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Montauk Renewables Inc(MNTK)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MNTK
09/17/2026: MNTK (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Montauk Renewables is a specialist in the waste-to-energy sector, primarily focused on converting landfill gas into renewable natural gas and electricity. The company’s primary strength lies in its long-standing operational history and its ability to secure fixed, long-term contracts. The core investment story centers on the growing demand for low-carbon transportation fuels and the expansion of its production capacity. However, investors must consider the significant risks posed by its reliance on volatile environmental credit pricing and the capital-intensive nature of its expansion projects. The stock may best suit growth-oriented investors interested in the green energy transition, provided they monitor regulatory updates and environmental credit price trends closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers growth potential in the green energy sector but is highly sensitive to external regulatory pricing. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | The stock can experience high volatility based on commodity and environmental credit pricing shifts. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation is often tied to the speculative nature of future project cash flows rather than traditional earnings multiples. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a dividend and prioritizes capital reinvestment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High exposure to regulatory and commodity price volatility makes this an unsuitable choice for risk-averse investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Earnings are highly susceptible to fluctuations in RINs and LCFS credit pricing. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Market pricing relies heavily on forward-looking project execution and regulatory sentiment. |
| Competition risk (Biogas production) | Medium | Increased entry by energy majors into the RNG space pressures margins and development opportunities. |
| Business quality | Medium | While operations are stable, the dependence on external regulatory incentives limits franchise quality. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | The company does not provide income to shareholders. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success depends on the timely and efficient construction/upgrade of complex gas conversion facilities. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -40.9% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/17/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 320.27M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 45 | 1Y Target Price 1.7 |
Price to earnings Ratio 45 | 1Y Target Price 1.7 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 268.7K shares | Beta 0.54 | 52 Weeks Range 1.07 - 2.73 | Updated Date 09/17/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 1.07 - 2.73 | Updated Date 09/17/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.05 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| RNG Sales | Sale of processed gas and associated environmental credits. | Most revenue comes from turning landfill waste into usable fuel. |
| Electricity Sales | Long-term contracts for renewable power generation. | Steady income from selling clean electricity to utilities. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 45 | Forward PE 8.05 | Enterprise Value 461.65M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.69 |
Enterprise Value 461.65M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.69 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.47 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.13 | Shares Outstanding 142.34M | Shares Floating 65.77M |
Shares Outstanding 142.34M | Shares Floating 65.77M | ||
Percent Insiders 70.15 | Percent Institutions 19.11 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Montauk Renewables Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquarters Pittsburgh, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-01-22 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Sean Fitzgerald McClain B.S., B.Sc., C.P.A., M.B.A. | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Specialty Chemicals | Full time employees 189 | |
Full time employees 189 | |||
Montauk Renewables, Inc., a renewable energy company, engages in recovery and processing of biogas from landfills and other non-fossil fuel sources. It operates in two segments, Renewable Natural Gas and Renewable Electricity Generation. The company develops, owns, and operates renewable natural gas (RNG) and renewable electricity projects. It captures methane, prevents it from being released into the atmosphere, and converts it into either RNG or electrical power for the electrical grid. The company's customers for RNG and renewable identification numbers (RIN) include large, long-term owner-operators of landfills and livestock farms, local utilities, and large refiners in the natural gas and refining sectors. Montauk Renewables, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
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