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MGIC Investment Corp (MTG)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/17/2025: MTG (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 20.45% | Avg. Invested days 59 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/17/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.22B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.68 | 1Y Target Price 26.29 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.68 | 1Y Target Price 26.29 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1652568 | Beta 1.27 | 52 Weeks Range 18.27 - 26.56 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 18.27 - 26.56 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.13% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.83 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-01-29 | When After Market | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 64.09% | Operating Margin (TTM) 85.83% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.6% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.03% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.68 | Forward PE 8.98 | Enterprise Value 6552993778 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.23 |
Enterprise Value 6552993778 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.23 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.51 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 253364992 | Shares Floating 249230440 |
Shares Outstanding 253364992 | Shares Floating 249230440 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.4 | Percent Institutions 97.89 |
AI Summary
MGIC Investment Corp: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
MGIC Investment Corp. (MTG) was founded in 1957 as the Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation. The company is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. MGIC is a leading provider of private mortgage insurance (PMI) in the United States. PMI protects lenders against losses if a borrower defaults on their mortgage.
Core business areas:
- Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI): This is MGIC's primary business, accounting for over 90% of its revenue. MGIC offers various PMI products to borrowers with low down payments.
- Reinsurance: MGIC also provides reinsurance to other mortgage insurers.
- Other insurance products: MGIC offers a limited range of other insurance products, including mortgage-related insurance and surety bonds.
Leadership and corporate structure:
- President and CEO: Patrick J. Sinks
- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer: Kathleen A. Behrens
- Executive Vice President and Chief Risk Officer: David A. Hughes
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- MI Choice: A loan-level, single-premium mortgage insurance product.
- Advantage: A multi-loan, single-premium mortgage insurance product.
- Choice Plus: A monthly premium mortgage insurance product.
Market Share:
- US market share: MGIC is the second-largest private mortgage insurer in the US, with a market share of approximately 20%.
- Global market share: MGIC's global market share is estimated to be around 5%.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- MGIC's products are generally well-received by both borrowers and lenders.
- The company has a strong track record of financial performance, with consistently high profitability and low delinquency rates.
- However, MGIC faces competition from a number of other PMI providers, including Radian Group (RDN), Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT), and Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL).
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for PMI in the US is estimated to be around $20 billion. This market is expected to grow in the coming years as more borrowers seek homeownership with lower down payments.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $1.37 billion (2022)
- Net income: $231.3 million (2022)
- Profit margin: 16.9% (2022)
- Earnings per share (EPS): $3.72 (2022)
Year-over-year comparison:
- Revenue and net income have increased significantly in recent years, driven by growth in the housing market.
- Profit margins and EPS have remained relatively stable.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- MGIC has a strong cash flow position, with positive operating cash flow in recent years.
- The company also has a healthy balance sheet, with low debt levels and a strong capital position.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
- MGIC has a history of paying dividends, but the dividend payout ratio has varied in recent years.
- The current annual dividend is $1.60 per share.
- The dividend yield is currently around 1.7%.
Shareholder Returns:
- MGIC's stock price has performed well in recent years, outperforming the S&P 500 index.
- Total shareholder returns over the past year have been approximately 15%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
- MGIC has experienced strong growth in recent years, driven by the growth in the housing market.
- Revenue and net income have both increased significantly in the past five years.
Future Growth Projections:
- Industry analysts expect MGIC's growth to continue in the coming years, as the housing market remains strong.
- The company is also focusing on new product development and strategic partnerships to drive future growth.
Recent Product Launches and Initiatives:
- MGIC has recently launched several new PMI products, including a product for borrowers with credit scores as low as 620.
- The company has also partnered with several online lenders to offer its products to a wider audience.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
- The private mortgage insurance industry is highly concentrated, with the top four players accounting for over 90% of the market.
- The industry is cyclical, meaning that it is affected by changes in the housing market.
- Technological advancements are changing the way PMI is delivered and underwritten.
MGIC's Positioning:
- MGIC is a well-established player in the industry with a strong brand and a large distribution network.
- The company is focused on innovation and is developing new products to meet the changing needs of borrowers.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Radian Group (RDN)
- Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT)
- Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)
Market Share Comparison:
- Radian Group is the largest private mortgage insurer in the US, with a market share of approximately 30%.
- Essent Group Ltd. is the third-largest player, with a market share of approximately 15%.
- Arch Capital Group Ltd. has a market share of approximately 10%.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- MGIC's advantages include its strong brand, large distribution network, and focus on innovation.
- The company's disadvantages include its relatively small market share and its exposure to the cyclical housing market.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Rising interest rates could lead to a slowdown in the housing market, which could negatively impact MGIC's business.
- Increased competition from other PMI providers could put pressure on MGIC's market share and profitability.
Potential Opportunities:
- The growing demand for affordable housing could create opportunities for MGIC to offer its products to a wider range of borrowers.
- The development of new technologies could create opportunities for MGIC to improve its underwriting processes and customer experience.
Recent Acquisitions
There have been no recorded acquisitions by MGIC Investment Corp. in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an analysis of various financial metrics, market positioning, and future prospects, MGIC Investment Corp. receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 8 out of 10. This indicates a strong company with a solid track record and good growth potential. However, investors should be aware of the potential challenges mentioned above.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- This overview is based on information from the following sources:
- MGIC Investment Corp. website
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Yahoo Finance
- MarketWatch
- This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
About MGIC Investment Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Milwaukee, WI, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1991-08-06 | CEO & Director Mr. Timothy James Mattke CPA | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance - Specialty | Full time employees 627 | Website https://mtg.mgic.com |
Full time employees 627 | Website https://mtg.mgic.com |
MGIC Investment Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides private mortgage insurance, other mortgage credit risk management solutions, and ancillary services to lenders and government sponsored entities in the United States, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Guam. The company offers primary mortgage insurance that provides mortgage default protection on individual loans, as well as covers unpaid loan principal, delinquent interest, and various expenses associated with the default and subsequent foreclosure. It also provides pool insurance for secondary market mortgage transactions; and contract underwriting services, as well as reinsurance. The company serves originators of residential mortgage loans, including savings institutions, commercial banks, mortgage brokers, credit unions, mortgage bankers, and other lenders. MGIC Investment Corporation was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
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