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Morgan Stanley (MS)MS
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: MS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -3.82% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 47 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -3.82% | Avg. Invested days: 47 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 160.65B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 16.33 | 1Y Target Price 104.41 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.71% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.08 |
Volume (30-day avg) 5019357 | Beta 1.36 |
52 Weeks Range 67.43 - 108.14 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 160.65B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 16.33 | 1Y Target Price 104.41 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.71% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.08 | Volume (30-day avg) 5019357 | Beta 1.36 |
52 Weeks Range 67.43 - 108.14 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 18.56% | Operating Margin (TTM) 33.56% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.89% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.4% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 16.33 | Forward PE 13.14 |
Enterprise Value 49961504768 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.86 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.19 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - |
Shares Outstanding 1617859968 | Shares Floating 1235950738 |
Percent Insiders 23.57 | Percent Institutions 61.67 |
Trailing PE 16.33 | Forward PE 13.14 | Enterprise Value 49961504768 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.86 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.19 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 1617859968 | Shares Floating 1235950738 |
Percent Insiders 23.57 | Percent Institutions 61.67 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.32 | Target Price 86.27 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 16 | Sell - |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.32 | Target Price 86.27 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 16 | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Morgan Stanley: Comprehensive overview
Company Profile
History & Background: Morgan Stanley was founded in 1935 by Henry Sturgis Morgan and Harold Stanley as a successor firm to J.P. Morgan & Co. after the Glass-Steagall Act separated commercial and investment banking. It became a public limited company in 1986.
Core Business Areas:
- Investment Management & Wealth Management: Offering various investment products and solutions for individuals & institutions.
- Global Banking: Providing services to corporations, governments & institutional clients.
- Securities: Underwriting & trading of various types of securities including equity, fixed income & commodities.
Leadership & Structure: The current CEO & Chair is James P. Gorman. The organization reports its results in 3 divisions: 1.Institutional Securities 2.Wealth Management 3.Investment Management.
Top Products/ Market Share
Key Products: 1. Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM): Offering various mutual and exchange-traded funds. 2. MS Private Investment Management (PIVIM): Offering alternative investments, private credit & real-estate services 3. Wealth management platforms: Offering financial planning, advisory & brokerage services
Global Market Shares: (Data as of October 18, 2023):
Segment | Market Share |
---|---|
Mutual Fund Management | 1.29% |
ETF Management | 1.08% |
Investment Banking | 2.22% |
Global Wealth & Investment Management* | 4% |
- Global Investment Management comprises Investment Management & PIVIM arms of the company.
Total Addressable Market
Investment Banking and Trading: Global Investment Banking Market Size was USD 218 Billion in 2022 and is estimated to reach USD 318 Billion by 2028 (CAGR of 7.5%). Investment Management: Global Asset & Wealth Management Market was worth USD 92.24 Trillion in 2022, expected to reach 135 Trillion USD by 2028 ( CAGR 8.5%). Wealth & Retirement: Global Market size in 2022 is estimated at 3.4 Trillion USD and projected to reach 6.2 Trillion USD by 2028 (CAGR 12.8%).
Market Share Comparisons: Morgan Stanley holds a strong presence with several top ten rankings across its key business units:
Global Top Tier Investment Banks - Ranked 4th in 11m22, based on total global market share (Source : Refinitiv) Wealth Management - US Market
- #3 player, managing USD 3.2T in AAU
#4 player with 318k advisors ( Source: Cerulli Associates, June 22)
- #3 player, Managing USD 2.27 Trillion in assets (source: Statista 22)
Financial Performance: As per Morgan Stanley's earnings statement for Q3 FY 2023:
Total revenues: $14.8B , a decline of 4% year-over-year (YoY). Net Income of 2.6 Billion USD reflecting an 1.8% decline YoY.
- Revenue breakdown : Investment Banking (44%), Investment & wealth (39%). EPS was reported to be 1.38 USD
- The cash balance of $80B represents 5.9 % of total assets
Dividends & shareholder returns:
Dividend History: A consistent dividend payer for over 4 decades. The most current annual payout is USD 2.56, representing an approximate 4% yield (Source: Seeking alpha, Oct-19- 23).
Shareholder Return (Source: BarChart):
Period | Total return | Annualized Return |
---|---|---|
1 Year | 9 % | 35 % |
10 Years | 225 % | 11.88% |
Growth TraTrajectory: Morgan Stanley experienced steady growth in AAU, assets under supervision (11%), net revenue (+33.7%), and headcount during COVID 19. However, growth has slowed since, with revenue declines during the last quarter (Q3FY23).
Growth projections for Morgan stanley:
- Wealth & Asset Management segment: Projected 4.45 Billion USD in 2028 from 4 billion USD in (CAGR 1.44%)
- Investment Management Revenue : projected growth of 3.4 % CAGR to 4.35 Billion by 2028 (source: marketwatch )
Recent growth initiatives : Morgan Stanley acquired Eaton Vance and E-Trade, expanding into asset and wealth management and retail brokerage, aligning with their growth plans.
Market Dynamics: The financial sector and the market that the company operates in faces various dynamics:
- Rising Interest Rates: Impacting investment banking activities as well as client investment strategies
- Increasing use and sophistication of technology: Leading to new tools for financial services.
- Regulatory landscape: Changing rules impacting financial markets and business practices
Morgan Stanley is well positioned within this dynamic:
- Diversified business model with a strong market presence across various segments of financial markets helps the company to manage the fluctuations.
- Commitment to innovation in technology has helped the firm adapt to changing customer and market needs,
Competitors: Morgan Stanley's major competitors include:
- Bank of America (BAC): Market share of 3.24% in global investment banking. Large wealth and investment management business.
- Citi Group (C): 4.15% market share in Global investment bank
- Wells Forgo & Co (WF) : A major force in the wealth and retirement business.
- Goldman Sachs (GS).
Key Challenge & Opportunities: Challenges include:
* **Technological disruptions**: Fintech firms challenging legacy financial service companies.
* Regulatory environment : Increasing regulations impacting business models
**Competitive landscape**: Intense pressure from competitors.
Opportunities
- Expanding in new markets such as Asia.
- Introducing new products: Such as ESG investments.
Recent Acquisition(s):
Morgan Stanley completed the acquisition of EATON Vance in March 2001 at 7 billion USD and E* TRADE in 3Q 2021 for 13 Billion USD.
Eaton Vance Acquisition was mainly driven due its strong presence and expertise within investment management, particularly in mutual funds, helping Morgan Stanley to enlarge their asset and wealth management.
- Acquiring ETrade expanded Morgan Stanley's presence into the retail broker market and increased their online and digital capabilities to reach a wider range of clients.
AI-Based fundamental Rating
Based upon data from Marketwatch on October, 17 2023: Morgan Stanley received an AI-Based overall rating of 6 out of 10:
- The firm has a solid financial position with a high current and quick ratios and good liquidity ratios.
- The rating considers the market positioning, the company is well-established with strong brand recognition, a diversified business, strong client relationship, and geographic reach
- However it faces a challenge in its future prospects and value investments with a low EPS.
Disclaimer
- This is just a sample analysis based on publicly-available data.
- This is not a substitute or an endorsement to any investment recommendation, nor a recommendation to purchase the stock. Please consult a qualified professional before taking any investment decisions based on this or similar information.
Sources
Market Watch: https:// www . market watch . com/
[Seeking Alpha -Morgan Stanley :https://seekingalpha /symbol/ MS ](https://seekingalpha. com/symbol / MS)
[Yahoo! Finance- Morgan Stanley : https:// finance . yahoo . com/ quote / MS / ](https:// finance.yahoo . com/ quotes / MS /)
[Reuters : https :// www reuters . com /finance/stocks /overview/MS ]
[Morgan Stanley Investor relations:https://www . morganstanley . com / investorrelations/]( https://www. morganstanley / investorrelations/ ).
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Morgan Stanley
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | New York, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1993-02-23 | CEO & Director | Mr. Edward N. Pick |
Sector | Financial Services | Website | https://www.morganstanley.com |
Industry | Capital Markets | Full time employees | 79000 |
Headquaters | New York, NY, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Edward N. Pick | ||
Website | https://www.morganstanley.com | ||
Website | https://www.morganstanley.com | ||
Full time employees | 79000 |
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, provides various financial products and services to corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. It operates through Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management segments. The Institutional Securities segment offers capital raising and financial advisory services, including services related to the underwriting of debt, equity, and other securities, as well as advice on mergers and acquisitions, restructurings, real estate, and project finance. This segment also provides equity and fixed income products comprising sales, financing, prime brokerage, and market-making services; foreign exchange and commodities; corporate and commercial real estate loans, commercial mortgage and secured lending facilities, and financing for sales and trading customers, and asset-backed and mortgage lending; and wealth management services, investment, and research services. The Wealth Management segment offers financial advisor-led brokerage, custody, administrative, and investment advisory services; self-directed brokerage services; financial and wealth planning services; workplace services, including stock plan administration; annuity and insurance products; securities-based lending, residential real estate loans, and other lending products; banking; and retirement plan services to individual investors and small to medium-sized businesses and institutions. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternatives and solutions, and liquidity and overlay services to benefit/defined contribution plans, foundations, endowments, government entities, sovereign wealth funds, insurance companies, third-party fund sponsors, corporations, and individuals through institutional and intermediary channels. The company was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
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