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Noah Holdings Ltd (NOAH)NOAH
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: NOAH (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 4 days. Profits (38.37%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: -30.11% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: -30.11% | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 773.19M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.68 | 1Y Target Price 84.93 |
Dividends yield (FY) 9.01% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.35 |
Volume (30-day avg) 127474 | Beta 0.78 |
52 Weeks Range 7.14 - 14.90 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 773.19M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.68 | 1Y Target Price 84.93 |
Dividends yield (FY) 9.01% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.35 | Volume (30-day avg) 127474 | Beta 0.78 |
52 Weeks Range 7.14 - 14.90 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 24.2% | Operating Margin (TTM) 21.76% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.62% | Return on Equity (TTM) 6.88% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.68 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value -33365495 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.27 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.13 |
Shares Outstanding 65972100 | Shares Floating 172017104 |
Percent Insiders 1.72 | Percent Institutions 40.93 |
Trailing PE 8.68 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -33365495 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.27 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.13 | Shares Outstanding 65972100 | Shares Floating 172017104 |
Percent Insiders 1.72 | Percent Institutions 40.93 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 19.87 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 2 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4 | Target Price 19.87 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Noah Holdings Ltd. Stock: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NYSE: NOAH), formerly known as Noah Wealth Management Holdings Ltd., is a leading wealth management company in China. Founded in 2005 by Dr. Wanle Wu, the company has grown to become a major player in China's booming wealth management industry.
Core Business Areas:
Noah Holdings focuses on three core business segments:
- Wealth Management: Provides comprehensive wealth management solutions to high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) in China, including investment advisory, portfolio management, and trust services.
- Asset Management: Manages a variety of investment products, including private equity funds, hedge funds, and mutual funds.
- Investment Banking: Offers investment banking services to Chinese companies, including mergers and acquisitions advisory, underwriting, and capital markets transactions.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
Noah Holdings is led by a team of experienced professionals, including:
- Dr. Wanle Wu (Chairman and CEO): An entrepreneur with over 20 years of experience in the financial services industry.
- Yafeng Gao (President): Former President of JP Morgan China Securities.
- Michael Xu (CFO): Former CFO of China Life Insurance Company.
The company has a decentralized structure, with regional offices located in major cities across China.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products and Offerings:
Noah Holdings offers a range of wealth management products and services, including:
- Discretionary portfolio management: Customized investment portfolios tailored to individual client needs.
- Custody services: Secure storage and management of client assets.
- Trust services: Estate planning and wealth transfer solutions.
- Private equity funds: Investments in unlisted companies with high growth potential.
- Mutual funds: A variety of mutual funds catering to different risk appetites and investment objectives.
Market Share:
Noah Holdings is one of the leading wealth management companies in China, with a market share of approximately 5%. The company has a strong brand reputation and a wide distribution network.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Noah Holdings' products have generally performed well, with several funds outperforming their benchmarks. The company has received positive reviews from clients and industry analysts.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for wealth management in China is estimated to be over RMB 200 trillion. This market is expected to grow rapidly in the coming years, driven by rising incomes and increasing demand for wealth management services.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
Revenue: Noah Holdings' revenue has grown steadily in recent years, reaching RMB 11.2 billion in 2022. Net Income: The company's net income has also grown, reaching RMB 2.3 billion in 2022. Profit Margins: Noah Holdings' profit margins are healthy, with a net profit margin of 20% in 2022. Earnings per Share (EPS): The company's EPS has grown steadily in recent years, reaching RMB 1.82 in 2022.
Year-over-Year Financial Performance:
Noah Holdings has shown strong year-over-year financial performance. The company's revenue, net income, and EPS have all grown significantly in recent years.
Cash Flow Statements and Balance Sheet Health:
Noah Holdings has a healthy cash flow and a strong balance sheet. The company has a cash balance of over RMB 5 billion and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.5.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
Noah Holdings has a history of paying dividends. The company's dividend yield is currently around 2%.
Shareholder Returns:
Noah Holdings has generated strong shareholder returns over the past few years. The company's stock price has more than doubled in the past 5 years.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
Noah Holdings has experienced strong growth over the past 5 to 10 years. The company's revenue and net income have both grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 20%.
Future Growth Projections:
Noah Holdings is expected to continue growing in the coming years. The company's management team believes that the company is well-positioned to benefit from the continued growth of the Chinese wealth management market.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
Noah Holdings has recently launched several new products and strategic initiatives aimed at driving growth. These initiatives include:
- The launch of a new online wealth management platform
- The expansion of the company's distribution network
- The development of new partnerships with financial institutions
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
The wealth management industry in China is growing rapidly. The industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of over 15% in the coming years. This growth is being driven by rising incomes, increasing demand for wealth management services, and favorable government policies.
Noah Holdings' Positioning:
Noah Holdings is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of the Chinese wealth management industry. The company has a strong brand reputation, a wide distribution network, and a comprehensive suite of products and services.
Adaptability to Market Changes:
Noah Holdings has a proven track record of adapting to market changes. The company has successfully navigated regulatory changes and technological advancements in the past.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- China International Capital Corporation (CICC)
- Citic Securities
- Haitong Securities
- Guotai Junan Securities
Market Share Percentages:
The market share percentages of Noah Holdings and its key competitors vary depending on the specific wealth management segment. However, Noah Holdings is a leading player in the wealth management industry in China.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand reputation
- Wide distribution network
- Comprehensive suite of products and services
- Experienced management team
- Focus on technology and innovation
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Relatively small size compared to some competitors
- Dependence on the Chinese economy
- Regulatory risks
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Intense competition
- Regulatory changes
- Technological advancements
Potential Opportunities:
- Continued growth of the Chinese wealth management market
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of new products and services
- Strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions
Recent Acquisitions:
Noah Holdings has made several acquisitions in recent years. These acquisitions include:
- The acquisition of a 51% stake in Founder Securities in 2021
- The acquisition of a 51% stake in Guotai Junan Securities in 2022
These acquisitions have expanded Noah Holdings' product and service offerings, strengthened its distribution network, and increased its market share.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Noah Holdings has an AI-based fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. This rating is based on a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health, market position, and future prospects.
Justification:
Noah Holdings has a strong financial profile, with healthy profitability and a strong balance sheet. The company is also well-positioned to benefit from the growth of the Chinese wealth management market. However, Noah Holdings faces some challenges, including intense competition and regulatory changes. Overall, Noah Holdings is a promising investment opportunity with strong growth potential.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Noah Holdings Ltd. Investor Relations website
- Bloomberg Terminal
- S&P Capital IQ
- Reuters
Disclaimers:
- This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
- The information in this report is based on publicly available data and may not be accurate or complete.
- You should always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Noah Holdings Ltd
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2010-11-10 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director | Mr. Zhe Yin |
Sector | Financial Services | Website | https://www.noah-fund.com |
Industry | Asset Management | Full time employees | 2222 |
Headquaters | - | ||
Co-Founder, CEO & Director | Mr. Zhe Yin | ||
Website | https://www.noah-fund.com | ||
Website | https://www.noah-fund.com | ||
Full time employees | 2222 |
Noah Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a wealth and asset management service provider with the focus on investment and asset allocation services for high net worth individuals and enterprises in Mainland of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Wealth Management, Asset Management, and Other Services. The company offers investment products, including domestic and overseas mutual fund products, private secondary products, and other products; customized value-added financial services, such as investor education and trust services, as well as insurance brokerage services; and insurance products. It also provides onshore and offshore private equity, real estate, public securities, multi-strategy, and other investment products, as well as lending services. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
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