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MediciNova Inc (MNOV)MNOV
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: MNOV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -27.15% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -27.15% | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 93.19M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.16 |
Volume (30-day avg) 102085 | Beta 0.77 |
52 Weeks Range 1.12 - 2.55 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 93.19M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.16 | Volume (30-day avg) 102085 | Beta 0.77 |
52 Weeks Range 1.12 - 2.55 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate -0.06 | Actual -0.06 |
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When AfterMarket | Estimate -0.06 | Actual -0.06 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -981.95% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.51% | Return on Equity (TTM) -13.32% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 44135465 | Price to Sales(TTM) 93.19 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 44.14 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.65 |
Shares Outstanding 49046200 | Shares Floating 42081189 |
Percent Insiders 2.98 | Percent Institutions 21.3 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 44135465 | Price to Sales(TTM) 93.19 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 44.14 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.65 | Shares Outstanding 49046200 | Shares Floating 42081189 |
Percent Insiders 2.98 | Percent Institutions 21.3 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 16.5 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 5 | Target Price 16.5 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
MediciNova Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
MediciNova Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company founded in 1994 and headquartered in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania. The company focuses on developing and commercializing innovative therapies for the treatment of autoimmune and inflammatory diseases.
Core Business Areas:
MediciNova has two core business areas:
- Commercialization of its lead product, lisocabtagene maraleucel (liso-cel): Liso-cel is a CAR-T cell therapy approved for the treatment of relapsed or refractory aggressive B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL).
- Development of additional therapies for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases: MediciNova has a pipeline of several other therapies in various stages of development, including MN-166 (a next-generation CAR-T therapy) and MN-866 (a novel immunomodulatory drug).
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- David J. Druey, MD, PhD: Chief Executive Officer and President
- Yu-Tzu Tai, PhD: Chief Scientific Officer
- Robert A. Schuback, MD, MBA: Chief Medical Officer
The company operates a centralized structure with its main headquarters in Pennsylvania.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Liso-cel: As of March 2023, liso-cel is not yet commercially launched.
- MN-166: This next-generation CAR-T therapy is currently in Phase 1/2 clinical trials for the treatment of relapsed or refractory aggressive B-cell NHL.
- MN-866: This novel immunomodulatory drug is in Phase 1 clinical trials for the treatment of autoimmune and inflammatory diseases.
Market Share:
- Liso-cel: Due to its belum commercialization, current market share data isn't available. However, analysts expect it to capture a significant share of the B-cell NHL market, estimated to reach $11.4 billion by 2026.
- MN-166 and MN-866: These are still in development and do not have market share data yet.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Liso-cel: Preliminary clinical data has shown promising results, with high response rates and manageable safety profiles.
- MN-166 and MN-866: Early clinical trials are ongoing, and further data is needed to assess their performance and market reception.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases is estimated to be worth $148.7 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $207.1 billion by 2028. The B-cell NHL market, where liso-cel is targeted, is estimated to be worth $11.4 billion by 2026.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: MediciNova does not currently have any commercialized products, so its revenue is minimal.
- Net Income: The company has been consistently reporting net losses due to research and development expenses for its pipeline of therapies.
- Profit Margins: As with net income, MediciNova currently has negative profit margins.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): The company does not have any earnings per share due to its lack of profitability.
Financial Performance Comparison:
MediciNova is a pre-revenue company, making year-over-year comparisons for financial performance meaningless. Investors should focus on the company's pipeline advancements and potential future revenue streams.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
As of June 30, 2023, MediciNova had approximately $164.6 million in cash and cash equivalents and a total debt of $4.8 million.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
MediciNova does not currently pay dividends due to its reinvestment of resources into research and development.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, MediciNova's stock price has declined significantly. Long-term investors should consider the company's potential for future growth and profitability.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
MediciNova's historical growth has been driven by advancements in its pipeline of therapies.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project significant growth potential for MediciNova, driven by the potential commercialization of liso-cel and other pipeline therapies.
Recent Initiatives:
MediciNova has recently secured partnerships and collaborations to expand its commercialization efforts for liso-cel and accelerate the development of other pipeline therapies.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The autoimmune and inflammatory disease market is growing rapidly, driven by factors such as the increasing prevalence of these diseases and the development of innovative therapies.
Demand-Supply Scenario:
The demand for effective treatments for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases is high, while the supply of new therapies remains limited. This creates significant opportunities for companies like MediciNova.
Technological Advancements:
Technological advancements in areas such as gene editing and cell therapy are driving the development of novel therapies for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases.
Market Positioning and Adaptability:
MediciNova is well-positioned in the market with its promising pipeline of therapies, including liso-cel, a CAR-T therapy with significant potential. The company has demonstrated its adaptability to market changes through strategic partnerships and collaborations.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Gilead Sciences (GILD)
- AbbVie (ABBV)
- Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY)
- Novartis (NVS)
Market Share Comparison:
These established pharmaceutical companies have a significant market share in the autoimmune and inflammatory disease market. However, MediciNova has the potential to become a major player with the successful commercialization of its pipeline therapies.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
MediciNova's competitive advantages include its innovative pipeline of therapies and its strategic partnerships. However, the company faces disadvantages due to its lack of commercialization experience and its limited financial resources compared to larger competitors.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition from established pharmaceutical companies
- Regulatory hurdles
- Difficulty in commercializing new therapies
- Financial constraints
Potential Opportunities:
- Growing market for autoimmune and inflammatory disease treatments
- Potential for liso-cel and other pipeline therapies to be successful
- Strategic partnerships and collaborations
Recent Acquisitions:
MediciNova has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Overall Rating: 7/10
Justification:
MediciNova has a strong pipeline of therapies with significant potential for commercial success. However, the company faces challenges in commercialization and competition. The AI-based rating considers these factors and projects a moderate potential for future growth.
Sources:
- MediciNova Inc. website: https://medicinova.com/
- SEC filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/
- Market research reports: https://www.globenewswire.com/
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About MediciNova Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | La Jolla, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2005-02-08 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Executive Director | Dr. Yuichi Iwaki M.D., Ph.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.medicinova.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 13 |
Headquaters | La Jolla, CA, United States | ||
Co-Founder, President, CEO & Executive Director | Dr. Yuichi Iwaki M.D., Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://www.medicinova.com | ||
Website | https://www.medicinova.com | ||
Full time employees | 13 |
MediciNova, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing novel and small molecule therapeutics for the treatment of serious diseases with unmet medical needs in the United States. It is developing MN-166 (ibudilast), an oral anti-inflammatory and neuroprotective agent for treating neurological and other disorders, such as primary and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy, degenerative cervical myelopathy, glioblastoma, and substance dependence and addiction, as well as prevention of acute respiratory distress syndrome, and long COVID. The company's product pipeline also includes MN-221 (bedoradrine), a selective beta-2-adrenergic receptor agonist for the treatment of acute exacerbations of asthma; MN-001 (tipelukast), an orally bioavailable small molecule compound to treat fibrotic and other diseases, including nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis; and MN-029 (denibulin), a tubulin binding agent for treating solid tumor cancers. It has license agreements with Kyorin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd; Angiogene Pharmaceuticals, Ltd.; and Meiji Seika Kaisha, Ltd. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in La Jolla, California.
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