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MediciNova Inc (MNOV)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: MNOV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -33.28% | Avg. Invested days 23 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 71.12M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 14627 | Beta 0.73 | 52 Weeks Range 1.12 - 2.55 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.12 - 2.55 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.23 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -12.97% | Return on Equity (TTM) -19.24% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 30951087 | Price to Sales(TTM) 82.89 |
Enterprise Value 30951087 | Price to Sales(TTM) 82.89 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 38.74 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.65 | Shares Outstanding 49046200 | Shares Floating 42081189 |
Shares Outstanding 49046200 | Shares Floating 42081189 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.98 | Percent Institutions 21.95 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 8.33 | Buy - | Strong Buy 2 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 2 | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
MediciNova Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
MediciNova, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company founded in 2000. It focuses on acquiring and developing novel, small-molecule therapeutics for unmet medical needs, primarily in neurology, central nervous system disorders, and other fields. The company initially focused on licensing drugs from Japanese companies and developing them for the US market.
Core Business Areas
- MN-166 (ibudilast): The company's lead product candidate, Ibudilast, is a small molecule phosphodiesterase (PDE) inhibitor and a macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF) inhibitor under development for various neurological and other conditions.
- MN-001 (tipelukast): Tipelukast is an orally bioavailable small molecule that acts as a leukotriene receptor antagonist and is being evaluated for fibrotic and inflammatory diseases.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO is Yuichi Iwaki, MD, PhD. The company has a typical biopharmaceutical structure with departments focused on research, development, clinical trials, and regulatory affairs. The organizational structure is relatively flat to facilitate quick decision-making.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- MN-166 (ibudilast): Ibudilast is MediciNova's primary focus. It is being developed for progressive multiple sclerosis (PMS), amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), and other neurological conditions. While specific market share data is not available as the drug is not yet approved, the potential market for PMS and ALS treatments is substantial. Competitors in these areas include Biogen (BIIB), Genentech (Roche), and Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma, whose products and trials cover aspects of the same target demographic.
- MN-001 (tipelukast): Tipelukast, being explored for NASH and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Competitors include Intercept Pharmaceuticals (ICPT) and Boehringer Ingelheim. Revenues are not currently being generated from product sales as both drug candidates are under investigation.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The biopharmaceutical industry is highly competitive and characterized by extensive research and development, stringent regulatory oversight, and lengthy clinical trial processes. Success depends on identifying promising drug candidates, conducting successful clinical trials, and obtaining regulatory approvals.
Positioning
MediciNova is a smaller player in the biopharmaceutical industry, focusing on developing niche therapies for neurological and fibrotic diseases. Its competitive advantage lies in its ability to identify and acquire promising drug candidates and advance them through clinical development. Its small size can make raising capital difficult, but also allows for agility.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The combined TAM for PMS, ALS, NASH, and IPF is estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars. MediciNova's positioning within this TAM depends on its ability to successfully develop and commercialize its drug candidates. If successful, it will capture a portion of these markets. The market for neurological diseases and fibrotic diseases has substantial growth.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Novel drug candidates targeting unmet medical needs
- Experienced management team
- Focus on niche therapeutic areas
- Relatively lean operating structure
Weaknesses
- Limited financial resources
- Dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes
- No currently marketed products
- High risk of clinical trial failure
Opportunities
- Positive clinical trial results
- Partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies
- Expansion into new therapeutic areas
- Regulatory approval and commercialization of drug candidates
Threats
- Clinical trial failures
- Competition from larger pharmaceutical companies
- Regulatory hurdles
- Patent expirations
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BIIB
- RHHBY
- GILD
- NVS
Competitive Landscape
MediciNova faces significant competition from larger, more established pharmaceutical companies. Its competitive advantage lies in its focus on niche therapeutic areas and its ability to identify and develop promising drug candidates. However, it lacks the financial resources and marketing capabilities of its larger competitors.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by advancing drug candidates through clinical trials and securing financing. This has not resulted in sustained revenue growth.
Future Projections: Future growth is contingent on successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approvals. Analyst estimates vary widely, reflecting the uncertainty inherent in biopharmaceutical development. Success of Ibudilast trials is key.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include ongoing clinical trials for Ibudilast in PMS and ALS and Tipelukast for NASH. The company also explores opportunities to in-license or acquire new drug candidates.
Summary
MediciNova is a high-risk, high-reward biopharmaceutical company. Its future success hinges on positive clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approvals for its drug candidates, particularly Ibudilast. It's financial health is dependent on its ability to secure funding to continue operations. The company needs to effectively manage the costs of development.
Similar Companies
- BIIB
- ICPT
- VIR
- MRTX
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- MediciNova's investor relations website
- SEC filings
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
- ClinicalTrials.gov
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. The information provided is based on publicly available data and may be subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About MediciNova Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters La Jolla, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-02-08 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman Dr. Yuichi Iwaki M.D., Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 13 | Website https://medicinova.com |
Full time employees 13 | Website https://medicinova.com |
MediciNova, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing novel and small molecule therapeutics for the treatment of serious diseases with unmet medical needs in the United States. The company develops MN-166 (ibudilast), an oral anti-inflammatory and neuroprotective agent in Phase 2b/3 clinical trial for treating neurological and other disorders, such as progressive multiple sclerosis, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy, degenerative cervical myelopathy, glioblastoma, and substance dependence and addiction, as well as prevention of acute respiratory distress syndrome, and long COVID. It is also developing MN-001 (tipelukast), an orally bioavailable small molecule compound in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat fibrotic and other metabolic disorders, including nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and hypertriglycedemia. The company has a license agreement with Kyorin Pharmaceuticals for the development and commercialization of MN-166 and MN-001. MediciNova, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in La Jolla, California.
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