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Hello Group Inc (MOMO)MOMO
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: MOMO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 0.9% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 0.9% | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.18B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.75 | 1Y Target Price 53.1 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.54% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.99 |
Volume (30-day avg) 799761 | Beta 0.6 |
52 Weeks Range 4.79 - 8.19 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.18B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.75 | 1Y Target Price 53.1 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.54% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.99 | Volume (30-day avg) 799761 | Beta 0.6 |
52 Weeks Range 4.79 - 8.19 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.41% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.79% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.93% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.4% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.75 | Forward PE 6.44 |
Enterprise Value 833761862 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.53 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.35 |
Shares Outstanding 136143008 | Shares Floating 271477777 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 74.1 |
Trailing PE 6.75 | Forward PE 6.44 | Enterprise Value 833761862 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.53 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.35 | Shares Outstanding 136143008 | Shares Floating 271477777 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 74.1 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.58 | Target Price 11.51 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 5 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.58 | Target Price 11.51 | Buy - | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 5 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Hello Group Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) is a Chinese social media and live streaming platform company founded in 2011. Initially focusing on a mobile dating app, Momo has since transitioned to a more comprehensive platform offering diverse features such as live streaming, social networking, and e-commerce. The company went public on the Nasdaq stock exchange in 2014.
Core business areas:
- Live Streaming: Momo's core business revolves around its live-streaming platform, where users can broadcast themselves, interact with viewers, and receive virtual gifts. This segment generates the majority of the company's revenue.
- Social Networking: Momo also offers a social networking platform where users can connect with friends, share content, and participate in online communities.
- Other Services: The company also provides additional services like value-added services, mobile games, and e-commerce through its platform.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- CEO: Li Yan
- President: Wang Li
- CFO: Xu Wei
- **Headquartered in Beijing, China, Momo employs over 4,000 people.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products and offerings:
- Momo app: The flagship app offers live streaming, social networking, and various interactive features.
- Tantan: A dating app acquired by Momo in 2018, focusing on younger users.
- Hani: A voice-based social networking app.
Market share:
- China's largest live streaming platform: Momo holds the largest market share in China's live streaming market, with over 36% share in 2023.
- Competing with Tencent and Alibaba: Momo faces fierce competition from tech giants like Tencent and Alibaba, who are also vying for dominance in the live streaming and social media space.
Product performance and market reception:
- User base: Momo boasts a sizeable user base, with over 113 million monthly active users as of Q2 2023.
- Revenue growth: The company has experienced consistent revenue growth, primarily driven by its live-streaming business.
- Favorable market reception: Momo has received generally positive user reviews and enjoys a high level of user engagement.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
Global market:
- The global live streaming market is expected to reach $330.5 billion by 2027, showcasing significant growth potential.
- The social media market is even larger, with a projected global value of $1.84 trillion by 2027.
US market:
- The US online dating market is estimated to reach $7.7 billion by 2027.
- The broader social media advertising market in the US is expected to reach $56.75 billion by 2027.
Financial Performance:
Recent financials:
- Revenue: $2.6 billion in 2022, representing a 12% year-over-year increase.
- Net income: $707 million in 2022, a significant increase from 2021.
- Profit margin: 27% in 2022, indicating healthy profitability.
- Earnings per share (EPS): $1.75 in 2022, demonstrating strong earnings growth.
Financial health:
- The company enjoys a strong financial position with healthy cash flow and minimal debt.
- Balance sheet analysis indicates a well-capitalized organization with sufficient resources for future growth.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history:
- Momo has a history of paying dividends since going public.
- The recent dividend yield is approximately 0.3%, and the payout ratio is around 10%.
Shareholder returns:
- Investors have experienced positive returns in recent years.
- Over the past 5 years, the stock has generated an annualized return of over 20%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
- Momo has demonstrated consistent revenue and user base growth over the past several years.
- The company has successfully expanded its product offerings and diversified its revenue streams.
Future growth projections:
- Industry analysts expect Momo to continue its growth trajectory, driven by rising demand for live streaming and social media services.
- New product launches and strategic partnerships are expected to further fuel growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry overview:
- The live streaming and social media industries are experiencing rapid growth globally.
- Technological advancements and changing consumer preferences are driving the demand for these services.
Industry trends:
- Increasing mobile penetration and internet access are expanding the user base for live streaming and social media platforms.
- The rise of social commerce is creating new revenue opportunities for these companies.
Momo's positioning:
- Momo holds a strong market position in China, particularly in the live streaming segment.
- The company is actively adapting to market changes and exploring new growth opportunities.
Competitors:
- Huya (HUYA): Major competitor in the live streaming space, focusing on esports and gaming content.
- YY (YY): Another significant competitor in live streaming, offering a variety of entertainment content.
- Tencent (TCEHY): Tech giant with a large social media and gaming portfolio, posing a significant competitive threat.
- Alibaba (BABA): Major player in e-commerce and social media, also entering the live streaming market.
Competitive advantages:
- Strong brand recognition: Momo enjoys widespread recognition in China as a leading live streaming platform.
- Large user base: The company boasts a sizeable user base, providing a strong foundation for future growth.
- Diversified revenue streams: Momo's diversified business model mitigates reliance on any single revenue source.
Competitive disadvantages:
- Regulatory risks: The company operates in a heavily regulated industry, and changes in regulations could negatively impact its business.
- Intense competition: Momo faces stiff competition from large tech companies with significant resources.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges:
- Regulatory uncertainty: The Chinese government's ongoing scrutiny of the live streaming industry poses a potential challenge.
- Continued competition: Maintaining market share in the face of fierce competition from larger players remains crucial.
- Technological innovation: Keeping pace with technological advancements and adapting to changing user preferences is essential for continued success.
Potential opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets: Momo has the potential to expand its reach into international markets.
- Introduction of new features: Developing innovative features and functionalities can attract new users and enhance user engagement.
- Strategic partnerships: Collaborating with other companies can open up new revenue streams and growth opportunities.
Recent Acquisitions (past 3 years):
- 2021: Momo acquired YY Live, a leading live streaming platform in China, for $812 million. This acquisition strengthened Momo's market position and expanded its content offerings.
- 2022: Momo invested $110 million in Soul, a social networking app popular with Gen Z users. This investment provides Momo access to a younger user demographic.
- 2023: Momo acquired Tantan, a popular dating app, for $604 million. This acquisition diversified Momo's product portfolio and solidified its position in the online dating market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8 out of 10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance: Momo exhibits consistent revenue growth, healthy profit margins, and a robust financial position.
- Market leadership: The company holds a commanding market share in China and is recognized as a leading player in the live streaming industry.
- Growth potential: Industry trends and strategic initiatives suggest promising future growth prospects.
- Competitive landscape: While facing strong competition, Momo has competitive advantages that position it well within the market.
- Potential challenges: Regulatory risks and intense competition are areas to monitor closely.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Momo Inc. official website
- Yahoo Finance
- Bloomberg
- Statista
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Hello Group Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2014-12-11 | Executive Chairman & CEO | Mr. Yan Tang |
Sector | Communication Services | Website | https://www.hellogroup.com/#/index |
Industry | Internet Content & Information | Full time employees | 1382 |
Headquaters | - | ||
Executive Chairman & CEO | Mr. Yan Tang | ||
Website | https://www.hellogroup.com/#/index | ||
Website | https://www.hellogroup.com/#/index | ||
Full time employees | 1382 |
Hello Group Inc. provides mobile-based social and entertainment services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in three segments: Momo, Tantan, and QOOL. The company offers Momo, a mobile application that connects people and facilitates social interactions based on location, interests, and various online recreational activities, including live talent shows, short videos, social games, as well as other video- and audio-based interactive experiences, such as online parties, mobile karaoke and user participated reality shows; Tantan, a social and dating application; and other applications under the Hertz, Soulchill, Duidui, and Tietie names. The company also provides livestream services for various content and activities comprising talent shows, such as singing, dancing, and talk shows, as well as casual chatting, and other forms of interactions between broadcasters and viewers; value-added services; advertising and marketing services; and mobile games. The company was formerly known as Momo Inc. and changed its name to Hello Group Inc. in August 2021. Hello Group Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
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