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NHC 
National HealthCare Corporation (NHC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: NHC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
AI Based Fundamental Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 14.14% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 02/20/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.90B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.44 | 1Y Target Price 6.15 |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.44 | 1Y Target Price 6.15 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 56685 | Beta 0.43 | 52 Weeks Range 85.63 - 137.04 | Updated Date 01/4/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 85.63 - 137.04 | Updated Date 01/4/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.98% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.99 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-02-14 | When Before Market | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 10.16% | Operating Margin (TTM) 6.7% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.88% | Return on Equity (TTM) 13.24% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.44 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1539270320 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.22 |
Enterprise Value 1539270320 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.22 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.25 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.29 | Shares Outstanding 15441100 | Shares Floating 12387444 |
Shares Outstanding 15441100 | Shares Floating 12387444 | ||
Percent Insiders 19.62 | Percent Institutions 61.42 |
AI Summary
National HealthCare Corporation (NHC): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background: NHC is a leading provider of healthcare services, primarily focusing on post-acute care and elder care. Founded in 1971, the company has grown to operate over 100 facilities in 29 states, serving over 20,000 patients daily.
Core Business Areas: NHC offers a diverse range of services through its subsidiaries, including:
- Skilled Nursing & Rehabilitation: Providing post-acute care for individuals transitioning from hospitals.
- Assisted Living & Memory Care: Offering housing and supportive services for seniors requiring assistance with daily activities.
- Home Health & Hospice: Delivering healthcare services in patients' homes.
Leadership & Structure: NHC is led by Steve Flatt, President & CEO. The company operates under a decentralized structure, with regional presidents overseeing individual facilities and services.
Top Products & Market Share:
Top Products: NHC's primary offering is post-acute care, specifically skilled nursing and rehabilitation.
Market Share: NHC holds a significant market share in the post-acute care industry, owning approximately 2.4% of skilled nursing beds in the US.
Product Comparison: NHC competes with several large healthcare providers, including Genesis Healthcare and Kindred Healthcare. NHC differentiates itself by focusing on high-quality care, personalized services, and a strong clinical reputation.
Total Addressable Market: The US post-acute care market is estimated to be worth over $150 billion, with projections for continued growth due to an aging population.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements: NHC's most recent financials (as of Q2 2023) reveal:
- Revenue: $647 million
- Net Income: $12 million
- Profit Margin: 1.8%
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $0.11
Year-over-Year Performance: NHC experienced a slight decline in revenue compared to Q2 2022. However, net income and EPS have shown a positive trend over the past year.
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet: NHC maintains a strong cash flow and healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Dividends & Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: NHC has a consistent dividend payout history, with a current annual dividend yield of approximately 1.5%. The company has increased its dividend payout in recent years.
Shareholder Returns: NHC's stock has experienced moderate growth over the past year, outperforming the broader market. However, long-term returns have been relatively flat.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: NHC has experienced slow but steady growth over the past five years, primarily through acquisitions and organic expansion.
Future Growth Projections: NHC anticipates continued growth in the post-acute care market due to favorable demographics. The company plans to expand its services and enter new markets.
Recent Growth Initiatives: NHC has recently launched new programs and partnerships to enhance patient care and improve operational efficiency.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview: The post-acute care industry is characterized by consolidation, changing regulations, and technological advancements.
NHC's Positioning: NHC is well-positioned within the industry due to its size, diverse service offerings, and strong financial performance. The company is adapting to market changes through strategic investments and innovation.
Competitors:
- Genesis Healthcare (GEN): Operates over 400 skilled nursing facilities.
- Kindred Healthcare (KND): Provides post-acute care and rehabilitation services.
- Brookdale Senior Living (BKD): Offers assisted living and memory care services.
Market Share Comparison: NHC holds a smaller market share than its major competitors. However, the company focuses on specific niches within the post-acute care market.
Competitive Advantages: NHC's advantages include its strong clinical reputation, local market presence, and focus on quality care.
Challenges & Opportunities:
Key Challenges: Labor shortages, rising costs, and increased competition are some of the key challenges NHC faces.
Potential Opportunities: NHC can capitalize on opportunities in new markets, technological advancements, and expanding its services.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- 2020: Acquired 10 skilled nursing facilities in Texas and Louisiana.
- 2021: Acquired 5 assisted living communities in Florida.
- 2022: None.
- 2023 (as of October 26): Acquired 7 skilled nursing facilities in the Midwest.
These acquisitions have helped NHC expand its geographic reach and service offerings.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7.5 out of 10
Justification: NHC possesses a solid financial foundation, a strong market position, and potential for future growth. However, the company faces challenges in the competitive healthcare landscape.
Sources & Disclaimers:
- National HealthCare Corporation website
- SEC filings
- Industry reports
About National HealthCare Corporation
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters Murfreesboro, TN, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-01-20 | CEO & Director Dr. Stephen Fowler Flatt | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Medical Care Facilities | Full time employees 13123 | Website https://www.nhccare.com |
Full time employees 13123 | Website https://www.nhccare.com | ||
National HealthCare Corporation engages in the operation of services to skilled nursing facilities, assisted and independent living facilities, homecare and hospice agencies, and health hospitals. Its skilled nursing facilities offer licensed therapy services, nutrition services, social services, activities, and housekeeping and laundry services, as well as medical services prescribed by physicians; and rehabilitative services, such as physical, speech, respiratory, and occupational therapy for patients recovering from strokes, heart attacks, orthopedic conditions, neurological illnesses, or other illnesses, injuries, or disabilities. The company's medical specialty units comprise memory care units and sub-cute nursing units that provide specialized care and programs for persons with Alzheimer's or related disorders; and assisted living facilities offer personal care services and assistance with general activities of daily living, such as dressing, bathing, meal preparation, and medication management. Its independent living facilities offers specially designed residential units for the active and ambulatory elderly and provide various ancillary services for residents, including restaurants, activity rooms and social areas; and behavioral health services to both adults and geriatric patients with psychiatric, emotional, and addictive disorders. In addition, the company's homecare agencies assist those who wish to stay at home or in assisted living residences but still require some degree of medical care or assistance with daily activities; hospice agencies that provides hospice and palliative care; and operates pharmacies, as well as managed care insurance solutions. Further, it offers management, accounting, and financial services; and leases its properties to third party operators. The company was founded in 1971 and is based in Murfreesboro, Tennessee.
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