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Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
03/27/2025: MGY (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -44.32% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.99B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.26 | 1Y Target Price 27.87 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.26 | 1Y Target Price 27.87 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3622124 | Beta 1.91 | 52 Weeks Range 21.63 - 28.83 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 21.63 - 28.83 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.35% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.94 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 27.82% | Operating Margin (TTM) 37.99% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 11.48% | Return on Equity (TTM) 20.64% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.26 | Forward PE 12.15 | Enterprise Value 4941706240 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.79 |
Enterprise Value 4941706240 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.79 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.76 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.36 | Shares Outstanding 188524000 | Shares Floating 178590974 |
Shares Outstanding 188524000 | Shares Floating 178590974 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.43 | Percent Institutions 120.9 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.59 | Target Price 28 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 6 |
Buy 2 | Strong Buy 6 | ||
Hold 7 | Sell - | Strong Sell 2 | |
Strong Sell 2 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp was formed in 2018 through a business combination between EnerVest, Ltd.'s South Texas Division and TPG Pace Energy Holdings Corp., a special purpose acquisition company. It focuses on the development of oil and gas properties.
Core Business Areas
- Exploration and Production: Magnolia Oil & Gas engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs).
Leadership and Structure
Steve Chazen (deceased Oct 2022) previously led the company as CEO. Chris Stavros assumed leadership after Chazen's death. The company has a board of directors overseeing management.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Crude Oil: Magnolia's primary product is crude oil extracted from the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations. Market share data specific to Magnolia's oil sales is challenging to pinpoint precisely within the broader oil market, but it operates in a competitive landscape including EOG Resources (EOG), Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) and Devon Energy (DVN).
- Natural Gas and NGLs: Magnolia also produces natural gas and NGLs. Similar to crude oil, granular market share data is difficult to ascertain, and it competes with companies such as Southwestern Energy (SWN) and Chesapeake Energy (CHK).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil and gas industry is cyclical and highly competitive, influenced by global supply and demand, geopolitical factors, and regulatory changes.
Positioning
Magnolia focuses on cost-efficient development in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations. Its low-debt strategy provides flexibility. Competitive advantages include proven reserves and operational efficiency.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global oil and gas market is valued in the trillions of dollars. Magnolia's position allows it to capture a portion of this TAM through efficient operations and strategic development.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Low Debt
- High-Quality Assets (Eagle Ford, Austin Chalk)
- Operational Efficiency
- Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Weaknesses
- Concentration in Specific Geographic Areas
- Susceptibility to Commodity Price Volatility
- Smaller Scale Compared to Major Oil Companies
- Limited Diversification
Opportunities
- Strategic Acquisitions
- Increased Production Efficiency
- Expansion into Adjacent Areas
- Capitalizing on Higher Commodity Prices
Threats
- Commodity Price Declines
- Increased Regulation
- Environmental Concerns and Opposition
- Competition from Larger Companies
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- EOG
- PXD
- DVN
- OXY
- APA
Competitive Landscape
Magnolia competes with larger, more diversified oil and gas companies. Its focus on cost efficiency and low debt is a key differentiator.
Major Acquisitions
Harvest Oil & Gas
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 228.6
- Strategic Rationale: Accelerates the return of capital program.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Magnolia's growth has been driven by increased production and efficient operations within its core areas.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates for future growth will depend on commodity prices, production levels, and cost management.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include optimizing drilling and completion techniques and returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
Summary
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp is a relatively smaller oil and gas producer focusing on the Eagle Ford and Austin Chalk formations. The company has a low-debt strategy and generates strong free cash flow, enabling shareholder returns. A potential threat is its concentration in specific geographic areas, making it vulnerable to regional commodity price fluctuations. Magnolia should continue to focus on operational efficiencies, and strategic acquisitions, and look at growing their marketshare in the oil and gas sector.
Similar Companies

APA

APA Corporation



APA

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DVN

Devon Energy Corporation



DVN

Devon Energy Corporation

EOG

EOG Resources Inc



EOG

EOG Resources Inc

MRO

Marathon Oil Corporation



MRO

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PXD

Pioneer Natural Resources Co



PXD

Pioneer Natural Resources Co
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (SEC)
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Reports
- Company Website
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance can change, affecting the accuracy of the information provided.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Houston, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-05-05 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Christopher G. Stavros | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees 252 | Website https://www.magnoliaoilgas.com |
Full time employees 252 | Website https://www.magnoliaoilgas.com |
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the United States. The company's properties are located primarily in Karnes County and the Giddings area in South Texas comprising the Eagle Ford Shale and the Austin Chalk formation. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
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