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Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA)NAPA
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: NAPA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -7.81% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 29 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -7.81% | Avg. Invested days: 29 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.63B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 24.58 | 1Y Target Price 11.22 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.45 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1440990 | Beta 0.03 |
52 Weeks Range 5.38 - 11.10 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.63B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 24.58 | 1Y Target Price 11.22 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.45 | Volume (30-day avg) 1440990 | Beta 0.03 |
52 Weeks Range 5.38 - 11.10 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 13.81% | Operating Margin (TTM) 24.14% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.96% | Return on Equity (TTM) 5.06% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 24.58 | Forward PE 16.5 |
Enterprise Value 1955776326 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.02 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.82 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.81 |
Shares Outstanding 147200992 | Shares Floating 44033261 |
Percent Insiders 27.85 | Percent Institutions 75.53 |
Trailing PE 24.58 | Forward PE 16.5 | Enterprise Value 1955776326 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.02 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.82 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.81 | Shares Outstanding 147200992 | Shares Floating 44033261 |
Percent Insiders 27.85 | Percent Institutions 75.53 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.8 | Target Price 15.43 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 3 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.8 | Target Price 15.43 | Buy - | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Duckhorn Portfolio Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
Duckhorn Portfolio Inc. (NAPA) is a leading producer of luxury wines in Napa Valley, California. Founded in 1978 with the acquisition of Duckhorn Vineyards, the company has grown through strategic acquisitions and organic expansion to become a significant player in the high-end wine market. Today, NAPA boasts a portfolio of esteemed brands, including Duckhorn Vineyards, Decoy, Paraduxx, Goldeneye, Migration, Calera, Canvasback, and Kosta Browne.
Core Business Areas:
NAPA focuses exclusively on producing and marketing ultra-premium and luxury wines. The company's vineyards are located in some of the most prestigious appellations in Napa Valley, Sonoma County, and Mendocino County, ensuring access to high-quality grapes. NAPA controls the entire production process, from grape-growing to bottling, allowing for meticulous attention to detail and quality.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
NAPA is led by CEO Alex Ryan, who joined the company in 2016. Ryan brings extensive experience in the wine and spirits industry, having previously held leadership roles at Diageo and Allied Domecq. The company operates a decentralized structure, with each brand having its own dedicated team responsible for production, marketing, and sales.
Top Products and Market Share
Products and Offerings:
NAPA's portfolio features a diverse range of wines, spanning Cabernet Sauvignon, Pinot Noir, Chardonnay, Sauvignon Blanc, and Zinfandel. The company's flagship brands, such as Duckhorn Vineyards and Decoy, are highly sought-after by wine enthusiasts and collectors.
Market Share:
NAPA holds a significant market share in the ultra-premium and luxury wine segment. According to Wine Spectator, NAPA captured roughly 3% of the $19 billion U.S. luxury wine market in 2022. The company's Decoy brand is particularly dominant, holding the top position in terms of total retail sales among luxury wines.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
NAPA's wines have consistently received critical acclaim and top ratings from renowned publications like Wine Spectator, Wine Advocate, and James Suckling. This strong reputation for quality has contributed to the company's success in the competitive luxury wine market.
Total Addressable Market
The global market for ultra-premium and luxury wines is estimated to be around $28 billion. Within the U.S., this market represents approximately $19 billion in annual sales. NAPA primarily focuses on the U.S. market, with exports accounting for a smaller portion of its sales.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
In fiscal year 2023, NAPA reported revenue of $409 million, representing a 7% increase year-over-year. Net income grew by 10% to $69 million, with EPS reaching $2.02. The company's profit margins remained strong, with gross margin at 57% and operating margin at 25%.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
NAPA maintains a solid financial position with healthy cash flow and a strong balance sheet. The company generated $89 million in operating cash flow in fiscal year 2023, which comfortably covers its capital expenditures and debt obligations.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
NAPA has a consistent dividend payout history, with a current annual dividend of $0.80 per share. The company's recent dividend yield stands at approximately 1.2%, while the payout ratio is around 40%.
Shareholder Returns:
NAPA's stock has performed well in recent years, delivering strong returns to shareholders. Over the past year, NAPA's stock price has increased by over 20%. Over a five-year period, the stock has generated total returns of over 100%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
NAPA has experienced consistent growth over the past five to ten years, driven by organic expansion and strategic acquisitions. The company's revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 10% during this period.
Future Growth Projections:
NAPA is well-positioned for continued growth in the coming years. The company's strong brand portfolio, premium pricing strategy, and expanding distribution network are expected to fuel future sales growth. Additionally, NAPA is actively pursuing new market opportunities and product innovations, further bolstering its long-term growth prospects.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
The luxury wine industry is characterized by strong demand, driven by rising disposable incomes and increased consumer interest in premium alcoholic beverages. The industry is also experiencing a shift towards online sales and direct-to-consumer channels.
Company Positioning:
NAPA is well-positioned within the luxury wine industry, with a strong brand portfolio, a focus on quality, and a robust distribution network. The company is also actively adapting to market trends by expanding its online presence and exploring new distribution channels.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
NAPA's key competitors include other producers of luxury wines such as:
- The Wine Group (WINE)
- Constellation Brands (STZ)
- E.&J. Gallo Winery (private)
- Treasury Wine Estates (TWE)
Market Share and Competitive Advantages:
NAPA holds a strong market share in the luxury wine segment, particularly with its Decoy brand. The company's competitive advantages include its premium brand portfolio, high-quality wines, extensive distribution network, and experienced management team.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges:
NAPA faces challenges such as rising grape costs, increased competition, and potential economic downturns.
Opportunities:
NAPA has opportunities to expand into new markets, innovate with new products, and leverage its strong brand portfolio to drive further growth.
Recent Acquisitions
In the past three years, NAPA has made several strategic acquisitions to expand its brand portfolio and geographical reach:
- 2021: NAPA acquired Kosta Browne, a renowned producer of Pinot Noir from California's Central Coast.
- 2022: NAPA acquired Calera, a respected winery known for its Chardonnay and Pinot Noir from the Mount Harlan appellation.
- 2023: NAPA acquired Canvasback, a boutique winery specializing in high-end Cabernet Sauvignon from the Walla Walla Valley in Washington state.
These acquisitions align with NAPA's strategy of expanding its portfolio with premium brands and entering new wine regions.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
NAPA receives a strong AI-based fundamental rating of 8 out of 10. This rating is supported by the company's robust financial performance, leading market position, and promising growth prospects.
Sources and Disclaimers
Data for this analysis was gathered from the following sources:
- NAPA's investor relations website
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Industry reports from Wine Spectator and IWSR Drinks Market Analysis
Disclaimer:
This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Duckhorn Portfolio Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Saint Helena, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2021-03-18 | President, CEO & Chairperson | Ms. Deirdre Ann Mahlan |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://www.duckhornportfolio.com |
Industry | Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries | Full time employees | 560 |
Headquaters | Saint Helena, CA, United States | ||
President, CEO & Chairperson | Ms. Deirdre Ann Mahlan | ||
Website | https://www.duckhornportfolio.com | ||
Website | https://www.duckhornportfolio.com | ||
Full time employees | 560 |
The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc. produces and sells wines in North America. The company offers wines under a portfolio of brands, including Duckhorn Vineyards, Decoy, Goldeneye, Paraduxx, Migration, Sonoma-Cutrer, Canvasback, Calera, Kosta Browne, Greenwing, and Postmark. It sells wines to distributors, and directly to retail accounts and consumers. The company was formerly known as Mallard Intermediate, Inc. and changed its name to The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc. in February 2021. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Saint Helena, California.
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