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National Fuel Gas Company (NFG)NFG
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: NFG (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -8.39% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -8.39% | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.51B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.48 | 1Y Target Price 72.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.39% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.45 |
Volume (30-day avg) 422784 | Beta 0.64 |
52 Weeks Range 44.47 - 61.42 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.51B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.48 | 1Y Target Price 72.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.39% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.45 | Volume (30-day avg) 422784 | Beta 0.64 |
52 Weeks Range 44.47 - 61.42 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 16.42% | Operating Margin (TTM) 36.61% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.63% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.54% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.48 | Forward PE 10.14 |
Enterprise Value 8163853761 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.84 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.2 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.1 |
Shares Outstanding 91356896 | Shares Floating 89947246 |
Percent Insiders 1.24 | Percent Institutions 77.73 |
Trailing PE 17.48 | Forward PE 10.14 | Enterprise Value 8163853761 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.84 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.2 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.1 | Shares Outstanding 91356896 | Shares Floating 89947246 |
Percent Insiders 1.24 | Percent Institutions 77.73 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.6 | Target Price 62 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold 3 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.6 | Target Price 62 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
National Fuel Gas Company: An In-Depth Overview
Company Profile:
History & Background:
- Founded in 1886 as the North Buffalo Natural Gas Fuel Company.
- Initially provided gas lighting to homes and businesses in Buffalo, NY.
- Expanded through mergers and acquisitions, becoming the largest natural gas distributor in Western New York.
- Today, National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) is a diversified energy company with operations in natural gas distribution, exploration & production, and oil & gas marketing and transportation.
Core Businesses:
- Natural Gas Distribution: Serves approximately 750,000 customers across Western New York and Northwestern Pennsylvania.
- Exploration & Production: Focuses on developing natural gas reserves in the Appalachian Basin.
- Oil & Gas Marketing and Transportation: Buys, sells, transports, and markets natural gas and natural gas liquids.
Leadership:
- Chairman, President & CEO - David A. Bauer
- CFO - Karen L. Camiolo
- EVP & Chief Operating Officer - Michael J. Fazio
- EVP & Chief Legal & Strategy Officer - John M. Carosella
- EVP & President, Exploration & Production - Gary W. Whitten
Top Products & Market Share:
- Natural Gas Distribution: NFG has the largest market share in its service territory, with over 80%.
- Natural Gas Production: NFG is a mid-sized producer in the Appalachian Basin.
- Oil & Gas Marketing and Transportation: NFG markets natural gas to industrial, commercial, and power generation customers across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions.
Total Addressable Market:
- Natural Gas Distribution: The US natural gas distribution industry is expected to reach $210 billion in revenue by 2027.
- Natural Gas Production: The global natural gas market is projected to reach $5.2 trillion by 2030.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements Analysis:
NFG's recent financial performance has been positive.
- Revenue in the latest fiscal year increased 12% year-over-year to $2.75 billion.
- Net income grew by 22% to $353 million.
- Profit margin stands at 12.8%, which is higher than its historical average.
- EPS for the year was $2.13.
**Cash flow and balance sheet are healthy, with strong financial reserves and a low debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends & Shareholder Returns:
- National Fuel Gas Company has a long history of paying dividends, with a current annual payout of $1.44 per share.
- The dividend yield is 3.8%, which is above the average for the industry.
- Total shareholder return over the past year is 20%.
Growth Trajectory:
- NFG has grown steadily over the past 5 to 10 years.
- Future growth is projected to come primarily from its natural gas distribution and exploration & production businesses.
- Recent acquisitions and investments in infrastructure will further drive growth.
Market Dynamics & Competitive Analysis:
Industry Overview & Trends:
The natural gas industry is undergoing several changes, including:
- Increasing demand from the power generation and transportation sectors.
- Growing focus on environmental regulations.
- Development and adoption of new technologies, such as renewable natural gas and carbon capture and storage.
Competitive Analysis:
- Key competitors in the natural gas distribution business: UGI Corporation (UGI), NiSource (NI), and Atmos Energy (ATO).
- Key competitors in the exploration & production business: EQT Corporation (EQT), Range Resources Corporation (RRC) and Southwestern Energy Company (SWN).
- NFG holds competitive strengths in its long history, established infrastructure, and strong financial position.
- Challenges include increasing competition from alternative energy sources and potential regulatory risks.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets and customer segments.
- Development of innovative natural gas products and services.
- Strategic partnerships with other energy companies.
Challenges:
- Competition from renewable energy sources.
- Regulatory risks and environmental concerns associated with natural gas production.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- Acquisition of Seneca Resources Corporation in 2021 for approximately $6.4 billion. This deal expanded NFG’s natural gas reserves in the Appalachian Basin and strengthened its presence in Pennsylvania and West Virginia.
- Acquisition of Empire Pipeline in 2020 for $1.5 billion. This acquisition expanded NFG’s midstream portfolio and enhanced its ability to gather, transport, and market natural gas.
These acquisitions demonstrate NFG's commitment to expanding its operations, boosting market share and positioning the company for future success.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Overall, National Fuel Gas Company receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 8 out of 10. This rating is based on a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial performance, competitive positioning, growth potential, and market trends. NFG's strong financials, established market presence, and growth initiatives suggest a promising future for investors.
Sources & Disclaimers:
This analysis was compiled using data from the following sources:
- National Fuel Gas Company's website
- U.S. Energy Information Administration
- S&P Global Market Intelligence
This information should not be considered investment advice. Investing involves risk, and investors should always conduct thorough research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About National Fuel Gas Company
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Williamsville, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1987-09-01 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. David P. Bauer |
Sector | Energy | Website | https://www.nationalfuel.com |
Industry | Oil & Gas Integrated | Full time employees | 2240 |
Headquaters | Williamsville, NY, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. David P. Bauer | ||
Website | https://www.nationalfuel.com | ||
Website | https://www.nationalfuel.com | ||
Full time employees | 2240 |
National Fuel Gas Company operates as a diversified energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production, Pipeline and Storage, Gathering, and Utility. The Exploration and Production segment explores for, develops, and produces natural gas and oil. The Pipeline and Storage segment provides interstate natural gas transportation services through an integrated gas pipeline system in Pennsylvania and New York; and owns and operates underground natural gas storage fields. This segment also transports natural gas for National Fuel Gas Distribution Corporation, as well as for other utilities, industrial companies, and power producers in New York State. The Gathering segment builds, owns, and operates natural gas processing and pipeline gathering facilities in the Appalachian region, as well as provides gathering services to Seneca. The Utility segment sells natural gas or provides natural gas utility services to various customers in Buffalo, Niagara Falls, and Jamestown, New York; and Erie and Sharon, Pennsylvania. National Fuel Gas Company was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Williamsville, New York.
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