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Moog Inc (MOG-A)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: MOG-A (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 56.26% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 71 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 56.26% | Avg. Invested days: 71 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.55B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 29.95 | 1Y Target Price 222.75 |
Dividends yield (FY) 0.59% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.39 |
Volume (30-day avg) 138606 | Beta 1.13 |
52 Weeks Range 134.22 - 227.62 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.55B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 29.95 | 1Y Target Price 222.75 |
Dividends yield (FY) 0.59% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.39 | Volume (30-day avg) 138606 | Beta 1.13 |
52 Weeks Range 134.22 - 227.62 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.74% | Operating Margin (TTM) 10.31% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.13% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.85% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 29.95 | Forward PE 14.33 |
Enterprise Value 7366837508 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.82 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.04 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.41 |
Shares Outstanding 29213900 | Shares Floating 28819865 |
Percent Insiders 1.88 | Percent Institutions 101.99 |
Trailing PE 29.95 | Forward PE 14.33 | Enterprise Value 7366837508 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.82 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.04 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.41 | Shares Outstanding 29213900 | Shares Floating 28819865 |
Percent Insiders 1.88 | Percent Institutions 101.99 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.25 | Target Price 123 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.25 | Target Price 123 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Moog Inc. (NYSE: MOG.A, MOG.B) Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1951 by William C. Moog as the Moog Servocontrols Inc.
- Pioneered the development of servo valves for controlling hydraulic actuators.
- Expanded into aircraft and industrial markets, leading the development of flight control systems, aircraft actuators, and industrial automation solutions.
- Currently headquartered in Elma, New York, with operations across North America, Europe, and Asia.
Description of the company’s core business areas:
- Aircraft: Design, development, and production of flight control systems, actuators, and other components for commercial and military aircraft.
- Industrial: Development and production of motion control solutions, including servo valves, actuators, and hydraulic systems, for various industrial applications, such as energy, plastics, and metal processing.
- Defense: Design and production of precision motion control systems for military applications, including missiles, satellites, and submarines.
- Space: Production of actuators and motion control systems for satellites and other spacecraft.
Overview of the company’s leadership team and corporate structure:
- President and CEO: John Scannell
- Chief Financial Officer: Lisa E. Bahash
- Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, Aircraft Group: Joe Hinkle
- President, Industrial Systems: Christopher F. Gallivan
- Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary: James F. Smeraldi
- The company operates under a decentralized structure, with each business segment having its own leadership team and operations.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
- Aircraft: Flight control systems, actuators, motion control subsystems, and integrated flight deck systems.
- Industrial: Servo valves, actuators, hydraulic systems, motion control software, and simulation tools.
- Defense: Precision actuators, motion control systems, and hydraulic components for missiles, satellites, and submarines.
- Space: Actuators, reaction control systems, and motion control systems for satellites and other spacecraft.
Market Share:
- Aircraft: Estimated market share of 25% in commercial aircraft flight control systems.
- Industrial: Leading provider of motion control solutions in various industrial segments, with market share varying depending on the specific application.
- Defense: Significant presence in the defense industry, but market share data is not publicly available.
- Space: Leading provider of actuators and motion control systems for satellites, with a significant market share.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Moog Inc. is recognized for its high-quality products, reliability, and technological innovation. The company enjoys a strong reputation in the aerospace and industrial markets. Its products are well-received by customers for their performance and reliability. However, Moog faces competition from other established players in the industry.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
Aircraft: The global aircraft market is estimated to be worth around $150 billion, with an expected growth rate of 5% annually. Industrial: The global industrial automation market is estimated to be worth around $200 billion, with an expected growth rate of 7% annually. Defense: The global defense market is estimated to be worth around $2 trillion, with an expected growth rate of 2% annually. Space: The global space economy is estimated to be worth around $400 billion, with an expected growth rate of 8% annually.
Combined, the total addressable market for Moog Inc. is estimated to be over $550 billion, offering significant growth potential for the company.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $1.44 billion (2022)
- Net Income: $109.4 million (2022)
- Profit Margin: 6.7% (2022)
- EPS: $2.74 (2022)
Year-over-Year Financial Performance:
- Revenue has grown steadily over the past five years, with an average annual growth rate of 7%.
- Net income has also grown steadily, with an average annual growth rate of 8%.
- Profit margin has remained relatively stable, ranging between 6% and 8%.
- EPS has grown at an average annual rate of 9% over the past five years.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Moog Inc. has a strong cash flow position, with positive operating cash flow in recent years. The company's balance sheet is also healthy, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.6.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Moog Inc. has a long history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of 1.6%. The company has increased its dividend payout consistently over the past five years.
Total Shareholder Returns:
Over the past five years, Moog Inc.'s total shareholder returns have been above average, outperforming the S&P 500 index.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth Analysis:
Moog Inc. has experienced steady growth over the past five years, with revenue and earnings growing at an average annual rate of 7% and 8%, respectively.
Future Growth Projections:
The company is projected to continue growing at a moderate pace in the coming years, driven by increasing demand in the aerospace, industrial, and defense markets. Moog's focus on innovation and strategic acquisitions is expected to further fuel growth.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
Moog Inc. has recently launched several new products and services, including new flight control systems for commercial aircraft, advanced motion control solutions for industrial applications, and innovative actuators for the space industry. The company is also actively pursuing strategic acquisitions to expand its product portfolio and geographic reach.
Market Dynamics:
Overview of the Industry:
The aerospace and industrial automation industries are characterized by strong growth potential, driven by increasing demand for fuel-efficient aircraft, automation of industrial processes, and increased investment in defense and space exploration. However, these industries also face challenges such as supply chain disruptions, rising costs, and technological advancements.
Positioning of Moog Inc.:
Moog Inc. is well-positioned within the industry, with a strong reputation for quality and innovation. The company's diversified product portfolio and global presence provide it with a competitive advantage. Additionally, Moog's focus on research and development positions it well to capitalize on future technological advancements.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Aircraft: Honeywell International Inc. (HON), Parker Hannifin Corporation (PH), Safran SA (SAF.PA), and United Technologies Corporation (UTX)
- Industrial: Bosch Rexroth AG, Emerson Electric Co. (EMR), and Parker Hannifin Corporation (PH)
- Defense: Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT), Raytheon Technologies Corporation (RTX), and Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)
- Space: Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings Inc. (AJRD) and Maxar Technologies Inc. (MAXR)
Market Share Comparison:
Moog Inc. holds a leading position in several niche markets within the aerospace, industrial, and defense industries. However, it faces intense competition from larger players in these markets.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Moog Inc.'s competitive advantages include its strong reputation for quality, technological innovation, and diversified product portfolio. However, the company also faces challenges, such as intense competition and exposure to economic downturns.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Rising costs
- Technological advancements
- Economic downturns
Potential Opportunities:
- Increasing demand for fuel-efficient aircraft
- Automation of industrial processes
- Increased investment in defense and space exploration
- Development of new products and services
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- 2021: Acquired TASI Group, a leading provider of simulation and training solutions for the defense industry.
- 2023: Acquired Hydrel, a manufacturer of hydraulic and electro-hydraulic actuators for the aerospace and industrial markets.
These acquisitions are expected to strengthen Moog's market position and expand its product portfolio, contributing to long-term growth.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8 out of 10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance, with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
- Healthy cash flow and balance sheet.
- Consistent dividend payouts and share repurchase programs.
- Well-positioned within growing industries with strong long-term potential.
- Faces challenges from intense competition and economic downturns.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Sources: Moog Inc. website, SEC filings, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha
- Disclaimer: This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Moog Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | East Aurora, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1992-02-21 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Patrick J. Roche |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.moog.com |
Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Full time employees | - |
Headquaters | East Aurora, NY, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Patrick J. Roche | ||
Website | https://www.moog.com | ||
Website | https://www.moog.com | ||
Full time employees | - |
Moog Inc. designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls and controls systems for original equipment manufacturers and end users in the aerospace, defense, and industrial markets in the United States, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft, and Industrial. Its Space and Defense segment provides critical defense components and motion-control systems used in defense vehicle platforms, missile systems, naval ships and submarines; high-performance components and systems used for space launch vehicles, satellites and spacecraft vehicles. This segment also offers cutting-edge solutions for applications, including space exploration, defense platforms, and advanced systems for missile guidance, propulsion, and vehicle controls. The Military Aircraft segment designs, manufacture and integrate primary and secondary flight controls, mission-critical actuation systems, and products for various military fixed-wing aircraft and rotorcraft. The Commercial Aircraft segment designs, manufactures, and integrates flight-critical control systems and products for various commercial aircraft. The company's Industrial segment provides customized and high-performance motion control components and systems for industrial automation, medical, simulation, and test and energy applications, including precision components, as well as simulation platforms. The company was formerly known as Moog Valve Company. Moog Inc. was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in East Aurora, New York.
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