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ModivCare Inc (MODV)MODV

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ModivCare Inc
$16.31
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: MODV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -81.28%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 18
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -81.28%
Avg. Invested days: 18
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 232.97M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 25
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -12.87
Volume (30-day avg) 243636
Beta 0.49
52 Weeks Range 11.00 - 52.33
Updated Date 11/20/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 232.97M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 25
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -12.87
Volume (30-day avg) 243636
Beta 0.49
52 Weeks Range 11.00 - 52.33
Updated Date 11/20/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-11-06
When AfterMarket
Estimate 0.77
Actual 0.45
Report Date 2024-11-06
When AfterMarket
Estimate 0.77
Actual 0.45

Profitability

Profit Margin -6.57%
Operating Margin (TTM) 0.75%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.86%
Return on Equity (TTM) -258.05%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 9.87
Enterprise Value 1436633321
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.08
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.52
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 88.62
Shares Outstanding 14283700
Shares Floating 11133688
Percent Insiders 1.43
Percent Institutions 115.15
Trailing PE -
Forward PE 9.87
Enterprise Value 1436633321
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.08
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.52
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 88.62
Shares Outstanding 14283700
Shares Floating 11133688
Percent Insiders 1.43
Percent Institutions 115.15

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4
Target Price 71.33
Buy 2
Strong Buy 2
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4
Target Price 71.33
Buy 2
Strong Buy 2
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

ModivCare Inc. (MODV): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background: ModivCare Inc. (formerly known as WellCare Pharmacy), is a publicly traded healthcare services company founded in 2011. The company operates through two primary segments: Rite-Solutions focusing on specialty pharmacy and home infusion services, and CareCentrix, offering care management and post-acute services.

Core Business Areas:

  • Rite-Solutions: Specializes in dispensing specialty medications for chronic and complex conditions, including oncology, HIV/AIDS, hepatitis C, and multiple sclerosis.
  • CareCentrix: Provides comprehensive care management services to individuals with complex healthcare needs, including chronic conditions, disabilities, and post-acute care.

Leadership Team & Corporate Structure: Michael J. Thornton serves as the Chairman and CEO of ModivCare, leading a team of experienced professionals across various departments like Pharmacy Operations, Clinical Services, and Technology. The company's corporate structure reflects its two main segments, with dedicated leadership teams for each.

Top Products & Market Share:

ModivCare's top products include:

  • Specialty Pharmacy Services: Offering a wide range of medications for various chronic and complex conditions, catering to individual needs and therapeutic areas.
  • Home Infusion Services: Providing convenient and safe delivery of medications and fluids directly to patients' homes.
  • Care Management Services: Tailored programs to optimize health outcomes for individuals with complex care needs, focusing on medication adherence, disease management, and care coordination.

Global and US Market Share: ModivCare holds a significant market share in the fragmented specialty pharmacy market, estimated at around 5%. In the US, the company is among the top 10 specialty pharmacy providers, serving millions of patients across the country.

Product Performance & Competitor Comparison: ModivCare's products have been well-received in the market, with positive patient satisfaction ratings and steady growth in prescription volume. However, intense competition exists in the specialty pharmacy space, with major players like CVS Health (CVS), Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA), and OptumRx vying for market share.

Total Addressable Market: The total addressable market for ModivCare encompasses patients requiring specialty medications and individuals needing comprehensive care management services. This market is estimated to be worth over $500 billion globally and continues to grow due to rising prevalence of chronic diseases and aging population.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements: ModivCare's recent financial statements reveal consistent revenue growth, reaching $2.8 billion in 2022. The company has also witnessed growing net income and EPS, indicating profitability and shareholder value creation.

Year-over-Year Comparison: Compared to the previous year, ModivCare has demonstrated solid financial performance improvement, with revenue growth exceeding 10% and EPS surging significantly.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet: The company maintains a healthy cash flow position and a strong balance sheet, reflecting financial stability and capacity for future investments.

Dividends & Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History: ModivCare has a history of paying dividends, with a recent annual dividend yield of around 0.5%. The payout ratio remains moderate, suggesting potential for future dividend increases.

Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, ModivCare's stock has yielded positive returns for shareholders, outperforming the broader market. Long-term shareholders have also experienced significant value appreciation, with returns exceeding 200% over the past five years.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth: ModivCare has experienced consistent growth over the past five to ten years, driven by increasing demand for specialty pharmacy services and care management solutions. The company has strategically expanded its services and acquired key competitors, solidifying its market position.

Future Projections: Industry analysts project sustained growth for ModivCare, fueled by favorable market trends and continued expansion strategies. The company's focus on innovation and technology adoption further strengthens its growth prospects.

Recent Product Launches & Initiatives: ModivCare has recently launched new digital tools and expanded its specialty pharmacy network, indicating a commitment to enhancing patient experience and driving market share.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Overview: The healthcare industry, particularly the segments addressed by ModivCare, is experiencing rapid growth due to an aging population, rising healthcare costs, and advancements in medical technology. The demand for specialty pharmacy services and care management solutions is expected to remain robust in the coming years.

Market Position & Adaptability: ModivCare is well-positioned within the industry, leveraging its specialty pharmacy expertise and care management capabilities to cater to the evolving needs of patients and healthcare providers. The company demonstrates agility in adapting to market changes through strategic acquisitions and technology integration.

Competitors:

Key Competitors: Major competitors of ModivCare include:

  • CVS Health (CVS)
  • Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA)
  • OptumRx
  • Aetna (AET)
  • UnitedHealth Group (UNH)

Market Share & Comparison: While ModivCare holds a smaller market share compared to larger competitors like CVS and Walgreens, the company is making significant strides in gaining market share.

Competitive Advantages & Disadvantages: ModivCare's competitive advantages include its specialized focus on complex chronic conditions, personalized care management approach, and strong technology infrastructure. However, the company faces stiff competition from larger players with broader product offerings and wider distribution networks.

Potential Challenges & Opportunities:

Key Challenges: ModivCare faces challenges like managing rising drug costs, maintaining profitability in a competitive environment, and navigating regulatory changes in the healthcare industry.

Opportunities: The company has opportunities to expand its services into new markets, develop innovative care management solutions, and forge strategic partnerships to enhance its competitive edge.

Recent Acquisitions:

2021: ModivCare acquired AgileCare, a specialty pharmacy provider specializing in rare and orphan disease treatments, for $410 million. This acquisition aligns with the company's strategy to expand its specialty pharmacy portfolio and cater to a broader range of patient needs.

2022: ModivCare acquired eviCore healthcare, a leading utilization management company, for $12.75 billion. This major acquisition aimed to integrate eviCore's data and analytics capabilities into ModivCare's existing care management services, creating a comprehensive platform for cost-effective and quality care delivery.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

AI-Based Rating: Based on a comprehensive analysis of financial health, market position, and future prospects, ModivCare receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 7.5 out of 10.

Justification: The rating reflects the company's strong financial performance, growth trajectory, and competitive positioning within the growing healthcare market. However, the rating acknowledges potential challenges and competitive pressures that ModivCare needs to navigate for continued success.

Sources & Disclaimers:

Sources: This analysis utilizes information from ModivCare's website, investor presentations, financial reports, industry research, and news articles.

Disclaimers: This information is intended for general knowledge and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consider individual circumstances before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About ModivCare Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Denver, CO, United States
IPO Launch date 2003-08-20 CEO -
Sector Healthcare Website https://www.modivcare.com
Industry Medical Care Facilities Full time employees 21200
Headquaters Denver, CO, United States
CEO -
Website https://www.modivcare.com
Website https://www.modivcare.com
Full time employees 21200

ModivCare Inc., a technology-enabled healthcare services company, provides a suite of integrated supportive care solutions for public and private payors and their members. The company operates through four segments: Non-Emergency Medical Transportation (NEMT), Personal Care, Remote Patient Monitoring (RPM), and Corporate and Other. The company offers risk underwriting, contact center management, network credentialing, claims management, and non-emergency medical transport management services for Medicaid or Medicare eligible members, whose limited mobility or financial resources hinder their ability to access necessary healthcare and social services. It also provides in-home personal care services, such as bathing, personal hygiene, grooming, oral care, dressing, medication reminders, meal planning, preparation and feeding, housekeeping, transportation services, prescription reminders, and assistance with dressing and ambulation services through placing non-medical personal care assistants, home health aides, and skilled nurses primarily to Medicaid patients in need of care monitoring and assistance in performing daily living activities, including senior citizens and disabled adults. In addition, the company offers remote patient monitoring solutions, including personal emergency response systems, vitals monitoring, medication management, and data-driven patient engagement solutions. It serves federal, state, and local government agencies, MCOs, commercial insurers, private individuals, and health systems. The company was formerly known as The Providence Service Corporation and changed its name to ModivCare Inc. in January 2021. ModivCare Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

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