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Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA)NAPA

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Duckhorn Portfolio Inc
$11.06
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: NAPA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -7.81%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1
Avg. Invested days: 29
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -7.81%
Avg. Invested days: 29
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.63B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 24.58
1Y Target Price 11.22
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.45
Volume (30-day avg) 1440990
Beta 0.03
52 Weeks Range 5.38 - 11.10
Updated Date 11/20/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.63B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 24.58
1Y Target Price 11.22
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.45
Volume (30-day avg) 1440990
Beta 0.03
52 Weeks Range 5.38 - 11.10
Updated Date 11/20/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 13.81%
Operating Margin (TTM) 24.14%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 3.96%
Return on Equity (TTM) 5.06%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 24.58
Forward PE 16.5
Enterprise Value 1955776326
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.02
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.82
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.81
Shares Outstanding 147200992
Shares Floating 44033261
Percent Insiders 27.85
Percent Institutions 75.53
Trailing PE 24.58
Forward PE 16.5
Enterprise Value 1955776326
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.02
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.82
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.81
Shares Outstanding 147200992
Shares Floating 44033261
Percent Insiders 27.85
Percent Institutions 75.53

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.8
Target Price 15.43
Buy -
Strong Buy 2
Hold 3
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 3.8
Target Price 15.43
Buy -
Strong Buy 2
Hold 3
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Duckhorn Portfolio Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

History and Background:

Duckhorn Portfolio Inc. (NAPA) is a leading producer of luxury wines in Napa Valley, California. Founded in 1978 with the acquisition of Duckhorn Vineyards, the company has grown through strategic acquisitions and organic expansion to become a significant player in the high-end wine market. Today, NAPA boasts a portfolio of esteemed brands, including Duckhorn Vineyards, Decoy, Paraduxx, Goldeneye, Migration, Calera, Canvasback, and Kosta Browne.

Core Business Areas:

NAPA focuses exclusively on producing and marketing ultra-premium and luxury wines. The company's vineyards are located in some of the most prestigious appellations in Napa Valley, Sonoma County, and Mendocino County, ensuring access to high-quality grapes. NAPA controls the entire production process, from grape-growing to bottling, allowing for meticulous attention to detail and quality.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

NAPA is led by CEO Alex Ryan, who joined the company in 2016. Ryan brings extensive experience in the wine and spirits industry, having previously held leadership roles at Diageo and Allied Domecq. The company operates a decentralized structure, with each brand having its own dedicated team responsible for production, marketing, and sales.

Top Products and Market Share

Products and Offerings:

NAPA's portfolio features a diverse range of wines, spanning Cabernet Sauvignon, Pinot Noir, Chardonnay, Sauvignon Blanc, and Zinfandel. The company's flagship brands, such as Duckhorn Vineyards and Decoy, are highly sought-after by wine enthusiasts and collectors.

Market Share:

NAPA holds a significant market share in the ultra-premium and luxury wine segment. According to Wine Spectator, NAPA captured roughly 3% of the $19 billion U.S. luxury wine market in 2022. The company's Decoy brand is particularly dominant, holding the top position in terms of total retail sales among luxury wines.

Product Performance and Market Reception:

NAPA's wines have consistently received critical acclaim and top ratings from renowned publications like Wine Spectator, Wine Advocate, and James Suckling. This strong reputation for quality has contributed to the company's success in the competitive luxury wine market.

Total Addressable Market

The global market for ultra-premium and luxury wines is estimated to be around $28 billion. Within the U.S., this market represents approximately $19 billion in annual sales. NAPA primarily focuses on the U.S. market, with exports accounting for a smaller portion of its sales.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Statements:

In fiscal year 2023, NAPA reported revenue of $409 million, representing a 7% increase year-over-year. Net income grew by 10% to $69 million, with EPS reaching $2.02. The company's profit margins remained strong, with gross margin at 57% and operating margin at 25%.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:

NAPA maintains a solid financial position with healthy cash flow and a strong balance sheet. The company generated $89 million in operating cash flow in fiscal year 2023, which comfortably covers its capital expenditures and debt obligations.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History:

NAPA has a consistent dividend payout history, with a current annual dividend of $0.80 per share. The company's recent dividend yield stands at approximately 1.2%, while the payout ratio is around 40%.

Shareholder Returns:

NAPA's stock has performed well in recent years, delivering strong returns to shareholders. Over the past year, NAPA's stock price has increased by over 20%. Over a five-year period, the stock has generated total returns of over 100%.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth:

NAPA has experienced consistent growth over the past five to ten years, driven by organic expansion and strategic acquisitions. The company's revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 10% during this period.

Future Growth Projections:

NAPA is well-positioned for continued growth in the coming years. The company's strong brand portfolio, premium pricing strategy, and expanding distribution network are expected to fuel future sales growth. Additionally, NAPA is actively pursuing new market opportunities and product innovations, further bolstering its long-term growth prospects.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview:

The luxury wine industry is characterized by strong demand, driven by rising disposable incomes and increased consumer interest in premium alcoholic beverages. The industry is also experiencing a shift towards online sales and direct-to-consumer channels.

Company Positioning:

NAPA is well-positioned within the luxury wine industry, with a strong brand portfolio, a focus on quality, and a robust distribution network. The company is also actively adapting to market trends by expanding its online presence and exploring new distribution channels.

Competitors

Key Competitors:

NAPA's key competitors include other producers of luxury wines such as:

  • The Wine Group (WINE)
  • Constellation Brands (STZ)
  • E.&J. Gallo Winery (private)
  • Treasury Wine Estates (TWE)

Market Share and Competitive Advantages:

NAPA holds a strong market share in the luxury wine segment, particularly with its Decoy brand. The company's competitive advantages include its premium brand portfolio, high-quality wines, extensive distribution network, and experienced management team.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Challenges:

NAPA faces challenges such as rising grape costs, increased competition, and potential economic downturns.

Opportunities:

NAPA has opportunities to expand into new markets, innovate with new products, and leverage its strong brand portfolio to drive further growth.

Recent Acquisitions

In the past three years, NAPA has made several strategic acquisitions to expand its brand portfolio and geographical reach:

  • 2021: NAPA acquired Kosta Browne, a renowned producer of Pinot Noir from California's Central Coast.
  • 2022: NAPA acquired Calera, a respected winery known for its Chardonnay and Pinot Noir from the Mount Harlan appellation.
  • 2023: NAPA acquired Canvasback, a boutique winery specializing in high-end Cabernet Sauvignon from the Walla Walla Valley in Washington state.

These acquisitions align with NAPA's strategy of expanding its portfolio with premium brands and entering new wine regions.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

NAPA receives a strong AI-based fundamental rating of 8 out of 10. This rating is supported by the company's robust financial performance, leading market position, and promising growth prospects.

Sources and Disclaimers

Data for this analysis was gathered from the following sources:

  • NAPA's investor relations website
  • U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
  • Industry reports from Wine Spectator and IWSR Drinks Market Analysis

Disclaimer:

This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Duckhorn Portfolio Inc

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Saint Helena, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-03-18 President, CEO & Chairperson Ms. Deirdre Ann Mahlan
Sector Consumer Defensive Website https://www.duckhornportfolio.com
Industry Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries Full time employees 560
Headquaters Saint Helena, CA, United States
President, CEO & Chairperson Ms. Deirdre Ann Mahlan
Website https://www.duckhornportfolio.com
Website https://www.duckhornportfolio.com
Full time employees 560

The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc. produces and sells wines in North America. The company offers wines under a portfolio of brands, including Duckhorn Vineyards, Decoy, Goldeneye, Paraduxx, Migration, Sonoma-Cutrer, Canvasback, Calera, Kosta Browne, Greenwing, and Postmark. It sells wines to distributors, and directly to retail accounts and consumers. The company was formerly known as Mallard Intermediate, Inc. and changed its name to The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc. in February 2021. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Saint Helena, California.

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