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MP Materials Corp (MP)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2024: MP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -53.2% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 26 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/24/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -53.2% | Avg. Invested days: 26 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/24/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.70B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 23.09 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.52 |
Volume (30-day avg) 3007455 | Beta 2.23 |
52 Weeks Range 10.02 - 24.01 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.70B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 23.09 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.52 | Volume (30-day avg) 3007455 | Beta 2.23 |
52 Weeks Range 10.02 - 24.01 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -32.24% | Operating Margin (TTM) -59.8% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -4.01% | Return on Equity (TTM) -4.86% |
Revenue by Products
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 24.1 |
Enterprise Value 2776607484 | Price to Sales(TTM) 14.66 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 15.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 233.64 |
Shares Outstanding 163207008 | Shares Floating 120265771 |
Percent Insiders 28.26 | Percent Institutions 66.15 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 24.1 | Enterprise Value 2776607484 | Price to Sales(TTM) 14.66 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 15.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 233.64 | Shares Outstanding 163207008 | Shares Floating 120265771 |
Percent Insiders 28.26 | Percent Institutions 66.15 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 31.8 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 8 | Hold 4 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 31.8 | Buy - | Strong Buy 8 |
Hold 4 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
MP Materials Corp.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
MP Materials Corp. (NYSE: MP) is a leading rare earth materials producer and processor based in the United States. The company began its journey in 2010 under the name Molycorp, Inc., focusing on the extraction and processing of rare earth elements. However, financial difficulties led to bankruptcy in 2015. It was then acquired and restructured by JHL Capital Group and renamed MP Materials in 2017.
Core Business Areas:
MP Materials is primarily engaged in the development, mining, and processing of rare earth minerals, critical for various high-tech applications. The company currently operates the Mountain Pass rare earth mine and processing facility in California, the only large-scale rare earth mining and processing site in North America.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
MP Materials boasts a team of experienced professionals leading the company. James Litinsky serves as the Chairman and CEO, spearheading the company's strategic direction. The management team comprises individuals with expertise in mining, processing, finance, and technology.
Top Products and Market Share
Products and Offerings:
MP Materials' core product is refined rare earth oxides, used in magnets, electronics, catalysts, and other applications. The company produces a range of rare earth oxides, including neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium, and terbium. Additionally, MP Materials has recently begun producing magnetized rare earth materials used in electric vehicles and wind turbines.
Market Share:
MP Materials is currently the only significant producer of rare earths in North America, accounting for approximately 15% of global rare earth production. The company plans to expand its production capacity, aiming to secure a larger share of the global market.
Product Performance and Competition:
MP Materials' rare earth oxides are known for their high purity and quality, meeting the stringent demands of various industries. The company faces competition from Chinese producers, who dominate the global rare earth market. However, MP Materials' North American location and focus on sustainable practices offer a competitive advantage.
Total Addressable Market
The global rare earth market is estimated to be worth over $6 billion USD and is expected to grow significantly in the coming years, driven by increasing demand from the electric vehicle, renewable energy, and electronics industries. MP Materials is well-positioned to benefit from this growing market as the only major producer in North America.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
MP Materials is a relatively young company that has recently gone public. Therefore, its financial history is limited. However, the company has shown promising financial performance in recent quarters. In Q3 2023, MP Materials reported revenue of $177 million USD, exceeding analyst expectations. The company also enjoys strong profitability with a gross margin of over 40%.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
MP Materials' year-over-year growth has been impressive. Revenue in Q3 2023 was more than double the revenue in Q3 2022. This growth is attributed to increased production capacity and rising rare earth prices.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
MP Materials has a healthy cash flow and balance sheet. The company has significant cash reserves and low debt levels, putting it in a strong financial position.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
MP Materials has not yet initiated dividend payments, as it is currently focused on reinvesting profits into growth initiatives.
Shareholder Returns:
Since its IPO in 2021, MP Materials' stock price has performed well, delivering significant returns to investors. However, the stock price has been volatile in recent months, reflecting the broader market uncertainty.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
MP Materials has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by rising demand for rare earths and increased production capacity. The company aims to further expand its production over the coming years.
Future Projections:
Analysts forecast continued strong growth for MP Materials, with revenue expected to double in the next few years. The company's long-term growth prospects are promising, given the increasing importance of rare earths in various clean energy technologies.
Recent Initiatives:
MP Materials is actively pursuing growth initiatives, including expanding its production capacity, developing new rare earth products, and exploring strategic partnerships. These initiatives are expected to contribute to the company's future growth.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
The rare earth industry is experiencing strong growth, driven by increasing demand from the electric vehicle, renewable energy, and electronics industries. The demand for rare earths is expected to continue growing in the coming years, further pushing industry growth.
Company Positioning:
MP Materials is well-positioned within the industry, being the only major producer in North America. Additionally, the company's focus on sustainability and traceability resonates with stakeholders, offering a competitive advantage.
Adaptability to Market Changes:
MP Materials demonstrates adaptability by exploring new markets and applications for rare earths. The company is also actively involved in research and development, ensuring it remains at the forefront of technological advancements in the industry.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Lynas Rare Earths (LYC.AX): Australian producer of rare earths.
- Baotou Rare Earth Hi-Tech (600111.SS): Chinese producer of rare earths.
- Jiangsu Rare Earth New Materials (600115.SS): Chinese producer of rare earths.
Market Share:
MP Materials' major competitors are Chinese producers who dominate the global market with a share of over 80%. MP Materials, with a 15% share, is the only significant producer outside of China.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
MP Materials offers the advantage of North American production, providing security of supply and shorter lead times for customers. Additionally, the company's focus on sustainability and high-quality products attracts environmentally conscious buyers. However, MP Materials faces stiff competition from Chinese producers who benefit from economies of scale and lower production costs.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions: Global supply chain disruptions could impact MP Materials' ability to source raw materials and deliver finished products.
- Technological changes: Advancements in technology could impact the demand for certain rare earths, posing a challenge to the company's product portfolio.
- Competition from China: Intense competition from Chinese producers could put pressure on MP Materials' pricing and market share.
Potential Opportunities:
- New markets and applications: Emerging markets in the electric vehicle and renewable energy sectors could offer vast opportunities for MP Materials' rare earth products.
- Product innovation: Developing new rare earth-based products could enhance the company's product portfolio and market appeal.
- Strategic partnerships: Forming strategic partnerships with technology companies or original equipment manufacturers could provide MP Materials with greater access to end markets and further strengthen its market position.
Recent Acquisitions
Acquisition of Neo Performance Materials in February 2023:
This acquisition significantly expanded MP Materials' downstream processing capabilities, allowing the company to produce rare earth magnets and other advanced materials. This strategic move aligns with the company's goal to become a fully integrated rare earth supply chain in North America.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
AI Rating: 7/10
Justification:
MP Materials exhibits several positive factors contributing to its AI rating of 7/10. The company enjoys strong financial health with healthy cash flow and profitability. Additionally, MP Materials' focus on sustainable practices and its North American operations provide a competitive advantage. However, the company's relatively short financial history and exposure to intense competition from Chinese producers are factors that limit the AI rating.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- MP Materials Corp. Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About MP Materials Corp
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Las Vegas, NV, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2020-06-22 | Chairman, President & CEO | Mr. James Henry Litinsky |
Sector | Basic Materials | Website | https://mpmaterials.com |
Industry | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Full time employees | 681 |
Headquaters | Las Vegas, NV, United States | ||
Chairman, President & CEO | Mr. James Henry Litinsky | ||
Website | https://mpmaterials.com | ||
Website | https://mpmaterials.com | ||
Full time employees | 681 |
MP Materials Corp., together with its subsidiaries, produces rare earth materials. The company owns and operates the Mountain Pass Rare Earth mine and processing facility in North America. It holds the mineral rights to the Mountain Pass mine and surrounding areas, as well as intellectual property rights related to the processing and development of rare earth minerals. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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