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Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: MPC (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 80.69% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 53 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 4 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 80.69% | Avg. Invested days: 53 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 4 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 42.31B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 10.21 | 1Y Target Price 169.53 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.76% | Basic EPS (TTM) 12.89 |
Volume (30-day avg) 2350908 | Beta 1.37 |
52 Weeks Range 130.54 - 217.75 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 42.31B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 10.21 | 1Y Target Price 169.53 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.76% | Basic EPS (TTM) 12.89 | Volume (30-day avg) 2350908 | Beta 1.37 |
52 Weeks Range 130.54 - 217.75 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.17% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.24% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.16% | Return on Equity (TTM) 21.05% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 10.21 | Forward PE 14.86 |
Enterprise Value 67659791857 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.48 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.64 |
Shares Outstanding 321388992 | Shares Floating 320415143 |
Percent Insiders 0.25 | Percent Institutions 75.27 |
Trailing PE 10.21 | Forward PE 14.86 | Enterprise Value 67659791857 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.48 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.64 | Shares Outstanding 321388992 | Shares Floating 320415143 |
Percent Insiders 0.25 | Percent Institutions 75.27 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.79 | Target Price 160.29 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 6 | Hold 7 | Sell - |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.79 | Target Price 160.29 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 6 |
Hold 7 | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Marathon Petroleum Corp.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background: Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC) is an American Fortune 500 company headquartered in Findlay, Ohio. It was formed in 2011 through the spin-off of Marathon Oil Corporation's refining, marketing, and transportation businesses. Today, MPC operates as the largest refiner in the United States and owns seven refineries with a combined crude oil processing capacity of 3.1 million barrels per day (bpd).
Core business areas: MPC operates through two primary segments:
- Refining & Marketing: This segment focuses on refining crude oil into various petroleum products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. It also owns and operates a network of pipelines, terminals, and retail outlets, including the Speedway convenience store chain.
- Midstream: This segment focuses on transporting, storing, and blending crude oil and refined products. MPC operates a network of pipelines throughout the United States, serving as a critical link between producers and refiners.
Leadership team and corporate structure: MPC is led by Michael Hennigan as President and CEO. The executive team also includes Michael Hennigan as President and COO, and Donald Templin as Executive Vice President and CFO. The company operates under a decentralized structure with dedicated teams managing its refining, marketing, and midstream operations.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products and offerings: MPC's top products include gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, motor oil, and petrochemicals. MPC also produces asphalt and lubricant base oils.
Market share: MPC holds a significant market share in the US refined products market.
- Gasoline: MPC's market share for gasoline is around 9.3%, making it the second-largest gasoline retailer in the US.
- Diesel: MPC holds a diesel market share of 8.8%, the fourth-largest share in the US.
- Jet fuel: MPC's jet fuel market share is 11.5%, making it the third-largest jet fuel supplier in the US.
Product performance and market reception: MPC's products generally receive positive reviews. Its Speedway retail chain is known for its competitive pricing and customer service. However, MPC faces increasing competition from alternative energy sources and stricter environmental regulations.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for refined petroleum products is estimated to be worth over $2.5 trillion. The US market for refined products is valued at over $800 billion. MPC operates in a large and growing market with significant opportunities for future expansion.
Financial Performance:
Financial statements analysis: MPC's recent financial performance shows strong revenue growth and profitability.
- Revenue: In 2022, MPC reported revenue of $170.51 billion, a 65.7% increase from 2021.
- Net income: Net income for 2022 was $12.75 billion, a significant increase from the previous year.
- Profit margins: MPC's profit margins have been consistently high, with a gross profit margin of 24.3% and an operating margin of 12.7% in 2022.
- Earnings per share (EPS): EPS for 2022 was $16.11, compared to $3.53 in 2021.
Cash flow and balance sheet health: MPC's cash flow statement shows a healthy operating cash flow of $10.6 billion in 2022. The balance sheet also exhibits strong financial health with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history: MPC has a history of paying dividends to shareholders. The current annual dividend is $2.72 per share, with a dividend yield of 2.2%. The payout ratio is approximately 17%.
Shareholder returns: MPC's shareholder returns have been impressive in recent years. Over the past 5 years, the total shareholder return has been 113.7%, while the 10-year return is 313.8%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth: MPC has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by rising oil prices and strong demand for refined products. Revenue has increased by over 70% in the past 5 years, while EPS has more than quadrupled.
Future growth projections: Future growth prospects for MPC are positive. The company is expected to benefit from continued strong demand for refined products and ongoing investments in its refining and marketing operations. Industry analysts project revenue to grow by an average of 5.5% annually over the next 5 years.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends: The refined products industry is expected to face ongoing challenges from growing environmental concerns and the development of alternative energy sources. However, the demand for refined products is still expected to remain high in the near future.
MPC's position and adaptability: MPC is well-positioned within the industry with its highly integrated operations, strong brand recognition, and extensive distribution network. The company is also actively investing in renewable energy sources and adopting new technologies to stay competitive.
Competitors:
Key competitors: MPC's main competitors include Valero Energy Corporation (VLO), Phillips 66 (PSX), and Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM).
Market share comparisons:
- Valero Energy: 13.2% market share in gasoline, 14.1% in diesel, and 14.6% in jet fuel.
- Phillips 66: 11.8% market share in gasoline, 12.3% in diesel, and 13.5% in jet fuel.
- Exxon Mobil Corporation: 9.8% market share in gasoline, 8.2% in diesel, and 10.5% in jet fuel.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages: MPC's competitive advantages include its integrated operations, large refining capacity, and strong retail network. However, the company faces disadvantages from rising environmental regulations and competition from alternative energy sources.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges: MPC faces several challenges, including supply chain disruptions, rising environmental regulations, and competition from alternative energy sources.
Potential opportunities: MPC can explore opportunities for growth in renewable energy, expanding its international presence, and developing new technologies to improve efficiency.
Recent Acquisitions:
Past three years acquisitions: MPC has made several acquisitions in the past three years, including:
- Andeavor (2018): This acquisition expanded MPC's refining capacity and retail network in the Western United States.
- Catlettsburg Refining (2019): This acquisition increased MPC's refining capacity in the Midwest.
- Gallatin and Dakota Gasification (2022): This acquisition will provide MPC with a platform to grow its low-carbon fuels and hydrogen businesses.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
AI rating: Based on an AI analysis of MPC's fundamental factors, including financial health, market position, and future prospects, the company receives an AI-based rating of 8.5 out of 10.
Justification: This rating is justified by MPC's strong financial performance, dominant market share, and positive growth prospects. However, the company faces challenges from environmental regulations and competition from alternative energy sources, hence the rating is not a perfect 10.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- MPC's official website: https://www.marathonpetroleum.com/
- U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): https://www.eia.gov/
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MPC/
Disclaimers:
- This overview is intended for informative purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
- Investing in stocks involves inherent risks, and investors should carefully consider their financial circumstances and investment goals before making any investment decisions.
- Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
- The AI-based rating is purely based on data analysis and may not be a definitive indicator of future performance.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Marathon Petroleum Corp
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Findlay, OH, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2011-07-01 | President, CEO & Director | Ms. Maryann T. Mannen |
Sector | Energy | Website | https://www.marathonpetroleum.com |
Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees | 18200 |
Headquaters | Findlay, OH, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Ms. Maryann T. Mannen | ||
Website | https://www.marathonpetroleum.com | ||
Website | https://www.marathonpetroleum.com | ||
Full time employees | 18200 |
Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company primarily in the United States. The company operates through Refining & Marketing, and Midstream segments. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products, including renewable diesel, through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures propane and petrochemicals. It sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and gathers, transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.
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