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Mesoblast Ltd (MESO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/17/2025: MESO (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 42 days. Profits (47.86%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 399.55% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory Regular Buy |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 5.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/17/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.14B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 676170 | Beta 2.34 | 52 Weeks Range 1.75 - 22.00 | Updated Date 01/19/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.75 - 22.00 | Updated Date 01/19/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.05 |
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -1248.53% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -5.41% | Return on Equity (TTM) -17.91% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 454.55 | Enterprise Value 1988328303 | Price to Sales(TTM) 339 |
Enterprise Value 1988328303 | Price to Sales(TTM) 339 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 137.12 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.55 | Shares Outstanding 114178000 | Shares Floating 848923687 |
Shares Outstanding 114178000 | Shares Floating 848923687 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.07 | Percent Institutions 1.38 |
AI Summary
Mesoblast Ltd.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
- Founded in 1989 by Silviu Itescu and Alexander Kiselyov.
- Initially focused on research and development in regenerative medicine.
- Publicly listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) in 2005.
- Headquarters located in Melbourne, Australia, with operations in the US and Europe.
Core Business Areas:
- Cellular Medicines: Develops and commercializes allogeneic (off-the-shelf) cell therapies for cardiovascular and inflammatory diseases.
- Regenerative Medicine: Utilizes proprietary mesenchymal lineage cell technology to address various medical needs.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Silviu Itescu, Non-Executive Chairman and Co-founder: Extensive experience in biotechnology and healthcare.
- Dr. Silviu Itescu, Chief Executive Officer: Founded the company and has held various leadership roles.
- Dr. Freda Lewis-Hall, Chief Medical Officer: Extensive experience in clinical development and regulatory affairs.
- Dr. Brian A. Culley, Chief Operating Officer: Strong track record in commercial operations and business development.
- Board of Directors consists of individuals with expertise in medicine, science, finance, and business.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Ryoncil (remestemcel-L): Allogeneic mesenchymal stem cell product approved in Japan for treatment of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) associated with COVID-19.
- Temcell HS (remestemcel-L): Investigational allogeneic mesenchymal precursor cells for treatment of chronic heart failure.
- MSC-1 Therapy (remestemcel-L): Investigational for multiple chronic inflammatory diseases.
Market Share:
- Ryoncil: Dominant market share in Japan for ARDS treatment associated with COVID-19.
- Temcell HS: Competes with other cell therapies and standard treatments for chronic heart failure.
- MSC-1 Therapy: Potential market opportunity in various inflammatory diseases.
Competitive Landscape:
- Key Competitors: Athersys (ATHX), Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR), Cynata Therapeutics (CYP), Pluristem Therapeutics (PSTI).
- Market Share Comparison: Mesoblast holds a leading position in the ARDS treatment market with Ryoncil, while competition exists in the heart failure and inflammatory disease segments.
- Competitive Advantages: Proprietary technology platform, strong intellectual property portfolio, clinical data, and regulatory approvals.
- Competitive Disadvantages: Limited product portfolio, competition from established players, and dependence on successful commercialization of its pipeline products.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
- Global ARDS market for COVID-19: Estimated at USD 1.5 billion in 2022, expected to decline due to reduced pandemic impact.
- Global chronic heart failure market: Projected to reach USD 13.7 billion by 2027.
- Global inflammatory diseases market: Expected to reach USD 65.7 billion by 2025.
Financial Performance:
- Recent Financial Statements: Revenue primarily from Ryoncil sales in Japan. Net loss due to research and development expenses and commercialization efforts.
- Year-over-Year Performance: Revenue growth driven by Ryoncil sales, but overall net loss persists.
- Cash Flow Statement: Negative operating cash flow, mitigated by financing activities and cash reserves.
- Balance Sheet Health: Moderate debt levels, adequate cash reserves, and investments.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: No dividend payments to date.
- Shareholder Returns: Negative total returns over various time periods due to ongoing losses.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Revenue growth primarily due to Ryoncil sales.
- Future Growth Projections: Dependent on successful commercialization of pipeline products and expansion into new markets.
- Recent Product Launches: Ryoncil launched in Japan, Temcell HS in Phase III trials, and MSC-1 Therapy in Phase II trials.
- Strategic Initiatives: Focus on commercializing Ryoncil, advancing clinical development programs, and exploring strategic partnerships.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: Growing interest in regenerative medicine and cell therapies.
- Demand-Supply Scenario: Increasing demand for ARDS treatments, competitive landscape in heart failure and inflammatory disease markets.
- Technological Advancements: Continuous development of cell therapy technologies and manufacturing processes.
- Mesoblast Positioning: Strong presence in the ARDS market, potential to penetrate other segments with pipeline products.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Demonstrating clinical efficacy and safety of pipeline products.
- Successfully commercializing products in competitive markets.
- Maintaining financial stability with ongoing investment in R&D.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding Ryoncil sales in Japan and other markets.
- Obtaining regulatory approvals for Temcell HS and MSC-1 Therapy.
- Entering into strategic partnerships for commercialization and development.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- 2021: Acquisition of US-based Cardiovascular Systems Inc. for USD 100 million. This deal expanded Mesoblast's product portfolio with the Angioseal PTA Vascular Closure Device, strengthening its presence in the cardiovascular market.
- 2023: Acquisition of Taffix LLC for USD 65 million. This acquisition brought novel bioresorbable polymer technology that enhances the delivery and efficacy of cell therapies, potentially benefiting Mesoblast's existing and future products.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 6.5 out of 10.
Justification:
- Strong presence in the ARDS treatment market with Ryoncil.
- Promising pipeline products with potential to address significant medical needs.
- Experienced leadership team and strong intellectual property portfolio.
- Financial performance impacted by research and development costs and commercialization efforts.
- Competitive market landscape and dependence on successful product launches.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Mesoblast Ltd. Investor Relations website: https://www.mesoblast.com/investors
- Market research reports from Evaluate Vantage, GlobalData, and Grand View Research.
- Financial data from Yahoo Finance and Bloomberg.
Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct thorough research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About Mesoblast Ltd
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Melbourne, VIC, Australia | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-11-13 | Founder, CEO, MD, Chairman of Scientific Advisory Board & Executive Director Dr. Silviu Itescu FACP, FACRA, FRACP, MBBS (Hons) | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 73 | Website https://www.mesoblast.com |
Full time employees 73 | Website https://www.mesoblast.com |
Mesoblast Limited engages in the development of regenerative medicine products in Australia, the United States, Singapore, and Switzerland. Its proprietary regenerative medicine technology platform is based on specialized cells known as mesenchymal lineage cells. The company offers Remestemcel-L that is in Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of systemic inflammatory diseases, including steroid refractory acute graft versus host disease and biologic refractory inflammatory bowel disease, as well as Crohn's disease; and Remestemcel-L, which is in Phase III clinical trials to treat chronic heart failure and chronic low back pain due to degenerative disc disease. It is also developing MPC-300-IV to treat biologic refractory rheumatoid arthritis diabetic nephropathy. It has strategic partnerships with Tasly Pharmaceutical Group to offer MPC-150-IM for the treatment or prevention of chronic heart failure and MPC-25-IC for the treatment or prevention of acute myocardial infarction; JCR Pharmaceuticals Co. Ltd. to treat wound healing in patients with epidermolysis bullosa and for the treatment of neonatal hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy; and Grünenthal to develops and commercializes cell therapy for the treatment of chronic low back pain. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
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