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NovaGold Resources Inc (NG)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: NG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -38.15% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.11B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2080367 | Beta 1.1 | 52 Weeks Range 2.31 - 4.88 | Updated Date 02/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.31 - 4.88 | Updated Date 02/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.14 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-01-22 | When Before Market | Estimate - | Actual -0.0325 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -12.05% | Return on Equity (TTM) -1791.48% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1068642938 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 1068642938 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -40.37 | Shares Outstanding 334567008 | Shares Floating 218873854 |
Shares Outstanding 334567008 | Shares Floating 218873854 | ||
Percent Insiders 26.46 | Percent Institutions 58.27 |
AI Summary
NovaGold Resources Inc.: Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
NovaGold Resources Inc. (NG) is a mid-tier gold company focused on advancing its 50%-owned Donlin Gold project in Alaska, US, one of the largest and highest-grade undeveloped gold projects in the world. The company was founded in 1984 and has been listed on the NYSE and TSX since 1993.
Core Business Areas:
- Donlin Gold Project: Exploration and development of the open-pit gold mine in Alaska, with a target annual production of 1.5 million ounces of gold.
- Exploration: Evaluating other potential mineral deposits around the world.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- President and CEO: Greg Lang
- Executive Vice President and Chief Project Officer: Jim Gallagher
- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer: Paul Skay
- Board of Directors: Composed of experienced professionals with expertise in mining, finance, and law.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Donlin Gold Project: Represents the company's sole product and main source of revenue.
Market Share:
- Global Gold Market: NovaGold does not directly participate in the global gold market as it does not sell gold. However, the Donlin Gold project is expected to contribute significantly to the global gold supply upon completion.
- US Gold Market: Upon completion, the Donlin Gold project is expected to contribute to the US gold supply, but its market share is difficult to predict at this stage.
Comparison with Competitors:
- Grade: Donlin Gold is expected to have a higher gold grade than most other proposed gold mines in North America.
- Economics: Donlin Gold is projected to have low operating costs and long mine life.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for gold is vast and encompasses jewelry, electronics, investments, and other industrial uses. It is estimated to be worth over $8 trillion globally.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $1.5 million in 2022, primarily from option payments.
- Net Income: $8.8 million loss in 2022.
- Profit Margin: N/A (company is in development phase).
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $(0.05) in 2022.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Revenue has remained relatively stable in recent years.
- Net losses have decreased slightly.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Cash and cash equivalents: $81.1 million as of Q3 2023.
- Debt: $13.1 million as of Q3 2023.
- The company is well-funded for its current operations.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: NovaGold does not currently pay dividends.
- Shareholder Returns: The company's stock has experienced significant volatility in recent years, with a 3-year return of -45%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: Revenue has remained relatively stable in recent years.
Future Growth Projections: Donlin Gold project is expected to commence production in 2031, with potential for significant revenue growth and profitability.
Recent Initiatives: The company is actively advancing the Donlin Gold project through permitting and engineering processes.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Increasing global demand for gold driven by investment and safe-haven appeal.
- Concerns about inflation and geopolitical instability.
- Technological advancements in mining and exploration.
Positioning and Adaptability:
- NovaGold is well-positioned to benefit from strong gold prices and increasing demand.
- The company is committed to sustainable and responsible mining practices.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Barrick Gold (GOLD)
- Newmont Corporation (NEM)
- Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC)
- Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM)
Market Share:
- NovaGold does not currently have a significant market share.
- Its main competitors control a majority of the global gold mining market.
Competitive Advantages:
- High-grade gold project in a politically stable jurisdiction.
- Experienced management team with a proven track record.
- Strong financial position.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Donlin Gold project is still in development stage.
- Permitting and regulatory risks.
- Volatility in gold prices.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Permitting and regulatory delays.
- Increasing costs of construction and materials.
- Competition from established gold producers.
Opportunities:
- Strong gold prices and increasing demand.
- Completion of the Donlin Gold project and its significant revenue potential.
- Development of new technologies to improve efficiency and reduce costs.
Recent Acquisitions:
- There are no recent acquisitions by NovaGold Resources Inc. in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
- Strong gold project with high-grade resources.
- Experienced management team with a proven track record.
- Strong financial position.
- Potential for significant future growth.
Factors Considered:
- Financial health: Strong balance sheet and cash position.
- Market position: Well-positioned to benefit from strong gold prices and increasing demand.
- Future prospects: High potential for revenue growth upon completion of the Donlin Gold project.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- NovaGold Resources Inc. website: https://novagold.com/
- SEC filings: https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?company=novagoldresourcesinc&owner=exclude&action=getcompany
- Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/companies/ng.to
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About NovaGold Resources Inc
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters Vancouver, BC, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2003-12-04 | President, CEO & Non-Independent Director Mr. Gregory A. Lang | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Gold | Full time employees 14 | Website https://www.novagold.com |
Full time employees 14 | Website https://www.novagold.com |
NovaGold Resources Inc. explores and develops gold mineral properties in the United States. Its principal asset owns 50% interest in the Donlin Gold project consisting of 493 mining claims covering an area of approximately 29,008 hectares located in the Kuskokwim and Mt. McKinley Recording Districts. The company was formerly known as NovaCan Mining Resources (1985) Limited and changed its name to NovaGold Resources Inc. in March 1987. NovaGold Resources Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
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