- Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Revenue
- Valuation
- About
Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG)

- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- Pass (Skip investing)
Stock price based on last close (see disclosures)
- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: NOG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $30.7
1 Year Target Price $30.7
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 5 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -10.84% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.13B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.02 | 1Y Target Price 30.7 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.02 | 1Y Target Price 30.7 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 0.99 | 52 Weeks Range 18.86 - 39.59 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 18.86 - 39.59 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 8.16% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.82 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.84% | Operating Margin (TTM) 42.5% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 10.51% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.95% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.02 | Forward PE 8.78 | Enterprise Value 4430263563 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.04 |
Enterprise Value 4430263563 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.04 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.61 | Shares Outstanding 97602978 | Shares Floating 94187859 |
Shares Outstanding 97602978 | Shares Floating 94187859 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.99 | Percent Institutions 118.92 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Northern Oil & Gas Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Northern Oil & Gas Inc. (NOG) was founded in 2007. The company has evolved from an independent oil and gas company primarily focused on the Williston Basin to a diversified operator with a strategic focus on acquiring and optimizing non-operated working interests in high-quality oil and gas assets, particularly in the Permian Basin and the Williston Basin. Key milestones include strategic acquisitions, debt refinancing, and a consistent focus on shareholder returns.
Core Business Areas
- Oil and Gas Exploration and Production: Northern Oil & Gas Inc. focuses on acquiring and developing non-operated working interests in oil and gas properties. This strategy allows them to participate in prolific basins without the full operational burden of drilling and completion. Their primary basins of operation are the Permian Basin in West Texas and New Mexico, and the Williston Basin in North Dakota and Montana.
Leadership and Structure
Northern Oil & Gas Inc. is led by a management team with extensive experience in the oil and gas industry. The company operates with a lean corporate structure, emphasizing strategic acquisitions and capital allocation. Key executives include the Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and Chief Operating Officer.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Oil and Natural Gas Production: The company's primary 'product' is its share of the oil and natural gas produced from the wells in which it holds non-operated working interests. Market share data for this specific type of non-operated interest is difficult to quantify as it's derived from a multitude of operated wells. Competitors in this space are numerous, ranging from large integrated oil companies to smaller independent operators and other non-operated interest holders.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil and gas industry is characterized by volatile commodity prices, significant capital expenditure requirements, regulatory oversight, and a global demand influenced by economic activity and geopolitical events. The Permian and Williston Basins are among the most prolific and cost-efficient shale plays in the United States.
Positioning
Northern Oil & Gas Inc. has positioned itself as a strategic acquirer of non-operated working interests in top-tier basins. Their competitive advantage lies in their disciplined acquisition strategy, focus on optimizing existing production, and strong relationships with operators. This approach allows them to generate cash flow and return capital to shareholders without the full operational risk and capital intensity of being a primary operator.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for oil and gas production in the United States is vast, measured in trillions of dollars. Northern Oil & Gas Inc. targets a specific segment within this TAM u2013 high-quality, non-operated working interests in mature and developing plays. Their strategy focuses on acquiring a meaningful share within these targeted asset classes rather than the entire market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strategic focus on acquiring non-operated working interests in low-cost, high-return basins.
- Disciplined capital allocation and financial management.
- Strong relationships with key operators in their target basins.
- Commitment to returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
- Experienced management team with deep industry knowledge.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on third-party operators for drilling and completion activities.
- Limited control over operational decisions and efficiency.
- Sensitivity to commodity price fluctuations.
- Potential for dilution if equity is used for acquisitions.
- Lower operational leverage compared to fully operated E&P companies.
Opportunities
- Continued consolidation within the oil and gas industry, presenting acquisition opportunities.
- Technological advancements improving well productivity and recovery rates.
- Potential for increased production from existing acreage through optimization.
- Diversification into other prolific basins or resource types.
- Strategic partnerships with operators for joint development.
Threats
- Sustained periods of low oil and natural gas prices.
- Increasing regulatory burdens and environmental concerns.
- Geopolitical instability impacting global energy markets.
- Competition for attractive acquisition assets.
- Operational issues or underperformance by third-party operators.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG)
- Pioneer Natural Resources Company (PXD)
- EOG Resources Inc. (EOG)
- Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)
- ConocoPhillips (COP)
Competitive Landscape
Northern Oil & Gas Inc. competes in a highly fragmented market. While larger integrated companies and dedicated operators have significant advantages in terms of scale, operational control, and capital access, NOG's niche strategy of focusing on non-operated interests in prime basins allows it to thrive. Its advantages include agility in acquisitions and a disciplined approach to capital allocation, while its disadvantages stem from its reliance on third-party operators and a smaller overall scale compared to industry giants.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Northern Oil & Gas Inc.'s historical growth has been driven by strategic acquisitions of non-operated working interests in promising oil and gas plays, particularly in the Permian and Williston Basins. This has led to an expansion of its production base and revenue streams.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Northern Oil & Gas Inc. are typically based on analyst estimates of production growth, commodity prices, and the company's ability to execute further accretive acquisitions. These projections often consider the company's existing acreage, planned development by operators, and potential new ventures. Analysts generally forecast continued production growth and strong cash flow generation.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on deleveraging the balance sheet, optimizing existing asset performance, and identifying strategic acquisition opportunities to enhance cash flow and shareholder returns. This includes refinancing debt and potentially increasing the dividend or share repurchase program.
Summary
Northern Oil & Gas Inc. is a strategically focused player in the US oil and gas sector, excelling in the acquisition of non-operated working interests in prolific basins. Its strengths lie in disciplined capital allocation and shareholder returns, while its primary weakness is its reliance on third-party operators. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on industry consolidation and technological advancements, but remains susceptible to commodity price volatility and regulatory shifts. Overall, NOG demonstrates a robust business model for its niche, delivering consistent value through smart acquisitions and efficient operations.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations Websites
- Financial News and Data Providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Yahoo Finance)
- Industry Analyst Reports
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The data presented is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive or perfectly up-to-date. Market share data and competitor analysis are estimates and subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Northern Oil & Gas Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Minnetonka, MN, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-04-13 | CEO & Director Mr. Nicholas L. O'Grady | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees 49 | Website https://www.noginc.com |
Full time employees 49 | Website https://www.noginc.com | ||
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.

Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.
Home 

