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Altria Group (MO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: MO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 5.66% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 2.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 87.89B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.75 | 1Y Target Price 56.59 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.75 | 1Y Target Price 56.59 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7589409 | Beta 0.67 | 52 Weeks Range 35.74 - 57.77 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 35.74 - 57.77 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 7.87% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.88 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 50.51% | Operating Margin (TTM) 59.84% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 21.1% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.75 | Forward PE 9.79 | Enterprise Value 111151001246 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.32 |
Enterprise Value 111151001246 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.32 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.46 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.37 | Shares Outstanding 1694809984 | Shares Floating 1691847059 |
Shares Outstanding 1694809984 | Shares Floating 1691847059 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.12 | Percent Institutions 60.82 |
AI Summary
Altria Group: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background: Altria Group, Inc. (NYSE: MO) is a leading American tobacco company, established in 1988 as a spin-off from Philip Morris Companies. The company has a rich history dating back to the 19th century, with roots in the prominent tobacco brand Philip Morris. Over the years, Altria has grown through acquisitions and internal development, currently holding a strong position in the US tobacco market.
Core Business Areas: Altria's primary focus is on tobacco products, including cigarettes, smokeless tobacco, and e-cigarettes. The company's iconic brands include Marlboro, Copenhagen, and Juul. Additionally, Altria holds significant investments in Anheuser-Busch InBev, a leading global brewer.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure: Altria's leadership team is led by CEO Billy Gifford, who brings extensive experience in the tobacco industry. The company operates under a decentralized structure with separate business units for cigarettes, smokeless tobacco, and e-cigarettes.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products: Altria's top-selling products include:
- Marlboro: The world's leading cigarette brand, holding a dominant 40% market share in the US.
- Copenhagen: A leading smokeless tobacco brand, with a 30% market share in the US.
- Juul: A popular e-cigarette brand, initially capturing a significant portion of the market but facing recent challenges.
Market Share Analysis: Altria holds a leading position in the US tobacco market, with a combined market share of over 50%. However, the company faces increasing competition from alternative nicotine products and regulatory pressures.
Competitor Comparison: Altria's main competitors include Philip Morris International (PM), Reynolds American (RAI), and British American Tobacco (BTI). While Altria enjoys a strong position in the US, its global market share is smaller compared to these rivals.
Total Addressable Market
The global tobacco market is estimated to be worth over $800 billion, with the US market accounting for approximately 20% of this total. The market is expected to see moderate growth in the coming years, driven by population growth and the increasing popularity of alternative nicotine products.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Performance: Altria's recent financial performance has been stable, with consistent revenue and earnings growth. The company reported net revenue of $29.1 billion and net income of $5.6 billion in 2022.
Profitability and Margins: Altria's profit margins are relatively high, with a gross margin of 60% and an operating margin of 35%. The company benefits from its strong brand portfolio and economies of scale.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: Altria generates significant cash flow, with $8.4 billion in operating cash flow in 2022. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with low debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History: Altria has a long history of paying dividends, with a current dividend yield of around 8%. The company has increased its dividend payouts annually for the past 50 years.
Shareholder Returns: Altria has provided strong returns to shareholders over the long term. The company's stock price has appreciated by over 500% in the past 10 years, including dividends.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth: Altria has experienced steady growth over the past decade, driven by price increases and market share gains. The company has also benefited from its investments in Anheuser-Busch InBev.
Future Growth Projections: Altria's future growth is expected to be modest, due to the declining popularity of traditional cigarettes and increasing competition. However, the company is investing in new products and markets, such as e-cigarettes and cannabis, to drive future growth.
Market Dynamics
The tobacco industry is facing a number of challenges, including declining smoking rates, increasing regulations, and the rise of alternative nicotine products. Altria is adapting to these changes by diversifying its product portfolio and investing in innovation.
Competitors
Key competitors include:
- Philip Morris International (PM): Market share: 27% in the US Competitive Advantages: Strong global presence, diverse product portfolio
- Reynolds American (RAI): Market share: 23% in the US Competitive Advantages: Strong distribution network, popular brands like Camel and Newport
- British American Tobacco (BTI): Market share: 10% in the US Competitive Advantages: Strong international presence, growing e-cigarette business
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges:
- Declining smoking rates
- Increasing regulations
- Competition from alternative nicotine products
- Litigation risks
Opportunities:
- Growth of e-cigarettes and other alternative nicotine products
- Expansion into new markets
- Innovation in product development
Recent Acquisitions (Past 3 Years)
- 2021: Altria acquired a 45% stake in JUUL Labs for $12.8 billion. This acquisition aimed to strengthen Altria's position in the growing e-cigarette market.
- 2020: Altria acquired a 10% stake in Cronos Group, a cannabis company, for $1.8 billion. This investment aimed to explore the potential of the cannabis market.
- 2019: Altria acquired a 35% stake in Anheuser-Busch InBev for $100 billion. This acquisition aimed to diversify Altria's revenue streams and benefit from the growth of the beer industry.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an AI-based analysis, Altria Group receives a rating of 7 out of 10. This rating reflects the company's strong financial performance, leading market position, and consistent dividend payouts. However, the company faces challenges from declining smoking rates and increasing competition, which could limit future growth.
Sources and Disclaimers
This analysis is based on information from the following sources:
- Altria Group Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Industry reports
This information should not be considered as financial advice.
Disclaimer: I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.
About Altria Group
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Richmond, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1970-01-02 | CEO & Director Mr. William F. Gifford Jr. | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Tobacco | Full time employees 6400 | Website https://www.altria.com |
Full time employees 6400 | Website https://www.altria.com |
Altria Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells smokeable and oral tobacco products in the United States. The company offers cigarettes primarily under the Marlboro brand; large cigars and pipe tobacco under the Black & Mild brand; moist smokeless tobacco and snus products under the Copenhagen, Skoal, Red Seal, and Husky brands; oral nicotine pouches under the on! brand; and e-vapor products under the NJOY ACE brand. It sells its products to distributors, as well as large retail organizations, such as chain stores. The company was founded in 1822 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
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