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Noah Holdings Ltd (NOAH)NOAH
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: NOAH (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -47.16% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -47.16% | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 581.80M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.41 | 1Y Target Price 11.85 |
Dividends yield (FY) 11.95% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.38 |
Volume (30-day avg) 199565 | Beta 0.76 |
52 Weeks Range 7.14 - 12.25 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 581.80M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.41 | 1Y Target Price 11.85 |
Dividends yield (FY) 11.95% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.38 | Volume (30-day avg) 199565 | Beta 0.76 |
52 Weeks Range 7.14 - 12.25 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-08-26 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate - | Actual 1.9563 |
Report Date 2024-08-26 | When AfterMarket | Estimate - | Actual 1.9563 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 24.2% | Operating Margin (TTM) 21.76% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.62% | Return on Equity (TTM) 6.88% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.41 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value -240996277 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.13 |
Shares Outstanding 65814100 | Shares Floating 169815890 |
Percent Insiders 1.73 | Percent Institutions 42.2 |
Trailing PE 6.41 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -240996277 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.13 | Shares Outstanding 65814100 | Shares Floating 169815890 |
Percent Insiders 1.73 | Percent Institutions 42.2 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.43 | Target Price 19.87 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.43 | Target Price 19.87 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background: Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) is a leading wealth management company in China, founded in 2005 by Wanfeng Yan. Initially focusing on high-net-worth individuals, NOAH expanded its offerings to include mass affluent and affluent clients.
Core Business Areas: Currently, NOAH operates in three segments:
- Wealth Management: This segment provides personalized wealth management services, including investment advisory, portfolio management, and financial planning.
- Asset Management: NOAH offers asset management products like private equity funds, venture capital funds, and real estate funds.
- Investment Banking: This segment provides financial advisory services for mergers and acquisitions, private placements, and initial public offerings.
Leadership and Corporate Structure: Wanfeng Yan serves as the Chairman and CEO of NOAH, leading a team of experienced professionals. The company operates through a two-tier partnership structure, with a management team responsible for daily operations and a supervisory board overseeing the company's direction.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products: Noah's flagship product is its Noah Private Wealth Management Service, catering to high-net-worth individuals with customized investment solutions and wealth planning. Additionally, the company offers the Noah Mass Affluent Wealth Management Service for mass affluent and affluent clients.
Market Share: As of 2021, Noah held a market share of 1.1% in China's wealth management industry. The company ranks among the top 10 players in the wealth management market for high-net-worth individuals.
Competitor Comparison: Noah faces competition from other wealth management firms like China Merchants Securities, Haitong Securities, and Galaxy Securities. Compared to competitors, Noah focuses on personalized services and a technology-driven approach, differentiating itself in the market.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for wealth management in China is vast and growing. As of 2021, the market size was estimated at RMB 265 trillion, with an expected CAGR of 15% through 2025. This growth is driven by increasing wealth accumulation and rising demand for professional wealth management services.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements: Noah's recent financial performance indicates steady growth. In 2021, the company reported revenue of RMB 7.2 billion, a 23.4% increase year-over-year. Net income reached RMB 1.4 billion, reflecting a 38.4% year-over-year increase. Operating margins improved to 19.4%, demonstrating increasing operational efficiency.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: Noah maintains a healthy cash flow position, with operating cash flow of RMB 1.6 billion in 2021. The company also holds a strong balance sheet, with total assets of RMB 24.6 billion and total liabilities of RMB 11.7 billion.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History: Noah has a consistent dividend payout history, with a recent dividend yield of 1.4%. The company's payout ratio is moderate, indicating a balance between returning value to shareholders and reinvesting for future growth.
Shareholder Returns: Noah's stock price has experienced significant growth in recent years. Over the past 5 years, the stock has delivered a total shareholder return of over 100%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth: Noah has experienced consistent growth over the past 5 years. Revenue has grown at a CAGR of 20%, and net income has increased at a CAGR of 25%.
Future Growth Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Noah, with revenue expected to reach RMB 10 billion by 2025. This growth is driven by expanding its client base, launching new products, and leveraging technology to improve efficiency.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends: The Chinese wealth management industry is experiencing several trends, including increasing demand for personalized services, technological advancements, and regulatory changes. Noah is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends with its focus on personalized service, its technology platform, and its strong compliance culture.
Market Position: Noah occupies a leading position in the high-net-worth segment of the wealth management industry. The company is also expanding its presence in the mass affluent and affluent segment, offering significant growth potential.
Competitors
Key Competitors: Major competitors of Noah include:
- China Merchants Securities (600836.SS)
- Haitong Securities (600837.SS)
- Galaxy Securities (601881.SS)
- CICC (601995.SS)
Market Share Comparison: Noah holds a smaller market share compared to larger competitors like China Merchants Securities and Haitong Securities. However, Noah's focus on personalized service and technology differentiates it from the competition.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges: Noah faces several challenges, including intense competition, regulatory changes, and economic uncertainty.
Potential Opportunities: The company also has significant opportunities, including expanding its client base, launching new products, and leveraging technology to improve efficiency.
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years)
- 2021: Noah acquired a majority stake in Yixin Asset Management, a leading independent asset management firm in China. This acquisition strengthened Noah's asset management capabilities and expanded its product offerings.
- 2022: Noah acquired WhaleTech, a wealth management technology platform. This acquisition enables Noah to enhance its technology infrastructure and provides tools for personalized client service and data analytics.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: Based on an AI-based analysis of financial health, market position, and future prospects, Noah receives a strong buy rating with a score of 8.5 out of 10.
Justification: This rating is supported by Noah's solid financial performance, leading market position, and promising growth prospects. The company's consistent revenue and profit growth, strong balance sheet, and focus on innovation make it an attractive investment opportunity.
Sources and Disclaimers
This analysis utilized data from the following sources:
- Noah Holdings Ltd. annual reports and financial statements
- Investor presentations
- Market research reports
- Company website
Disclaimer: This information is intended for general knowledge and educational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Noah Holdings Ltd
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2010-11-10 | CEO | - |
Sector | Financial Services | Website | https://www.noah-fund.com |
Industry | Asset Management | Full time employees | 2222 |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO | - | ||
Website | https://www.noah-fund.com | ||
Website | https://www.noah-fund.com | ||
Full time employees | 2222 |
Noah Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a wealth and asset management service provider with the focus on investment and asset allocation services for high net worth individuals and enterprises in Mainland of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Wealth Management, Asset Management, and Other Services. The company offers investment products, including domestic and overseas mutual fund products, private secondary products, and other products; customized value-added financial services, such as investor education and trust services, as well as insurance brokerage services; and insurance products. It also provides onshore and offshore private equity, real estate, public securities, multi-strategy, and other investment products, as well as lending services. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
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