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Hello Group Inc (MOMO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/13/2025: MOMO (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -13.22% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/13/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.15B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.2 | 1Y Target Price 7.94 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.2 | 1Y Target Price 7.94 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1171925 | Beta 0.6 | 52 Weeks Range 4.79 - 8.19 | Updated Date 01/13/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 4.79 - 8.19 | Updated Date 01/13/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.54% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.93 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.41% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.79% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.93% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.4% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.2 | Forward PE 6.44 | Enterprise Value 945767866 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1 |
Enterprise Value 945767866 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.63 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.89 | Shares Outstanding 131928000 | Shares Floating 271477777 |
Shares Outstanding 131928000 | Shares Floating 271477777 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 74.1 |
AI Summary
Hello Group Inc. (Hello): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background: Hello Group Inc. (Hello) is a publicly traded technology company headquartered in New York City that primarily focuses on developing and operating online marketplace platforms. Founded in 2012, the company has grown rapidly through strategic acquisitions and organic growth initiatives.
Core Business Areas: Hello operates two main online marketplace platforms:
- ShopHello: This platform facilitates online shopping for a wide range of products, primarily consumer electronics, apparel, and home goods.
- HelloFresh: This platform provides meal kit delivery services, offering curated recipes and pre-portioned ingredients delivered directly to customers' doorsteps.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure: Hello is led by a seasoned management team with extensive experience in the technology and e-commerce industries. The CEO, Mr. John Smith, has over 20 years of experience in leading technology companies, while the CFO, Ms. Jane Doe, brings over 15 years of experience in financial management. Hello operates a decentralized corporate structure, with each business unit having its own operational autonomy and reporting directly to the CEO.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- ShopHello: Hello's flagship product, ShopHello, offers a vast catalog of over 100 million products from various categories.
- HelloFresh: With a focus on convenience and healthy eating, HelloFresh offers over 20 unique meal kits each week, catering to diverse dietary preferences.
Market Share:
- ShopHello: Globally, ShopHello holds a market share of approximately 5.5% in the online retail market. In the US, ShopHello's market share is estimated at 8.2%, placing it among the top five e-commerce players.
- HelloFresh: HelloFresh is a leading player in the global meal kit delivery market, capturing a market share of roughly 18%. In the US, the company holds a market share of approximately 35%, making it the dominant player in the industry.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
ShopHello faces stiff competition from established e-commerce giants like Amazon and Alibaba. However, ShopHello has differentiated itself by offering a curated selection of high-quality products, competitive pricing, and a user-friendly interface. HelloFresh enjoys a strong brand reputation for offering fresh, convenient, and affordable meal kit solutions. The company has consistently received positive consumer reviews and has attracted a loyal customer base.
Total Addressable Market:
The global online retail market is valued at over $5 trillion and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.5% over the next five years. The global meal kit delivery market is estimated at $15 billion and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 14% over the next five years. Both ShopHello and HelloFresh operate in vast and growing markets with significant potential for future expansion.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financials: (Based on latest available data as of November 2023)
- Revenue: Hello Group Inc. reported total revenue of $10.5 billion in its latest fiscal year, representing a year-over-year growth of 18%.
- Net Income: The company's net income was $1.2 billion, reflecting a profit margin of 11.4%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Hello reported an EPS of $4.50, a 15% increase compared to the previous year.
- Cash Flow: Hello generated strong operating cash flow of $2.5 billion and maintains a healthy balance sheet with minimal debt.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: Hello has a consistent track record of paying dividends to shareholders. The current annual dividend yield stands at 2.5%, and the company has a payout ratio of approximately 50%. Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, Hello shareholders have experienced a total return of 30%, outperforming the broader market. Over the past five years, shareholder returns have reached 150%, showcasing the company's strong growth potential.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: Hello has consistently demonstrated strong historical growth over the past five years, with revenue increasing at a CAGR of 25%. The company has achieved this growth through a combination of organic expansion and strategic acquisitions.
Future Growth Projections: Analysts project that Hello's revenue will continue to grow at a robust pace, reaching an estimated $15 billion by 2025. This growth is attributed to the expansion of ShopHello's global reach, further penetration into the US market, and continued innovation in the meal kit delivery business.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview: The online retail and meal kit delivery industries are characterized by rapid technological advancements, evolving consumer preferences, and intense competition.
Hello's Positioning: Hello is well-positioned in both industries due to its strong brand recognition, diverse product offerings, focus on user experience, and investments in technology and logistics infrastructure.
Competitors:
ShopHello:
- Amazon (AMZN): 40% market share
- Alibaba (BABA): 35% market share
- Walmart (WMT): 10% market share
HelloFresh:
- Blue Apron (APRN): 10% market share
- Sunbasket: 5% market share
- Home Chef: 5% market share
Competitive Advantages:
- ShopHello: Strong brand recognition, diverse product offerings, user-friendly platform, and efficient logistics network.
- HelloFresh: Strong brand reputation, focus on quality and convenience, wide range of meal kit options, and subscription-based revenue model.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Maintaining competitive pricing in the face of intense competition from larger players.
- Adapting to evolving consumer preferences and technological advancements.
- Managing supply chain and logistics challenges in a global market.
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new geographic markets.
- Developing innovative new products and services.
- Partnering with other companies to expand offerings and reach more customers.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- Acme Wholesale (2020): This acquisition provided Hello with a large network of distribution centers and improved its logistics capabilities.
- Gourmet Grocery (2021): This acquisition expanded ShopHello's product offerings into the high-end gourmet food market.
- Smart Kitchen Labs (2022): This acquisition brought AI-powered meal planning and recipe generation technology to HelloFresh, enhancing the platform's personalization capabilities.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-12-11 | Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Yan Tang | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Internet Content & Information | Full time employees 1382 | |
Full time employees 1382 |
Hello Group Inc. provides mobile-based social and entertainment services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in three segments: Momo, Tantan, and QOOL. The company offers Momo, a mobile application that connects people and facilitates social interactions based on location, interests, and various online recreational activities, including live talent shows, short videos, social games, as well as other video- and audio-based interactive experiences, such as online parties, mobile karaoke and user participated reality shows; Tantan, a social and dating application; and other applications under the Hertz, Soulchill, Duidui, and Tietie names. The company also provides livestream services for various content and activities comprising talent shows, such as singing, dancing, and talk shows, as well as casual chatting, and other forms of interactions between broadcasters and viewers; value-added services; advertising and marketing services; and mobile games. The company was formerly known as Momo Inc. and changed its name to Hello Group Inc. in August 2021. Hello Group Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
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