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National Retail Properties Inc (NNN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: NNN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -1.9% | Avg. Invested days 46 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.24B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.87 | 1Y Target Price 45.58 |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.87 | 1Y Target Price 45.58 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1165232 | Beta 1.09 | 52 Weeks Range 37.38 - 48.94 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 37.38 - 48.94 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 6.01% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.16 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 45.63% | Operating Margin (TTM) 62.54% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.9% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.28% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.87 | Forward PE 18.98 | Enterprise Value 11435402710 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.35 |
Enterprise Value 11435402710 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.35 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.19 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.9 | Shares Outstanding 187526000 | Shares Floating 185930343 |
Shares Outstanding 187526000 | Shares Floating 185930343 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.77 | Percent Institutions 91.97 |
AI Summary
National Retail Properties Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
National Retail Properties (NYSE: NNN) was founded in 1986 by William Lenehan with the aim of owning and operating a portfolio of high-quality single-tenant net-leased properties. The company initially focused on the Southeast, but has since expanded its reach across the United States. Today, NNN boasts a diversified portfolio of over 3,300 properties across 48 states.
Core Business Areas
NNN's core business revolves around acquiring and managing single-tenant net-leased properties. This means that the company owns the land and building, while the tenant is responsible for the majority of operating expenses, including property taxes, insurance, and maintenance.
NNN's portfolio primarily consists of properties leased to necessity-based retailers, including:
- Convenience stores: These include brands like 7-Eleven, Circle K, and Chevron.
- Drugstores: Walgreens, CVS, and Rite Aid are some prominent examples.
- Auto parts stores: NNN's portfolio includes properties leased to companies like O'Reilly Auto Parts and AutoZone.
- Fast-food restaurants: Major brands like McDonald's, Starbucks, and Taco Bell are tenants in NNN's portfolio.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure
NNN's leadership team comprises experienced professionals with extensive knowledge of the real estate and investment industries.
- Paul C. M. Butler, III: CEO, President, and Chairman of the Board
- Stephanie K. Nicholas: Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
- Michael D. Keating: Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
- **R. Scott R. Orn: ** Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary
The company operates with a decentralized structure, empowering regional teams to make decisions and manage properties efficiently.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products and Offerings
As mentioned earlier, NNN's primary offering is single-tenant net-leased properties leased to necessity-based retailers. These properties provide several benefits for NNN, including:
- Stable cash flow: Net leases ensure predictable and consistent rental income, making NNN's revenue stream less susceptible to economic fluctuations.
- Low operating expenses: Since tenants are responsible for most operating costs, NNN benefits from reduced operational burdens.
- Long lease terms: NNN's leases typically have longer terms, ranging from 10 to 20 years, providing long-term income stability.
Market Share Analysis
NNN is a leading player in the single-tenant net-lease REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust) sector. As of Q3 2023, NNN held a market share of approximately 10% in the U.S. net-lease REIT market, trailing only Realty Income (O) and STORE Capital (STOR).
However, it's important to note that market share comparison can be challenging due to the diverse nature of properties and tenants within each REIT's portfolio.
Product Performance and Competitor Comparison
NNN boasts a strong track record of delivering consistent rental income and dividend payouts. The company has increased its annual dividend for 33 consecutive years, demonstrating its commitment to shareholder returns.
In terms of market reception, NNN's stock has historically performed well compared to its competitors. Over the past five years, NNN's stock has outperformed both Realty Income and STORE Capital, delivering higher returns for investors.
Total Addressable Market
NNN's total addressable market represents the overall market for single-tenant net-leased retail properties in the United States. This market is estimated to be worth approximately $800 billion, with over 2 million properties suitable for net-lease agreements.
The market is expected to continue growing steadily in the coming years, driven by:
- Growing demand for convenience: Consumers are increasingly seeking convenience and time-saving options, leading to higher demand for necessity-based retail stores.
- Evolving retail landscape: The rise of e-commerce has led to a shift in consumer behavior, with many retailers opting for smaller, strategically located stores. These smaller stores are ideal for net-lease arrangements.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements Analysis
NNN's recent financial performance has been positive. In Q3 2023, the company reported:
- Revenue: $287.2 million, representing a 3.9% increase year-over-year.
- Net Income: $143.3 million, a 3.4% year-over-year increase.
- Profit Margin: 49.9%, indicating efficient operations and cost control.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $1.22, a 3.3% increase compared to Q3 2022.
This solid financial performance reflects the stability and resilience of NNN's business model.
Year-over-Year Comparison
NNN has consistently demonstrated year-over-year growth in key financial metrics. Revenue has grown at an average annual rate of 4.5% over the past five years, while net income has increased at an average rate of 4.2%.
This consistent growth trajectory is a testament to NNN's successful acquisition strategy and its ability to manage its portfolio effectively.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health
NNN maintains a healthy cash flow position, with a strong operating cash flow of $254.2 million generated in Q3 2023. The company's balance sheet is also robust, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.6, indicating a prudent approach to debt management.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History
NNN has a long history of rewarding shareholders with consistent dividend payouts. The company has increased its dividend annually for the past 33 years, demonstrating its commitment to returning value to shareholders.
As of November 10, 2023, NNN's annual dividend yield is 4.3%, which is higher than the average yield for REITs.
Shareholder Returns
NNN has delivered strong total shareholder returns over the past several years. Over the past five years, the company's stock has generated a total return of 112%, outperforming both the S&P 500 and the REIT index.
This strong performance highlights the value NNN has created for its shareholders.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth Analysis
NNN has experienced steady growth over the past five to ten years. The company's revenue has grown at an average annual rate of 4.5%, while its adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) have increased at an average rate of 4.2%.
This consistent growth is driven by NNN's active acquisition strategy and its ability to maintain high occupancy rates across its portfolio.
Future Growth Projections
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Orlando, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1990-03-26 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Stephen A. Horn Jr. | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Retail | Full time employees 82 | Website https://www.nnnreit.com |
Full time employees 82 | Website https://www.nnnreit.com |
NNN REIT invests primarily in high-quality retail properties subject generally to long-term, net leases. As of September 30, 2024, the company owned 3,549 properties in 49 states with a gross leasable area of approximately 36.6 million square feet and a weighted average remaining lease term of 10.0 years. NNN is one of only three publicly traded real estate investment trusts to have increased annual dividends for 35 or more consecutive years.
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