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Netflix Inc (NFLX)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: NFLX (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 59.36% | Avg. Invested days 51 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 371.75B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 48.53 | 1Y Target Price 877.38 |
Price to earnings Ratio 48.53 | 1Y Target Price 877.38 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3167139 | Beta 1.25 | 52 Weeks Range 542.01 - 941.75 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 542.01 - 941.75 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 17.92 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-01-21 | When After Market | Estimate 4.1955 | Actual 4.27 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 20.7% | Operating Margin (TTM) 29.61% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 11.84% | Return on Equity (TTM) 34.71% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 48.53 | Forward PE 35.97 | Enterprise Value 373559208623 | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.89 |
Enterprise Value 373559208623 | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.89 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.94 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.97 | Shares Outstanding 427457984 | Shares Floating 424470182 |
Shares Outstanding 427457984 | Shares Floating 424470182 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.74 | Percent Institutions 86.4 |
AI Summary
Netflix Inc. Stock Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
- Founded in 1997 as a DVD-by-mail service.
- Pivoted to streaming in 2007, becoming a global leader in on-demand entertainment.
- Currently operates in over 190 countries and boasts over 231 million paying subscribers.
Core Business Areas:
- Subscription-based streaming of movies, TV shows, documentaries, and original productions.
- Content licensing and production.
- DVD-by-mail service (limited to the US).
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Reed Hastings
- COO and Chief Product Officer: Greg Peters
- CFO: Spencer Neumann
- Board of Directors includes prominent figures like Susan Wojcicki (CEO of YouTube) and Mellody Hobson (Co-CEO of Ariel Investments).
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- On-demand streaming platform
- Original content (e.g., Stranger Things, Squid Game)
- Mobile app
- Interactive content (e.g., Black Mirror: Bandersnatch)
Market Share:
- Global: 17.6% (2023)
- US: 32.4% (2023)
Competitors:
- Disney+
- Amazon Prime Video
- Hulu
- HBO Max
- Apple TV+
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Netflix enjoys strong brand recognition and a loyal subscriber base.
- Original content has been critically acclaimed and commercially successful.
- Faces stiff competition from other streaming services, but remains a market leader.
Total Addressable Market:
- Global: 3.4 billion people with internet access (2023)
- US: 835 million internet users (2023)
Financial Performance:
Recent Performance:
- Revenue: $32.4 billion (2022)
- Net Income: $4.5 billion (2022)
- Profit Margin: 13.8% (2022)
- EPS: $11.54 (2022)
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Revenue growth slowed in 2022 compared to previous years.
- Profitability remains strong.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Strong cash flow generation.
- Healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Netflix does not currently pay dividends.
- Has never declared a dividend in its history.
Shareholder Returns:
- Share price has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 over the past decade.
- Total shareholder return (including reinvested dividends) of over 4,000% since its IPO in 2002.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Steady subscriber growth in recent years.
- Focus on international expansion and original content production.
Future Growth Projections:
- Continued subscriber growth, albeit at a slower pace.
- Increasing competition may limit growth potential.
Growth Initiatives:
- Expanding into new markets.
- Investing in original content.
- Developing new features and product offerings.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Streaming market continues to grow rapidly.
- Increasing competition from traditional media companies and tech giants.
- Technological advancements in streaming technology.
Netflix's Positioning:
- Strong brand and loyal subscriber base.
- Extensive library of content.
- Global reach.
Competitors:
Key Competitors (with stock symbols):
- Disney+ (DIS)
- Amazon Prime Video (AMZN)
- Hulu (DIS)
- HBO Max (WBD)
- Apple TV+ (AAPL)
Market Share Comparison:
- Netflix remains the market leader, but faces increasing competition.
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition
- Extensive library of original content
- Global reach
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Rising content costs
- Increasing competition
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Increasing competition
- Rising content costs
- Potential for subscriber churn
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of new product offerings
- Strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- Scanline VFX (2021): A visual effects studio to enhance its in-house production capabilities.
- Animal Logic (2022): An animation studio to bolster its animation and visual effects abilities.
- Millarworld (2017): A comic book publisher to acquire the rights to popular characters like Kick-Ass and Kingsman.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
- Strong brand and market position.
- Continued subscriber growth.
- Potential for revenue and profit growth.
- Faces challenges from increased competition.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Netflix Investor Relations website
- S&P Global Market Intelligence
- Statista
- The Motley Fool
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Note:
Information accurate as of November 2023. Future events may impact the accuracy of this overview.
About Netflix Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Los Gatos, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2002-05-23 | Co-CEO, President & Director Mr. Theodore A. Sarandos | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Entertainment | Full time employees 13000 | Website https://www.netflix.com |
Full time employees 13000 | Website https://www.netflix.com |
Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services. It offers TV series, documentaries, feature films, and games across various genres and languages. The company also provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes, and mobile devices. It has operations in approximately 190 countries. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California.
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