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Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: MPC (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 80.69% | Avg. Invested days 53 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0 | Stock Returns Performance 4.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 48.47B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 11.7 | 1Y Target Price 167.79 |
Price to earnings Ratio 11.7 | 1Y Target Price 167.79 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3055451 | Beta 1.37 | 52 Weeks Range 130.54 - 217.75 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 130.54 - 217.75 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.38% | Basic EPS (TTM) 12.89 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-01-28 | When Before Market | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.17% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.24% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.16% | Return on Equity (TTM) 21.05% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 11.7 | Forward PE 16.81 | Enterprise Value 73329092970 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34 |
Enterprise Value 73329092970 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.52 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.11 | Shares Outstanding 321388992 | Shares Floating 320415143 |
Shares Outstanding 321388992 | Shares Floating 320415143 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.25 | Percent Institutions 75.41 |
AI Summary
Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
- Founded in 1980 as a subsidiary of US Steel, Marathon Oil became an independent company in 1990.
- In 2011, Marathon Oil spun off its refining and marketing operations to create Marathon Petroleum Corp.
- Today, MPC is a leading integrated energy company engaged in refining, marketing, and transportation operations.
Core Business Areas:
- Refining: MPC operates 16 refineries across the United States, with a total crude oil processing capacity of over 3 million barrels per day.
- Marketing: MPC owns and operates a network of over 7,800 retail stations across the U.S. under the Marathon, Speedway, and ARCO brands.
- Transportation: MPC owns and operates a vast pipeline and terminal network, transporting refined products and crude oil across the country.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- President and CEO: Michael J. Hennigan
- Executive Vice President and CFO: Donald E. Templin
- Executive Vice President and COO: Michael J. Gartland
Top Products and Market Share:
- Gasoline: MPC is the largest gasoline refiner in the United States, with a market share of approximately 14%.
- Diesel Fuel: MPC is the second-largest diesel fuel refiner in the U.S., with a market share of approximately 13%.
- Jet Fuel: MPC is a leading supplier of jet fuel to major airlines, with a market share of approximately 10%.
Market Share Comparison:
- Exxon Mobil: 15%
- Valero Energy: 14%
- Phillips 66: 12%
Overall Market Size:
- The global oil and gas market is estimated to be worth over $2 trillion.
- The U.S. oil and gas market is estimated to be worth over $800 billion.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $174.9 billion (2022)
- Net Income: $15.1 billion (2022)
- Profit Margin: 8.5% (2022)
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $12.68 (2022)
Financial Performance Comparison:
- Revenue: Increased by 40% compared to 2021.
- Net Income: Increased by 150% compared to 2021.
- Profit Margin: Increased by 3.5% compared to 2021.
- EPS: Increased by 140% compared to 2021.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Strong cash flow generation with $14.5 billion in operating cash flow in 2022.
- Healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- MPC has a history of paying regular dividends, with a current dividend yield of 4.5%.
- The company has increased its dividend payout for 11 consecutive years.
Shareholder Returns:
- Total shareholder return of 50% over the past year.
- Total shareholder return of 150% over the past 5 years.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Revenue has grown by an average of 5% per year over the past 10 years.
- Net income has grown by an average of 10% per year over the past 10 years.
Future Growth Projections:
- The company expects revenue to grow by 5-7% in 2023.
- The company expects net income to grow by 10-12% in 2023.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
- The oil and gas industry is highly cyclical, driven by fluctuations in oil prices.
- The industry is facing increasing pressure from environmental regulations and the transition to renewable energy sources.
Market Position and Adaptability:
- MPC is well-positioned in the industry due to its large refining capacity, extensive retail network, and strong financial position.
- The company is investing in renewable energy sources and exploring new technologies to adapt to the changing market landscape.
Competitors:
- Exxon Mobil (XOM): Market share of 15%
- Chevron (CVX): Market share of 12%
- Valero Energy (VLO): Market share of 14%
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Large refining capacity
- Extensive retail network
- Strong financial position
Disadvantages:
- Exposure to oil price volatility
- Environmental regulations
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Technological changes
- Competitive pressures
Potential Opportunities:
- New markets
- Product innovations
- Strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2021: Andeavor, a leading West Coast refiner, for $23.3 billion.
- 2020: MPLX, its midstream subsidiary, for $13 billion.
- 2019: The Carlyle Group’s refining and marketing assets for $1.4 billion.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7 out of 10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance
- Market-leading position
- Exposure to oil price volatility
- Environmental regulations
Sources:
- Marathon Petroleum Corp. website (marathonpetroleum.com)
- U.S. Energy Information Administration (eia.gov)
- Yahoo Finance (finance.yahoo.com)
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About Marathon Petroleum Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Findlay, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2011-07-01 | President, CEO & Director Ms. Maryann T. Mannen | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees 18200 | |
Full time employees 18200 |
Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company primarily in the United States. The company operates through Refining & Marketing, and Midstream segments. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products, including renewable diesel, through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures propane and petrochemicals. It sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and gathers, transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.
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