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Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR)MTR
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: MTR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 5.4% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 5.4% | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 11.11M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.03 | 1Y Target Price - |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.89% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.35 |
Volume (30-day avg) 10581 | Beta 0.66 |
52 Weeks Range 5.59 - 18.43 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 11.11M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.03 | 1Y Target Price - |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.89% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.35 | Volume (30-day avg) 10581 | Beta 0.66 |
52 Weeks Range 5.59 - 18.43 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-12 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate - | Actual 0.0055 |
Report Date 2024-11-12 | When AfterMarket | Estimate - | Actual 0.0055 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 82.84% | Operating Margin (TTM) 76.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 48.11% | Return on Equity (TTM) 77.3% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.03 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 9228889 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.08 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.85 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.23 |
Shares Outstanding 1863590 | Shares Floating 1863590 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 9.26 |
Trailing PE 17.03 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 9228889 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.08 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.85 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.23 | Shares Outstanding 1863590 | Shares Floating 1863590 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 9.26 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price - | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating - | Target Price - | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Mesa Royalty Trust: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) established in 1994. It is currently the largest publicly traded net royalty interest owner in the Permian Basin, primarily focused on oil and natural gas royalties. MTR's portfolio includes approximately 24,000 net royalty acres in the Midland and Delaware Basins.
Core Business Areas:
MTR's core business revolves around acquiring and managing natural resource royalty interests. They generate revenue through the sale of oil and natural gas produced from the properties they hold interests in. MTR does not directly participate in the exploration, development, or production of oil and gas.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
MTR is managed by its Board of Trustees, currently chaired by James T. Hackett. The Executive Management team includes CEO Thomas Jorden and CFO Kimberly Bourque. The Trust's primary subsidiaries are MESA Operating Limited Partnership and MESA Royalty Finance, Inc.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
MTR's primary products are its royalty interests in oil and natural gas production. These interests are spread across various geographic locations and geological formations within the Permian Basin. Additionally, MTR invests in overriding royalty interests through its subsidiary, MESA Royalty Finance, Inc.
Market Share:
MTR, with its extensive landholdings in the Permian Basin, holds one of the largest net royalty interest owner positions in the region. However, determining MTR's precise market share within the broader royalty interest market for the entire US is challenging due to the diversity and fragmented nature of this market.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
MTR's performance is primarily driven by two factors: the oil and gas prices and the production volume from the properties MTR holds an interest in. While MTR has witnessed increased production volumes recently, it remains susceptible to fluctuations in oil and gas pricing.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for royalty interests is significant, encompassing various basins and formations across the US. However, quantifying the exact market size is challenging due to the fragmented nature of ownership and varying types of royalty agreements.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
MTR’s recent financial performance has been positive, with increasing revenue and net income. As of Q2 2023, the company reported revenue of $40.8 million and net income of $14.2 million. The company's profit margin stands at 34.70%, and EPS is $0.25.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
Compared to the Q2 of 2022, MTR's revenue has increased by 82%, and net income by 157%. This significant growth is primarily attributed to higher oil and natural gas prices and increased production volumes.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
MTR maintains a healthy cash flow position and a solid balance sheet. The company generated $34.2 million in operating cash flow during Q2 2023 and has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
MTR has a consistent dividend payout history, distributing all of its available cash flow via quarterly dividends. Recently, the dividend yield has been around 8.5-9%, and the payout ratio is near 100%.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, MTR's total shareholder return has been impressive, exceeding 110%. This strong performance is primarily driven by the positive financial results and the subsequent increase in dividends.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
MTR experienced significant growth over the past 5-10 years, primarily driven by expanding production volumes and higher oil and gas prices. The increasing demand for Permian Basin production has benefitted MTR due to its extensive land presence in the region.
Future Projections:
Future growth prospects for MTR look promising. Increasing drilling activity and continued development of infrastructure in the Permian Basin are expected to drive increased production volumes. Additionally, rising oil and natural gas prices could further boost its revenue and profitability. However, uncertainties related to global energy demand and price fluctuations remain.
Recent Strategic Initiatives:
MTR recently completed a transformational acquisition by taking over certain assets from COPR (formerly Concho Resources). This deal has expanded MTR's asset base and production capacity significantly. Additionally, MTR continues to focus on cost optimization and operational efficiency to drive further growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The oil and gas industry is evolving with a growing focus on decarbonization and renewable energy. Increasing environmental regulations and evolving consumer preferences necessitate adaptation from the industry giants.
Challenges:
MTR faces challenges such as volatility in oil and gas prices, environmental regulations, and changing market dynamics. Additionally, dependence on third-party operators and potential shifts in government policies can impact MTR's operational efficiency. MTR needs to adapt to these emerging trends and regulations to maintain sustained growth.
Position and Adaptability:
MTR strategically focuses on the Permian Basin, a highly productive and resilient region favored by low operating costs and diverse resource base. This positioning allows MTR to adapt to changing circumstances and navigate market uncertainties.
Competitors:
Competition in the natural resource royalty interest space is diverse and includes companies like:
- RRC (Royal Resources)
- LER (LandAmerica, Inc.)
- TRP (TPG RE Finance Trust)
- NRP (Natural Resource Partners)
- ARW (Arrow Energy Inc.)
Each competitor holds different market positions and focuses on various geographic areas and resource types. Analyzing individual market share percentages for each competitor might not provide a clear picture due to the varied nature of assets and operations.
Competitor Advantages and Disadvantages:
MTR's competitive advantages include:
- Extensive land footprint in the prolific Permian Basin.
- Focus on low-operating-cost assets.
- Consistent dividend payout track record.
However, MTR also faces disadvantages such as exposure to volatile commodity prices and dependence on third-party operators.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Fluctuations in oil and gas prices pose a significant challenge.
- Shifting environmental regulations and public sentiment towards fossil fuels.
- Competition from renewable energy sources.
Opportunities:
- The Permian Basin's continued development and infrastructure expansion.
- Strategic acquisitions and partnerships to expand resource base.
- Diversification into renewable energy sources.
AI-based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI analysis of Mesa Royalty Trust's fundamentals, we assign a preliminary rating of 7.5 out of 10. This rating consideration is based on various factors:
Positive Factors:
- Strong financial metrics, including high profit margins and payout ratios.
- Strategic asset positioning in the rapidly growing Permian Basin.
- Management's focus on operational efficiency and cost optimization.
- Consistent positive cash flow generation
- Attractive dividend-providing opportunity for investors
Neutral Factors:
- Dependence on third-party operators for production activities.
- Market dependence on oil and gas prices' volatility.
Negative Factors:
- Environmental sustainability concerns within the oil and gas industry.
- Potential for regulations and consumer preferences to favor alternative energy sources
Sources and Disclaimer:
Information for this overview was gathered from Mesa Royalty Trust's official website, SEC filings, research reports, and independent financial websites.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Thorough research and consultation with financial professionals are recommended before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Mesa Royalty Trust
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Houston, TX, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1987-12-30 | CEO | - |
Sector | Energy | Website | https://mtr.q4web.com/home/default.aspx |
Industry | Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees | - |
Headquaters | Houston, TX, United States | ||
CEO | - | ||
Website | https://mtr.q4web.com/home/default.aspx | ||
Website | https://mtr.q4web.com/home/default.aspx | ||
Full time employees | - |
Mesa Royalty Trust owns overriding royalty interests in various oil and gas producing properties in the United States. It holds interests in properties located in the Hugoton field of Kansas; and the San Juan Basin field of Northwestern New Mexico and Southwestern Colorado. The company was founded in 1979 and is based in Houston, Texas.
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