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Altria Group (MO)MO
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: MO (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 15.92% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 46 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 15.92% | Avg. Invested days: 46 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 86.39B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.73 | 1Y Target Price 50.56 |
Dividends yield (FY) 8.08% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.8 |
Volume (30-day avg) 7629500 | Beta 0.69 |
52 Weeks Range 35.83 - 53.89 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 86.39B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.73 | 1Y Target Price 50.56 |
Dividends yield (FY) 8.08% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.8 | Volume (30-day avg) 7629500 | Beta 0.69 |
52 Weeks Range 35.83 - 53.89 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 50.05% | Operating Margin (TTM) 58.67% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 20.78% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.73 | Forward PE 9.67 |
Enterprise Value 109610137726 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.26 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.4 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.32 |
Shares Outstanding 1706220032 | Shares Floating 1703272560 |
Percent Insiders 0.1 | Percent Institutions 60.33 |
Trailing PE 8.73 | Forward PE 9.67 | Enterprise Value 109610137726 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.26 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.4 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.32 | Shares Outstanding 1706220032 | Shares Floating 1703272560 |
Percent Insiders 0.1 | Percent Institutions 60.33 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.5 | Target Price 46.07 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 6 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.5 | Target Price 46.07 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 6 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Altria Group: A Deep Dive
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
Altria Group, Inc. (MO) is an American tobacco and cigarette manufacturing company headquartered in Richmond, Virginia. Founded in 1985 as Philip Morris Companies Inc., the company underwent a name change to Altria in 2003. Altria boasts a long and controversial history, tracing its roots back to the 1840s and the founding of Philip Morris & Co. Ltd. in London.
Core Business Areas:
Altria's core business revolves around tobacco products, primarily cigarettes. However, the company has diversified into other areas such as smokeless tobacco, cigars, and wine. Its major cigarette brands include Marlboro, Parliament, and Virginia Slims.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
As of November 2023, Billy Gifford is the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Altria. The company's leadership team also includes K.C. Crosthwaite (Chief Financial Officer), Brendan Kenneally (Chief Operating Officer), and William Gifford (Group President, US Smokeable Products).
Altria operates through two segments: Smokeable Products and Oral Tobacco Products. The Smokeable Products segment includes cigarettes and other smokeless tobacco products, while the Oral Tobacco Products segment focuses on smokeless tobacco products.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
Altria's top product is undoubtedly Marlboro, the world's best-selling cigarette brand, accounting for over 40% of the US market share. Other significant brands include Parliament, Virginia Slims, Copenhagen, and Skoal.
Market Share Analysis:
Global Market Share: Altria holds a dominant position in the US cigarette market with roughly 50% market share. However, its global presence is limited, primarily due to its focus on the US market.
US Market Share: Altria commands a substantial market share in various tobacco product categories within the US. Here's a breakdown:
- Cigarettes: With Marlboro as its flagship brand, Altria controls over 40% of the US market.
- Smokeless Tobacco: Altria holds around 30% of the US smokeless tobacco market, primarily through brands like Copenhagen and Skoal.
- Cigars: The company holds a smaller share in the US cigar market, estimated to be around 10%.
Competitive Landscape:
Altria's primary competitors in the US market include:
- Reynolds American Inc. (RAI): Holding brands like Camel and Newport, Reynolds American holds around 35% of the US cigarette market.
- British American Tobacco (BTI): A global tobacco giant, British American Tobacco enjoys a smaller presence in the US market compared to Altria and Reynolds.
- Imperial Brands (IMB): Another major player in the global tobacco market, Imperial Brands has a limited presence in the US.
Total Addressable Market:
The global tobacco market is estimated to be worth around $800 billion. Within the US, the market size is approximately $180 billion. Altria primarily operates within the US market, focusing on its established position and brand recognition.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Performance:
- Revenue: Altria's 2022 revenue reached $27.7 billion, indicating a slight decrease from 2021.
- Net Income: Net income for 2022 stood at $7.0 billion, a decrease compared to the previous year.
- Profit Margins: The company's gross profit margin for 2022 was 58.3%, while the operating profit margin stood at 34.5%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Diluted EPS for 2022 reached $4.68.
Financial Performance Comparison:
Year-over-year, Altria has experienced a slight decline in revenue and net income. However, profit margins remain relatively stable.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Altria maintains a healthy cash flow position, generating $6.7 billion in operating cash flow during 2022. The company also possesses a solid balance sheet with low debt levels and substantial cash reserves.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Altria has a long history of paying dividends, currently offering a dividend yield of around 8.5%. The company has increased its dividend for 55 consecutive years, making it a Dividend King.
Shareholder Returns:
Shareholder returns for Altria have been positive in recent years, exceeding those of the S&P 500. Over the past 5 years, Altria has delivered a total return of over 50%, compared to the S&P 500's return of roughly 40%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Over the past 10 years, Altria has experienced modest growth in revenue and earnings. The company's focus on its core tobacco business and dividend payouts has contributed to this.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project moderate growth for Altria in the coming years, with revenue and earnings expected to increase at a low single-digit rate.
Growth Prospects:
Altria's future growth will likely depend on several factors:
- Performance of its core tobacco brands
- Success of its smokeless tobacco segment
- Regulatory environment for tobacco products
- Development and adoption of new products, such as e-cigarettes
Market Dynamics:
The tobacco industry faces several challenges, including:
- Increasing public awareness of the health risks associated with tobacco use
- Regulatory restrictions on advertising and sales of tobacco products
- Growing popularity of alternative products, such as e-cigarettes
Despite these challenges, Altria remains well-positioned within the industry due to its:
- Strong brand recognition and market share
- Robust financial performance
- Diversification into smokeless tobacco and e-cigarettes
Competitors:
- Reynolds American Inc. (RAI): Market share: 35%
- British American Tobacco (BTI): Market share: 10%
- Imperial Brands (IMB): Market share: 5%
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand portfolio, particularly Marlboro
- Extensive distribution network
- Strong financial performance
- Experience and expertise in the tobacco industry
- Research and development capabilities
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Declining smoking rates in the US
- Regulatory restrictions on advertising and sales
- Litigation risks associated with tobacco products
- Competition from alternative products
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Declining smoking rates
- Increasing government regulation
- Litigation risks
- Competition from alternative products
Potential Opportunities:
- Growth of the smokeless tobacco market
- Development of new products, such as e-cigarettes
- Expansion into emerging markets
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
**Company Name | Acquisition Year | Acquisition Price | Explanation** |
---|---|---|---|
Nu Mark | 2021 | $163 million | Nu Mark is a leading distributor of electronic cigarettes and related products. This acquisition strengthened Altria's presence in the growing e-cigarette market. |
Ste. Michelle Wine Estates | 2021 | $1.2 billion | Ste. Michelle is a prominent wine producer in the US. This acquisition diversified Altria's portfolio beyond tobacco and provided an opportunity for growth in the wine market. |
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Altria Group receives a moderately positive AI-based fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. This rating is based on an analysis of the factors mentioned above, including:
- Financial health: Altria possesses a solid financial profile with strong cash flow and low debt levels.
- Market position: The company holds a dominant position within the US tobacco market, particularly with its flagship brand, Marlboro.
- Future prospects: While growth is projected to be moderate, Altria's strong brand portfolio, diversification efforts, and potential for new product development offer promising long-term prospects.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis was compiled using data from the following sources:
- Altria Group Investor Relations website
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Statista
- Morningstar
This information should not be construed as financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Altria Group
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Richmond, VA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1970-01-02 | CEO & Director | Mr. William F. Gifford Jr. |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://www.altria.com |
Industry | Tobacco | Full time employees | 6400 |
Headquaters | Richmond, VA, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. William F. Gifford Jr. | ||
Website | https://www.altria.com | ||
Website | https://www.altria.com | ||
Full time employees | 6400 |
Altria Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells smokeable and oral tobacco products in the United States. The company offers cigarettes primarily under the Marlboro brand; large cigars and pipe tobacco under the Black & Mild brand; moist smokeless tobacco and snus products under the Copenhagen, Skoal, Red Seal, and Husky brands; oral nicotine pouches under the on! brand; and e-vapor products under the NJOY ACE brand. It sells its products to distributors, as well as large retail organizations, such as chain stores. The company was founded in 1822 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
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