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Hello Group Inc (MOMO)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$6.27
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
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Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: MOMO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -11.92%
Avg. Invested days 34
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.04B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 8.19
1Y Target Price 9.14
Price to earnings Ratio 8.19
1Y Target Price 9.14
Volume (30-day avg) 1544913
Beta 0.51
52 Weeks Range 4.79 - 8.38
Updated Date 03/31/2025
52 Weeks Range 4.79 - 8.38
Updated Date 03/31/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.54%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.77

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-03-12
When Before Market
Estimate 1.8106
Actual 1.3

Profitability

Profit Margin 9.84%
Operating Margin (TTM) 8.98%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.54%
Return on Equity (TTM) 8.88%

Valuation

Trailing PE 8.19
Forward PE 6.44
Enterprise Value 820420359
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1
Enterprise Value 820420359
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.56
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.96
Shares Outstanding 123911000
Shares Floating 231190422
Shares Outstanding 123911000
Shares Floating 231190422
Percent Insiders -
Percent Institutions 77.79

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.64
Target Price 7.94
Buy -
Strong Buy 5
Buy -
Strong Buy 5
Hold 4
Sell 1
Strong Sell 1
Strong Sell 1

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Hello Group Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Hello Group Inc. (formerly Momo Inc.) was founded in 2011. Initially known for its Momo dating app, it evolved into a broader social networking platform. It has gone through periods of rapid growth, regulatory scrutiny, and strategic shifts to adapt to the changing Chinese social media landscape.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Value-Added Services: Includes virtual gifting, premium memberships, and other interactive features that enhance user engagement and generate revenue within the Hello and Tantan apps.
  • Live Broadcasting: A significant revenue stream where users can broadcast live video content and receive virtual gifts from viewers, which can be converted into cash. This is primarily on the Hello app.
  • Mobile Marketing: Advertising solutions offered to businesses to reach the Hello Group's user base through various formats like banner ads and sponsored content.
  • Mobile Games: Offers in-app and downloadable games to generate revenue.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The company's leadership typically consists of a CEO, CFO, and other key executives overseeing different business units. The organizational structure is likely hierarchical, with various departments reporting to senior management.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Hello (u964cu964c): Hello is the main social and entertainment platform, allowing users to discover and connect with others through shared interests and activities. It is also one of the biggest live streaming platforms in China. Competition includes Tencent's WeChat and other local social apps. Revenue generated from Hello is the biggest revenue generator for Hello Group. No specific market share data available for Hello as it overlaps with other apps.
  • Tantan (u63a2u63a2): Tantan is a dating app similar to Tinder that was acquired by Momo. It focuses on facilitating connections based on mutual interests and locations. Tantan faces competition from other dating apps and social platforms. Due to Chinese regulations, Tantan has faced regulatory hurdles. No specific market share data available.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The social networking and entertainment industry in China is highly competitive and rapidly evolving, driven by increasing internet penetration and mobile usage. Regulatory changes significantly impact the industry. User preferences are constantly shifting, requiring platforms to innovate continuously.

Positioning

Hello Group aims to position itself as a leading social and entertainment platform in China, focusing on user engagement, monetization through value-added services and live broadcasting, and adapting to regulatory changes. Its competitive advantage lies in its established user base and monetization capabilities.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for social networking and entertainment in China is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Hello Group is positioned to capture a share of this market through its diverse offerings and established presence. However, it also faces regulatory and compliance risks.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Large and established user base
  • Strong monetization capabilities through live broadcasting and value-added services
  • Brand recognition in the Chinese social networking market
  • Proven track record of innovation in product features
  • Hello is positioned for the gen z audience

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on the Chinese market
  • Regulatory risks and compliance challenges
  • Competition from larger internet companies like Tencent
  • Sensitivity to changing user preferences
  • Potential reputational risks associated with social networking content

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Development of new revenue streams (e.g., e-commerce, gaming)
  • Strategic partnerships with other companies
  • Leveraging AI and other technologies to enhance user experience
  • Expansion with the Gen Z population

Threats

  • Increased competition from existing and new players
  • Changes in government regulations
  • Economic downturn in China
  • Security breaches and data privacy concerns
  • Changing consumer taste

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • TCEHY
  • Match Group (MTCH)

Competitive Landscape

Hello Group competes in the highly competitive social networking and entertainment industry. Its strengths include its established user base and monetization capabilities. Its weaknesses include regulatory risks and competition from larger players.

Major Acquisitions

Tantan

  • Year: 2018
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 760
  • Strategic Rationale: To expand its user base and enter the online dating market.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Hello Group experienced significant growth in its early years, driven by the popularity of the Momo app. Growth rates have fluctuated in recent years due to changing market dynamics and regulatory pressures.

Future Projections: Future growth projections are subject to analyst estimates and depend on factors such as market conditions, regulatory changes, and the company's ability to innovate and monetize its platform.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include product updates, strategic partnerships, and efforts to comply with regulations.

Summary

Hello Group faces a challenging landscape in China's competitive social media market. Its established user base and monetization strategies provide strength, but regulatory pressures and competition pose significant risks. Adapting to changing user preferences and diversifying revenue streams are crucial for sustained growth. While the company has performed well in the past, future success depends on navigating evolving regulations and consumer tastes.

Similar Companies

  • TCEHY
  • MTCH

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings
  • Industry reports
  • Analyst estimates

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Data may be delayed or inaccurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Hello Group Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date 2014-12-11
Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Yan Tang
Sector Communication Services
Industry Internet Content & Information
Full time employees -
Full time employees -

Hello Group Inc. provides mobile-based social and entertainment services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in three segments: Momo, Tantan, and QOOL. The company offers Momo, a mobile application that connects people and facilitates social interactions based on location, interests, and various online recreational activities, including live talent shows, short videos, social games, as well as other video- and audio-based interactive experiences, such as online parties, mobile karaoke and user participated reality shows; Tantan, a social and dating application; and other applications under the Hertz, Soulchill, Duidui, and Tietie names. The company also provides livestream services for various content and activities comprising talent shows, such as singing, dancing, and talk shows, as well as casual chatting, and other forms of interactions between broadcasters and viewers; value-added services; advertising and marketing services; and mobile games. The company was formerly known as Momo Inc. and changed its name to Hello Group Inc. in August 2021. Hello Group Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

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