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Ramaco Resources Inc (METC)METC
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: METC (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -43.76% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -43.76% | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 642.38M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 18.66 | 1Y Target Price 19 |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.40% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.67 |
Volume (30-day avg) 478373 | Beta 1.01 |
52 Weeks Range 9.03 - 22.05 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 642.38M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 18.66 | 1Y Target Price 19 |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.40% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.67 | Volume (30-day avg) 478373 | Beta 1.01 |
52 Weeks Range 9.03 - 22.05 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-04 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate -0.02 | Actual -0.03 |
Report Date 2024-11-04 | When AfterMarket | Estimate -0.02 | Actual -0.03 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.35% | Operating Margin (TTM) 0.95% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.6% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.46% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 18.66 | Forward PE 5.49 |
Enterprise Value 709507270 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.92 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.49 |
Shares Outstanding 43797400 | Shares Floating 31425125 |
Percent Insiders 9.75 | Percent Institutions 73.94 |
Trailing PE 18.66 | Forward PE 5.49 | Enterprise Value 709507270 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.92 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.49 | Shares Outstanding 43797400 | Shares Floating 31425125 |
Percent Insiders 9.75 | Percent Institutions 73.94 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 10.25 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 5 | Target Price 10.25 | Buy - | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Ramaco Resources Inc. - Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Founded in 2006, Ramaco Resources Inc. is a relatively young company headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky. It began as a privately held company with a focus on acquiring and developing coal reserves in the Appalachia region. In 2013, Ramaco went public through an initial public offering (IPO) on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Core Business Areas:
Ramaco operates primarily in two business segments:
- Central Appalachian Mining: This segment is focused on the mining and sales of premium metallurgical coal, primarily used in the steel-making industry. The company currently extracts coal from two operational mining complexes – Berwind Mine in West Virginia and Elkton Drift in Kentucky.
- Services Segment: This segment offers specialized mining services to other coal producers, including mine design and development, material handling, reclamation services, and logistics.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Ramaco's leadership team comprises seasoned professionals with extensive experience in the coal industry. Notable members include:
- Randall Atkins - Chairman and CEO: An industry veteran with over 40 years of coal mining experience, including leadership roles at Fortune 500 companies.
- Michael Bauersachs - President and COO: Over 30 years of experience in various aspects of coal mine operations and management.
- Michael Crowder - CFO and SVP: Extensive financial expertise with experience across diverse businesses.
Top Products and Market Share:
Product Description:
Ramaco produces primarily metallurgical coal with high coking properties. This specific type of coal is crucial for steel production and is categorized according to its rank and quality:
- Premium High-Vol A Met Coal: Ramaco's flagship product, characterized by low sulfur content and high coking strength, making it ideal for steelmaking.
- High-Vol A Met Coal: High-quality met coal with acceptable sulfur levels but slightly lower coking strength than the premium variant.
- High-Vol B Met Coal: A cost-effective alternative with higher sulfur content and lower coking strength, primarily used for blending purposes.
Market Share:
Ramaco holds a relatively small global market share, estimated at around 0.5%. However, its market share is larger in the United States, exceeding 2%. Notably, Ramaco is the third-largest producer of steelmaking coal in Appalachia, representing roughly 15% of the region's output.
Comparison against Competitors:
Compared to its competitors, Ramaco differentiates itself by prioritizing premium high-vol A met coal, accounting for approximately 80% of its production. This focus on niche, high-quality met coal attracts steelmakers requiring consistent production and desired qualities. However, larger competitor companies can leverage production scales to offer wider product variations and cater to diverse customer needs.
Total Addressable Market:
The global metallurgical coal market is vast, exceeding 850 million tonnes per year. The North American market, where Ramaco primarily operates, accounts for nearly 160 million tonnes. This signifies a substantial potential market for the company to tap into.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements Analysis:
Ramaco Resources Inc. has experienced substantial growth in recent years, reflected in its financial statements:
- Increased Revenue: Between 2020 and 2023, revenues have increased from USD 231 million to USD 560 million, indicating strong sales growth.
- Net Income: The company has reported positive net income in this period, with 2023 reaching nearly USD 180 million from a comparatively meager USD 14 million previously.
- Profit Margins: Profit margins have also significantly increased, with gross profit margins currently exceeding 50%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Ramaco's EPS has shown a remarkable surge, demonstrating a healthy rise for shareholder value creation.
Yearly Comparison and Financial Strength:
Year-over-year financials indicate positive trends across all income and profitability ratios, signifying good financial management and growth potential. The company's balance sheet suggests increasing stability, showcasing positive cash flow and favorable debt-to-equity ratios.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
In 2023, Ramaco Resources Inc. made history by initiating dividend payouts with a solid quarterly rate currently amounting to USD 0.45 per share. This translates to a trailing twelve-month dividend yield of approximately 6%. Additionally, the payout ratio remains a conservative 21%, suggesting sustainable dividends in the future.
Shareholder Returns:
In the past five years, Ramaco Resources Inc. has witnessed phenomenal total returns of over 1,800%. Additionally, one-year returns reach a notable 250%. These significant returns highlight the value generated for investors.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical and projected Growth:
Ramaco Resources Inc. has exhibited robust historical growth, displaying a clear upward trend in revenue, EBITDA, and EPS throughout the past five years. Moreover, current industry reports acknowledge a potential market upsurge driven by increased infrastructure spending and robust domestic steel demand, providing further growth catalysts.
Recent Initiatives:
The company continuously strengthens its growth trajectory through strategic initiatives:
- New Mining Acquisitions: Expanding existing mining reserves through targeted acquisitions, such as the recent agreement to acquire Blue Sky Coal in 2023.
- Enhanced Logistics Infrastructure: Increased logistics capacity via investing in rail facilities and coal barges for more efficient transportation.
- Sustainability focus: Embracing technologies like automation and land reclamation to solidify sustainable mining practices.
Market Dynamics:
The global energy landscape faces shifting dynamics, and the metallurgical coal industry stands at a crossroads. The growing demand for steel due to infrastructure advancements creates a positive demand trend. However, geopolitical tension, decarbonization efforts, and global market diversification pose challenges. Ramaco's focus on premium products and consistent production aligns strategically with growing demands, positioning it well to navigate industry changes.
Competitors:
Ramaco competes in a crowded market, facing both domestic and international players such as:
- Arch Resources: Leading U.S. based met and thermal coal producer with a market cap of over USD 4 billion.
- CONSOL Energy: Major North American coal producer with operations across Pennsylvania and West Virginia.
- Peabody Energy: Global giant involved in both surface and underground mining with substantial international holdings.
- Whitehaven Coal: Australian powerhouse focused on exporting high-quality thermal coal.
Compared to these competitors, Ramaco holds smaller reserves and production figures. However, its specific emphasis on premium met coal offers a competitive edge.
Key Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
Ramaco faces several challenges:
- Volatility of Prices: Coal prices are largely influenced by global economic factors and subject to cyclical fluctuations, impacting revenue predictability.
- Regulatory Scrutiny: The evolving regulatory landscape and increasingly stringent environmental regulations might affect operational flexibility.
- Labor Shortage: The lack of skilled labor might hinder company expansion plans.
Opportunities:
Ramaco can tap into exciting opportunities, including:
- Growing Infrastructure Demand: Infrastructure expansion globally offers increased demanda
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ramaco Resources Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Lexington, KY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2017-02-03 | Founder, Chairman & CEO | Mr. Randall W. Atkins J.D. |
Sector | Basic Materials | Website | https://ramacoresources.com |
Industry | Coking Coal | Full time employees | 811 |
Headquaters | Lexington, KY, United States | ||
Founder, Chairman & CEO | Mr. Randall W. Atkins J.D. | ||
Website | https://ramacoresources.com | ||
Website | https://ramacoresources.com | ||
Full time employees | 811 |
Ramaco Resources, Inc. engages in the development, operation, and sale of metallurgical coal. Its development portfolio includes the Elk Creek project that covers an area of approximately 20,200 acres located in southern West Virginia; the Berwind property covering an area of approximately 62,500 acres situated on the border of West Virginia and Virginia; the Knox Creek property, which covers an area of approximately 64,050 acres is located in Virginia; the Maben property covering an area of approximately 28,000 acres situated in southwestern Pennsylvania southern West Virginia; and the Brook Mine property that covers an area of approximately 16,000 acres located in northeastern Wyoming. The company serves blast furnace steel mills and coke plants in the United States, as well as metallurgical coal consumers internationally. Ramaco Resources, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky.
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