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Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
$39.16
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY28.44%
SELL
upturn advisory
SELL since 1 day
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/19/2024: NGVC (3-star) is a SELL. SELL since 1 days. Profits (28.44%). Updated daily EoD!

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: SELL
Historic Profit: 73.96%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance4
Avg. Invested days: 40
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 4
Last Close 12/19/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: SELL
Historic Profit: 73.96%
Avg. Invested days: 40
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 4
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance4

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 792.76M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 25.96
1Y Target Price 19
Dividends yield (FY) 1.16%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.34
Volume (30-day avg) 129570
Beta 1.08
52 Weeks Range 14.07 - 47.44
Updated Date 12/15/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 792.76M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 25.96
1Y Target Price 19
Dividends yield (FY) 1.16%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.34
Volume (30-day avg) 129570
Beta 1.08
52 Weeks Range 14.07 - 47.44
Updated Date 12/15/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-11-22
When -
Estimate -
Actual 0.3888
Report Date 2024-11-22
When -
Estimate -
Actual 0.3888

Profitability

Profit Margin 2.54%
Operating Margin (TTM) 4.29%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.18%
Return on Equity (TTM) 18.41%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 25.96
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 1234627010
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.99
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.85
Shares Outstanding 22793600
Shares Floating 13593871
Percent Insiders 44.2
Percent Institutions 34.37
Trailing PE 25.96
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 1234627010
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.99
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.85
Shares Outstanding 22793600
Shares Floating 13593871
Percent Insiders 44.2
Percent Institutions 34.37

Analyst Ratings

Rating -
Target Price 13
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating -
Target Price 13
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. (NGVC) - A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. (NGVC) was founded in 1955 as a small vitamin and supplement store in Colorado. Over the years, it has become a leading natural and organic grocery retailer with over 160 stores across the United States. NGVC focuses on providing high-quality, affordable organic and natural groceries, dietary supplements, body care products, and household essentials.

Core Business Areas:

  • Retailing natural and organic groceries, dietary supplements, body care products, and household essentials
  • Providing nutrition education and resources to customers
  • Advocating for organic and sustainable agriculture practices

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

  • CEO: Heather Isely
  • Chairman and President: Kemper Isely
  • CFO: Kurt Schultz
  • Board of Directors: 7 members, including Kemper Isely as Chairman and 3 independent directors

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Fresh produce
  • Organic meat and poultry
  • Dairy products
  • Bulk foods
  • Dietary supplements
  • Body care products

Market Share:

NGVC is a relatively small player in the grocery industry, with a market share of less than 1%. However, it holds a significant market share in the natural and organic grocery segment, estimated to be around 4%.

Competitive Landscape:

NGVC's main competitors in the natural and organic grocery market include:

  • Whole Foods Market (WFM)
  • Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)
  • Trader Joe's (TJX)
  • Kroger (KR)
  • Walmart (WMT)

Total Addressable Market:

The total addressable market for natural and organic foods in the US is estimated to be over $100 billion. This market is expected to continue growing rapidly in the coming years, driven by increasing consumer demand for healthy and sustainable food options.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Performance:

  • Revenue: $1.7 billion (fiscal year 2023)
  • Net Income: $46.7 million (fiscal year 2023)
  • Profit Margin: 2.7% (fiscal year 2023)
  • EPS: $1.53 (fiscal year 2023)

Year-over-Year Comparison:

  • Revenue increased by 10.6% year-over-year
  • Net income increased by 12.8% year-over-year
  • Profit margin increased by 0.1% year-over-year
  • EPS increased by 12.4% year-over-year

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:

NGVC has a strong cash flow position and a healthy balance sheet. The company has consistently generated positive operating cash flow and has a low debt-to-equity ratio.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

NGVC has a history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of 0.4%. The company has increased its dividend payout in each of the past five years.

Shareholder Returns:

NGVC's stock has outperformed the S&P 500 Index over the past one year, five years, and ten years.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

NGVC has experienced strong historical growth, with revenue increasing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.4% over the past five years.

Future Growth Projections:

Analysts expect NGVC to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years, with revenue projected to increase at a CAGR of 10.0% over the next five years.

Growth Prospects:

NGVC's growth prospects are supported by several factors, including:

  • Increasing consumer demand for natural and organic foods
  • Expansion into new markets
  • New product launches
  • Strategic acquisitions

Market Dynamics:

Industry Overview:

The natural and organic food industry is experiencing strong growth, driven by increasing consumer demand for healthy and sustainable food options. The industry is expected to continue growing rapidly in the coming years.

NGVC's Positioning:

NGVC is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of the natural and organic food industry. The company has a strong brand reputation, a loyal customer base, and a solid financial position.

Competitors:

NGVC faces competition from both large and small natural and organic grocery retailers. However, the company has several competitive advantages, including:

  • Its focus on high-quality, affordable products
  • Its strong customer service
  • Its commitment to sustainability

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

NGVC faces several challenges, including:

  • Competition from larger retailers
  • Rising food costs
  • Supply chain disruptions

Opportunities:

NGVC has several opportunities for growth, including:

  • Expanding into new markets
  • Launching new products
  • Acquiring other natural and organic grocery retailers

Recent Acquisitions:

NGVC has not made any acquisitions in the past three years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

NGVC's stock receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. This rating is based on a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health, market position, and future prospects.

Sources and Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on information from the following sources:

  • Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. website
  • S&P Capital IQ
  • U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is important to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Lakewood, CO, United States
IPO Launch date 2012-07-25 CEO -
Sector Consumer Defensive Website https://www.naturalgrocers.com
Industry Grocery Stores Full time employees 3235
Headquaters Lakewood, CO, United States
CEO -
Website https://www.naturalgrocers.com
Website https://www.naturalgrocers.com
Full time employees 3235

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails natural and organic groceries, and dietary supplements in the United States. The company's stores offer natural and organic grocery products, such as organic produce; private label repackaged bulk products, including dried fruits, nuts, grains, granolas, teas, herbs, and spices, as well as peanut and almond butters; private label products comprising grocery staples, household products, bulk foods, and vitamins and dietary supplements, as well as organic eggs, organic flavored coffee, and organic mustard; dry, frozen, and canned groceries; meat and seafood products; dairy products, dairy substitutes, and eggs; prepared foods; bread and baked products; beverages; and beer, wine, and hard cider products. Its stores also provide name-brand supplements, as well as private label dietary supplements; body care products consisting of cosmetics, skin care, hair care, fragrance, and personal care products containing natural and organic ingredients; pet care and food products; books and handouts; household and general merchandise, including cleaning supplies, paper products, and dish and laundry soaps, as well as other common household products, such as diapers; and books and handouts. The company operates its retail stores under the Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage trademark, as well as Vitamin Cottage Natural Grocers and Health Hotline trademarks. The company also offers science-based nutrition education programs to help customers make informed health and nutrition choices. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.

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