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MediciNova Inc (MNOV)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: MNOV (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 3 days. Profits (-8.41%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -33.28% | Avg. Invested days 23 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 93.68M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 47401 | Beta 0.77 | 52 Weeks Range 1.12 - 2.55 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.12 - 2.55 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.21 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -981.95% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.51% | Return on Equity (TTM) -13.32% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 55523387 | Price to Sales(TTM) 93.68 |
Enterprise Value 55523387 | Price to Sales(TTM) 93.68 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 38.74 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.65 | Shares Outstanding 49046200 | Shares Floating 42081189 |
Shares Outstanding 49046200 | Shares Floating 42081189 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.98 | Percent Institutions 21.3 |
AI Summary
MediciNova Inc. (MNOV): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
Founded in 1989, MediciNova Inc. is a US-based biopharmaceutical company focusing on developing novel therapies for acute and chronic inflammatory diseases and cancers. The company initially focused on cardiovascular drugs, but later shifted its focus to inflammatory diseases and cancer immunotherapy. In 2016, MediciNova acquired rights to Plivazal®, a long-acting injectable corticosteroid previously marketed by Barr Laboratories.
Core business areas:
MediciNova's core business areas are:
- Inflammatory diseases: This includes developing and commercializing IL-2 pathway-modulating therapies for conditions like Scleroderma, Allergic Rhinitis, and Sepsis.
- Cancer immunotherapy: MediciNova is developing MN-001, a therapy for Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) and other cancers.
- Injectable corticosteroids: Plivazal® is a long-acting injectable corticosteroid for treating inflammatory conditions.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- David B. Zaccardelli, CEO and President: Leads the overall strategy and management of the company.
- Yuichi Iwata, MD, Ph.D., Chief Medical Officer: Responsible for clinical development and regulatory affairs.
- David Shen, Chief Financial Officer: Oversees financial strategies and operations.
- MediciNova has a Board of Directors responsible for providing strategic guidance and oversight.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products:
- Plivazal®: A long-acting injectable corticosteroid for managing inflammatory conditions.
- MN-001: A novel immunotherapy for Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) and other cancers.
Market share:
- Plivazal® holds a small market share in the US injectable corticosteroid market, facing competition from established players like Depo-Medrol® and Kenalog®.
- MN-001 is still in the clinical development phase, and its market share potential is yet to be determined.
Product performance and market reception:
- Plivazal® has received positive feedback from healthcare professionals for its efficacy and convenience.
- MN-001 has shown promising results in early-stage clinical trials for AML.
Competitors:
- Plivazal®: Depo-Medrol® (Pfizer), Kenalog® (Bristol-Myers Squibb)
- MN-001: Venetoclax (AbbVie), Gilteritinib (Astellas)
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for injectable corticosteroids is estimated to be worth over USD 5 billion, with the US market representing a significant portion of this. The market for AML treatment is also substantial, with an estimated value of over USD 5 billion globally.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial performance:
- Revenue: MediciNova's revenue has been steadily increasing in recent years, primarily driven by Plivazal® sales.
- Net income: The company is not yet profitable, but net losses have been narrowing in recent quarters.
- Profit margins: Gross margins are improving, but operating margins remain negative.
- Earnings per share (EPS): EPS is currently negative, but is expected to turn positive in the future.
Year-over-year comparison:
- Revenue: Revenue has grown significantly year-over-year, driven by increased Plivazal® sales.
- Net income: Net losses have decreased year-over-year, indicating progress towards profitability.
- Profit margins: Gross margins have improved, while operating margins remain negative.
- EPS: EPS has improved from previous years, but remains negative.
Cash flow and balance sheet health:
- Cash flow: MediciNova has a negative operating cash flow, but this is partially offset by financing activities.
- Balance sheet: The company has a modest amount of cash and equivalents, and a relatively low level of debt.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history:
MediciNova does not currently pay dividends.
Shareholder returns:
Shareholder returns have been negative in recent years, reflecting the company's early-stage development and pre-profitability status.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
MediciNova has experienced revenue growth in recent years, driven by Plivazal® sales.
Future growth projections:
Future growth is expected to be driven by MN-001's potential approval and commercialization, as well as continued growth of Plivazal® sales.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives:
- MN-001 is currently in a Phase 3 clinical trial for AML.
- MediciNova continues to expand its commercial footprint for Plivazal®.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends:
The injectable corticosteroid market is expected to grow moderately in the coming years, driven by an aging population and increasing prevalence of chronic inflammatory conditions. The AML treatment market is also expected to grow significantly, due to new treatment options and increasing awareness.
MediciNova's position:
MediciNova is a relatively small player in both the injectable corticosteroid and AML treatment markets. However, the company has promising assets that could drive future growth.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- Plivazal®: Depo-Medrol® (Pfizer), Kenalog® (Bristol-Myers Squibb)
- MN-001: Venetoclax (AbbVie), Gilteritinib (Astellas)
Competitive advantages:
- Plivazal® offers a longer duration of action compared to some competitors.
- MN-001 has a novel mechanism of action with potential for improved efficacy and safety.
Competitive disadvantages:
- MediciNova is a relatively small company with limited resources.
- Plivazal® faces competition from established players with larger market share.
- MN-001 is still in the development stage and faces regulatory hurdles.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges:
- Regulatory approval and commercialization of MN-001
- Maintaining market share for Plivazal® in a competitive market
- Achieving profitability
Potential opportunities:
- Approval and commercialization of MN-001
- Expansion of Plivazal® sales in new markets
- Continued development of additional novel therapies
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
MediciNova has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 5.5/10
Justification:
MediciNova has several promising assets, including Plivazal® and MN-001. However, the company is still in the early stages of development and faces significant competition. The company's financial performance is improving, but it is not yet profitable. Overall, MediciNova has potential for future growth, but investors should be aware of the risks involved.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on information from the following sources:
- MediciNova Inc. website
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Industry reports
This information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and you could lose money. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters La Jolla, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-02-08 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Executive Director Dr. Yuichi Iwaki M.D., Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 13 | Website https://www.medicinova.com |
Full time employees 13 | Website https://www.medicinova.com |
MediciNova, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing novel and small molecule therapeutics for the treatment of serious diseases with unmet medical needs in the United States. It is developing MN-166 (ibudilast), an oral anti-inflammatory and neuroprotective agent for treating neurological and other disorders, such as primary and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy, degenerative cervical myelopathy, glioblastoma, and substance dependence and addiction, as well as prevention of acute respiratory distress syndrome, and long COVID. The company's product pipeline also includes MN-221 (bedoradrine), a selective beta-2-adrenergic receptor agonist for the treatment of acute exacerbations of asthma; MN-001 (tipelukast), an orally bioavailable small molecule compound to treat fibrotic and other diseases, including nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis; and MN-029 (denibulin), a tubulin binding agent for treating solid tumor cancers. It has license agreements with Kyorin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd; Angiogene Pharmaceuticals, Ltd.; and Meiji Seika Kaisha, Ltd. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in La Jolla, California.
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