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MNOV
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

MediciNova Inc (MNOV)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$1.45
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: MNOV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -33.28%
Avg. Invested days 23
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 71.12M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 9.5
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 9.5
Volume (30-day avg) 14627
Beta 0.73
52 Weeks Range 1.12 - 2.55
Updated Date 04/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 1.12 - 2.55
Updated Date 04/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.23

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -
Operating Margin (TTM) -

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -12.97%
Return on Equity (TTM) -19.24%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 30951087
Price to Sales(TTM) 82.89
Enterprise Value 30951087
Price to Sales(TTM) 82.89
Enterprise Value to Revenue 38.74
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.65
Shares Outstanding 49046200
Shares Floating 42081189
Shares Outstanding 49046200
Shares Floating 42081189
Percent Insiders 2.98
Percent Institutions 21.95

Analyst Ratings

Rating 5
Target Price 8.33
Buy -
Strong Buy 2
Buy -
Strong Buy 2
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

MediciNova Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

MediciNova, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company founded in 2000. It focuses on acquiring and developing novel, small-molecule therapeutics for unmet medical needs, primarily in neurology, central nervous system disorders, and other fields. The company initially focused on licensing drugs from Japanese companies and developing them for the US market.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • MN-166 (ibudilast): The company's lead product candidate, Ibudilast, is a small molecule phosphodiesterase (PDE) inhibitor and a macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF) inhibitor under development for various neurological and other conditions.
  • MN-001 (tipelukast): Tipelukast is an orally bioavailable small molecule that acts as a leukotriene receptor antagonist and is being evaluated for fibrotic and inflammatory diseases.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The CEO is Yuichi Iwaki, MD, PhD. The company has a typical biopharmaceutical structure with departments focused on research, development, clinical trials, and regulatory affairs. The organizational structure is relatively flat to facilitate quick decision-making.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • MN-166 (ibudilast): Ibudilast is MediciNova's primary focus. It is being developed for progressive multiple sclerosis (PMS), amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), and other neurological conditions. While specific market share data is not available as the drug is not yet approved, the potential market for PMS and ALS treatments is substantial. Competitors in these areas include Biogen (BIIB), Genentech (Roche), and Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma, whose products and trials cover aspects of the same target demographic.
  • MN-001 (tipelukast): Tipelukast, being explored for NASH and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Competitors include Intercept Pharmaceuticals (ICPT) and Boehringer Ingelheim. Revenues are not currently being generated from product sales as both drug candidates are under investigation.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The biopharmaceutical industry is highly competitive and characterized by extensive research and development, stringent regulatory oversight, and lengthy clinical trial processes. Success depends on identifying promising drug candidates, conducting successful clinical trials, and obtaining regulatory approvals.

Positioning

MediciNova is a smaller player in the biopharmaceutical industry, focusing on developing niche therapies for neurological and fibrotic diseases. Its competitive advantage lies in its ability to identify and acquire promising drug candidates and advance them through clinical development. Its small size can make raising capital difficult, but also allows for agility.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The combined TAM for PMS, ALS, NASH, and IPF is estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars. MediciNova's positioning within this TAM depends on its ability to successfully develop and commercialize its drug candidates. If successful, it will capture a portion of these markets. The market for neurological diseases and fibrotic diseases has substantial growth.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Novel drug candidates targeting unmet medical needs
  • Experienced management team
  • Focus on niche therapeutic areas
  • Relatively lean operating structure

Weaknesses

  • Limited financial resources
  • Dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes
  • No currently marketed products
  • High risk of clinical trial failure

Opportunities

  • Positive clinical trial results
  • Partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies
  • Expansion into new therapeutic areas
  • Regulatory approval and commercialization of drug candidates

Threats

  • Clinical trial failures
  • Competition from larger pharmaceutical companies
  • Regulatory hurdles
  • Patent expirations

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • BIIB
  • RHHBY
  • GILD
  • NVS

Competitive Landscape

MediciNova faces significant competition from larger, more established pharmaceutical companies. Its competitive advantage lies in its focus on niche therapeutic areas and its ability to identify and develop promising drug candidates. However, it lacks the financial resources and marketing capabilities of its larger competitors.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by advancing drug candidates through clinical trials and securing financing. This has not resulted in sustained revenue growth.

Future Projections: Future growth is contingent on successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approvals. Analyst estimates vary widely, reflecting the uncertainty inherent in biopharmaceutical development. Success of Ibudilast trials is key.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include ongoing clinical trials for Ibudilast in PMS and ALS and Tipelukast for NASH. The company also explores opportunities to in-license or acquire new drug candidates.

Summary

MediciNova is a high-risk, high-reward biopharmaceutical company. Its future success hinges on positive clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approvals for its drug candidates, particularly Ibudilast. It's financial health is dependent on its ability to secure funding to continue operations. The company needs to effectively manage the costs of development.

Similar Companies

  • BIIB
  • ICPT
  • VIR
  • MRTX

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • MediciNova's investor relations website
  • SEC filings
  • Analyst reports
  • Industry publications
  • ClinicalTrials.gov

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. The information provided is based on publicly available data and may be subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About MediciNova Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters La Jolla, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2005-02-08
Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman Dr. Yuichi Iwaki M.D., Ph.D.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 13
Full time employees 13

MediciNova, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing novel and small molecule therapeutics for the treatment of serious diseases with unmet medical needs in the United States. The company develops MN-166 (ibudilast), an oral anti-inflammatory and neuroprotective agent in Phase 2b/3 clinical trial for treating neurological and other disorders, such as progressive multiple sclerosis, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy, degenerative cervical myelopathy, glioblastoma, and substance dependence and addiction, as well as prevention of acute respiratory distress syndrome, and long COVID. It is also developing MN-001 (tipelukast), an orally bioavailable small molecule compound in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat fibrotic and other metabolic disorders, including nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and hypertriglycedemia. The company has a license agreement with Kyorin Pharmaceuticals for the development and commercialization of MN-166 and MN-001. MediciNova, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in La Jolla, California.

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