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NovaGold Resources Inc (NG)NG
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: NG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -38.15% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 32 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -38.15% | Avg. Invested days: 32 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.11B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.14 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1183568 | Beta 1.1 |
52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 4.88 | Updated Date 11/13/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.11B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.14 | Volume (30-day avg) 1183568 | Beta 1.1 |
52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 4.88 | Updated Date 11/13/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -12.05% | Return on Equity (TTM) -1791.48% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 1257650055 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -40.37 |
Shares Outstanding 334567008 | Shares Floating 218873854 |
Percent Insiders 26.46 | Percent Institutions 58.27 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1257650055 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -40.37 | Shares Outstanding 334567008 | Shares Floating 218873854 |
Percent Insiders 26.46 | Percent Institutions 58.27 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.67 | Target Price 9.67 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold 2 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.67 | Target Price 9.67 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
NovaGold Resources Inc. (NGD): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
NovaGold Resources Inc. (NGD) is a gold exploration and development company incorporated in 1981 and headquartered in Anchorage, Alaska. The company focuses on exploring and developing its flagship asset, the Donlin Gold Project, located in the Kuskokwim region of Alaska.
Core business areas:
NovaGold's primary business areas are:
- Gold exploration and development: The company primarily focuses on the Donlin Gold Project, which is considered one of the largest undeveloped gold projects globally.
- Joint ventures and partnerships: NovaGold operates through various joint ventures and partnerships to advance its projects and manage risks.
- Sustainability and environmental responsibility: The company emphasizes responsible mining practices and community engagement.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
NovaGold has a seasoned leadership team with extensive experience in the mining industry. The current CEO, Greg Lang, has over 30 years of experience in exploration and development. The company operates with a Board of Directors and a Management Team responsible for guiding the company's strategic direction.
Top Products and Market Share:
Identification and description of top products and offerings:
NovaGold's main product is the Donlin Gold Project, which boasts estimated reserves of over 39 million ounces of gold. The company has no other products or services currently offered.
Analysis of the market share of the Donlin Gold Project:
Since the Donlin Gold Project is still under development, it does not have a market share in the global or US gold market. However, upon completion, it is estimated to produce approximately 1.5 million ounces of gold annually, making it a significant contributor to the global gold supply.
Comparison of product performance and market reception against competitors:
Due to its development stage, direct comparisons with competitors' products are not applicable. However, the Donlin Gold Project's size and grade are considered highly attractive, positioning it favorably against other large-scale gold projects.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for gold is estimated at over $10 trillion globally, making it a vast market for NovaGold to potentially tap into once the Donlin Gold Project is operational.
Financial Performance:
Detailed analysis of recent financial statements:
As of November 2023, NovaGold is a pre-revenue company with no commercial production. Therefore, it does not generate revenue or have any net income. However, the company has significant cash reserves and a strong balance sheet, positioning it well for future project development.
Year-over-year financial performance comparison:
Due to its development stage, year-over-year comparisons are not applicable.
Examination of cash flow statements and balance sheet health:
NovaGold has a strong cash position with over $500 million in cash and equivalents as of November 2023. The company has minimal debt and a healthy balance sheet, indicating a strong financial foundation for future development.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
NovaGold has not paid dividends in its history, as it is still in the development phase and prioritizing reinvesting capital into project advancement.
Shareholder Returns:
Shareholder returns have been mainly driven by share price fluctuations. Over the past year, NGD shares have experienced significant volatility, reflecting the inherent risks associated with early-stage mining companies.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth analysis:
Historically, NovaGold's growth has been primarily driven by exploration and development activities at the Donlin Gold Project. The company has made significant progress in advancing the project through feasibility studies, permitting processes, and securing partnerships.
Future growth projections:
Future growth is contingent upon the successful development and commissioning of the Donlin Gold Project. If the project progresses as planned, NovaGold is expected to experience significant revenue growth and become a major gold producer.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives on growth prospects:
NovaGold's primary focus remains on advancing the Donlin Gold Project. The company has recently secured key partnerships and permits, indicating significant progress towards production.
Market Dynamics:
Overview of the industry:
The gold mining industry is characterized by long development timelines, significant capital requirements, and volatile commodity prices. However, gold remains a highly sought-after asset, with increasing demand driven by factors like inflation hedging and safe-haven investment.
NovaGold's position within the industry:
NovaGold is positioned as a potential major gold producer with the development of the Donlin Gold Project. The company benefits from a strong project portfolio and experienced management team. However, competition in the industry is intense, and the company faces challenges like permitting delays and environmental concerns.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD): Market share: 6.7%
- Newmont Corporation (NEM): Market share: 6.3%
- Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC): Market share: 3.8%
- Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV): Market share: 2.1%
Market share percentages and comparison:
The Donlin Gold Project is still under development, so NovaGold currently does not have a market share. However, upon completion, it is expected to be a major gold producer, potentially competing with established players like Barrick and Newmont.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages:
NovaGold's competitive advantages include the high-grade and规模 of the Donlin Gold Project, its experienced management team, and strong partnerships. However, the company faces disadvantages like its early development stage and the inherent risks associated with mining projects.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Permitting and regulatory approvals: Obtaining the necessary permits and approvals for large-scale mining projects can be a lengthy and complex process.
- Environmental concerns and community relations: Mining projects often face public scrutiny regarding environmental impact and community relations. NovaGold must address these concerns proactively to ensure project acceptance.
- Fluctuations in gold prices: The success of NovaGold is highly dependent on gold prices, which can be volatile.
- Competition from established players: NovaGold will face stiff competition from established gold producers with larger resources and market share.
Potential Opportunities:
- Growing demand for gold: The increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset presents a significant opportunity for NovaGold.
- Technological advancements in mining: New technologies can improve mining efficiency and reduce environmental impact, potentially benefiting NovaGold.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions: NovaGold can explore strategic partnerships and acquisitions to accelerate growth and access new markets.
Recent Acquisitions:
NovaGold has not made any acquisitions in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
AI-based rating: 7/10
Justification:
The AI-based rating considers various factors like financial health, market position, and future prospects. NovaGold has a strong balance sheet, a promising project portfolio, and potential for significant growth once the Donlin Gold Project is operational. However, the company's early development stage and reliance on gold prices introduce some risk.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis used information from NovaGold's website, SEC filings, industry reports, and financial news sources.
Please note that this information should not be considered financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Disclaimer: It is important to note that this information is based on data and insights available as of November 2023 and may not reflect the current situation.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About NovaGold Resources Inc
Exchange | NYSE MKT | Headquaters | Vancouver, BC, Canada |
IPO Launch date | 2003-12-04 | President, CEO & Non-Independent Director | Mr. Gregory A. Lang |
Sector | Basic Materials | Website | https://www.novagold.com |
Industry | Gold | Full time employees | 13 |
Headquaters | Vancouver, BC, Canada | ||
President, CEO & Non-Independent Director | Mr. Gregory A. Lang | ||
Website | https://www.novagold.com | ||
Website | https://www.novagold.com | ||
Full time employees | 13 |
NovaGold Resources Inc. explores for and develops gold mineral properties in the United States. Its principal asset is the Donlin Gold project consisting of 493 mining claims covering an area of approximately 29,008 hectares located in the Kuskokwim region of southwestern Alaska. The company was formerly known as NovaCan Mining Resources (1985) Limited and changed its name to NovaGold Resources Inc. in March 1987. NovaGold Resources Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
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