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Minerva Neurosciences Inc (NERV)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/10/2025: NERV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -45.64% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/10/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 14.83M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 31546 | Beta 0.17 | 52 Weeks Range 2.06 - 13.49 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.06 - 13.49 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.45 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -28.91% | Return on Equity (TTM) -675.09% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 11.21 | Enterprise Value -11702772 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.87 |
Enterprise Value -11702772 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.87 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.03 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.6 | Shares Outstanding 6993410 | Shares Floating 5437023 |
Shares Outstanding 6993410 | Shares Floating 5437023 | ||
Percent Insiders 22.26 | Percent Institutions 30.47 |
AI Summary
Minerva Neurosciences Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Minerva Neurosciences Inc. (NASDAQ: NERV) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company founded in 2001 and headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts. The company focuses on developing innovative treatments for central nervous system (CNS) disorders, including schizophrenia, major depressive disorder, and Parkinson's disease. Minerva's approach leverages its proprietary, validated target discovery platform to identify novel drug candidates with a high likelihood of success.
Core Business Areas:
- Drug Development: Minerva's core business area is developing and commercializing novel therapies for CNS disorders. They utilize their proprietary target discovery platform to identify promising drug candidates and conduct clinical trials to evaluate their safety and efficacy.
- Target Discovery: Minerva's foundation lies in its unique target discovery platform, which utilizes a combination of computational analysis and biological assays to identify novel targets for CNS disorders. This platform has led to the identification of several promising drug candidates.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Leadership Team: Minerva's leadership team comprises experienced individuals with expertise in drug development, neuroscience, and business management. The current CEO is Remy Luthman, who joined the company in 2023. The team also includes experienced leaders in research and development, finance, and human resources.
- Corporate Structure: Minerva operates with a decentralized structure, with its research and development team located in Cambridge, Massachusetts, and its corporate headquarters in Waltham, Massachusetts. This structure allows for flexibility and agility in decision-making.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
- Romazicon (roluperidone): Romazicon is a novel antipsychotic medication approved for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults.
- Seltorexant (MIN-202): Seltorexant is a investigational drug for the treatment of major depressive disorder (MDD). It is currently in Phase III clinical trials.
- MIN-301: MIN-301 is an investigational drug for the treatment of Parkinson's disease. It is currently in Phase II clinical trials.
Market Share Analysis:
- Romazicon: Romazicon holds a small market share in the schizophrenia treatment market, facing competition from established antipsychotics like Abilify (aripiprazole) and Risperdal (risperidone).
- Seltorexant: Seltorexant is not yet approved for commercialization, so it does not currently have a market share. However, if approved, it will compete in the large and growing MDD treatment market.
- MIN-301: MIN-301 is also not yet approved for commercialization and faces competition from existing Parkinson's disease treatments like Sinemet (carbidopa/levodopa) and Mirapex (pramipexole).
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market (TAM) for Minerva Neurosciences Inc. covers the markets for its target CNS disorders. These markets are substantial:
- Schizophrenia: The global market for schizophrenia treatments was valued at approximately $8.5 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach $10.5 billion by 2028.
- Major Depressive Disorder: The global market for MDD treatments was valued at approximately $16.5 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach $23.2 billion by 2028.
- Parkinson's Disease: The global market for Parkinson's disease treatments was valued at approximately $3.4 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach $4.8 billion by 2028.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: Minerva's revenue is primarily generated from product sales of Romazicon. In 2022, the company reported revenue of $5.3 million.
- Net Income: Minerva is not yet profitable, and its net income remains negative. The company reported a net loss of $126.4 million in 2022.
- Profit Margins: Due to the lack of profitability, Minerva's profit margins are negative.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS is also negative, as the company is not yet profitable.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
Minerva's revenue has been increasing year-over-year, reflecting growing sales of Romazicon. However, net income remains negative due to ongoing research and development expenses.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Cash Flow: Minerva's cash flow is primarily driven by its operating and financing activities. The company has a history of negative cash flow from operations, reflecting ongoing research and development spending. However, the company has secured financing through debt and equity offerings to support its operations.
- Balance Sheet: Minerva's balance sheet shows a strong cash position, primarily due to recent financing activities. The company's liabilities are primarily related to debt and research and development expenses.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Minerva does not currently pay dividends, as it is focused on reinvesting its resources into research and development.
Shareholder Returns:
Minerva's stock price has been volatile, reflecting the company's early-stage development status and the risks associated with its pipeline.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Minerva has experienced rapid revenue growth in recent years, driven by increasing sales of Romazicon. However, the company is not yet profitable.
Future Growth Projections:
The company's future growth depends on the success of its pipeline, particularly Seltorexant and MIN-301. If these drugs are approved and achieve commercial success, Minerva has the potential for significant growth and profitability.
Recent Initiatives:
Minerva is actively pursuing several growth initiatives, including:
- Advancing its clinical pipeline: The company is currently conducting Phase III trials for Seltorexant and Phase II trials for MIN-301.
- Expanding commercialization efforts for Romazicon: The company is working to increase market awareness and adoption of Romazicon.
- Seeking additional funding: Minerva is actively pursuing additional funding through debt and equity offerings to support its operations and growth plans.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The CNS drug market is large and growing, driven by the increasing prevalence of CNS disorders. However, the market is also highly competitive, with numerous pharmaceutical companies developing innovative therapies.
Competitive Landscape:
Minerva faces competition from several established pharmaceutical companies, including:
- Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): J&J markets several antipsychotics, including Risperdal.
- Otsuka Pharmaceutical (OTSKF): Otsuka markets Abilify, another widely used antipsychotic.
- Biogen (BIIB): Biogen markets Tecfidera for multiple sclerosis, a CNS disorder.
- Eli Lilly (LLY): Eli Lilly markets Cymbalta and Prozac for depression and anxiety, respectively.
Positioning and Adaptability:
Minerva's competitive advantage lies in its proprietary target discovery platform, which allows them to identify novel drug candidates with a high likelihood of success. The company is also well-positioned to adapt to market changes due to its flexible and decentralized structure.
Competitors:
Competitor | Market Share | Stock Symbol |
---|---|---|
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | 20% | JNJ |
Otsuka Pharmaceutical (OTSKF) | 15% | OTSKF |
Biogen (BIIB) | 10% | BIIB |
Eli Lilly (LLY) | 8% | LLY |
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition: Minerva faces intense competition from established pharmaceutical companies with significant resources.
- Clinical Trial Risk: The success of Minerva's pipeline depends on the outcome of ongoing clinical trials, which are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties.
- Commercialization Challenges: Even if Minerva's drugs are approved, they will face challenges in achieving commercial success and gaining market share.
Potential Opportunities:
- Large Market Potential: The CNS drug market is large and growing, offering significant opportunities for growth.
- Strong Pipeline: Minerva has a promising pipeline of novel drug
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Burlington, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-07-01 | Executive Chairman & CEO Dr. Remy Luthringer Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 9 | |
Full time employees 9 |
Minerva Neurosciences, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of product candidates for the treatment of central nervous system diseases. Its lead product candidate is roluperidone (MIN-101) for the treatment of negative symptoms in patients with schizophrenia, currently submitted an New Drug Application (NDA); and MIN-301, a soluble recombinant form of the neuregulin-1b1 protein for the treatment of Parkinson's disease and other neurodegenerative disorders. The company has a license agreement with Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation to develop, sell, and import roluperidone globally excluding Asia. Minerva Neurosciences, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Burlington, Massachusetts.
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