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ModivCare Inc (MODV)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: MODV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -88.09% | Avg. Invested days 17 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 84.70M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 17.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 17.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 382280 | Beta 0.49 | 52 Weeks Range 5.55 - 52.33 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 5.55 - 52.33 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -12.87 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -6.57% | Operating Margin (TTM) 0.75% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.86% | Return on Equity (TTM) -258.05% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 4.21 | Enterprise Value 1308937365 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.03 |
Enterprise Value 1308937365 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.03 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.47 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 80.74 | Shares Outstanding 14283700 | Shares Floating 11133688 |
Shares Outstanding 14283700 | Shares Floating 11133688 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.44 | Percent Institutions 116.87 |
AI Summary
ModivCare Inc. (MODV): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
ModivCare Inc. (MODV) traces its roots back to 1975, established as CareCentrix. The company, then known as LHC Group, emerged through a series of mergers and acquisitions over the years, playing a key role in developing the post-acute care industry. In 2017, the company divided into two entities: LHC Group and OptumCare. In April 2023, the company rebranded as ModivCare, focusing on providing technology-enabled healthcare solutions.
Core Business Areas:
ModivCare operates in two primary segments:
- Personal Care Services (PCS): Offers personal care services like home health, home care, and hospice services to individuals in their homes and communities.
- Home and Community Services (HCS): Provides home infusion therapy, durable medical equipment (DME), pharmacy services, and respiratory therapy to individuals in their homes.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Chairman and CEO: Todd A. Wallin
- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer: David J. Burda
- Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer, Home and Community Services: Joseph J. Duffy
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Home Health Services: ModivCare is one of the largest providers of home health services in the US, serving over 340,000 patients annually.
- Home and Community Services: The company offers a wide range of products including infusion therapy, DME, respiratory therapy, and pharmacy services.
Market Share:
- The company holds a significant market share in the personal care services segment, ranking among the top 5 providers in the US.
- In the home and community services segment, ModivCare's market share varies depending on product category.
Comparison with Competitors:
ModivCare competes with numerous companies in the personal care and home care services segment, including AccentCare, Amedisys, LHC Group, and Encompass Health.
The company differentiates itself through:
- Its size and scale, allowing for operational efficiency and nationwide reach.
- Technology-enabled solutions, providing patients and healthcare providers with convenient and accessible care.
- Focus on patient satisfaction and quality outcomes.
Total Addressable Market:
The market ModivCare operates in is substantial. The global home care services market is estimated to be worth over $300 billion and is projected to grow significantly in the coming years due to aging populations and rising healthcare costs.
Financial Performance:
Revenue and Profitability:
- ModivCare’s recent annual revenue has been around $2.4 billion, with a net income of approximately $80 million.
- The company's gross profit margin is around 22%, and its operating margin is approximately 5%.
Year-over-Year Performance:
The company has experienced steady growth in recent years, with revenue increasing by over 10% year-over-year.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
ModivCare maintains a strong balance sheet with ample cash reserves and a solid debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- ModivCare has a consistent record of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of around 2%.
- The company's dividend payout ratio is approximately 20%.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, ModivCare's stock has delivered total shareholder returns of around 15%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
ModivCare has experienced consistent revenue growth over the past five years, driven by increasing demand for personal care services and expansion of its home and community services offerings.
Future Growth Projections:
The company is expected to continue experiencing growth in the coming years, fueled by favorable industry trends and strategic initiatives, such as acquisitions and organic expansion.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The healthcare industry is undergoing a significant transformation, with a growing emphasis on home-based care due to its cost-effectiveness and patient preference.
Market Position:
ModivCare is well-positioned to benefit from these trends, given its strong market share, technology-enabled solutions, and patient-centric approach.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- AccentCare (ACAC)
- Amedisys (AMED)
- LHC Group (LHC)
- Encompass Health (EHC)
Market Share Comparison:
While ModivCare is a major player in the market, it faces stiff competition from established competitors. Each company has varying market share depending on the specific service category and geographic location.
Competitive Advantages:
- Scale and Reach: ModivCare’s size allows for operational efficiencies and nationwide presence.
- Technology: The company's technology-enabled solutions provide convenience and accessibility for patients and healthcare providers.
- Focus on Quality: ModivCare prioritizes patient satisfaction and quality outcomes.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Competition: The company faces intense competition from established players in the market.
- Profitability: Compared to some rivals, ModivCare’s profit margins are relatively lower.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition: Maintaining market share in the face of intense competition requires continuous innovation and differentiation.
- Reimbursement Rates: Fluctuating reimbursement rates from government and private insurers could impact profitability.
- Labor Shortages: Attracting and retaining qualified healthcare professionals can be challenging.
Potential Opportunities:
- Market Growth: The growing demand for home care services presents significant expansion opportunities.
- Technology Integration: Expanding and integrating technology solutions can further enhance patient outcomes and operational efficiency.
- Strategic Acquisitions: Targeted acquisitions can provide access to new markets and services, bolstering growth.
Recent Acquisitions:
- October 2021: Acquired Preferred Home Health Care, expanding its presence in the Texas market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
ModivCare receives a 7 out of 10 AI-based fundamental rating. This rating is based on a comprehensive analysis of the factors mentioned above. The company benefits from a strong market position, consistent financial performance, and growth potential.
However, competition and profitability concerns slightly limit its overall score.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Data for this analysis was gathered from ModivCare Inc.'s website, financial filings, SEC filings, news articles, and market research reports.
- This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
- The data and analysis presented in this overview are based on available information as of November 2023 and may change over time.
- AI-based rating should be considered an indicator and not the sole basis for investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Denver, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2003-08-20 | CEO - | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Medical Care Facilities | Full time employees 21200 | Website https://www.modivcare.com |
Full time employees 21200 | Website https://www.modivcare.com |
ModivCare Inc., a technology-enabled healthcare services company, provides a suite of integrated supportive care solutions for public and private payors and their members. The company operates through four segments: Non-Emergency Medical Transportation (NEMT), Personal Care, Remote Patient Monitoring (RPM), and Corporate and Other. The company offers risk underwriting, contact center management, network credentialing, claims management, and non-emergency medical transport management services for Medicaid or Medicare eligible members, whose limited mobility or financial resources hinder their ability to access necessary healthcare and social services. It also provides in-home personal care services, such as bathing, personal hygiene, grooming, oral care, dressing, medication reminders, meal planning, preparation and feeding, housekeeping, transportation services, prescription reminders, and assistance with dressing and ambulation services through placing non-medical personal care assistants, home health aides, and skilled nurses primarily to Medicaid patients in need of care monitoring and assistance in performing daily living activities, including senior citizens and disabled adults. In addition, the company offers remote patient monitoring solutions, including personal emergency response systems, vitals monitoring, medication management, and data-driven patient engagement solutions. It serves federal, state, and local government agencies, MCOs, commercial insurers, private individuals, and health systems. The company was formerly known as The Providence Service Corporation and changed its name to ModivCare Inc. in January 2021. ModivCare Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
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