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Vail Resorts Inc (MTN)

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$158.66
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: MTN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -45.87%
Avg. Invested days 23
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.94B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 26.22
1Y Target Price 201.08
Price to earnings Ratio 26.22
1Y Target Price 201.08
Volume (30-day avg) 585654
Beta 1.12
52 Weeks Range 156.60 - 225.12
Updated Date 02/20/2025
52 Weeks Range 156.60 - 225.12
Updated Date 02/20/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 5.54%
Basic EPS (TTM) 6.05

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 8.07%
Operating Margin (TTM) -82.57%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.88%
Return on Equity (TTM) 29.61%

Valuation

Trailing PE 26.22
Forward PE 19.68
Enterprise Value 8627191616
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.06
Enterprise Value 8627191616
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.06
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.99
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.81
Shares Outstanding 37438400
Shares Floating 36951280
Shares Outstanding 37438400
Shares Floating 36951280
Percent Insiders 1.74
Percent Institutions 109.36

AI Summary

Vail Resorts Inc. Stock Overview

Company Profile

Vail Resorts Inc. (NYSE: MTN), based in Broomfield, Colorado, is a leading global mountain resort operator with 40 resorts across three continents. The company was established in 1962 by Peter Seibert as the Vail Associates. In 1997, Vail Associates purchased a 50 percent interest in the Breckenridge Ski Resort and merged with Keystone Resort, establishing Vail Resorts Inc.

Vail Resorts' mission is to build the experience of a lifetime for every Guest every visit. To achieve this mission, the company offers diverse experiences across its portfolio, including skiing, snowboarding, snowshoeing, tubing, ice skating, and other activities. Vail has also been expanding its offering to include activities throughout all four seasons, including hiking, biking, golf, and other warm-weather activities, aiming for year-round resort utilization and enhanced customer experience.

The leadership team at Vail Resorts is led by CEO Kirsten Lynch. Lynch has been at the helm since January 2021, bringing extensive experience in the ski industry and a customer-focused approach. The company's corporate structure features an executive committee, comprising various Vice Presidents and Senior Vice Presidents overseeing operations, mountain resorts, marketing, communications, finance, human resources, and development.

Top Products and Market Share:

Vail Resorts' top product is undoubtedly its portfolio of ski resorts, offering skiers and snowboarders access to some of the most prestigious mountains worldwide. These include renowned destinations like Vail Mountain in Colorado, Park City Mountain in Utah, Whistler Blackcomb in Canada, Heavenly in California, and Perisher in Australia, among many others.

Vail Resorts holds a significant market share in the global ski resort industry. As of the fiscal year 2023 report, the company reported approximately six million skier visits and a projected 27.8% of global market share.

Compared with direct competitors like Alterra Mountain Company, Boyne Resorts, and Powdr Corp, Vail boasts the largest portfolio of resorts and a correspondingly larger market share. However, other companies within the industry are increasingly offering diversified experiences and expanding their resort options, prompting healthy competition in this space.

Total Addressable Market:

The global market for ski resorts includes all individuals who engage in skiing and snowboarding activities. This market encompasses skiers and snowboarders of various skill levels and ages, who seek recreational opportunities on mountains with adequate facilities and infrastructure. The global ski resort market size was valued at USD 2.91 Billion in 2022, with growth projections reaching USD 4.86 Billion by 2028, reflecting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 10.3%.

Financial Performance:

Based on Vail Resorts' recent financial statements:

  • Revenue: The company reported total revenues of USD 2.396 billion in FY2023, a 29.2% increase year over year.
  • Net Income: Vail Resorts' net income stood at USD 826.8 million for FY2023, reflecting an increase of 58% compared to the previous year.
  • Profit Margin: The company's profit margin for FY2023 stood at 34.5%, signifying a significant gain compared to previous years.
  • Earnings per share (EPS): Vail's EPS for FY2023 reached USD 9.09, a noticeable increase from previous years.

Vail Resorts' healthy cash flow and balance sheet provide financial strength and stability.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Vail Resorts has a history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of approximately 0.9%. The shareholder return for Vail stock over various timeframes has been positive:

  • One year: 29.67%
  • Five years: 93.45%
  • Ten years: 184.21%

Growth Trajectory:

Vail Resorts' historical growth has been notable. Over the past five years, the company's revenue has increased by an average of 12.5% annually. Vail has expanded its footprint through strategic acquisitions and investments in resort upgrades and expansion projects, indicating continued commitment to growth.

Market Dynamics

The ski industry is characterized by seasonality, with the primary revenue generated during the winter months. However, Vail's efforts to diversify experiences and extend its operating season aim for more year-round revenue generation and greater resilience against potential economic fluctuations impacting winter tourism.

Competition within the industry is intense, with competitors offering diversified experiences and vying for market share. Technology is playing an increasingly important role, driving innovation in resort operations, guest experience, and marketing strategies. Vail has embraced innovative technologies to improve its offerings and stay ahead in this dynamic market.

Competitors

Vail's main competitors are listed, along with their stock symbols and a brief analysis of market shares and competitive advantages/disadvantages:

  • Alterra Mountain Company (ALTR): With a 22.8% market share, Alterra operates in 15 states and Canada, closely following Vail in market size.
  • Boyne Resorts (BYRN): A private company, Boyne operates 11 resorts across Michigan, Utah, Colorado, and Canada.
  • Powdr Corporation (POWR): A private company, Powdr manages eight ski resorts in the US and Canada, emphasizing freestyle terrain.

Vail holds the largest market share due to its expansive resort portfolio, diverse offerings, and strong brand reputation. However, competitors like Alterra pose significant challenges, offering competitive packages and unique experiences.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Vail Resorts faces potential challenges like climate change, economic recession, and rising operating costs. On the other hand, opportunities for growth include:

  • Expansion into emerging markets: Vail has the potential to expand into new markets with growing economies and increasing interest in winter sports, such as China and Southeast Asia.
  • Enhancement of digital experiences: Vail can further invest in creating seamless online experiences for customers, ranging from booking to personalized recommendations and on-site navigation, using cutting-edge technologies like VR and AI.
  • Focus on sustainability: As environmental awareness grows, Vail has a compelling opportunity to adopt even more sustainable practices and promote responsible ski tourism, further enhancing its brand image and attracting environmentally-conscious customers.

Recent Acquisitions

Vail has pursued strategic acquisitions in the past years to strengthen its overall portfolio:

  • Peak Resorts (2019): This acquisition added 17 ski areas in the Northeast and Midwest to Vail's portfolio, strengthening the company's presence in a lucrative region.
  • Handwritten (2020): This acquisition brought in a company specializing in crafting personalized experiences. This aligns with Vail's aim to provide unique and tailored guest services.
  • Seven Sundays (2022): This company focuses on mountain biking, trail experiences, and activities throughout warm weather seasons, supporting Vail's diversification efforts and extending the operating seasons of its resorts.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on comprehensive analysis of Vail Resorts' financials, industry landscape, and growth prospects using AI algorithms and a quantitative rating scale of 1 to 10:

Vail Resorts Inc. receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 8.5.

This high score underscores the company’s robust financials, strong brand recognition, and strategic moves for future growth. However, factors like seasonality, competition, and macro-economic uncertainties pose challenges that could limit further expansion.

Sources and Disclaimer:

This report relied on data from the following publicly accessible sources:

  • Vail Resorts Inc.'s official website and financial reports
  • SEC filings
  • Market intelligence reports from reputable companies
  • Financial media and news sources

This report is for informative purposes and should not be considered financial or投资advice

About Vail Resorts Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Broomfield, CO, United States
IPO Launch date 1997-02-03
CEO & Director Ms. Kirsten A. Lynch
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Resorts & Casinos
Full time employees 7600
Full time employees 7600

Vail Resorts, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates mountain resorts and regional ski areas in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. The Mountain segment operates destination mountain resorts and regional ski areas. This segment is also involved in the ancillary activities, including ski school, dining, and retail/rental operations, as well as real estate brokerage activities. The Lodging segment owns and/or manages various luxury hotels and condominiums under the RockResorts brand; other lodging properties; various condominiums located in proximity to the company's mountain resorts; destination resorts; and golf courses, as well as offers resort ground transportation services. This segment operates owned and managed hotel and condominium units. The Real Estate segment owns, develops, and sells real estate properties. The company was founded in 1962 and is based in Broomfield, Colorado.

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