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Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
NOG logo

Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$31.91
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

02/27/2025: NOG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -35.22%
Avg. Invested days 29
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.96B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 5.81
1Y Target Price 42.29
Price to earnings Ratio 5.81
1Y Target Price 42.29
Volume (30-day avg) 1540223
Beta 1.85
52 Weeks Range 26.21 - 43.15
Updated Date 04/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 26.21 - 43.15
Updated Date 04/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 5.95%
Basic EPS (TTM) 5.14

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 25.93%
Operating Margin (TTM) 26.28%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 10.44%
Return on Equity (TTM) 23.82%

Valuation

Trailing PE 5.81
Forward PE 7.15
Enterprise Value 5356566488
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.48
Enterprise Value 5356566488
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.48
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.48
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.39
Shares Outstanding 99113600
Shares Floating 94787812
Shares Outstanding 99113600
Shares Floating 94787812
Percent Insiders 7.44
Percent Institutions 114.71

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.33
Target Price 49.38
Buy 2
Strong Buy 7
Buy 2
Strong Buy 7
Hold 3
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Northern Oil & Gas Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. was founded in 2007. It focuses on acquiring and developing non-operated minority working and mineral interests in the Bakken and Three Forks formations in the Williston Basin of North Dakota and Montana. It has expanded through acquisitions and organic development.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Non-Operated Working Interests: Acquiring and developing non-operated working interests in oil and gas properties, primarily in the Williston Basin.
  • Mineral Interests: Acquiring and developing mineral interests in oil and gas properties

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Andrew J. Dittmar serves as the Chief Executive Officer. The company has a board of directors and an executive management team overseeing operations and strategy.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Crude Oil: Northern Oil & Gas generates revenue primarily from crude oil production from its working and mineral interests. Market share data is fragmented due to the large number of participants in the Williston Basin. Competitors include large and small oil and gas producers operating in the same region.
  • Natural Gas: While crude oil is the primary revenue driver, Northern Oil & Gas also derives revenue from natural gas production. Market share data is fragmented. Competitors include large and small oil and gas producers operating in the same region.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The oil and gas industry is characterized by commodity price volatility, geopolitical factors, and regulatory changes. The Williston Basin is a key shale oil producing region.

Positioning

Northern Oil & Gas is positioned as a non-operating interest owner, allowing it to participate in production without the direct operational responsibilities. Competitive advantages include its strategic focus on the Williston Basin and its ability to acquire interests in productive properties.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for oil and gas production in the Williston Basin is substantial, dependent on commodity prices and production rates. Northern Oil & Gas captures a percentage of this TAM through its working and mineral interests, with room to grow with the right acquisitions.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strategic focus on the Williston Basin
  • Non-operating business model reduces operational risk
  • Proven ability to acquire productive assets
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to commodity price volatility
  • Dependence on operators for production
  • Reliance on acquisitions for growth
  • Debt Levels

Opportunities

  • Further consolidation in the Williston Basin
  • Technological advancements in oil and gas extraction
  • Increased demand for oil and gas
  • Strategic acquisitions of undevalued properties

Threats

  • Declining commodity prices
  • Increased regulatory scrutiny
  • Environmental concerns
  • Competition from other oil and gas producers

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • HES
  • OXY
  • CLR

Competitive Landscape

Northern Oil & Gas's competitive advantages stem from its non-operated model and focused strategy, but it faces challenges from larger, integrated oil companies with greater financial resources and operational control.

Major Acquisitions

Veritas Energy

  • Year: 2022
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 406.5
  • Strategic Rationale: Increased working interest ownership in the Permian Basin; Provides significant upside through further development. Further expands NOGs already robust production

Earthstone Energy, Inc

  • Year: 2023
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2.2
  • Strategic Rationale: NOG Expands Production and Development Opportunities in Permian Basin; Significantly Increases Free Cash Flow.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Discuss Northern Oil & Gas Inc's growth trends over the past years.

Future Projections: Provide projections for Northern Oil & Gas Inc's future growth based on analyst estimates.

Recent Initiatives: Highlight recent strategic initiatives undertaken by Northern Oil & Gas Inc.

Summary

Northern Oil & Gas operates with a non-operating model focused in the Williston and Permian Basins. It is susceptible to swings in commodity pricing and depends on operator success. Strategic acquisitions have enabled growth, but also increased the company's debt. Future success depends on managing debt, commodity prices, and acquisition of strategic assets. They need to look out for economic downturns which affect the need for oil.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Investor presentations
  • Press releases
  • Third-party financial data providers

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Financial data and market share estimates are subject to change. Investing in oil and gas companies involves significant risks.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Northern Oil & Gas Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Minnetonka, MN, United States
IPO Launch date 2007-04-13
CEO & Director Mr. Nicholas L. O'Grady
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Full time employees 49
Full time employees 49

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.

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