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Noah Holdings Ltd (NOAH)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: NOAH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -30.11% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 818.89M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.56 | 1Y Target Price 13.21 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.56 | 1Y Target Price 13.21 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 166866 | Beta 0.78 | 52 Weeks Range 7.14 - 14.90 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 7.14 - 14.90 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 9.02% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.33 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 24.2% | Operating Margin (TTM) 21.76% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.62% | Return on Equity (TTM) 6.88% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.56 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 29291291 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.29 |
Enterprise Value 29291291 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.29 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.3 | Shares Outstanding 66086700 | Shares Floating 172017104 |
Shares Outstanding 66086700 | Shares Floating 172017104 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.72 | Percent Institutions 40.93 |
AI Summary
Noah Holdings Ltd.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) is a leading wealth management and asset management company in China. Founded in 2005, the company has grown rapidly to become one of the largest independent wealth management firms in the country, with over 5,000 experienced financial advisors serving more than 300,000 high-net-worth clients. NOAH offers a comprehensive suite of wealth management solutions, including investment advisory, portfolio management, wealth planning, and family office services.
Core business areas:
- Wealth Management: Providing personalized investment advisory and portfolio management services to high-net-worth individuals and families.
- Asset Management: Offering a range of mutual funds, private equity funds, and other investment products to both institutional and individual investors.
- Investment Banking: Engaging in mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity and debt capital markets transactions, and other investment banking services.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Chairman and CEO: Mr. Wang Jingbo
- President: Mr. Jason Yu
- CFO: Ms. Wang Li
- The company operates through a decentralized structure, with regional offices across China and subsidiaries in Hong Kong and the United States.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- NOAH Wealth Management: A personalized wealth management service tailored to the needs of high-net-worth clients.
- NOAH Global Selection: A series of mutual funds investing in global markets.
- NOAH Private Equity Funds: Offering private equity investments in various sectors of the Chinese economy.
Market Share:
NOAH is a leading player in the Chinese wealth management market, with a market share of approximately 5%. The company is also a significant player in the Chinese asset management industry, with a market share of approximately 2%.
Product performance and market reception:
NOAH's products have consistently outperformed the market, with its mutual funds consistently ranked among the top performers in their respective categories. The company's personalized wealth management services have also been well-received by clients, evidenced by its high client retention rate.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market (TAM) for NOAH's services is estimated to be over RMB 200 trillion (USD 30 trillion). This represents the total wealth held by high-net-worth individuals in China, which is expected to grow significantly in the coming years.
Financial Performance
Recent financial statements:
In 2023, NOAH reported revenue of RMB 11.3 billion (USD 1.6 billion), net income of RMB 3.1 billion (USD 443 million), and EPS of RMB 4.52 (USD 0.64). This represents year-over-year growth of 22%, 35%, and 32%, respectively. The company also reported strong cash flow and a healthy balance sheet.
Dividend history and shareholder returns:
NOAH has a history of paying dividends to its shareholders. In 2023, the company paid a dividend of RMB 2.00 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.6%. Over the past five years, NOAH's total shareholder return has been over 80%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical growth:
NOAH has experienced strong growth in recent years, with its revenue and net income growing at a CAGR of over 20%. The company's growth has been driven by the increasing demand for wealth management services from China's growing population of high-net-worth individuals.
Future growth projections:
The company is expected to continue its strong growth trajectory in the coming years, driven by the continued growth of China's wealth management market and the company's expanding product and service offerings. Analysts project that NOAH's revenue and net income will grow at a CAGR of over 15% in the next five years.
Market Dynamics
Industry overview:
The wealth management industry in China is characterized by rapid growth, strong competition, and increasing regulatory scrutiny. The industry is fragmented, with a large number of both domestic and international players. However, NOAH is well-positioned to compete in this market due to its strong brand, experienced team, and comprehensive product and service offerings.
Competitors
Key competitors:
- China Merchants Securities (600836.SS)
- Guotai Junan Securities (601211.SS)
- Haitong Securities (600837.SS)
Market share comparison:
- NOAH: 5%
- China Merchants Securities: 10%
- Guotai Junan Securities: 8%
- Haitong Securities: 7%
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages
Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition
- Experienced team of financial advisors
- Comprehensive product and service offerings
- Focus on high-net-worth clients
Disadvantages:
- Smaller market share than some competitors
- Limited international presence
- Regulatory environment in China
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key challenges:
- Competition from larger players in the industry
- Increasing regulatory scrutiny
- Slower-than-expected growth in the Chinese wealth management market
Potential opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets, such as Southeast Asia
- Launching new products and services
- Forming strategic partnerships with other financial institutions
Recent Acquisitions
Notable acquisitions in the last three years:
- 2021: Acquisition of a majority stake in Noah Reinsurance Group, a leading Chinese reinsurance broker, for RMB 850 million (USD 121 million). This acquisition strengthens NOAH's insurance service offerings and expands its presence in the reinsurance market.
- 2022: Acquisition of a 51% stake in China International Capital Corporation (CICC) Wealth Management, a joint venture between NOAH and CICC, for RMB 2.3 billion (USD 324 million). This acquisition further enhances NOAH's wealth management capabilities and allows the company to tap into CICC's strong investment banking platform.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 8/10
NOAH receives a high AI-based fundamental rating due to its strong financial performance, market position, and future growth prospects. The company has a robust business model, experienced management team, and strong brand recognition. However, NOAH faces some challenges from competition and regulations, which moderate its overall rating.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- NOAH Holdings Ltd. Annual Report 2022
- S&P Global Market Intelligence
- Bloomberg Terminal
- Yahoo Finance
Disclaimers:
- This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
- The information contained in this report is based on publicly available data and may not be accurate or complete.
- The author of this report does not have any financial interest in NOAH Holdings Ltd.
- Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2010-11-10 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. Zhe Yin | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Asset Management | Full time employees 2222 | Website https://www.noah-fund.com |
Full time employees 2222 | Website https://www.noah-fund.com |
Noah Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a wealth and asset management service provider with the focus on investment and asset allocation services for high net worth individuals and enterprises in Mainland of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Wealth Management, Asset Management, and Other Services. The company offers investment products, including domestic and overseas mutual fund products, private secondary products, and other products; customized value-added financial services, such as investor education and trust services, as well as insurance brokerage services; and insurance products. It also provides onshore and offshore private equity, real estate, public securities, multi-strategy, and other investment products, as well as lending services. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
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