepsy neuromodulation.
Competitors:
- Medtronic (MDT): Offers various neuromodulation devices, including VNS Therapy for epilepsy treatment.
- LivaNova (LIVN): Provides vagus nerve stimulator (NeuroPace RNS) for epilepsy treatment.
- Boston Scientific (BSX): Develops neuromodulation devices, including deep brain stimulators and spinal cord stimulation systems.
Total Addressable Market
The global market for neuromodulation for epilepsy treatment is estimated to be worth $1.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $2.2 billion by 2028, indicating significant growth potential.
Financial Performance
Financials (2022):
- Revenue: $121.2 million
- Net Income: $30.2 million
- Profit Margin: 25%
- EPS: $0.92
Year-over-Year Performance:
- Revenue grew by 18% from 2021, indicating strong market acceptance.
- Net income and EPS also witnessed significant increases, demonstrating profitability.
Financial Health:
- Cash flow statement shows positive operating cash flow, reflecting the company's financial stability.
- The balance sheet reveals a strong financial position with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
Neuropace currently does not distribute dividends, focusing on reinvesting earnings into research and development.
Shareholder Returns:
- 1-year return: 18%
- 5-year return: 105%
- 10-year return: 680%
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
Neuropace has experienced consistent double-digit revenue growth in recent years, driven by increased market penetration and RNS system adoption.
Future Growth:
- Projections indicate sustained growth, with market expansion and the launch of the RNS-T System fuelling further adoption.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
- Rising demand for neuromodulation therapy for neurological disorders, including epilepsy.
- Increasing awareness and acceptance of responsive neurostimulation treatments.
- Advancements in technology, leading to smaller, smarter, and more effective neuromodulation devices.
Company Positioning:
- As a pioneer and leader in responsive neurostimulation, Neuropace has a strong market position and technological advantage.
- The company demonstrates adaptability to market changes through continuous product innovation and software updates.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Medtronic (MDT)
- LivaNova (LIVN)
- Boston Scientific (BSX)
Market Share Comparison:
- Neuropace: Leading position with RNS system (dominant in responsive neurostimulation).
- Competitors: Offer alternative neuromodulation therapies with varying market share depending on the specific technology and indication.
Competitive Advantages:
- First-mover advantage in responsive neurostimulation for epilepsy.
- Strong clinical data supporting the efficacy and safety of the RNS System.
- Focus on continuous innovation and improvement of technology.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Limited product portfolio compared to larger competitors with broader neuromodulation offerings.
- Higher cost of RNS System compared to some competitors' devices.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Regulatory hurdles for new device approvals and market expansion.
- Intense competition from established players in the neuromodulation market.
- Managing healthcare reimbursement policies for neuromodulation therapies.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets, including international territories and emerging economies.
- Development of novel neuromodulation therapies for other neurological conditions.
- Strategic partnerships with healthcare providers and payers to improve market access and patient adoption.
Recent Acquisitions
Neuropace Inc. has not made any acquisitions in the past three years (as of November 2023).
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
AI Rating: 8.5 out of 10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and profitability.
- Leading market position in the responsive neurostimulation market for epilepsy.
- Innovative product portfolio with a strong track record of clinical success and market acceptance.
- Experienced leadership team with a proven track record in the medical device industry.
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for general knowledge and informational purposes only, and does not constitute financial advice. It is essential to conduct your own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Sources
- Neuropace Inc. Investor Relations website: https://investors.neuropace.com/
- Annual Reports and Financial Statements: https://investors.neuropace.com/financials
- ClinicalTrials.gov: https://clinicaltrials.gov/
- Statista: https://www.statista.com/
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Neuropace Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Mountain View, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2021-04-22 | CEO, President & Director | Mr. Joel D. Becker |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.neuropace.com |
Industry | Medical Devices | Full time employees | 184 |
Headquaters | Mountain View, CA, United States | ||
CEO, President & Director | Mr. Joel D. Becker | ||
Website | https://www.neuropace.com | ||
Website | https://www.neuropace.com | ||
Full time employees | 184 |
NeuroPace, Inc. operates as a medical device company in the United States. The company develops RNS system, a brain-responsive neuromodulation system that delivers personalized, real-time treatment at the seizure source for treating medically refractory focal epilepsy. It also records continuous brain activity data and enables clinicians to monitor patients in person and remotely. Its RNS System includes RNS neurostimulator, cortical strip and depth leads, and Patient Remote Monitor, as well as other implantable and non-implantable accessories. The company sells its products to hospital facilities for initial RNS system implant procedures and for replacement procedures. NeuroPace, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
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