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Murphy USA Inc (MUSA)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
03/27/2025: MUSA (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 50.47% | Avg. Invested days 53 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.51B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 19.94 | 1Y Target Price 512.62 |
Price to earnings Ratio 19.94 | 1Y Target Price 512.62 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 262287 | Beta 0.8 | 52 Weeks Range 380.53 - 560.46 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 380.53 - 560.46 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.41% | Basic EPS (TTM) 24.09 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.81% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 10.63% | Return on Equity (TTM) 60.22% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 19.94 | Forward PE 18.05 | Enterprise Value 11727906067 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.53 |
Enterprise Value 11727906067 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.53 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.58 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.77 | Shares Outstanding 19794800 | Shares Floating 18149114 |
Shares Outstanding 19794800 | Shares Floating 18149114 | ||
Percent Insiders 9.23 | Percent Institutions 87.09 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.29 | Target Price 495 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 | ||
Hold 1 | Sell 3 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Murphy USA Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Murphy USA was founded in 1996 as a spin-off from Murphy Oil Corporation. It focused on operating retail gasoline stations and convenience stores, primarily near Walmart stores. Over time, it expanded its network and refined its business model.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Fuel: This segment involves the sale of gasoline and other motor fuels at Murphy USA and Murphy Express locations. It's the primary revenue driver for the company.
- Merchandise: This segment includes the sale of convenience store items such as beverages, snacks, tobacco products, and other goods at the retail locations.
Leadership and Structure
The company has a CEO who oversees the entire operation. Below the CEO are various vice presidents and directors responsible for areas such as operations, finance, marketing, and real estate. The organizational structure is hierarchical, with regional managers overseeing individual store operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gasoline: Gasoline sales are the core revenue driver for Murphy USA. Market share data fluctuates based on regional competition and pricing strategies. Competitors include major oil companies (e.g., ExxonMobil, Chevron) and other convenience store chains (e.g., Circle K, 7-Eleven).
- Convenience Store Items: These include beverages, snacks, tobacco, and other merchandise. Revenue from these items is significant and growing. Competitors are other convenience store chains such as 7-Eleven, Circle K and gas stations from brands like Shell and BP.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The convenience store and gas station industry is highly competitive and fragmented, with players ranging from large integrated oil companies to independent operators. It's influenced by factors like fuel prices, consumer spending, and regulatory changes.
Positioning
Murphy USA positions itself as a value-oriented retailer, focusing on low prices and convenient locations, often near Walmart stores. Its competitive advantages include cost efficiency and strategic partnerships.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for US gas stations and convenience stores is estimated to be over $600 billion. Murphy USA captures a portion of this through its value pricing and strategic location.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Low-cost operating model
- Strategic locations near Walmart stores
- Strong brand recognition
- Efficient supply chain
- Consistent profitability
Weaknesses
- High reliance on fuel sales
- Limited diversification in product offerings
- Vulnerability to fluctuating fuel prices
- Small store footprint can limit offerings
- Geographic concentration in the US
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Increase in-store merchandise sales
- Development of loyalty programs
- Leveraging technology for improved efficiency
- Acquisition of smaller competitors
Threats
- Rising fuel prices
- Increased competition from other retailers
- Changes in consumer preferences
- Economic downturns
- Regulatory changes affecting fuel standards
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- WMT
- CST
- ARCO
Competitive Landscape
Murphy USA competes primarily on price, leveraging its low-cost structure. Walmart (WMT) has a larger footprint and brand recognition. CST offers a broader range of convenience store products and services.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Murphy USA has demonstrated steady growth in revenue and profitability over the past years, driven by store expansion and same-store sales growth.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Murphy USA, driven by its value proposition and strategic expansion plans. Growth may be moderated by fluctuations in fuel prices.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding the Murphy Drive Rewards loyalty program and remodeling existing stores to enhance the customer experience.
Summary
Murphy USA is a fundamentally sound company, driven by its low-cost operations and strategic locations. Its strong fuel sales are a key strength, but the company is vulnerable to fluctuating fuel prices. Future growth depends on expanding into new markets and diversifying product offerings. They need to watch out for the threat of economic downturns.
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WMT

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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (SEC)
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Company Website
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data and analysis are subject to change and may not be accurate. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Murphy USA Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters El Dorado, AR, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-08-19 | President, CEO & Director Mr. R. Andrew Clyde | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Specialty Retail | Full time employees 5900 | Website https://www.murphyusa.com |
Full time employees 5900 | Website https://www.murphyusa.com |
Murphy USA Inc., together with subsidiaries, engages in marketing of retail motor fuel products and convenience merchandise. The company operates retail stores under the Murphy USA, Murphy Express, and QuickChek brands, as well as operates non-fuel convenience stores. It operates retail gasoline stores principally in the Southeast, Southwest, and Midwest areas of the United States. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in El Dorado, Arkansas.
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